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Since 1989 Cajun Sports has been the preferred destination for serious sports investors looking for comprehensive statistics and systems tailored for wagering against the point spread combined with effective betting strategies that consistently defeat the Vegas Line. Cajun Sports Best Bets are supported by logical reasoning, solid analysis and exclusive information. Cajun Sports Handicapper is a Certified SDQL Master which gives Cajun Sports clients a huge advantage when investing in the global sports market. Cajun Sports is the 2009 Vegas Wise Guys Contest Champion. The Vegas Wise Guys contest is an invitation ONLY contest for 50 of the nation's top professional sports handicappers. Success is where preparation meets opportunity. 

 

 

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PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 22, 2017  (TODAY) [refresh]
1/22/2017

3:05 PM EST
NFL
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS

PICK: ATLANTA FALCONS -5.0 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The NFC Championship Game goes Sunday afternoon in the ATL with kickoff set for 3:05 PM Eastern Time. This will be the Falcons first NFC Championship Game since 2012 they lost back then to the San Francisco 49ers. Green Bay has made a more recent start in the NFC Title game traveling to Seattle back in 2014 eventually losing to the Seahawks in that contest. These two clubs have been the hottest teams in the league over the last several weeks in fact it has been remarkable to watch if you like wide open games with a ton of scoring. The one key difference in the two offenses that will make a difference in this round Rodgers does not have the weapons Matt Ryan has at his disposal. Green Bay’s battered secondary and defensive unit will have their hands full with Julio Jones, Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman all backed by a solid offensive line. Ryan also has big play ability in receivers Mohamed Sanu and Taylor Gabriel. Julio Jones is among the top three receivers in the NFL not just the NFC. Jones missed two games with a toe injury and he came up thirty-nine yards short of leading the league in receiving yards. Atlanta averaged 36.5 points per game over their last seven games and this was achieved against some decent defensive squads including the Panthers, Chiefs, Rams, Cardinals and Seahawks. Atlanta scored thirty or more points in twelve of seventeen games reaching the forty point or more mark in five games. The knock on Ryan had been his awful playoff record of 1-4 going into this season with a career postseason quarterback rating of 85.2 which is eight points lower than his career regular-season mark – and a 9-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio compared to his regular-season figure of 240 touchdown passes to 114 interceptions. In the Falcons Divisional Round game against the Seahawks last week Ryan completed twenty-six of thirty-seven passes for 338 yards with three touchdowns and not a single interception in their 36 to 20 trouncing of a very good Seattle defense. In fact the Seattle defense was the best of all the NFC Playoff teams. The Falcons win over Seattle came on Saturday which gave them an extra day to recover while the Packers were taking on the Cowboys that Sunday. The Falcons will face a Packers defense that is not on the same level with the Seahawks defense. Green Bay surrendered thirty-two touchdown passes this season which was third most in the entire league. The Packers defense also gave up season-high passing yards to Sam Bradford and Matt Barkley down the stretch. In the victory over Dallas last week the Packers defense allowed thirty-one points while giving up 429 yards of total offense. Atlanta’s defense has stepped up their game many didn’t give them a chance against the Seahawks overland and aerial attacks but the Dirty Birds played quite well. They have the best pass rusher in football in Vic Beasley Jr. who led the NFL in sacks with 15.5. These two clubs met back in Week 8 of the regular season with Atlanta winning a close one 33 to 32 at the Georgia Dome. Ryan engineered the drive which won the game for the Falcons when he hit Sanu for a last-minute touchdown. The Packers were outgained, 367 to 331. The Packers’ record under Mike McCarthy in games decided by four or fewer points is 19-24-1. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 12.7 points. The MM projects a point differential of 7.78 points against the current line range of -5.0 to -7.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Atlanta Falcons with a 73.98 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. A check of our database reveals a trio of systems that are active for today’s game. Play AGAINST NFL teams who picked up twenty-five first downs in a playoff game their last time out. These teams are 22-36 against the spread in this situation. In Games 13 on, play AGAINST a Sunday road team (not a favorite of more than 2 points or underdog of 8+ points) off a SU win as an underdog of five or more points in its last game versus an opponent not off a division home favorite SU loss in its last game. These NFL Sunday road teams have struggled in this situation posting a record against the spread of only 6-24 ATS. We want to play ON NFL Conference Home Favorites of at least four points with both teams coming off SU and ATS victories in their last game and the home favorite has an average MM differential 6.75 and a SIM average of at least 72.89 percent. These home favorites are a blistering 18-1-2 against the spread in this situation. We are going to lay the chalk on Sunday with the Atlanta Falcons as they punch their ticket to 51. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Atlanta Falcons 39 Green Bay Packers 27
PICK MADE TODAY AT 12:54 PM EST
- - - - -
[report pick]
1/22/2017

6:00 PM EST
NBA
PHOENIX SUNS VS. TORONTO RAPTORS

PICK: PHOENIX SUNS +12.5 (-110)

