NFL WEEK 11 TEAM HANDICAPS. WHICH TEAMS ARE MADE TO ADJUST TO BALANCE THE GAME?
Wed, Nov 15, 2023
by
SetTheNarrative.cappertek.com
NFL WEEK 11 MANDATORY ADJUSTMENTS AND HANDICAPS.
BENGALS 22 - 19 RAVENS
THE RAVENS HAVE TO ADJUST THEIR OFFENSE AND DEFENSE TO BALANCE-OUT THE GAME.
AFTER THOSE OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE ADJUSTMENTS, CINCINNATI BECOMES THE FAVORITE BY 6 POINTS.
LAS VEGAS PICKED THE RAVENS AS THE FAVORITE BY 3.5 POINTS AND SET THE O/U AT 46.
THE EARLIER MATCHUP BETWEEN THESE TWO TEAMS LED TO A RAVENS VICTORY BY 3 POINTS WITH
A FINAL SCORE OF RAVENS 27 - 24 BENGALS.
CARDINALS 19 - 22.5 TEXANS
BOTH THESE TEAM'S OFFENSE IS STRONGER THAN THE DEFENSE THEY WILL BE FACING.
BOTH TEAMS HAVE TO ADJUST THEIR RUNNING GAME. DO NOT PLAY EITHER TEAMS STARTING OR BACK UP RB
ON YOUR FANTASY TEAM.
THIS YEAR'S DATA RAISES THE TOTAL PREDICTED SCORE TO CARDINALS 23 - 32 TEXANS, A TOTAL OF 55.
LAS VEGAS PICKED THE TEXANS AS THE 5 POINT FAVORITE AND SET THE O/U AT 48.5.
BEARS 23 - 29 LIONS
THE DETROIT LIONS HAVE TO HANDICAP THEMSELVES ON DEFENSE AND OFFENSE TO BALANCE THIS GAME.
WHEN THE BEARS PLAY IN A SITUATION LIKE THIS, QUARTERBACK FIELDS EXCELS AND GOES ABOVE EXPECTATIONS.
THIS YEAR'S DATA DOES NOT PAINT A PRETTY PICTURE FOR THE BEARS WITH A BIGGER PREDICTED LOSS, BEARS 10 - 25 LIONS.
LAST YEAR THE SCORES BETWEEN THESE TWO TEAMS WAS BEARS 31 - 30 LIONS AND BEARS 10 - 38 LIONS.
LAS VEGAS PICKED THE LIONS AS AN 8 POINTS FAVORITE AND SET THE O/U AT 48 POINTS.
AFTER HAVING TO HANDICAP THEMSELVES, THE LIONS DO NOT HOLD AN ADVANTAGE
AND THE POINT SPREAD BECOMES ZERO.
COWBOYS 25 - 16 PANTHERS
BOTH TEAMS WOULD BE REQUIRED TO ADJUST EITHER THEIR DEFENSE OR OFFENSE BUT IN THIS
CASE THEY CAN CHOOSE TO LEAVE THEM AS IS.
IF THESE TEAMS DO NOT ADJUST, THE PANTHERS STAND TO LOSE BY A GREATER MARGIN. RESULTING IN A
BLOWOUT SCORE OF COWBOYS 35 - 9 PANTHERS.
LAS VEGAS HAS SET THE SPREAD AT DALLAS -10.5 AND THE O/U AT 42.5
RAIDERS 19 - 26 DOLPHINS
MIAMI HAS TO ADJUST EITHER THEIR DEFENSE OR OFFENSE. THE DOLPHINS USUALLY FLEX THEIR DEFENSE
AND DARE TEAMS TO OUTSCORE THEM.
THE RAIDERS SCORING 19 POINTS IS WISHFUL THINKING AT THIS POINT AFTER ALL THE CHANGES.
THE SCORE PREDICTION SUGGESTS THE RAIDERS ARE SUCCESSFUL AT PREVENTING
A TRUE BLOWOUT FROM BEING PERPETRATED AGAINST THEM.
LAS VEGAS SET THE SPREAD AT MIAMI -13.5 AND THE O/U AT 46.5.
