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Braves vs. Cubs odds, prediction, betting line: 2022 MLB picks, Saturday, June 18 best bets from proven model

Sat, Jun 18, 2022
MLB News (AP)

Braves vs. Cubs odds, prediction, betting line: 2022 MLB picks, Saturday, June 18 best bets from proven model

The Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs face off on Saturday afternoon. The contest is the middle matchup of a three-game weekend set at Wrigley Field. Chicago won the opener on Friday to stop a 10-game losing streak. Atlanta is 14-1 in the month of June and aiming to bounce back from its first loss in more than two weeks.

First pitch is at 2:20 p.m. ET in Chicago. Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as a -170 favorite (risk $170 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7.5 in the latest Braves vs. Cubs odds. Before making any Cubs vs. Braves picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It's on a 55-42 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 10 weeks, returning over $600 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Braves vs. Cubs and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model's MLB picks. Here are several MLB odds and trends for Cubs vs. Braves:

  • Braves vs. Cubs moneyline: Atlanta -170, Chicago +150
  • Braves vs. Cubs run-line: Atlanta -1.5 (+100)'
  • Braves vs. Cubs over-under: 7.5 runs'
  • Braves vs. Cubs tickets: See tickets at StubHub'
  • ATL: The Braves are 17-14 in road games
  • CHC: The Cubs are 12-24 in home games
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves Moneyline Spread Total CHC +150 BET NOW +1.5 -120 BET NOW o7.5 +100 BET NOW ATL -170 BET NOW -1.5 +100 BET NOW u7.5 -120 BET NOW

Why you should back the Braves

Even with a loss on Friday, the Braves are scalding hot in the month of June. On top of the team's 14-1 record, Atlanta leads the National League with a .544 slugging percentage and a .892 OPS. The Braves have 35 home runs this month, leading the league, and Atlanta also leads the NL with 97 home runs for the season. Atlanta has a league-leading 124 doubles to boost a league-leading .439 slugging percentage, and the Braves also have top-notch run prevention. Atlanta starter Kyle Wright has a 2.57 ERA this season and a 1.96 ERA on the road.'

Opponents have an ugly slugging percentage of just .276 against Wright in 2022, and he averages 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Wright has also been even better lately with a 2.13 ERA in his last six starts, and he keeps the ball on the ground with a 50.8 percent ground ball rate. Atlanta's bullpen is also elite, leading the National League in ERA (2.93), strikeout rate (10.30 per nine innings), and wins above replacement.

Why you should back the Cubs

The Cubs have tremendous team speed and effectiveness on the basepaths. Chicago ranks near the top of the National League in stolen bases and triples this season, and that puts pressure on opposing run prevention units. The Cubs are also sending out a quality starting pitcher in Justin Steele for Saturday's game. Steele, a 26-year-old left-hander, owns a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts.'

Steele is also good at Wrigley Field, posting a 3.26 ERA with opponents generating only a .585 OPS against him this season. Steele has allowed more than three earned runs only twice in 12 starts in 2022, and the Braves can be susceptible to strikeout pitchers. In fact, Atlanta is near the top of the NL in strikeouts, and the Braves entered the weekend below the league average in total walks and on-base percentage.

How to make Braves vs. Cubs picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.9 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Braves vs. Cubs? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.'

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