RISK: 3.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Phoenix Suns are north of the border on Sunday night to take on the home town Toronto Raptors. The Raptors when playing at home coming off a ten plus point loss in which they had less than forty percent of the total rebounds they are winless against the spread losing all eleven occurrences since the 2004 season. They are 0-11 ATS failing to cover the spread in these contests by 5.95 points per game. We want to play ON NBA conference road dogs of 12 to 14 points coming off back-to-back road games because these road underdogs are 83-58-1 ATS. Phoenix coming off a road SU and ATS win on the road now taking on Toronto north of the border they are a perfect 6-0-1 ATS. Take the points
PICK MADE TODAY AT 5:02 PM EST
PICK GRADED TODAY AT 9:19 PM EST
+3.18
[report pick]
1/22/2017

8:30 PM EST
NCAAB
ARIZONA STATE VS. USC

PICK: ARIZONA STATE +8.5 (-105)

RISK: 3.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Arizona State Sun Devils are in the City of Angels to take on the home town USC Trojans Sunday night a game which will be carried on ESPNU. We want to play ON CBB division road teams with a spread range of 7 to 9.5 and coming off a SU and ATS loss while going Over the total in their last game. These division road teams are 61-36-8 ATS. Take the points
PICK MADE TODAY AT 5:02 PM EST
PICK GRADED TODAY AT 11:41 PM EST
+3.33
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, JANUARY 21, 2017  (YESTERDAY) [refresh]
1/21/2017

2:30 PM EST
NCAAB
MARQUETTE VS. CREIGHTON

PICK: CREIGHTON -6 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Bluejays play host to the Golden Eagles on Saturday afternoon at the CenturyLink Center in Omaha Nebraska. The Golden Eagles are in search of a big win to add to their resume in hopes the tourney selection committee notices them and extends that all important invitation to the Dance. The Bluejays took a major hit to their offense when they lost point guard Marcus Watson to a knee injury. This kid led the nation in assists per game with an average of 8.5 per game. The Jays will adjust to the loss of Watson and make the necessary changes to their lineup which should help offset that loss. This is a team sport and the Jays believe they can continue their excellent play without Watson in the lineup even though it will be difficult. We made the required adjustments to our ratings database. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 12.92 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.27 points with a line range of -5.0 to -7.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Creighton Bluejays with a 74.16 percent advantage against the spread in today’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Creighton with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.43 with a transitional average of 42.71 and a conversion rate range of 48.8 to 50.37 percent in today’s contest. Marquette comes into this contest allowing 79.6 points per game on the road with a field goal percentage of 50.9 percent. This comes against teams that average scoring just 73.7 points per game and shoot 45 percent from the field. The Jays average 85.4 points per game at home this season on 52.8 percent from the field and this versus teams that average allowing just 73.8 points per game. On the defensive end of the floor the Jays allow 68.5 points per game at home on 43 percent shooting from the field and this versus teams that average 74.7 points per game. Creighton coming off an ATS win on the road versus a team with a win percentage of .667 or better and now installed as a favorite the Bluejays are 15-2 ATS in this situation. If the Bluejays are installed as a conference favorite in this situation their record improves to 11-0 ATS. We will lay the chalk with the Bluejays on Saturday afternoon. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Creighton Bluejays 87 Marquette Golden Eagles 74
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 12:43 PM EST
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 5:00 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/21/2017

6:00 PM EST
NCAAB
WESTERN KENTUCKY VS. MARSHALL

PICK: MARSHALL -8.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Thundering Herd return home after suffering back-to-back double-digit road losses which broke a four-game winning streak and a six-game ATS streak. The last time the Herd lost back-to-back games they were on the road installed as four-point favorites and crushed Florida International 94 to 70 which sent them on the winning streak that was just broken. This high-powered Marshall offense will look to get back on track with a monster performance at home versus the Hilltoppers. Not only is this a good spot for the Herd to return to the SU winning side of the ledger but also on the ATS side. The Hilltoppers enter this contest with a 5-12 ATS mark this season while the Herd have been solid all season with a record of 11-5 ATS overall including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 17.53 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 9.04 points with a line range of -8.5 to -10.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Marshall Thundering Herd with a 74.52 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Marshall with an offensive-defensive differential of +10.4 with a transitional average of 42.5 and a conversion rate range of 46.75 to 48.81 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play AGAINST CBB division road underdogs coming off a SU/ATS loss while going Over on the road in their last game. These teams have a record of 78-109-5 ATS since the beginning of the database. With solid support for the Thundering Herd we will back them tonight as they roll past an overmatched Western Kentucky Hilltoppers team. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Marshall Thundering Herd 92 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 76
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 12:44 PM EST
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 8:17 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
1/21/2017

6:00 PM EST
NBA
WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS. DETROIT PISTONS

