NFL WEEK 13 SUNDAY GAME STEELERS AT BENGALS SCORE PREDICTION

Sat, Nov 23, 2024
by SetTheNarrative.cappertek.com

NFL Week 13: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

Defensive and Offensive Profiles

Pittsburgh Steelers:

  • Defense: A versatile unit capable of shutting teams down, allowing as little as 4 points, but prone to giving up as many as 23 points against more dynamic offenses.
  • Offense: The Steelers’ scoring fluctuates significantly, with a high of 33 points when firing on all cylinders but capable of being held to 12 points in challenging matchups.

Cincinnati Bengals:

  • Defense: Consistently solid but not elite, allowing between 23 and 32 points against similarly matched offenses.
  • Offense: A unit that can score as high as 26 points when clicking but vulnerable to being held as low as 3 points against dominant defenses.

Predicted Score Based on Metrics

Initial prediction based on averages:
Pittsburgh Steelers 25 - 27 Cincinnati Bengals.

Adjustments for Scoring Trends and Las Vegas Line

Considering team performance trends and recent momentum, the prediction remains unchanged:
Pittsburgh Steelers 25 - 27 Cincinnati Bengals.

Las Vegas lists the Bengals as 1-point favorites, with the over-under set at 46.5 points.

Key Matchups and Game Dynamics

  • Quarterback Comparison:
    Russell Wilson, leading the Steelers, brings experience and poise but has shown inconsistency this season. The Bengals counter with Joe Burrow, whose combination of accuracy and leadership gives Cincinnati a leader that can produce in crunch time.  Value wise, Russell can be counted on to contribute 10.5 points while Burrow brings 8 points to the yard.

  • Defensive Standoff:
    The Steelers’ defense has shown the ability to disrupt opposing offenses, particularly in the red zone, while the Bengals’ defense thrives on containing high-powered passing games. Both units will need to step up in what is expected to be a tightly contested game.

  • Offensive Game Plans:
    The Steelers will likely rely on a balanced attack, leaning on their ground game and Wilson’s ability to extend plays. The Bengals, on the other hand, will look to Burrow to exploit Pittsburgh’s secondary while mixing in short passes to offset the Steelers’ pass rush.

Betting Insight

With the Bengals as slight 1-point favorites, this matchup is expected to be close. The over-under of 46.5 points suggests a moderate-scoring game, with both teams capable of surpassing their average offensive output. A moneyline bet on either team could present value, depending on your confidence in Burrow’s ability to outperform Wilson.

Final Analysis

This AFC North clash will likely come down to execution in the fourth quarter. Both teams possess the talent to take control, but Burrow’s edge in efficiency and the Bengals’ ability to limit big plays could make the difference in this contest.

Final Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 25


JP