Thursday Night Football Betting Splits: Fading the Public, Contrarian Bets Cowboys vs. Giants

Thu, Sep 26, 2024
by OffshoreInsiders.com

The Thursday Night Football matchup features the Dallas Cowboys facing off against the New York Giants, with Dallas favored by 6 points and a total of 45.5. This line opened at Cowboys -4 with a total of 44.5, indicating significant early action on the side of Dallas. But where’s the smart money headed, and how can bettors take advantage of contrarian plays?


Betting Overview

  • Matchup: Dallas Cowboys (-6) vs. New York Giants
  • Opening Line: Cowboys -4, Total 44.5
  • Current Line: Cowboys -6, Total 45.5
  • Public Betting: 83% of bets and 80% of the money is on Dallas
  • Total Betting: 66% of wagers and 60% of the handle are on the Over

As we look at these betting splits, we notice that the overwhelming majority of both bets and money is flowing toward the Cowboys. Similarly, the public favors the Over, with 66% of wagers expecting a high-scoring affair.

Why Fading the Public Might Pay Off

When such a large majority is on one side, it often creates value on the other. In this case, fading the public and looking at the Giants and the Under could be worthwhile. Contrarian bettors understand that sportsbooks set lines to balance action, and when the public heavily backs one team, it inflates the line beyond its true value.

The key here is understanding that when 83% of bets are on Dallas, oddsmakers may adjust the line to encourage action on New York. Sharper bettors often take advantage of such situations, betting against the public consensus.

Recent Performance: Joe Duffy’s Picks

OffshoreInsiders.com’s Joe Duffy is entering his third consecutive winning week, continuing to deliver for clients. His picks for the Thursday Night Football game include both a side and total bet, offering a complete strategy for the night. Duffy’s analysis doesn’t stop with just the NFL; he's also releasing a college football side, an NFL player prop, and an MLB pick.

Duffy’s record speaks for itself:

  • 6-0 in named plays in football this season
  • Latest win: Bills OVER as the MNF Total of the Year
  • 11-5 NFL record
  • Coming off another successful 2-1 night

For bettors looking to tail a proven expert, Joe Duffy’s Thursday card includes multiple plays across sports, providing opportunities for profit on several fronts.

Conclusion

While the public leans heavily toward the Cowboys and the Over, contrarian bettors should consider the Giants and the Under as potential value plays. With sharp analysis from Joe Duffy and a consistent winning track record, OffshoreInsiders.com remains a top source for sports picks. Whether you’re fading the public or following expert guidance, there’s plenty to consider for Thursday Night Football and beyond.

For complete betting advice, head to OffshoreInsiders.com and check out Joe Duffy’s latest picks.