BLOG
SPORTSADVISING.COM
NHL Puck Luck
Posted: Friday, February 26, 2016 by SportsAdvising.com   |   View Picks   |   Read Reviews

A big hello to all my fellow Puckheads! Today I will discuss some basic theories of ways to be successful at sports betting in general, and in the NHL in particular.

There are certain threads which hold true for handicapping all sports, which include statistical analysis, situational variations, and proper money management. If winning was simply a matter of determining which team was better, based solely on stats, we’d all be rich! A good example of this flawed belief can be observed in horse racing, where guys spend countless hours studying the racing form for speed ratings, past performances, breeding, trainer & jockey ratings, track biases, dirt v turf ratings, etc., as they try to pick a one winner from a large field of horses. More often than not, the conclusion of all this research will usually lead to the favorite in the race, and favorites only win about 1/3 of all horse races and an even lower percentage of turf races! So let’s think of sports betting as a two horse race, and all we have to do is pick one horse!

There are 4 ways to bet any game, favorite-underdog-over-under. Of those 4 ways my preferred choice is “over” the total because the other 3 ways can always be in doubt until the end of the game, but once a game goes “over” it can never go back “under”. Second choice would be the underdog because there are two ways to win. Either you can cover the spread, or win outright. The worst bet, which is usually the public’s choice, is the favorite, where you not only have to win, but also cover a point spread, leaving you only 1 way to win. The NHL is primarily, like baseball, a money line league, where the “spread” is built into the price. Like baseball’s “run line” hockey can also be bet on the “puck line” where you can take or lay 1 1/2 goals. Taking 1 1/2 goals in a hockey game can be a huge advantage, but the cost is usually prohibitive, in the -250 to -300 range. In the past, I’ve loved taking 1 1/2 goals because of the number of one goal games, but the recent trend of pulling the goalie with a substantial amount of time left in the game, or even more frightening, pulling him when a team is down more than one goal, has made taking 1 1/2 goals much less attractive when you’re laying that kind of price, and even less attractive when you’re betting under 5 1/2 goals in a 3-2 situation at the end of a game.

So let’s talk about situational variables, X-factors, if you will. Let’s start with back-to-back games, which are common in the NHL. NFL players make me laugh when they talk about how it takes them a week to recover physically from an NFL game, where an average play lasts about 7 seconds, followed by another 30 seconds until the next snap is made. Having played hockey I can tell you that, as evidenced by the fact that line changes are mandatory after approximately 1 minute of maximum effort, hockey is the most physically demanding sport there is, even more so than boxing, where 3 minute rounds are the norm. Asking a player to play a 60- minute game and take a physical beating, then get on a plane and fly to another city and play the next night takes it’s toll. The NHL has more parity than any other league. If you don’t play well, you can lose to any of the teams which are perceived by the public to be “bad” teams. Unlike the NBA, which is a “star” driven league, the games of which can be dominated by two or three outstanding players, it’s simply impossible for any one player to dominate an NHL game due to many factors. In back-to-back situations, teams will often use their backup goalie to give their starter a break and allow him to recuperate from the previous night. NHL goalie is truly the most physically demanding position in all of sports and these guys need a break to keep them fresh during the season so they can handle the bulk of the work at playoff time. One of my favorite betting situations is to bet on backup goalies whenever I get a chance for a couple of reasons. No. 1, they are underrated and perceived by the line maker and the public to be weaker than the starter. No 2, they are always fresh and eager to show how good they really are, and to me, the dropoff in talent is minimal, there are backups like Al Montoya of Florida, Scott Darling of the Blackhawks, Keith Kincaid of New Jersey, and Carter Hutton of Nashvillle who are all outstanding. Believe me, if you’re an NHL goalie, you’re a great player. So be wary of teams going back-to back, and don’t be afraid to bet on a team’s backup goalie! Betting the NHL is always exciting and can be profitable if you do your usual research on day-to-day situations such as injuries, travel and reasons for motivation. Puck Luck is always a factor, so don’t get discouraged if you lose a game because of a goal that went in off a defender’s skate or somebody’s helmet! That kind of stuff happens all the time but it should all even out in the end! Good luck to all of you Puckheads, the playoffs are coming soon, the most exciting time of the year for all NHL fans!

