Boise State vs. New Mexico odds, prediction, line: 2022 Week 2 college football picks by model on 48-37 run
Fri, Sep 9, 2022
NCAAF News (AP)
The Boise State Broncos hope a visit to Albuquerque for a Week 2 college football matchup against the New Mexico Lobos on Friday night cures what ails them. Boise State kicked off the season with an ugly 34-17 loss to Oregon State last Saturday, as they turned the ball over five times. The preseason favorite to win its division in the Mountain West now has a quarterback controversy, and the defense also struggled mightily against the Beavers. The good news is, the Broncos are 11-1 all-time against the Lobos, including a 37-0 victory last season. But New Mexico will put up a spirited fight, and the Lobos looked resurgent in a 41-0 rout last Saturday against Maine, an FCS program.'
Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET at University Stadium on AP Sports Network. The Broncos are 17-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. New Mexico odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under for total points is set at 44. Before locking in New Mexico vs. Boise State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 2 of the 2022 college football season on a 48-37 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Boise State vs. New Mexico and just revealed its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for New Mexico vs. Boise State: '
- Boise State vs. New Mexico spread: Broncos -17
- Boise State vs. New Mexico over/under: 44 points'
- Boise State vs. New Mexico money line: Broncos -800, Lobos +550'
- BSU: It was 7-5 ATS last season, going 5-1 on the road'
- NM: It was 1-11 ATS in 2021, including 0-6 at home'
- Boise State vs. New Mexico picks: See picks here.
Why the Broncos can cover
Boise State is 4-0 against the spread in its past four games following an ATS loss, and it has dominated the Lobos. The Broncos have won five straight against them, going 4-1 ATS and winning four by at least 28 points.The Broncos offense appeared to be coming along in the offseason, so the implosion of senior quarterback Hank Bachmeier was a shock. He threw two interceptions on eight attempts and lost a fumble as Oregon State took a 24-0 halftime lead. Redshirt freshman Taylen Green had some huge moments when he came on in relief.
Green was 19-of-28 for 155 yards and rushed for 102, the bulk of that on an electrifying 74-yard run. He could see a lot more action in place of Bachmeier, who threw for 3,079 yards and 20 TDs last season, with eight interceptions on 401 attempts. George Holani gained just 9 yards on 13 carries last week, but he averaged 4.8 per carry in 2021. Freshman Ashton Jeanty had 16 yards on four runs and has big-play ability. BSU allowed 470 yards Saturday, but the Lobos had the worst offense in all of FBS last season. The Broncos outgained them 427-102 in the 2021 matchup.' '
Why the Lobos can cover
New Mexico looked like a completely different team in last week's victory. It showed incredible depth, with eight rushers posting at least 20 yards as the Lobos rushed for 267 in the victory. Sherod White was the top rusher with 13 carries for 58 yards and two touchdowns. Luke Wysong was everywhere, posting 128 all-purpose yards -- 43 rushing, 51 receiving and 34 on punt returns -- and also scoring two TDs. Kansas transfer QB Miles Kendrick looked like a huge addition against Maine, completing 14 of his 17 throws as New Mexico piled up 437 total yards.
The QB also rushed for 40 yards on 11 carries, while freshman receiver Jah'Mar Sanders had two rushes for 25 yards and a TD. Geordon Porter, a transfer from Arizona State, was the top receiver with five catches for 54 yards and a TD. The Lobos also held the Black Bears to 108 yards, forced two turnovers and had three sacks. Reco Hannah had 1.5 sacks in his return from a serious knee injury suffered last year. Hannah is joined by Ray Leutele and Syaire Riley in a strong linebacking corps that is the heart of widely-respected coordinator Rocky Long's unit. ' ''
How to make Boise State vs. New Mexico picks
The model has simulated the New Mexico vs. Boise State matchup 10,000 times, and the results are in. The model is projecting Over on the point total, suggesting one team could benefit from several turnovers. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time.'You can only see the model's New Mexico vs. Boise State pick at SportsLine.'
So who wins the New Mexico vs. Boise State matchup on Friday night? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Boise State vs. New Mexico spread to back Friday, all from the advanced model on a 48-37 run on its top-rated college football picks, and find out.
