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NFL WEEK 14 JAGUARS AT TITANS SCORE PREDICTION
Sat, Nov 30, 2024
by
SetTheNarrative.cappertek.com
NFL Week 14: Sunday 1 PM Game Preview
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Defensive Metrics
The Jacksonville Jaguars’ defense has shown extreme variability this season, allowing as few as 3 points but also struggling at times by conceding up to 33 points against similar opponents. The Tennessee Titans’ defense, on the other hand, demonstrates a tighter range, allowing a high of 32 points and a low of 12 points, indicating a more consistent but not necessarily dominant performance.
Offensive Metrics
The Jaguars’ offense has been a bright spot, capable of scoring as many as 38 points against comparable defenses. Even in tougher matchups, they’ve managed to put up at least 23 points, showcasing their adaptability. Meanwhile, the Titans’ offense has struggled to break through, peaking at 22 points and dipping as low as 8 points, making them reliant on a strong defensive showing to stay competitive.
Score Prediction
Using these metrics, the average expected score prediction is Jacksonville Jaguars 26 - 16.5 Tennessee Titans.
Betting Lines and Scoring Trends
Surprisingly, Las Vegas lists the Titans as 2.5-point favorites despite their offensive struggles. The over-under is set at 43.5, suggesting a moderately low-scoring affair. With the Jaguars’ offensive firepower, they could easily surpass expectations, especially if the Titans fail to establish their running game.
Key Matchups and Game Flow
- Jaguars Offense vs. Titans Defense: Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars’ offense will aim to exploit the Titans’ defensive weaknesses. With their ability to score in bunches, an early lead could force the Titans into an uncomfortable passing-heavy game plan.
- Titans Offense vs. Jaguars Defense: The Titans will likely lean heavily on their running game to control the clock and limit the Jaguars’ offensive opportunities. However, their limited scoring potential puts them at a disadvantage in a shootout scenario.
Final Thoughts
This AFC South showdown highlights the contrasting trajectories of these two teams. The Jaguars have a decent offense and a defense capable of big stops, while the Titans’ limited offensive output makes them more reliant on defensive heroics.
Prediction After Adjustments
After accounting for team scoring trends, recent performances, and the Las Vegas line, the adjusted score remains the same.
Players to Watch
- Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence (QB), Travis Etienne (RB)
- Titans: Tony Pollard (RB)
If the Jaguars can execute on offense, they should cruise to a divisional win. The Titans need a near-perfect game to pull off the upset.
JP