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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 3, 2022: Model choosing Bengals, Seahawks

Fri, Sep 23, 2022
NFL News (AP)

NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 3, 2022: Model choosing Bengals, Seahawks

The Week 3 NFL schedule features a plethora of mouthwatering matchups, including division rivalries like Bills vs. Dolphins, Eagles vs. Commanders and Cowboys vs. Giants. Division rivalries are often tough to predict in the NFL given the familiarity of both teams, but it will be especially difficult in Week 3. According to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, the Giants are one-point favorites against the Cowboys at home. Dallas has dominated its NFC East rivals over the years, beating New York in nine of the last 10 meetings. The Bills, meanwhile, enter their division rivalry against the Dolphins as 5.5-point favorites on the road in the current NFL spreads. All of the Week 3 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks now.'

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of AP Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

One of the model's strongest Week 3 NFL picks is that the Bengals (-6) go on the road and cover against the Jets. After making a remarkable run to the Super Bowl last season, the Bengals are looking to avoid a disastrous 0-3 start. Quarterback Joe Burrow has been sacked 13 times through the first two games, but Cincinnati's offense enters Sunday's matchup averaging 232 passing yards and 111 rushing yards per game. The Jets, meanwhile, are giving up 27 points per game, which ranks 25th in the league. Plus, the Jets are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games following a straight-up win, which bodes well for Cincinnati.

SportsLine's model expects Burrow to throw for 300 yards on Sunday, helping the Bengals cover the spread in almost 60% of simulations. The Over (45) also has value since it hits nearly 60% of the time.

Another one of the model's Week 3 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (-1) cover the spread at home versus the Falcons. Geno Smith may not be the long-term answer at QB for the Seahawks, but he is the short-term solution. He has gone an astounding 9-1 against the spread over his last 10 starts, with a 13:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio over that span. His 81% completion percentage leads the NFL this season and is nearly 20 points higher than Marcus Mariota's.

The model has Smith playing a more efficient game than Mariota and the Seahawks putting up over 130 yards on the ground by averaging over five yards per carry. With that, Seattle is projected to cover as a 2-point favorite in well over 50 percent of simulations, with the Over (42) hitting over 50 percent of the time.'See which other teams to pick here.

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 3 NFL schedule, and it's calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard.'You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Get full NFL picks at SportsLine

Sunday, Sept. 25

Chiefs at Colts (+5.5, 50.5)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline Spread Total IND +205 BET NOW +5.5 -110 BET NOW o50.5 -110 BET NOW KC -250 BET NOW -5.5 -110 BET NOW u50.5 -110 BET NOW

Ravens at Patriots (+3, 44)

New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Moneyline Spread Total NE +130 BET NOW +3 -120 BET NOW o44 -110 BET NOW BAL -155 BET NOW -3 +100 BET NOW u44 -110 BET NOW

Saints at Panthers (+2.5, 41)

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints Moneyline Spread Total CAR +118 BET NOW +2.5 +100 BET NOW o41 -110 BET NOW NO -140 BET NOW -2.5 -120 BET NOW u41 -110 BET NOW

Texans at Bears (-2.5, 40)

Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans Moneyline Spread Total CHI -145 BET NOW -2.5 -120 BET NOW o40 -110 BET NOW HOU +122 BET NOW +2.5 +100 BET NOW u40 -110 BET NOW

Bills at Dolphins (+5.5, 52.5)

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Moneyline Spread Total MIA +185 BET NOW +5.5 -110 BET NOW o52.5 -110 BET NOW BUF -225 BET NOW -5.5 -110 BET NOW u52.5 -110 BET NOW

Lions at Vikings (-6, 52.5)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Moneyline Spread Total MIN -250 BET NOW -6 -110 BET NOW o52.5 -110 BET NOW DET +205 BET NOW +6 -110 BET NOW u52.5 -110 BET NOW

Bengals at Jets (+6, 45)

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline Spread Total NYJ +205 BET NOW +6 -110 BET NOW o45 -110 BET NOW CIN -250 BET NOW -6 -110 BET NOW u45 -110 BET NOW

Raiders at Titans (+2, 45.5)

Tennessee Titans vs. Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline Spread Total TEN +110 BET NOW +2 -110 BET NOW o45.5 -110 BET NOW LV -130 BET NOW -2 -110 BET NOW u45.5 -110 BET NOW

Eagles at Commanders (+6.5, 47)

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline Spread Total WAS +235 BET NOW +6.5 -110 BET NOW o47 -110 BET NOW PHI -292 BET NOW -6.5 -110 BET NOW u47 -110 BET NOW

Jaguars at Chargers (-7, 47)

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline Spread Total LAC -335 BET NOW -7 -110 BET NOW o47 -105 BET NOW JAC +260 BET NOW +7 -110 BET NOW u47 -115 BET NOW

Packers at Buccaneers (PK, 42)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Moneyline Spread Total TB -110 BET NOW PK -110 BET NOW o42 -110 BET NOW GB -110 BET NOW PK -110 BET NOW u42 -110 BET NOW

Rams at Cardinals (+3.5, 48.5)

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Moneyline Spread Total ARI +158 BET NOW +3.5 -110 BET NOW o48.5 -110 BET NOW LAR -190 BET NOW -3.5 -110 BET NOW u48.5 -110 BET NOW

Falcons at Seahawks (-1, 42)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Moneyline Spread Total SEA -115 BET NOW -1 -110 BET NOW o42 -110 BET NOW ATL -105 BET NOW +1 -110 BET NOW u42 -110 BET NOW

49ers at Broncos (+1.5, 45)

Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers Moneyline Spread Total DEN +105 BET NOW +1.5 -110 BET NOW o45 -110 BET NOW SF -125 BET NOW -1.5 -110 BET NOW u45 -110 BET NOW

Monday, Sept. 26

Cowboys at Giants (-1, 39)

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Moneyline Spread Total NYG -115 BET NOW -1 -110 BET NOW o39 -110 BET NOW DAL -105 BET NOW +1 -110 BET NOW u39 -110 BET NOW
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