VEGAS HAS NOT BEEN WRONG WHEN SETTING THESE LARGE SPREADS.
THE RAIDERS WILL STRUGGLE TO SCORE 19 POINTS WITHOUT ANY SHENANIGANS FROM THE REFS.
CHARGERS 18 - 24 PACKERS
THE PACKERS HAVE TO ADJUST THEIR OFFENSE AND WHEN THEY DO THAT JORDAN LOVE IS NOT ABLE TO ADAPT.
THIS SCORE PREDICTION IS WRONG. LET'S TAKE THIS OPPORTUNITY TO CORRECT IT.
JORDAN LOVE HAS FAILED TO OVERCOME OBSTACLES WHEN THE PACKERS ARE FORCED TO HANDICAP THEIR OFFENSE.
THE DEFENSES ARE EVEN AND AFTER GREEN BAY IF FORCED TO HANDICAP ITSELF THE CHARGERS ARE A 6 POINT FAVORITE
NOT INCLUDING THE ADVANTAGE THE CHARGERS HAVE AT QB WHEN COMPARED TO LOVE.
LAS VEGAS HAS SET THE CHARGERS AS A 3 POINT FAVORITE WITH AN O/U OF 44.
FLIP THIS PREDICTION TO CHARGERS 24 - 18 PACKERS.
GIANTS 24.5 - 21 COMMANDERS
THIS PREDICTION IS ALSO WRONG IF TYROD TAYLOR IS NOT THE QB FOR THE GIANTS.
ANY OTHER PLAYER STARTING AT QB FOR THE GIANTS AND THEY LOSE BIG,
AND WASHINGTON EASILY COVERS THE 9 POINT SPREAD.
THE OVER UNDER IS SET AT 37 POINTS.
SAM HOWELL IS PERFORMING WELL ABOVE EXPECTATIONS AND SHOULD BE ABLE TO COVER IF TYROD TAYLOR SITS.
AFTER MANDATORY ADJUSTMENTS THE GIANTS HAVE A 3 POINT ADVANTAGE NOT INCLUDING QUARTERBACKS.
NEW PREDICTION GIANTS 13 - 23 COMMANDERS.
STEELERS 16 - 15 BROWNS
THE STEELERS HAVE TO ADJUST THEIR DEFENSE.
KENNY PICKETT HAS ALL WEAPONS AVAILABLE TO HIM ON OFFENSE.
THE BROWNS HAVE ALL THEIR WEAPONS AVAILABLE ON OFFENSE EXCEPT FOR RUNNING BACK CHUBB AND QB WATSON.
LAS VEGAS PICKED THE BROWNS AS A 1 POINT FAVORITE AND SET THE O/U AT 33.
MY PREDICTION TOTAL STILL COMES UNDER THAT.
AFTER THE REQUIRED ADJUSTMENTS THE BROWNS DO HAVE A 3 POINT ADVANTAGE BUT THAT DOES NOT INCLUDE
THE QUARTERBACKS. WHICH QB IS BETTER?
TITANS 19 - 21 JAGUARS
THE JAGUARS HAVE TO ADJUST THEIR OFFENSE AND DEFENSE MORE THAN THEY DID AGAINST THE 49ERS.
EVEN AFTER HANDICAPPING THEMSELVES THE JAGUARS STILL HAVE A 9 POINT ADVANTAGE
NOT INCLUDING QUARTERBACKS.
LAS VEGAS HAS SET THE JAGUARS AS A 7 POINT FAVORITE WITH AN OVER UNDER OF 40 POINTS.
MY SCORE PREDICTION SHOWS BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR THE TITANS AND WILL LEVIS.
BUCCANEERS 20 - 24 SAN FRANCISCO
BY THE LOOK OF WHERE VEGAS PUT THE SPREAD IT APPEARS THE 49ERS ARE NOT REQUIRED TO
HANDICAP THEMSELVES.
TAMPA BAY ALSO HAS ALL WEAPONS AVAILABLE AND BAKER MAYFIELD IS SLATED TO PLAY.
TAMPA BAY CAN REACH 25 POINTS. IT IS A REALISTIC PROBABILITY.
LAS VEGAS PUT THE SPREAD AT SAN FRANCISCO -12 AND THE O/U AT 41.5.