PICK: WASHINGTON WIZARDS (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Washington Wizards make the trip to the Motor City for a Friday night clash against the hometown Detroit Pistons. The Wizards have been amazing at home winners of their last thirteen and they defeated this Pistons team by fourteen on that floor back in mid-December. In that game Washington guards John Wall and Bradley Beal shot the lights out of the boys from the motor city that night combining for fifty-four points on eighteen of thirty from the field. There are certain players and teams who play well against other teams and players and vice versa. The Pistons even though head coach Van Gundy preaches defense will struggle against the guard tandem of the Wizards again tonight. Washington has the Pistons number of late winning and covering the spread in four of their last five meetings. The Wizards have won and covered the spread in their last four games. Washington responds after giving up one-hundred or more points in their last game by posting a record of 17-5 ats their last twenty-two in this situation. The Pistons are 2-7 ats their last nine coming off a SU win in their last game. Detroit has struggled as home chalk posting a record of 1-6 ats in that role. The Pistons struggle getting motivated for teams that have a losing road record when they host them posting a record of 0-6 ats the last six. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 5.78 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 7.43 points with a line range of +1.0 to +3.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Washington Wizards with a 73.62 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Washington with an offensive-defensive differential of +6.73 with a transitional average of 40.2 and a conversion rate range of 46.01 to 48.3 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play ON NBA underdogs in the current price range coming off four straight ATS victories. These teams are a money-making 52-33 against the spread in this situation. We will take the point or points with the Washington Wizards on Saturday night as they continue their dominance over the Pistons. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Washington Wizards 107 Detroit Piston 99
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 4:09 PM EST
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 9:17 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/21/2017

7:00 PM EST
NBA
BROOKLYN NETS VS. CHARLOTTE HORNETS

PICK: OVER 221.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: This NBA matchup gets the call as our Total Play of the Day for Saturday. The Nets are coming off a 143 point performance in the Big Easy last night and this is the second game of a mini two-game road trip for the Nets so we do not expect fatigue to be a factor tonight. In fact these two clubs have posted a combined record of 10-4 Over when playing the second game of a back-to-back. Brooklyn has played to the high side at a rate of 14-6 Over when on the highway. The Nets are 25-15 Over when installed as an underdog and 5-1 Over as a road underdog in the current price range. The Nets are 11-5 Over after facing a non-conference opponent. Charlotte checks in with a high side performance of their own when facing teams with a losing record going 12-6 Over the last eighteen in this situation. The Hornets are also 7-3 Over when they play in the current total range of this game. The Hornets going Under as a favorite in their last two games has produced a game with a high side finish the record is 16-4-1 Over the last twenty-one in this situation. If the Hornets won SU in those two games the total record is 9-2-1 Over. With the Hornets going Under as a favorite in their last two games and now facing a conference foe the total record is 15-4-1 Over the last twenty in this situation. We want to play OVER on conference teams in the current price range when they are coming off a pair of SU victories at home while both games went Under the posted total. These games go Over at a rate of 16-6 Over the last twenty-two qualifying contests. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 228.8 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +8.05 points against a total range of 220.5 to 222.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 73.6 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.54 with a transitional average of 42.7 and a conversion rate range of 44.0 to 46.9 percent in tonights contest. With strong support for the high side in this contest we will play the Over in Charlotte on Saturday night. 5* Over
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 4:09 PM EST
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 10:21 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/21/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
PORTLAND U VS. GONZAGA

PICK: GONZAGA -28 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Gonzaga Bulldogs play host to the Pilots of Portland at the McCarthey Athletic Center in Spokane Washington on Saturday night. This game will be featured on ESPN3 for those of you that have access to that channel tip off set for 8:00 PM Eastern Time. This is a huge number we seldom give out plays with such large odds but this situation is a play ON situation for the Bulldogs. The Dogs are the lone undefeated team in the country but that is not why we have a play on them tonight. This Gonzaga team has been a money-maker since they suffered only their second ATS loss of the season when facing Iowa State early in the campaign. Since that second ATS loss they have been nothing short of remarkable covering whatever number the oddsmakers tried to hang on them to offset the beating they have been taking at the window. Gonzaga is 10-0 SU at home this season and a perfect 7-0 against the number. Portland’s season began with a glimmer of hope, winning three games out of the gate and knocking off non-conference opponent Oregon State from the Pac-12. They opened league play with a 2-0 run before losing four consecutive games, to Santa Clara, Saint Mary’s Loyola-Marymount, and most recently, San Francisco. Three of those four losses have come by at least twenty-five points including their last game which was played on Thursday night and they lost to South Florida by twenty-five points. Zaga went a perfect 12-0 in non-conference play, with wins over Florida, Iowa State, Arizona, Washington, and Tennessee. In conference play they are a perfect 6-0. They have yet to be challenged with all of their wins coming by double-digits. Their toughest test in conference play to date was Saint Mary’s who visited Spokane last week and were drilled, 79 to 56. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 35.6 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 9.77 points with a line range of -27.0 to -29.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Gonzaga Bulldogs with a 74.9 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Gonzaga with an offensive-defensive differential of +18.91 with a transitional average of 47.78 and a conversion rate range of 48.58 to 50.31 percent in tonight’s contest. We will lay the double-digits with the Bulldogs as they punish this group of Pilots from Portland on Saturday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Gonzaga Bulldogs 94 Portland Pilots 56
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 12:45 PM EST
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 10:41 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, JANUARY 20, 2017 [refresh]
1/20/2017

7:00 PM EST
NBA
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS. ORLANDO MAGIC

