THE COLTS DON'T NEED A HERO UNDER CENTER JUST A SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE QB

Mon, Mar 24, 2025
by SetTheNarrative.cappertek.com

Why the Colts Are One Smart QB Move Away from Winning the AFC South — And the Numbers Prove It
By Jorge M. Perez Jr.

They don’t need a hero under center — just someone who won’t tank the game. With a defense that overperforms and an offense that’s closer than you think, the Colts are one steady quarterback away from flipping the AFC South on its head.

The Colts aren’t chasing headlines this offseason, and that’s not by accident — it’s by design.

In 2024, Indianapolis finished 8–9. On paper, a middle-of-the-pack team. But look under the hood, and something else appears:

  • The defense held opponents under expected points in 8 games.

  • The offense outperformed expected points in 8 games.

  • They lost two games to the Texans by a combined 5 points.

  • They came within 4 points of sweeping the Jaguars.

That’s three divisional games that could’ve easily swung the Colts’ way with just a little more quarterback stability.

So no, they don’t need Aaron Rodgers or Russell Wilson. They don’t need a big name. What they need is consistency — a quarterback who can bring a 3 or 4 in value every week. That alone would flip close losses into wins, tighten the division race, and maybe even put the Colts in the driver’s seat.

Here’s the wild part: they don’t even need an average QB.

  • A quarterback 1 point below league average would still provide over 100% more value than what Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones brought last year.

  • That’s not a hot take — that’s just math.

And if the Colts somehow get their hands on Michael Pratt? That might just lift the Andrew Luck curse once and for all. There are quarterbacks in this class — and sitting quietly on benches around the league — who won’t cost a first-round pick but could offer exactly what the Colts need.

Players like T.J. Finley could bring in a consistent 3-point value — which, when plugged into this current roster, could swing 2–3 more wins and secure the AFC South.

In Indy, the plan isn’t flash. It’s function. And if they get this one decision right — just a little tweak at QB — they won’t be rebuilding anymore.

They’ll be hosting playoff games.