JETS 20 - 25.5 BILLS
THE JETS HAVE TO DRASTICALLY ADJUST THEIR OFFENSE AND DEFENSE.
THE BILLS WILL HAVE ALL THEIR WEAPONS AVAILABLE ON OFFENSE AND DEFENSE.
AFTER HANDICAPPING THEMSELVES THE JETS ARE STILL A 6 POINT FAVORITE.
IT'S ZACH WILSON, THE JETS QUARTERBACK THAT WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE THAT HAPPEN.
LAS VEGAS SET THE BILLS AS A 7 POINT FAVORITE WITH AN OVER UNDER OF 39.5.
I'M NO MATH GENIUS BUT THE JETS HAVING A 6 POINT ADVANTAGE. SUBTRACT JOSH ALLEN'S 5 POINT
ADVANTAGE FROM THAT AND THE JETS STILL HAVE A 1 POINT ADVANTAGE.
AT THE VERY LEAST THE BILLS WILL STRUGGLE JUST ENOUGH TO PISS EVERYONE OFF.
SEAHAWKS 19.5 - 18 RAMS
THE SEAHAWKS HAVE TO ADJUST BOTH THEIR OFFENSE AND DEFENSE. AFTER DOING SO, THE SEAHAWKS STILL HAVE
A 1 POINT ADVANTAGE OVER THE RAMS NOT INCLUDING QUARTERBACKS.
IF WENTZ PLAYS QB FOR THE RAMS THE SEAHAWKS WILL HAVE A 3.5 POINT ADVANTAGE IN FOR THAT POSITION.
LAS VEGAS SET THE SEAHAWKS AS THE 1 POINT FAVORITE WITH AN OVER UNDER COMING IN AT 46 POINTS.
THE SEAHAWKS HAVE A 1 POINT ADVANTAGE WITHOUT ADDING IN GENO'S 3.5 POINT ADVANTAGE OVER WENTZ.
IF STAFFORD ENTERS THE GAME BY HALF-TIME, THE RAMS WIN BY 7 POINTS.
VIKINGS 34 - 15 BRONCOS
THIS SCORE PREDICTION COULD BE FALSE.
THIS GAME CAN HAVE HANDICAPS PLACED ON BOTH TEAMS, THE VIKINGS WOULD HAVE
TO ADJUST IT'S DEFENSE AND THE BRONCOS WOULD HAVE TO ADJUST IT'S OFFENSE.
BUT THEY CAN ALSO ELECT TO PLAY AS IS WITH NO ADJUSTMENTS. IF THAT HAPPENS THEN THE
PREDICTED SCORE OF VIKINGS 34 - 15 BRONCOS IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OUTCOME.
WHAT'S THE CATCH? THE SCORE CAN FLIP. RUSSELL WILSON IS GOOD. DON'T UNDERESTIMATE HIM.
THE SCORE COULD FLIP IN THIS GAME AND VEGAS THINKS SO ALSO.
LAS VEGAS HAS SELECTED THE BRONCOS AS THE 2.5 POINT FAVORITE AND SET THE O/U AT 42.5.
EAGLES 21.5 - 20 CHIEFS
I THINK THIS SCORE PREDICTION IS RIGHT BUT ALSO WRONG.
THE CHIEFS WILL HAVE TO ADJUST THEIR DEFENSE AND THE EAGLES HAVE TO ADJUST THEIR OFFENSE.
AFTER THE HANDICAPS ARE IN PLACE THE CHIEFS ARE A 4 POINT FAVORITE NOT INCLUDING THE QUARTERBACKS.
AFTER ADDING IN THE ADVANTAGE THE CHIEFS HAVE AT QB, THE TOTAL POINT ADVANTAGE THE CHIEFS HAVE IS 9.5.
LAS VEGAS HAS DESIGNATED THE CHIEFS AS A 3 POINT FAVORITE AND SET THE O/U AT 45.5.
THIS SCORE PREDICTION IS TIGHT. BUT I THINK THE CHIEFS WIN THIS GAME KC 23 - 21 EAGLES.
THEY DON'T COVER AND THE UNDER HITS.
JP