PICK: MILWAUKEE BUCKS -4 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Milwaukee Bucks travel to central Florida for a matchup against the Orlando Magic on Friday night. The Bucks enter tonight’s contest having lost five of their last seven games but they are 2-1 ATS when installed as road favorites. The Magic have a similar record but theirs is actually worse they have bee losers in seven of their last eight games overall. The Magic installed as home underdogs has not been a money maker for their backers they have been losers in seven of eight in that role. Orlando is also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games facing teams with a losing road record. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 11.73 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.67 points with a line range of -3.5 to -5.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Milwaukee Bucks with a 73.92 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Milwaukee with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.65 with a transitional average of 41.03 and a conversion rate range of 45.38 to 47.42 percent in tonight’s contest. The Bucks coming in off at least three straight losses are 126-90-4 ATS in their next game. If they are installed as a favorite in the current game and coming off at least three straight losses they are 50-30-2 ATS. Orlando on the other hand facing conference opponents coming in off at least three straight losses they are 58-82-1 ATS. Finally we want to play ON NBA conference road favorites coming off a SU/ATS loss while going Under on the road as an underdog. These road favorites are 30-16-1 ATS in this situation. Lay the short number with the Bucks knowing they have won four of their last five meetings including a 2-0 record this season against the Magic. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Milwaukee Bucks 112 Orlando Magic 101
PICK MADE ON 1/20/2017 AT 6:00 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/20/2017 AT 9:58 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/20/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
SACRAMENTO KINGS VS. MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

PICK: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -8.5 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Sacramento Kings completed a seven-game home stand posting a record of 1-6 SU losing their last game on Wednesday night to the Pacers 106 to 100. Of course the loss hurt but the larger issue from that contest the Kings lose Rudy Gay for the season due to an injury he suffered in the loss. This game against the Grizzlies is the first of an eight-game road trip for the Kings. With the Kings coming off an ATS loss at home and going Under in that game now installed as a conference Underdog they are just 25-47 against the spread in this situation. If they are installed as road underdog their record drops to 14-28 ATS in this situation. Sacramento has last four of their last five visits to Memphis. Memphis has won five of the last six games versus the Kings anywhere. With Memphis taking on Sacramento as a favorite and coming off a SU/ATS loss on the road in their last game they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in this situation. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 15.8 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.91 points with a line range of -8.0 to -10.0. The BSIM Matrix has the Memphis Grizzlies with a 74.45 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Memphis with an offensive-defensive differential of +9.14 with a transitional average of 41.48 and a conversion rate range of 42.8 to 45.59 percent in tonight’s contest. We will lay the chalk in Memphis on Friday night as the Grizzlies continue their recent dominance over the Kings. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Memphis Grizzlies 110 Sacramento Kings 96
PICK MADE ON 1/20/2017 AT 6:00 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/20/2017 AT 10:57 PM EST
+4.76
[report pick]
1/20/2017

10:30 PM EST
NBA
INDIANA PACERS VS. LOS ANGELES LAKERS

PICK: UNDER 220.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The second featured game on ESPN’s Friday Night NBA double-header has the Indiana Pacers in the City of Angels to take on the Lakers with the tip set for 10:35PM Eastern Time. The Pacers are coming off their second straight victory defeating the Kings in Sacramento 106 to 100 Wednesday night. The Lakers continue to struggle losers of five in a row after losing at Staples Tuesday night to Denver 127 to 121. Our play in this one is not on the side even though we like the Lakers plus the points our play is on the Under. Indiana coming off a SU win and going Under in their last game they are 94-124-1 Under in their next outing. The Pacers coming off a pair of SU wins and going Under now installed as a favorite the Pacers have gone 39-66 Under. The Lakers playing a non-conference opponent in the current price range has posted a record of 39-66 Under. If they are installed as an underdog in this situation they Under has posted a record of 14-39 Under. With the Lakers installed as a non-conference Underdog in the current price range and coming off back-to-back games at home the Under has been the play posting a record of 1-11 Under the last twelve qualifying contests. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 193.6 points. The BMM projects a total point differential of -7.98 points against a total range of 199.0 to 201.5 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Under with a 74.34 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Under with an offensive-defensive differential of 7.52 with a transitional average of 39.18 and a conversion rate range of 44.4 to 46.87 percent in tonight’s contest. With significant support for the low side we will play the Under in the City of Angels on Friday night. 5* Under
PICK MADE ON 1/20/2017 AT 6:01 PM EST
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 1:18 AM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, JANUARY 19, 2017 [refresh]
1/19/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
MARYLAND TERRAPINS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES

PICK: IOWA HAWKEYES -2 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Maryland Terrapins have finally reached the AP’s Top 25 with the Terrapins holding down the final spot. That ranking could be short-lived as they travel to Iowa City to tangle with the Jekyll and Hyde Hawkeyes Thursday night. The Terrapins find themselves in a rare situation playing the role of underdog and they have been perfect in that role the last six qualifying contests winning all six against the spread. The Iowa Hawkeyes come into this contest off a blowout loss at Northwestern losing 89 to 54 as six and half point road underdogs. Now that game was on the heels of the Hawkeyes avenging an earlier season loss to the Boilermakers. Iowa lost at Purdue as a +14.5-point road underdog 89 to 67 on December 28. In that game the Boilermakers shot better than fifty percent from the field. Last Thursday Iowa played host to Purdue installed as a six-point home underdog and pulled off the upset winning 83 to 78. As we mentioned above the Hawkeyes lost in Evanston following that big win over Purdue. The Hawkeyes results overall can only be described as Jekyll and Hyde. These two clubs have met once in each of the last two seasons with the home team holding serve with Maryland winning last season 74 to 68 as 5.5-point home favorites. The Terrapins have had a couple miscues along the way as well dropping home contests to a pair of average teams in Pittsburgh and Nebraska. We have an un-ranked home team installed as a favorite over a Top 25 ranked opponent. Add to that they are conference opponents and the Hawkeyes will not be dancing this season so these games become huge for them down the stretch. Not only has the home team held serve lately in this series the favorite has won the last four meetings. The Hawkeyes coming off an ATS loss and now face a conference opponent in the current price range they are 17-3 ATS the last twenty contests. If they are at home the record improves to 12-2 ATS and if they are installed as a favorite their record is perfect at 6-0 ATS. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 7.82 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 7.97 points against the current line range of -1.5 to -3.5 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Iowa Hawkeyes with a 74.4 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. We want to play ON CBB un-ranked conference home favorites of seven or fewer points taking on a Top 25 foe with a BTPR advantage of at least six points because these conference home favorites are 44-16-4 ATS including a perfect 11-0 ATS the last eleven qualifying contests. We look for history to repeat itself on Thursday night as the home team and the favorite holds serve in this matchup. Lay the short price with the Hawkeyes PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Iowa Hawkeyes 79 Maryland Terrapins 72
PICK MADE ON 1/19/2017 AT 4:19 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/20/2017 AT 5:59 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18, 2017 [refresh]
1/18/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS. HOUSTON ROCKETS

PICK: MILWAUKEE BUCKS +6.5 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Houston Rockets return home off their mini two-game road swing that saw them travel a ton of miles beginning with a blowout victory over the Brooklyn Nets before traveling to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat last night. In that game with the Heat they were installed as 7.5-point road favorites and lost straight up 109 to 103. For the Rockets this will be their third game in four nights plus a lot of miles traveled we also note the Rockets are 1-4 against the number their last five at home. The Bucks come in rested but off a pair of losses in their last two games for bettors that’s not a problem because the Bucks coming off a pair of SU and ATS losses now installed as a non-conference underdog have posted a record of 27-14 ATS. More good news for Bucks backers the Western Conference has been a money maker for the Bucks the last seven meetings with teams from the conference the Bucks are 6-1 ATS. The fact the Bucks have been installed as an underdog in this contest is another plus for us because the dog is 7-2 against the number the last nine meetings between the two clubs. When the Rockets are facing Milwaukee as a favorite and the Rockets are coming off a SU/ATS loss while going Under in their last game have posted a record of 0-5 ATS versus the Bucks in this situation. We not only have support from the technical and historical sides of this matchup we also have strong fundamental numbers that support the Underdog in this contest. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 0.23 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -8.08 points with a line range of +7.0 to +9.0. The BSIM Matrix has the Milwaukee Bucks with a 73.78 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Milwaukee with an offensive-defensive differential of +4.74 with a transitional average of 40.2 and a conversion rate range of 45.9 to 47.5 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play ON NBA non-conference road teams coming off a SU/ATS loss at home as the favorite in their last game because these road teams are 135-94-6 ATS. The combination of these factors makes this an easy call on taking the points in this contest on Wednesday night in Houston. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Milwaukee Bucks 104 Houston Rockets 105
PICK MADE ON 1/18/2017 AT 5:55 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/18/2017 AT 10:41 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/18/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
SO ILLINOIS VS. DRAKE

PICK: UNDER 150.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Tonight a pair of Missouri Valley Conference foes faces off in Iowa’s capital with the tip set for 8PM Eastern Time Wednesday night. The Salukis are 11-8 on the season with a conference record of 4-2 while the Bulldogs have really found the going tough with a record of 5-13 on the season but they are a .500 conference team to this point of the season. The Salukis are coming off a victory over Evansville on Saturday winning 73 to 61. Southern Illinois has used a solid defense this season and it was evident in their game on Saturday holding the Purple Aces to forty percent from the field grabbing nine steals and nine blocked shots. The Salukis are second in the conference in blocked shots averaging over four per game and fourth in the league in steals averaging better than seven per game this season. The Drake Bulldogs are coming off what they thought would be a victory last Sunday in Cedar Falls facing the worst team in the conference Northern Iowa who had yet to win a conference game that was until Drake came to town and they annihilated them 79 to 60. The Bulldogs had thirteen turnovers and only nine assists in the loss. The turnovers were not a surprise because this Bulldogs team averages losing over thirteen per game this season. It is hard to score without the basketball. They average the second most turnovers in the conference this season. When the Bulldogs are able to hold onto the ball they cannot score they shot just thirty-eight percent from the field in their loss to Northern Iowa Sunday. The Salukis beat the Bulldogs earlier this season by fourteen points shooting forty-six percent from behind the arc in that game. We expect the Salukis to win again but we do not expect them to convert such a high rate of their shots tonight. Their solid defense and a shortfall of production compared to their last meeting should help this one come in under the oddsmakers number on Wednesday night. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 139.2 points. The BMM projects a total point differential of -11.06 points against a total range of 150.0 to 152.5 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Under with a 73.34 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Under with an offensive-defensive differential of 7.59 with a transitional average of 40.0 and a conversion rate range of 41.23 to 43.9 percent in tonight’s contest. The Salukis coming off a SU/ATS win have gone Under at a rate of 7-18 Under when playing away from home. If they won that game on the road they are a perfect 0-7 Under in their next game. With solid numbers favoring the low side of the oddsmakers total we will play this one to come up well short of their number on Wednesday night. 5* Under
PICK MADE ON 1/18/2017 AT 5:57 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/18/2017 AT 11:01 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/18/2017

