Bryant vs. Wright State prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 First Four picks, best bets from proven model

Wed, Mar 16, 2022
NCAAB News (AP)

UD Arena in Dayton hosts a pair of 2022 NCAA Tournament matchups as part of the First Four on Wednesday. The opener of the evening pits the Bryant Bulldogs against the Wright State Raidersin a No. 16 seed play-game. Bryant won the Northeast Conference title, and the Bulldogs are 16-1 in the last 17 games on the way to a 22-9 record. Wright State triumphed in the Horizon League, and the Raiders are 21-13 overall this season. The winner moves on to face top-seededArizona in the South Region

Tipoff is at 6:40 p.m. ET in Dayton. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Raiders as 3.5-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 154.5 in the latest Bryant vs. Wright State odds. Before making any Wright State vs. Bryant picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from Spotrac's proven model.

The Spotrac Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bryant vs. Wright State in the NCAA Tournament 2022. You can head to Spotrac to see its picks. Here are several college basketball oddsand trends for Wright State vs. Bryant:

Bryant vs. Wright State spread: Wright State -3.5
Bryant vs. Wright State over-under: 154.5 points
Bryant vs. Wright State money line: Wright State -170, Bryant +145
BRY: The Bulldogs are 12-4 against the spread in the last 16 games
WS: The Raiders are 9-4 against the spread in the last 13 games

Bryant boasts an encouraging statistical profile on both sides of the floor. The Bulldogs led the Northeast Conference in adjusted offensive efficiency this season, and Bryant also led the conference in free-throw creation rate. Bryant took advantage of those extra attempts by making 75.1 percent of shots at the charity stripe, and the Bulldogs also shot 54 percent on 2-point attempts in conference play. Bryant is in the top 50 in the country in offensive rebound rate at 33.0 percent, and the Bulldogs are facing a Wright State defense that is below-average nationally in defensive rebound rate, 2-point defense, block rate and steal rate.

Bryant's defense led the Northeast in 3-point shooting allowed at 29.9 percent, and opponents shot only 47 percent on 2-point attempts. The Bulldogs are in the top 50 in free-throw rate allowed, and Bryant has an above-average block rate of 9.6 percent. Wright State also faces issues in protecting the ball, ranking outside the top 300 in the country in live-ball turnover rate on offense.

Wright State is solidly above the national average in adjusted offensive efficiency, including the best mark in the Horizon League on that end of the floor. Part of that is elite free-throw shooting, with the Raiders making 76.6 percent of attempts, and Wright State is also tremendous on 2-point shots. The Raiders shot 55 percent inside the arc during conference play, and Wright State is also stout in securing 31.1 percent of rebounds on the offensive glass.

With that possession advantage in hand, Wright State can also benefit from Bryant's defense ranking near the bottom of the country in turnover creation rate (16.4 percent) and defensive rebound rate (68.5 percent). The Raiders are also strong in key defensive areas, including a top-15 national mark in assist rate allowed. Wright State is very good at preventing free-throw attempts, and the Raiders secured more than 71 percent of available defensive rebounds during Horizon League play.

The model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 153 points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at Spotrac.

So who wins Bryant vs. Wright State? And which side of the spread has all the value?Visit Spotrac right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.