Marlins vs. Pirates odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, July 14 best bets from proven model
Thu, Jul 14, 2022
MLB News (AP)
The Miami Marlins host the Pittsburgh Pirates for an afternoon matchup on Thursday. The contest is the finale of a four-game series in Miami. LoanDepot Park showcases the matchup, and the Marlins will aim to even the series. Pittsburgh won the first two games of the series, and the Pirates bring a 38-51 record, compared to 42-45 for the Marlins.
First pitch is at 12:10 p.m. ET in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as a -165 favorite (risk $165 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7.5 in the latest Pirates vs. Marlins odds. Before making any Marlins vs. Pirates picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 275-236 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Marlins vs. Pirates, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Pirates vs. Marlins:
- Pirates vs. Marlins money line: Marlins -165, Pirates +140
- Pirates vs. Marlins over-under: 7.5 runs
- Pirates vs. Marlins run line: Marlins -1.5 (+130)
- PITT: The Pirates are 23-24 in day games
- MIA: The Marlins are 17-18 in day games
- Pirates vs. Marlins picks: See picks at SportsLine
Pittsburgh is above average in a couple of power categories. The Pirates are in the top five of the National League with 15 triples, and Pittsburgh is also above the median with 97 home runs this season. On the pitching side, Zach Thompson brings confidence to Pittsburgh, and the 28-year-old right-hander has a 2.74 ERA in 11 outings since the start of May.'
He is limiting opponents to a .299 on-base percentage over that sample, and Thompson has a 3.76 career ERA since arriving in the majors. Thompson is also facing a vulnerable Miami offense. The Marlins are in the bottom three of the NL in runs scored, doubles, walks and on-base percentage, with bottom-five marks in hits, slugging percentage and OPS.
Miami should benefit from Pittsburgh's porous offense. Though the Pirates have played better in recent days, Pittsburgh is last in the National League in runs scored, hits, doubles, batting average and on-base percentage this season. Pittsburgh also ranks in the bottom tier of the NL in walks, slugging percentage, and strikeout avoidance, making things easier for Miami's pitching staff.
The Marlins bullpen is averaging more than a strikeout per inning this season, and Miami starter Braxton Garrett is on the upswing. The 24-year-old southpaw has a 2.77 ERA in July, and for the full season, he is holding opposing left-handers to a .617 OPS and only 2.0 walks per nine innings in 2022.'
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.2 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Marlins vs. Pirates? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.