10:30 PM EST
NBA
INDIANA PACERS VS. SACRAMENTO KINGS

PICK: SACRAMENTO KINGS -2 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Indiana Pacers travel to Sacramento as they open a three-game West Coast road trip on Wednesday night. The Pacers do not respond well in this particular situation in fact the Pacers have failed to cover the spread in thirteen of their last eighteen opening road contests. Think about that you know the Pacers coaches are aware of that and have tried to use it as motivation to get the road trip off to a good start with a victory but to no avail they have dropped thirteen of these. Indiana has won six of their last seven games but lost four of their last five when playing away from home. The Pacers playing away from home in the current price range and coming off back-to-back ATS loss are 1-13 ATS including a perfect 0-6 ATS if they are installed as a road underdog. The Pacers coming off a home straight up win but an ATS loss have struggled against the spread in their next game going 18-35-1 ATS. The Kings have had trouble of their own losers in five of their last six games overall and six of seven on their home floor. And yet the Kings enter their home stand finale at the Golden 1 Center only a half game worse off in their quest to finish among the Top Eight in the Western Conference than when it started. We want to play ON a non-conference favorite in the current price range coming off a SU loss and going Over in their last game have posted a record of 56-33-1 ATS. If they are installed as a home favorite in that situation their record improves to 31-17-1 ATS. The Kings have won the last four in this series straight up and they have posted a record of 4-1 against the number in the last five meetings overall. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 9.89 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.62 points with a line range of -1.5 to -3.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Sacramento Kings with a 73.7 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Sacramento with an offensive-defensive differential of +6.37 with a transitional average of 41.77 and a conversion rate range of 46.12 to 48.68 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play ON NBA non-conference favorites coming off a SU/ATS loss while going Over the posted total because these teams are 44-27-1 ATS including 25-12-1 ATS if they are installed as a home favorite in this situation. With strong support for the host Kings we will lay the short price on Wednesday night in Sacramento as the Kings do their part in continuing Pacers history and add to their losing record on road trip openers. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Sacramento Kings 109 Indiana Pacers 99
PICK MADE ON 1/18/2017 AT 5:56 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/19/2017 AT 1:38 AM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, JANUARY 17, 2017 [refresh]
1/17/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
SOUTH FLORIDA VS. CENTRAL FLORIDA

PICK: UNDER 127.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: A battle of teams from the Sunshine State when the Bulls of South Florida leave Cigar City and travel to Orlando to take on the Knights of Central Florida Tuesday night. The Bulls are coming off a road loss last Saturday in Memphis losing 62 to 56 which was their fifth straight loss. South Florida has struggled offensively clearly missing Jahmal McCurray who is in the process of transferring out of South Florida. The Bulls were already short-handed on the offensive end of the floor and losing McCurray just adds to the problem because he was an offensive threat that they sorely miss now. South Florida is just 1-5 on the road this season while the Knights of Central Florida are 9-1 at home this year. These two clubs last met in January 2016 with Central Florida winning in Cigar City over the Bulls 64 to 54. The Bulls have struggled offensively ranked 312th in the nation averaging just 66.4 points per game. The Bulls are above average defensively, ranking 130th by allowing an average of 70.1 points per game this season. The Central Florida Knights are certainly not an offensive juggernaut ranked 279th in the nation in scoring offense averaging 68.6 points per game. They face a Bulls squad that ranks 2nd in the nation in rebounds with an average of forty-four per game. The combination of these factors plays into our Under selection on the game. Another key factor the Knights are a very good defensive team ranked 3rd in the nation allowing just 58.2 points per game on the season. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 116.3 points. The BMM projects a game total differential of -9.24 points against a game total range of 126.0 to 128.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the two teams with an offensive-defensive differential of 8.77 and a transitional average of 37.9 and a conversion rate range of 42.8 to 44.65 percent in tonight’s contest. When Central Florida is coming off a pair of games in which they were underdogs and now play a game with the current price range they have gone Under at a rate of 4-10 Under the last fourteen qualifying contests. The Bulls when playing in the current price range have gone Under at a rate of 17-31 Under. If they are coming off a road game in the same situation they are 7-14 Under. If the Bulls lost their last game and now play in the current price range the Under is 8-20 the last 28 qualifying contests. The oddsmakers have not been able to catch up with the total differential in South Florida games with the Bulls posting an overall record of 67-89-2 Under in all games. The fundamental elements in this contest carry enough value to be a play on by themselves but we have added support from the historical and technical sides of the matchup so Under gets the call tonight. 5* Under
PICK MADE ON 1/17/2017 AT 2:05 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/17/2017 AT 9:19 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 15, 2017 [refresh]
1/15/2017

