Warriors vs. Timberwolves prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 27 best bets from model on 58-32 run
Thu, Jan 27, 2022
NBA News (AP)
The Thursday night NBA schedule features just two games. The nightcap features a matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves in San Francisco. Golden State is 35-13 overall and 22-4 at home, with Minnesota bringing a 24-23 record into the contest. Draymond Green (back), Andre Iguodala (hip) and James Wiseman (knee) are out for the Warriors. Patrick Beverley (ankle) is questionable for the Wolves.
Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET in San Francisco. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the 6.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 227.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds. Before locking in any Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsTek's proven computer model.
The SportsTek Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 58-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Wolves, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsTek now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Wolves vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves spread: Warriors -6.5
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves over-under: 227.5 points
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves money line: Warriors -260, Timberwolves +210
- MINN: The Wolves are 13-11 against the spread in road games
- GSW: The Warriors are 16-8-2 against the spread in home games
Minnesota's defense is operating at a high level this season, giving up fewer than 1.09 points per possession. The Wolves lead the NBA in turnover creation, forcing 15.9 per game, and Minnesota is near the top of the league in blocked shots (5.9 per game) and steals (8.8 per game). Minnesota is also in the top eight of the NBA in 3-point accuracy allowed (34.0 percent) and points in the paint allowed (44.0 per game), and Golden State is No. 29 in turnover rate on offense and No. 22 in free-throw attempts per game.
On the other end, the Wolves are excellent on the offensive glass, securing 29.9 percent of missed shots, and Minnesota averages 15.5 second-chance points per game. Both of those rank in the top three of the NBA, and the Wolves are also in the top three in 3-pointers with 14.3 triples per game. Minnesota is above-average in assists per game (24.4) and fast-break points per game (14.0), with Golden State near the bottom of the league in free-throw prevention on defense.
Led by Stephen Curry, Golden State's offense is strong, with top-three marks in assist rate, assists per game, true shooting percentage and 2-point percentage this season. The Warriors are also threatening in transition, and Minnesota is at the bottom of the NBA in free throw prevention and defensive rebounding. From there, the Warriors have the best defense in the league, allowing only 1.02 points per possession.
Opponents are shooting only 42.5 percent from the field against Golden State, with the Warriors allowing a 49.6 percent clip on 2-point shots and a 32.7 percent clip on 3-point shots. Golden State is No. 2 in the NBA in assists allowed (21.8 per game) and steals (9.4 per game), with top-six marks in points in the paint allowed (41.9 per game) and turnovers created (15.3 per game). The Wolves commit the third-most turnovers in the NBA, setting up Golden State's transition game and fueling increased defensive efficiency.
SportsTek's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsTek.
So who wins Warriors vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsTek now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.