College football picks, predictions, odds: Texas A&M vs. Arkansas leads best bets in Week 4

Tue, Sep 20, 2022
NCAAF News (AP)

College football picks, predictions, odds: Texas A&M vs. Arkansas leads best bets in Week 4

Last week was a big week for upsets, even if those did not involve some of the big name teams. Six teams won as double-digit underdogs and three of those did so on the road. The win by Eastern Michigan at Arizona State at ASU. That is the second week in a row that a coach has been fired.

Each week, I will use this space to tell you what I think are a few of the best bets heading into the weekend. I will also throw in an upset of the week, which will be a team that is at least a touchdown underdog that I am picking to win outright.

I will also give you picks on other games involving potential College Football Playoff teams. Since most teams have not played yet, just about everybody is technically a CFP candidate at the moment. So for the first few weeks of the season at least, I'll go with the current top 12 teams in the AP Top 25 rankings.

Apparently, I had a little rust on me after a week off. I was 1-2 on my Week 3 picks, to drop to 3-3 on the season. However, I did hit the Upset of the Week, which is 1-1 on the season, but covered both times. Here are this week's picks,

Week 4 Picks

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Moneyline Spread Total TXAM -135 BET NOW -2.5 -110 BET NOW o48.5 -110 BET NOW ARK +115 BET NOW +2.5 -110 BET NOW u48.5 -110 BET NOW

This is a contrast in styles. The Hogs have been able to get up and down the field offensively, but watched their defense do the same. Texas A&M is the complete opposite. The Aggies struggle to score, but so do their opponents. I think the Aggies defense will have its way, which may not mean the A&M will win. However, I do think it means that the total stays low. Pick: Under 49

Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Moneyline Spread Total MICHST +122 BET NOW +2.5 -110 BET NOW o51 -110 BET NOW MINN -145 BET NOW -2.5 -110 BET NOW u51 -110 BET NOW

Washington took advantage of a still somewhat porous Spartan defense to cruise to an easy win in Seattle last week. The Gophers play more into Michigan State's strength. Minnesota is primarily a running team and with top receiver Chris Autman-Bell , it will be harder to take advantage of MSU's pass defense. I think the wrong team is favored here. Pick: Michigan State +2

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Utah Utes Moneyline Spread Total ARIZST +430 BET NOW +14 -110 BET NOW o54 -110 BET NOW UTAH -600 BET NOW -14 -110 BET NOW u54 -110 BET NOW

I would normally shy away from a game by a team that just fired its coach. You never really know how the players will react. However, I do not think it matters here. Utah is still the favorite to win the Pac-12 and the Sun Devils should be overmatched. Pick: Utah -14

Upset of the Week

Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon Ducks Moneyline Spread Total WASHST +196 BET NOW +6.5 -110 BET NOW o57.5 -110 BET NOW OREG -240 BET NOW -6.5 -110 BET NOW u57.5 -110 BET NOW

The Ducks are coming off a huge win over BYU in which everything was clicking. Now, they have to try to keep that momentum going in the Palouse against Washington State. The Cougars have already won at Wisconsin, so this is not something they haven't done before. Washington State's defense will make this ugly and I like them to pull the upset. Pick: Washington State +196 ML

Other CFP candidates

Kent State at No. 1 Georgia Pick: Under 62
Vanderbilt at No. 2 Alabama Pick: Vanderbilt +40
Wisconsin at No. 3 Ohio State Pick: Ohio State -17.5
Maryland at No. 4 Michigan Pick: Michigan -16.5
No. 5 Clemson at No. 21'Wake Forest Pick: Clemson -7
Kansas State at No. 6 Oklahoma Pick: Oklahoma -13
No. 7 USC at Oregon State Pick: USC -6.5
Northern Illinois at No. 8 Kentucky Pick: Kentucky -25.5
No. 20 Florida at No. 11 Tennessee Pick: Florida +11
UConn at No. 12 NC State Pick: Over 50

Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 4, and which Top 25 favorite will go down hard?'Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread'-- all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $3,300 in profit over the past six-plus seasons -- and find out.

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