Complete Betting Preview on Giants-Cowboys Thursday Night Football, Including Fantasy Football Bets

Thu, Sep 26, 2024
by OffshoreInsiders.com

🏈 Dallas Cowboys (-6, 45.5) vs. New York Giants

Game Overview

  • Opened: Cowboys -4, 44.5
  • Current Line: Cowboys -6, 45.5
  • Betting Trends:
    • 83% of bets, 80% of money on Dallas
    • 66% of wagers, 60% of handle on Over

Systems & Trends

  • Systems:

    • Thursday Night Road Teams in a game not expected to be a blowout are 35-9 (Dallas).
    • Home Underdogs off a win as an away underdog under specific situations that apply in this game are 164-117-13 (NYG).
    • Teams with at least one fumble last game vs. an opponent with fewer than 12 third down conversion attempts are 562-435-20 (Dallas).
    • Since 2015, if one of the teams had at least 1 fumble last game and the current total is 45 or higher, it goes over 137-99-4.

  • Organic Insights:

    • Be careful of betting the “team that needs it more.”
    • Dallas showed fight but arguably made the game look much closer than it was.
    • Dallas won both series meetings last year by a combined 89-17.
    • Two erratic QBs make this a predictably unpredictable game; a nice home dog is tempting.
    • One sharp believes Dallas will come out fired up off humiliation and loves 1Q Dallas -0.5.

  • Trends:

    • Giants are 13-0 in the last 3 years if off a game as an underdog of 4.5 or more and were tied no more than once in that game.
    • Brian Daboll is 15-2 if not winless and off a game in which they were not favored by at least 4.5 points.
    • Giants under 24-8 at home since 2020 if they are not in same-season revenge.

Computer, Power Ratings, Simulators

  • BETQL: Dallas 27.5-19 (Slight Dallas)
  • SportsLine: Dallas 25-19
  • Action: Dallas -4.7 and 45.1
  • Massey: Dallas 24-19
  • OddsTrader: Dallas 26-17 (Lean Dallas)
  • BettingPros: Dallas -6, 42.5 (Slight lean under)

Prop Bets

  • Wan’Dale Robinson Over 33.5 Yards Receiving:
    • Dallas zone will leave Robinson open as a safety valve.
  • Rico Dowdle Over 55.5 Rushing and Receiving:
    • Younger of the two-headed monster with physical Ezekiel Elliott, so should be fresher.
    • NY Giants weak against the run, and if oddsmakers are correct, Dallas will be leading, so the team is likely to run more than previous games.
  • CeeDee Lamb Over Props:
    • Lamb owned up to mistakes last week, should be fired up.
    • Andru Phillips out for Giants, making him against Deonte Banks a big mismatch.

This matchup between the Cowboys and Giants is shaping up to be an intriguing one, with strong betting trends and systems pointing in various directions. Whether you’re leaning towards the Cowboys covering the spread or the Giants pulling off an upset, there’s plenty of data to back your decision. Happy betting! 🎉 #NFL #Cowboys #Giants #SportsBetting #ThursdayNightFootball