Baylor vs. Texas State odds, line: 2022 college football picks, Week 3 predictions from proven computer model
Fri, Sep 16, 2022
NCAAF News (AP)
The No. 17 Baylor Bears will be trying to get back on track when they host the Texas State Bobcats on Saturday afternoon. Baylor opened the season with a 59-10 win over Albany, but it came up short in double overtime against BYU last weekend. Texas State has split its first two games, losing to Nevada and beating Florida International.'
Kickoff is set for noon ET. The Bears are favored by 30.5 points in the latest Baylor vs. Texas State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 53. Before entering any Texas State vs. Baylor picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 3 of the 2022 college football season on a 50-41 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Baylor vs. Texas State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Texas State vs. Baylor:
- Baylor vs. Texas State spread: Baylor -30.5
- Baylor vs. Texas State over/under: 53 points
- Baylor vs. Texas State picks: See picks here
Baylor will be motivated to put last week's crushing lost in the past on Saturday afternoon, as the Bears fell to BYU in double overtime. They have gone 8-0 in their eight all-time meetings with Texas State, making the Bobcats the perfect opponent to bounce back against. Baylor shot itself in the foot by committing 14 penalties for 117 yards against BYU, including two false starts in the second overtime period.'
The Bears simply need to play a clean game in order to blow out Texas State this week. Quarterback Blake Shapen leads an offense that put up 69 points against Albany in Week 1, and he is facing a defense that allowed 38 points to Nevada two weeks ago. Baylor is on an eight-game home winning streak and has covered the spread in 11 of its last 15 games overall.'
Texas State will be looking to take advantage of what could be a sluggish start from Baylor following its double-overtime loss last weekend. The Bobcats got back on track in Week 2, taking a 20-6 lead into halftime before cruising to a 41-12 win over Florida International as 14-point favorites. Quarterback Layne Hatcher threw three touchdown passes, while running back Calvin Hill exploded for a career-high 195 rushing yards on 28 carries.'
The defense also played well against the Panthers, recording three sacks, 10 tackles for a loss and intercepting two passes. Texas State only picked off three passes during the entire 2021 season, so the Bobcats have already shown improvement on that side of the ball. They have covered the spread in four of their last six games, and their strong rushing attack will allow them to control the tempo of Saturday's game.'
The model has simulated Texas State vs. Baylor 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Baylor vs. Texas State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations?'Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Texas State vs. Baylor spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
