Week 12 NFL Predictions vs. Reality: Measuring Team Performances Against Expectations

Sun, Nov 24, 2024
by SetTheNarrative.cappertek.com

Analyzing the Week 12 NFL games by comparing the model's predicted scores to the actual outcomes provides insight into team performances relative to expectations. Here's a breakdown of each game:

1. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

Predicted Score: Steelers 18 - 17 Browns
Final Score: Steelers 19 - 24 Browns

Analysis:

Steelers Offense: Slightly above average, scoring 1 point more than predicted.
Steelers Defense: Below average, allowing 7 points more than expected.
Browns Offense: Above average, exceeding the prediction by 7 points.
Browns Defense: Performed as expected, conceding 1 point more than predicted.

2. Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears

Predicted Score: Vikings 24 - 29 Bears
Final Score: Vikings 30 - 27 Bears

Analysis:

Vikings Offense: Above average, scoring 6 points more than predicted.
Vikings Defense: Above average, allowing 2 points fewer than expected.
Bears Offense: Below average, scoring 2 points fewer than predicted.
Bears Defense: Below average, conceding 6 points more than expected.

3. Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts

Predicted Score: Lions 28 - 23 Colts
Final Score: Lions 24 - 6 Colts

Analysis:

Lions Offense: Below average, scoring 4 points fewer than predicted.
Lions Defense: Above average, allowing 17 points fewer than expected.
Colts Offense: Significantly below average, scoring 17 points fewer than predicted.
Colts Defense: Above average, conceding 4 points fewer than expected.

4. New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins

Predicted Score: Patriots 25 - 27 Dolphins
Final Score: Patriots 15 - 34 Dolphins

Analysis:

Patriots Offense: Below average, scoring 10 points fewer than predicted.
Patriots Defense: Below average, allowing 7 points more than expected.
Dolphins Offense: Above average, exceeding the prediction by 7 points.
Dolphins Defense: Above average, conceding 10 points fewer than expected.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants

Predicted Score: Buccaneers 30 - 19.5 Giants
Final Score: Buccaneers 30 - 7 Giants

Analysis:

Buccaneers Offense: Performed as expected, matching the predicted score.
Buccaneers Defense: Above average, allowing 12.5 points fewer than expected.
Giants Offense: Below average, scoring 12.5 points fewer than predicted.
Giants Defense: Performed as expected, conceding the predicted points.

6. Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders

Predicted Score: Cowboys 24 - 18.5 Commanders
Final Score: Cowboys 34 - 26 Commanders

Analysis:

Cowboys Offense: Above average, scoring 10 points more than predicted.
Cowboys Defense: Below average, allowing 7.5 points more than expected.
Commanders Offense: Above average, exceeding the prediction by 7.5 points.
Commanders Defense: Below average, conceding 10 points more than expected.

7. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers

Predicted Score: Chiefs 23.5 - 21 Panthers
Final Score: Chiefs 30 - 27 Panthers

Analysis:

Chiefs Offense: Above average, scoring 6.5 points more than predicted.
Chiefs Defense: Below average, allowing 6 points more than expected.
Panthers Offense: Above average, exceeding the prediction by 6 points.
Panthers Defense: Below average, conceding 6.5 points more than expected.

8. Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

Predicted Score: Titans 23 - 20.5 Texans
Final Score: Titans 32 - 27 Texans

Analysis:

Titans Offense: Above average, scoring 9 points more than predicted.
Titans Defense: Below average, allowing 6.5 points more than expected.
Texans Offense: Above average, exceeding the prediction by 6.5 points.
Texans Defense: Below average, conceding 9 points more than expected.

9. Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Predicted Score: Broncos 25 - 23 Raiders
Final Score: Broncos 29 - 19 Raiders

Analysis:

Broncos Offense: Above average, scoring 4 points more than predicted.
Broncos Defense: Above average, allowing 4 points fewer than expected.
Raiders Offense: Below average, scoring 4 points fewer than predicted.
Raiders Defense: Below average, conceding 4 points more than expected.

10. San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers

Predicted Score: 49ers 23 - 19 Packers
Final Score: 49ers 10 - 38 Packers

Analysis:

49ers Offense: Significantly below average, scoring 13 points fewer than predicted.
49ers Defense: Significantly below average, allowing 19 points more than expected.
Packers Offense: Above average, exceeding the prediction by 19 points.
Packers Defense: Above average, conceding 13 points fewer than expected.

Note: The 49ers' performance was impacted by the absence of starting quarterback Brock Purdy, leading to a reliance on a backup