NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 3, 2022: Model picking Bengals, Seahawks

Thu, Sep 22, 2022
NFL News (AP)

NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 3, 2022: Model picking Bengals, Seahawks

There were a dozen games through the first two weeks of the 2022 NFL schedule that were decided by three points or fewer. Las Vegas is expecting that total to only grow since there are eight games at Caesars Sportsbook that have Week 3 NFL spreads of three points or fewer. The slimmest NFL odds belong to 49ers vs. Broncos, which has the Niners as 1.5-point favorites in the latest Week 3 NFL Vegas odds. That game opened with Denver as a 3-point favorite, only moving in favor of the Niners once Trey Lance (ankle) was declared out for the season with Jimmy Garoppolo replacing him at quarterback. All of the Week 3 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks now.'

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of AP Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

One of the model's strongest Week 3 NFL picks is that the Bengals (-4.5) go on the road and cover against the Jets. Just six teams had fewer sacks than the Jets last year, and they have the same statistical ranking in sacks this year. A lack of pressure on Joe Burrow should allow him to pick apart the Jets' secondary since New York is allowing opposing quarterbacks a passer rating of over 100 this season. Burrow is projected to top 300 passing yards and also toss multiple touchdown passes, with Ja'Marr Chase having nearly 100 yards in receptions.

The model doesn't expect any Jets player to top 60 receiving yards. In fact, New York loses by two scores, with the Bengals (-4.5) covering nearly 60 percent of the time.

Another one of the model's Week 3 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (-2) cover the spread at home versus the Falcons. Geno Smith may not be the long-term answer at QB for the Seahawks, but he is the short-term solution. He has gone an astounding 9-1 against the spread over his last 10 starts, with a 13:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio over that span. His 81% completion percentage leads the NFL this season and is nearly 20 points higher than Marcus Mariota's.

The model has Smith playing a more efficient game than Mariota and the Seahawks putting up over 130 yards on the ground by averaging over five yards per carry. With that, Seattle is projected to cover as a 2-point favorite in well over 50 percent of simulations, with the Over (42) hitting over 50 percent of the time.'See which other teams to pick here.

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 3 NFL schedule, and it's calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard.'You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Get full NFL picks at SportsLine

Thursday, Sept. 22

Steelers at Browns (-3.5, 40.5)

Cleveland Browns -4.5 Bet Now

Sunday, Sept. 25

Chiefs at Colts (+6.5, 47)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline Spread Total IND +205 BET NOW +5.5 -110 BET NOW o50.5 -110 BET NOW KC -250 BET NOW -5.5 -110 BET NOW u50.5 -110 BET NOW

Ravens at Patriots (+3, 43.5)

New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Moneyline Spread Total NE +130 BET NOW +3 -120 BET NOW o44 -110 BET NOW BAL -155 BET NOW -3 +100 BET NOW u44 -110 BET NOW

Saints at Panthers (+3, 41)

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints Moneyline Spread Total CAR +118 BET NOW +3 -115 BET NOW o41 -110 BET NOW NO -140 BET NOW -3 -105 BET NOW u41 -110 BET NOW

Texans at Bears (-2.5, 39)

Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans Moneyline Spread Total CHI -145 BET NOW -2.5 -120 BET NOW o40 -110 BET NOW HOU +122 BET NOW +2.5 +100 BET NOW u40 -110 BET NOW

Bills at Dolphins (+4.5, 51)

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Moneyline Spread Total MIA +185 BET NOW +5.5 -110 BET NOW o52 -110 BET NOW BUF -225 BET NOW -5.5 -110 BET NOW u52 -110 BET NOW

Lions at Vikings (-7, 53.5)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Moneyline Spread Total MIN -250 BET NOW -6 -110 BET NOW o51.5 -110 BET NOW DET +205 BET NOW +6 -110 BET NOW u51.5 -110 BET NOW

Bengals at Jets (+4.5, 43)

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline Spread Total NYJ +196 BET NOW +6 -110 BET NOW o45 -110 BET NOW CIN -240 BET NOW -6 -110 BET NOW u45 -110 BET NOW

Raiders at Titans (+1, 45.5)

Tennessee Titans vs. Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline Spread Total TEN +110 BET NOW +2 -110 BET NOW o45.5 -110 BET NOW LV -130 BET NOW -2 -110 BET NOW u45.5 -110 BET NOW

Eagles at Commanders (+4, 50.5)

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline Spread Total WAS +235 BET NOW +6.5 -110 BET NOW o47 -110 BET NOW PHI -292 BET NOW -6.5 -110 BET NOW u47 -110 BET NOW

Jaguars at Chargers (-7, 48)

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline Spread Total LAC -335 BET NOW -7 -110 BET NOW o47 -105 BET NOW JAC +260 BET NOW +7 -110 BET NOW u47 -115 BET NOW

Packers at Buccaneers (-3, 44)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Moneyline Spread Total TB -120 BET NOW -1 -110 BET NOW o42 -110 BET NOW GB +100 BET NOW +1 -110 BET NOW u42 -110 BET NOW

Rams at Cardinals (+4, 50.5)

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Moneyline Spread Total ARI +158 BET NOW +3.5 -110 BET NOW o48.5 -110 BET NOW LAR -190 BET NOW -3.5 -110 BET NOW u48.5 -110 BET NOW

Falcons at Seahawks (-2, 42)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Moneyline Spread Total SEA -110 BET NOW PK -110 BET NOW o42 -110 BET NOW ATL -110 BET NOW PK -110 BET NOW u42 -110 BET NOW

49ers at Broncos (PK, 43)

Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers Moneyline Spread Total DEN +105 BET NOW +1.5 -110 BET NOW o45 -110 BET NOW SF -125 BET NOW -1.5 -110 BET NOW u45 -110 BET NOW

Monday, Sept. 26

Cowboys at Giants (-3, 39.5)

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Moneyline Spread Total NYG -115 BET NOW -1 -110 BET NOW o39 -110 BET NOW DAL -105 BET NOW +1 -110 BET NOW u39 -110 BET NOW
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