3 Value Bets for the Remainder of the Premier League Season

Mon, Mar 4, 2024
by CapperTek

We are in what they term the business end of the 2023/24 Premier League season. The race for the title is hotting up, and we are being treated to a three-way tussle between Liverpool, Man City, and Arsenal for the title. It’s difficult to choose between those three teams, and it looks like it will go down to the wire. Sportsbooks acknowledge that fact in the odds, although Man City are considered the consensus favorites.

That said, the title race isn’t the only futures market that is worth looking at as we move towards the end of the season. Most football betting sportsbooks offer a range of outright markets, some of which arguably offer better value than the title race. Below, we have picked out three of them with some value betting selections. They are far from guaranteed, but the odds, we feel, are generous enough to warrant a second look:

Bukayo Saka to win PFA Player of the Year

In most seasons, the PFA Player of the Year award tends to be clear-cut. Last season, for example, it was so likely to be Erling Haaland that the betting markets weren’t interesting at all. This season, it’s much more open. Rodri is the betting favorite, but he is no certainty. Others like Mo Salah and Phil Foden are also of interest. However, the value bet is clearly Bukayo Saka. The Arsenal winger has been on fire in 2024, and he is the Gunners’ most potent weapon in their title charge. He sits just a few goals behind Haaland in the top scorer charts despite not being a conventional striker. The PFA PotY winner is announced around late April, and it is Saka who is showing the most form. The odds of +800 look very tempting.

Nottingham Forest to be Relegated

With about a dozen games left, most pundits believe Sheffield United, Burnley, and Luton will be the three teams to go down. A fact now given more weight due to Everton’s reduced points deduction announced recently. The odds for the former two clubs, in particular, reflect that. However, we wouldn’t be surprised to see Nottingham Forest pulled into the mix. The club is just four points away from the relegation zone, and they have some tough fixtures on the horizon. Notably, they play all the clubs below them (the aforementioned trio plus Everton) away from home. You can get odds of around +200 for Forest to go down. Not certain, but it’s better value than the current occupants of the bottom three spots. 

Newcastle to Finish in the Top 6 

The consensus at the moment is that the current Top 6 – Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal, Aston Villa, Tottenham & Manchester United – will probably be the Top 6 in the table at the end of the season. At the moment, there is a seven-point cushion between Man United in sixth and Newcastle in ninth. However, Newcastle have arguably the easiest fixture list of any team in the Premier League. They have already played the current Top 4 home and away, and 10 of their 12 remaining games come against teams below them. Add to that United’s propensity toward capitulation and a much tougher schedule, and the odds of +325 for Newcastle look interesting. The two teams meet on April 20th in a crunch tie that may go a long way to settling that bet.