 

Football
Basketball
Baseball
Hockey
Soccer
Mixed Martial Arts
NFL Picks NBA Picks MLB Picks NHL Picks Soccer Picks MMA Picks
NFL Odds NBA Odds MLB Odds NHL Odds Soccer Odds MMA Odds
NFL Lines NBA Lines MLB Lines NHL Lines Soccer Lines MMA Lines
NFL Spreads NBA Spreads MLB Spreads NHL Spreads Soccer Spreads MMA Spreads
NFL Betting Advice NBA Betting Advice MLB Betting Advice NHL Betting Advice Soccer Betting Lines MMA Betting Lines
NFL Betting Trends NBA Betting Trends MLB Betting Trends NHL Betting Trends Soccer Betting Advice MMA Betting Advice
NFL Betting Consensus NBA Betting Consensus MLB Betting Consensus NHL Betting Consensus Soccer Betting Trends MMA Betting Trends
NFL Las Vegas Odds NBA Las Vegas Odds MLB Las Vegas Odds NHL Las Vegas Odds Soccer Las Vegas Odds MMA Las Vegas Odds
NFL Game Simulator NBA Game Simulator MLB Game Simulator NHL Game Simulator Soccer Las Vegas Lines MMA Las Vegas Lines
NFL Scores NBA Scores MLB Scores NHL Scores Soccer Handicappers MMA Fight Analysis
College Football Picks College Basketball Picks Baseball Betting Picks Hockey Betting Picks Soccer Tipsters MMA Fight Tips
College Football Odds College Basketball Odds Baseball Odds Hockey Odds Soccer Results MMA Predictions
College Football Lines College Basketball Lines Baseball Lines Hockey Lines Soccer Tips UFC Fight Picks
College Football Spreads College Basketball Spreads Baseball Spreads Hockey Spreads Soccer Predictions UFC Fight Odds
College Football Betting Lines College Basketball Betting Lines Baseball Betting Lines Hockey Betting Lines Soccer Stats UFC Predictions
College Football Betting Advice College Basketball Betting Advice Baseball Betting Advice Hockey Betting Advice Soccer Analysis UFC Matchups
College Football Betting Trends College Basketball Betting Trends Baseball Betting Trends Hockey Betting Trends Soccer Matchups UFC Betting Tips
College Football Betting Consensus College Basketball Betting Consensus Baseball Betting Consensus Hockey Betting Consensus Soccer Fixtures UFC Betting Advice
College Football Game Simulator College Basketball Game Simulator Baseball Game Simulator Hockey Game Simulator Soccer Betting Picks UFC Fight Analysis
College Football Scores College Basketball Scores Baseball Scores Hockey Scores Soccer Scores UFC Betting Trends
Server Status: All Systems Operational | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Server Time: EST (6/6/2020) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Your IP Address: 18.232.38.214 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Home   :   Directory   :   Leaderboard   :   Access Picks   :   My Account   :   About Us Copyright © 2013 - 2020 CapperTek, All Rights Reserved.
Affiliate Program   :   Technology   :   Marketing   :   News / Blogs   :   Handicapper Blogs   :   FAQ Betting Trends   :   Game Simulator   :   Game Capsensus
Free Widgets / Betting Tools   :   YSLD   :   XML Site Map   :   HTML Site Map   :   100% SSL Secure Website Contact Us   :   Terms of Service   :   Privacy Policy
CapperTek Blogs / Links CapperTek Facebook CapperTek Twitter CapperTek Google+ CapperTek Blog CapperTek Tumblr CapperTek YouTube CapperTek Google Search Results CapperTek Bing Search Results CapperTek Yahoo! Search Results CapperTek Ask Search Results CapperTek Alexa Rank CapperTek is 100% SSL Secure!
CapperTek - Sports Handicapping Service Directory - Buy, Sell, and Track Documented and Transparent Sports Picks
PLEASE NOTE: CapperTek is not a gambling or sports betting website and does not accept or place wagers of any type. CapperTek does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling or sports betting of any type. Also note sports betting inherently involves financial risk. CapperTek assumes no responsibly for the loss of capital incurred due to the use of information contained on this website. Past results do not guarantee or imply future performance. Please bet on sports legally within your jurisdiction and responsibly within your financial means. While we do everything we can to ensure the accuracy of the information, stats, odds, and other data presented, we cannot be held liable for any typos, omissions, or other technical mistakes.

We fully support the work and help services carried out by the National Council on Problem Gambling.

UNITED STATES CITIZENS PLEASE NOTE: The content and information contained on this website or any of the sports handicapping service websites listed on this website are strictly for news and entertainment purposes only. Any use of this content or information in violation of federal, state, or local laws is strictly prohibited. Activities offered by advertising links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions. Viewers are specifically warned that they should inquire into the legality of participating in any games and/or activities offered by such other websites. The owner of this website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no representation or endorsement of any of these games and/or activities offered by the advertiser. As a condition of viewing this website viewers agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from the viewer's participation in any of the games and/or activities offered by the advertiser.

Every sports handicapping service website listed on this website is an individually owned and operated private entity. CapperTek does not have any direct affiliation with any of the sports handicapping service websites listed on this website. CapperTek is also not responsible for the content or accessibility of any of the sports handicapping service websites listed on this website. Links to other service websites do not imply any promotion or endorsement of any of the content or information found on those websites. If you choose to follow links to other websites you do so entirely at your own risk. Any third party photographs, images, videos, audio, logos, slogans, trademarks, service marks, domain names, and intellectual property represented on this website are property of their respective owners.