Suns vs. Pistons prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 16 best bets from model on 52-28 run
Sun, Jan 16, 2022
NBA News (AP)
Little Caesars Arena hosts a cross-conference NBA matchup on Sunday afternoon. The Phoenix Suns visit the Detroit Pistons, with Phoenix riding high at 32-9 and the Pistons struggling to a 10-31 start to the 2021-22 season. Jerami Grant (thumb) is out for the Pistons with Kelly Olynyk (knee) listed as doubtful. Cameron Johnson (ankle) is listed as questionable for the Suns.
Tip-off is at 1 p.m. ET in Detroit. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Suns as 11.5-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 215 in the latest Suns vs. Pistons odds. Before you make any Pistons vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered Week 13 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Pistons and locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pistons vs. Suns:
- Suns vs. Pistons spread: Suns -11.5
- Suns vs. Pistons over-under: 215 points
- Suns vs. Pistons money line: Suns -800, Pistons +550
- PHO: The Suns are 11-8 against the spread on the road
- DET: The Pistons are 11-9 against the spread at home
The Suns are elite on both ends of the floor. Phoenix has the NBA's best record and a top-three net rating, out-scoring opponents by 7.2 points per 100 possessions. The Suns are scoring 111.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, with top-five marks in field goal percentage (47.2 percent), 3-point percentage (37.0 percent) and free throw percentage (80.6 percent). Phoenix averages 26.1 assists per game with 1.87 assists for every turnover, and the Suns assist on 61.9 percent of field goals.
On defense, the Suns are giving up only 1.04 points per possession, No. 2 in the NBA. Phoenix creates havoc, forcing 15.3 turnovers per game and creating 8.7 steals per contest, and the Suns could benefit from Detroit's bottom-tier marks in offensive efficiency. The Pistons are the NBA's worst team in field goal percentage, with the No. 29 mark in 3-point percentage and the No. 27 mark in assists per game.
Detroit has a difficult matchup against Phoenix, but the Pistons do have strengths to take solace in against the Suns. The Pistons are above-average in free throw creation, producing 21.5 attempts per game, and Detroit is also making 77.9 percent of those shots at the line. Havoc creation on defense is arguably the No. 1 strength of the Pistons, with Detroit generating 15.6 turnovers per game. That ranks No. 3 in the NBA, and the Pistons also rank in the top eight in steals, averaging 8.3 per game.
The Pistons should also benefit from Phoenix's bottom-10 ranking on the offensive glass, and Detroit is allowing only 12.8 second-chance points per game. The Pistons also limit opponents to just 11.7 fast break points per game, and the Suns land in the bottom five of the NBA in producing free throw attempts on offense.
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 206 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model's NBA picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