2:30 PM EST
NCAAB
MASSACHUSETTS VS. RHODE ISLAND

PICK: MASSACHUSETTS +10.5 (-105)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Rhode Island Rams have struggled this season just trying to get off the bubble and make the tournament but they keep losing in fact they have dropped their last two with Dayton and LaSalle both taking the Rams down. One area of concern for the Rams has to be their performance from the charity stripe converting just fifty-six percent from the free throw line in conference games The Minutemen have lost their last two visits to Rhode Island but overall they have won nine of the last eleven meetings between the two clubs. Massachusetts have also found the going tough in conference play losers in their first three A14 contests before upsetting Dayton their last time out. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of only 5.01 points. The BMM projects a point differential of 7.85 points against the current line range of +10.5 to +13.0 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Minutemen with a 71.91 percent advantage against the spread in today’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Massachusetts with an offensive-defensive differential of +7.04 with a transitional average of 40.32 and a conversion rate range of 45.26 to 47.07 percent in today’s contest. The oddsmakers have given the Rams a little too much credit here making them a double-digit favorite over a team that has proven it can and has defeated this Rams team on a regular basis no matter the team’s records at the time. Take the points with the Minutemen as they take down the Rams on Sunday in Rhode Island. 4.5* Massachusetts
PICK MADE ON 1/15/2017 AT 1:25 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/15/2017 AT 5:17 PM EST
+4.29
[report pick]
1/15/2017

4:40 PM EST
NFL
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. DALLAS COWBOYS

PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS -4.0 (-110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Green Bay Packers fresh off their Wildcard Round victory over the New York Giants last Sunday fly to Big D to take on the Dallas Cowboys. This game is of course another rematch from a game they played during the regular season. For this one we must go back to Week Six with the Cowboys making the trip this time to Lambeau Field winning 30-16 over the Packers. Green Bay still had a healthy Eddie Lacy in the backfield and he ran for sixty-five yards on just seventeen carries. The pundits were worried that rookie QB Dak Prescott would crumble under the pressure of playing at Green Bay and on Lambeau Field but they found out early this kid is really not a rookie. He is of course a rookie but his performance on the field has been extraordinary this season. In that game Prescott threw three touchdowns while rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott ripped the Packers D for 157 yards rushing on the day. Much of the talk this season has been about the Cowboys rushing attack but the Dallas run defense surrendered a league-low 83.5 yards per game on the ground and was one of four teams to limit opponents to single-digit rushing touchdowns during the regular season. The rushing splits for today’s contest could very well predict the future because the Cowboys outrush their opponents by almost eighty yards per game when playing at home and this should spell disaster once again for the Packers. Even with Aaron Rodgers playing at such a high level if the Cowboys can control the pace of the game while limiting Rodgers chances and keeping him on the bench it could make for a long afternoon for the Packers in Big D. The Momentum Indicator Matrix has both teams in positive territory but when you combine that with the PPR Index average you see a huge edge for the Cowboys overall. The PPR is different than our regular TPR in that it focuses on Player Performances and rates them whereas the TPR utilizes team information and rates it. The Momentum Matrix and the PPR combine for a powerful prediction when the numbers align. We have that in this game our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 12.17 points. The MM projects a point differential of 9.42 points against the current line range of -3.5 to -5.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Dallas Cowboys with a 74.78 percent advantage against the spread in today’s contest. The Green Bay Packers when they are on turf off a game as a favorite and facing a team that has averaged 32-plus minutes of possession time season-to-date are a perfect 0-14 ATS. Which solidifies our Momentum Indicator’s projected outcome with the Cowboys controlling the clock. Green Bay when installed as an underdog on turf coming off a win by seven or more points and averaged twenty-four plus points over their last three games have posted a record of 0-12 ATS. We want to play AGAINST a non-division underdog of 3-11' points with a TOTAL over 34 points off 5 SU wins in its last 5 games, winning SU by an average of 12 or more points. These underdogs are just 10-23 against the spread in this situation winning just over thirty percent of the time which means we cash at almost seventy percent of the time. We will back the better team playing at home with all the money and pundits calling for them to be upset we believe they will roll over the Packers on Sunday in Big D. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5.5* Dallas Cowboys 37 Green Bay Packers 24
PICK MADE ON 1/15/2017 AT 1:23 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/17/2017 AT 2:04 PM EST
-5.50
[report pick]
1/15/2017

