NFL WEEK 13 THANKSGIVING DAY GAME GIANTS AT COWBOYS SCORE PREDICTION

Sat, Nov 23, 2024
by SetTheNarrative.cappertek.com

NFL Week 13: Thanksgiving Day Game

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. EST | AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Defensive and Offensive Profiles

New York Giants:

  • Defense: A volatile unit, capable of limiting teams to 9 points but prone to giving up as many as 45 points against strong offenses.
  • Offense: Similarly inconsistent, with a high mark of 32 points and a low of just 11 points versus similar opponents.

Dallas Cowboys:

  • Defense: One of the league’s most reliable units, allowing as few as 7 points and no more than 24 points against comparable teams.
  • Offense: Explosive at its best, capable of scoring 53 points, though it can dip to 15 points when stymied by strong defenses, bad coaching and Cooper Rush.

Predicted Score Based on Metrics

Using these values, the baseline prediction is:
New York Giants 18.5 - 30.5 Dallas Cowboys.

This prediction reflects average performance from both teams but doesn’t yet account for specific game dynamics, injuries, scoring trends, or situational play.

Adjustments for Scoring Trends and Las Vegas Line

After considering each team’s recent form, scoring trends, injuries and the Las Vegas line, the prediction shifts:
New York Giants 18 - 20 Dallas Cowboys.

Las Vegas lists Dallas as 2.5-point favorites, with the over-under set at 39 points.

Key Matchups and Game Dynamics

  • Quarterback Comparison:
    The Giants’ offense has no one to rely on. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are without Dak Prescott, who is nursing a hamstring injury. In his absence, Cooper Rush and Trey Lance have shared quarterback duties. Both teams are operating with less-than-ideal play under center, which could lead to a more defensive, run-focused game.

  • Offensive Strategy:
    The Cowboys will likely lean on their starting running back to control the clock, aiming for 22 carries or more. The Giants may attempt a similar strategy, utilizing Devin Singletary to open up their passing game.

  • Coaching and Execution:
    Dallas’ coaching staff, particularly on the defensive side, has a clear edge. The Giants have struggled with in-game adjustments and situational play, which could hurt them in a close contest.

Betting Insight

The 2.5-point spread reflects a close matchup, while the over-under of 39 points suggests a lower-scoring affair. The adjusted prediction aligns well with these lines, favoring Dallas but keeping it tight. Bettors might consider taking the under if they expect both teams to remain conservative on offense.

Final Analysis

While Dallas boasts the superior roster and coaching staff, the absence of Dak Prescott limits their offensive potential. The Giants, though inconsistent, have shown flashes of competitiveness, particularly when Devin Singletary is heavily involved. Expect a close game with Dallas edging out a narrow victory at home.

Final Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 20, New York Giants 18


JP