NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 3, 2022: Model backing Bengals, Seahawks

Tue, Sep 20, 2022
NFL News (AP)

Three teams won't get their first taste of home cooking until the Week 3 NFL schedule as the Patriots, Buccaneers and Colts will make their 2022 home debuts on Sunday. Tom Brady and Tampa will host Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in what could be an NFC Championship Game preview or could be the last-ever meeting between the two legendary quarterbacks. The Bucs are 3-point favorites in the latest Week 3 NFL odds according to Caesars Sportsbook. Should you back Brady to cover one of the slimmest NFL spreads of the week, or should you look elsewhere with your NFL bets? All of the Week 3 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks now.'

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of AP Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

One of the model's strongest Week 3 NFL picks is that the Bengals (-4.5) go on the road and cover against the Jets. Cincinnati (0-2) has lost both its games in heartbreaking fashion, as both defeats came on game-ending field goals. Meanwhile, the Jets bounced back from a blowout Week 1 loss to have a miraculous comeback versus Cleveland in Week 2.

Cincinnati's biggest problem has been pass protection, as quarterback'Joe Burrow has been sacked a league-high 13 times this season. But the Jets have just three total sacks, which ranks among the bottom 10 in the league, so better protection for Burrow will allow him to operate the Bengals' offense. Even in New York's Week 2 win over Cleveland, the team gave up over 400 yards to a one-dimensional offense. Cincinnati has much better balance as Burrow is expected to top 300 passing yards, while the running game is projected to post over 100 yards on the ground. The model has the Bengals (-4.5) covering in nearly 60 percent of simulations.

Another one of the model's Week 3 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (-2) cover the spread at home versus the Falcons. Seattle failed to cover in its Week 2 loss to San Francisco which ended Geno Smith's miraculous streak against the spread. Smith had covered in nine straight starts, the second-longest streak by any quarterback since 2000. Even with the defeat, Smith is 9-1 ATS over his last 10 starts and has covered in four of his five career starts for the Seahawks.

The SportsLine model projects Seattle (-2) to win by more than a field goal, and thus, cover well over 50 percent of the time. The model also has 44 combined points being scored and says to back the Over (42).'See which other teams to pick here.

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 3 NFL schedule, and it's calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard.'You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Get full NFL picks at SportsLine

Thursday, Sept. 22

Steelers at Browns (-3.5, 40.5)

Cleveland Browns -5 Bet Now

Sunday, Sept. 25

Chiefs at Colts (+6.5, 47)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline Spread Total IND +235 BET NOW +7 -110 BET NOW o49.5 -110 BET NOW KC -292 BET NOW -7 -110 BET NOW u49.5 -110 BET NOW

Ravens at Patriots (+3, 43.5)

New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Moneyline Spread Total NE +140 BET NOW +3 -110 BET NOW o43 -110 BET NOW BAL -165 BET NOW -3 -110 BET NOW u43 -110 BET NOW

Saints at Panthers (+3, 41)

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints Moneyline Spread Total CAR +135 BET NOW +3 -110 BET NOW o41 -110 BET NOW NO -160 BET NOW -3 -110 BET NOW u41 -110 BET NOW

Texans at Bears (-2.5, 39)

Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans Moneyline Spread Total CHI -145 BET NOW -2.5 -115 BET NOW o40.5 -110 BET NOW HOU +122 BET NOW +2.5 -105 BET NOW u40.5 -110 BET NOW

Bills at Dolphins (+4.5, 51)

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Moneyline Spread Total MIA +170 BET NOW +4 -110 BET NOW o51 -110 BET NOW BUF -205 BET NOW -4 -110 BET NOW u51 -110 BET NOW

Lions at Vikings (-7, 53.5)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Moneyline Spread Total MIN -305 BET NOW -6.5 -110 BET NOW o52.5 -110 BET NOW DET +240 BET NOW +6.5 -110 BET NOW u52.5 -110 BET NOW

Bengals at Jets (+4.5, 43)

New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline Spread Total NYJ +180 BET NOW +4.5 -110 BET NOW o45 -110 BET NOW CIN -220 BET NOW -4.5 -110 BET NOW u45 -110 BET NOW

Raiders at Titans (+1, 45.5)

Tennessee Titans vs. Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline Spread Total TEN -105 BET NOW +1 -110 BET NOW o45.5 -110 BET NOW LV -115 BET NOW -1 -110 BET NOW u45.5 -110 BET NOW

Eagles at Commanders (+4, 50.5)

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline Spread Total WAS +162 BET NOW +4 -110 BET NOW o50 -110 BET NOW PHI -195 BET NOW -4 -110 BET NOW u50 -110 BET NOW

Jaguars at Chargers (-7, 48)

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline Spread Total LAC -335 BET NOW -7 -110 BET NOW o48 -105 BET NOW JAC +260 BET NOW +7 -110 BET NOW u48 -115 BET NOW

Packers at Buccaneers (-3, 44)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Moneyline Spread Total TB -135 BET NOW -2.5 -110 BET NOW o41 -110 BET NOW GB +115 BET NOW +2.5 -110 BET NOW u41 -110 BET NOW

Rams at Cardinals (+4, 50.5)

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Moneyline Spread Total ARI +170 BET NOW +4 -110 BET NOW o50.5 -110 BET NOW LAR -205 BET NOW -4 -110 BET NOW u50.5 -110 BET NOW

Falcons at Seahawks (-2, 42)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Moneyline Spread Total SEA -125 BET NOW -2 -110 BET NOW o42 -110 BET NOW ATL +105 BET NOW +2 -110 BET NOW u42 -110 BET NOW

49ers at Broncos (PK, 43)

Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers Moneyline Spread Total DEN +100 BET NOW +1.5 -110 BET NOW o45.5 -110 BET NOW SF -120 BET NOW -1.5 -110 BET NOW u45.5 -110 BET NOW

Monday, Sept. 26

Cowboys at Giants (-3, 39.5)

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Moneyline Spread Total NYG -145 BET NOW -2.5 -110 BET NOW o39.5 -110 BET NOW DAL +122 BET NOW +2.5 -110 BET NOW u39.5 -110 BET NOW