9:35 PM EST
NBA
DETROIT PISTONS VS. LOS ANGELES LAKERS

PICK: LOS ANGELES LAKERS +1 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The LA Lakers play host to the boys from the Motor City on Sunday night in the City of Angels with tip off set for 9:35PM Eastern Time. The Pistons have struggled of late losers of their last three contests by 6, 20 and 33 points. This must be frustrating for the Pistons players they just cannot seem to harness consistency. If you look back at the Pistons performance over the last few months it is apparent they just struggle putting a string of wins together. It always seems to be one area that they just cannot put it all together at one time and now it is their perimeter defense that is causing the problem in recent weeks, including their current five-game West Coast swing. Opponents have hit 49.6 percent of their long-range shots during the first four games of this road trip. Utah hit 16 of 31 3-point attempts on Friday in a 110 to 77 blowout that left Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy disgusted with himself and his defense. "We can't stop anybody. We just can't," Van Gundy lamented. Detroit has dropped to 25th in defensive 3-point field-goal percentage (37.4) while its offense ranks 24th in that category (34.1). The defense completely collapsed in the second half against the Jazz, who outscored the Pistons 65-34 after the break. The Lakers have also struggled they dropped their last game here Saturday versus their in-town rival LA Clippers who made it look easy. Forward Luol Deng is expected to return to the lineup on Sunday Lakers coach Luke Walton rested him Saturday on the front end of the back-to-back. The teams split the two-game series last season, with each winning on their home floor. Although the Lakers have won seven of their last eight versus the Pistons no matter the location. Detroit has not won against the Lakers in Staples Center the last five times they have made the trip. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 4.92 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -7.14 points with a line range of +1.5 to +3.5. The BSIM Matrix has the LA Lakers with a 73.6 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Los Angeles with an offensive-defensive differential of +6.09 with a transitional average of 40.15 and a conversion rate range of 43.4 to 45.98 percent in tonight’s contest. The Detroit Pistons coming off a pair of losses in their last two games are 28-47-1 ATS if they are installed as a favorite in the current price range their record is 10-24-1 ATS. If the Piston lost both SU and ATS in their last game with that game going Under the posted total and they are now installed as a road favorite their record is 14-29-1 ATS. The Lakers playing their last three games as an underdog and now face a non-conference opponent as an underdog they are 40-23 ATS. If the Lakers lost their last two games and are now a non-conference underdog their record is 31-16 ATS including a perfect 5-0 ATS if they are a home underdog. With solid support for the home team we will back the Lakers in the City of Angels on Sunday night. 5* LA Lakers
PICK MADE ON 1/15/2017 AT 1:24 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/16/2017 AT 12:19 AM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, JANUARY 14, 2017 [refresh]
1/14/2017

4:35 PM EST
NFL
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS

PICK: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +6 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Seahawks have made the long trip across the country to take on the Atlanta Falcons in ATL on Saturday afternoon. The Falcons were off last week waiting for the Wildcard games to be played while the Seahawks were at home taking on the Detroit Lions. These two clubs have entered the regular season over the last several years with the same expectations as they had the previous seasons the difference one was expecting to go to the Super Bowl while the other was expected to be home for the postseason. There has been a dramatic turnaround in ATL and a reenergized quarterback in Matt Ryan has made a huge difference for this team. The high flying offense of the Falcons may not be enough to take down the Birds from the West Coast. In fact there is a huge difference between these two clubs and it is where championships are normally won or lost. Defense, Seattle of course has a top tier defense ranked fifth in the league in yards allowed whereas the Falcons are one of the league’s worst in this department ranked 25th in the league in yards allowed. The Falcons league-leading scoring offense averaging 33.8 points per game will take on the Seahawks defense which ranked third in points allowed per game of just 18.3 points per game this season. The Seattle secondary the infamous Legion of Boom ranked ninth in opposing quarterbacks passer rating allowing an average rating of 85.0 on the season. The Seattle defense will make it a long day for Ryan and company if the Dirty Birds are not careful; this Seahawks team is well experienced in this type of environment. The road has been a tough place for the Seahawks during the postseason but that is offset by the fact the QB Russell Wilson and company have been solid when catching points going 9-7-1 straight up and a money making 13-3-1 against the spread including a perfect 7-0 against the number coming off a straight up and against the spread win in their last game. The Dirty Birds and their leader Matt Ryan have suffered during the postseason going 1-4 straight up and 0-4-1 against the spread. The Falcons under second year head coach Dan Quinn have gone 3-10 ATS when laying chalk at home including 0-5 ATS when facing teams with a win percentage of four-hundred forty-four or more. When the Falcons take the field in the postseason coming off a straight up win in their last game they are 2-9 straight up and 1-9-1 against the spread the last eleven times to post. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 2.02 points. The MM projects a point differential of -8.24 points against the current line range of +6.0 to +8.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Seattle Seahawks with a 74.3 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. We mentioned the Falcons lead the league in scoring offense with 33.8 points per game well we know that teams that average at least 27.5 points per game are only 27-42 ATS. The Falcons also struggle coming off a win by fewer than twenty-eight points as a favorite in which they allowed two-hundred eighty or more yards passing in the game posting a record of 0-16 ATS in this situation. We note that NFL teams that outscored their opponent by at least fifteen points after the third quarter are 144-117-2 against the spread. The Seattle Seahawks coming off a game in which their completion percentage was at least ten percentage points higher than their season-to-date average have been perfect going 15-0 against the spread in this situation. We will back the road team in the Georgia Dome on Saturday afternoon as the experience of being in this situation will offset any possible home field advantage the Falcons may have in this contest. Take that away and add a much better defensive unit that has an offense that just makes plays when they have to and we have a recipe for an upset in the ATL Saturday. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Seattle Seahawks 27 Atlanta Falcons 26
PICK MADE ON 1/14/2017 AT 12:54 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/14/2017 AT 8:17 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, JANUARY 13, 2017 [refresh]
1/13/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
MIAMI HEAT VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS

PICK: MILWAUKEE BUCKS -7 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Miami Heat have not seen south beach for eleven days as they make their way around the league on an extended road swing that will see them play their final game of this six-game road trip tonight in Milwaukee. The Miami Heat lost to the Golden State Warriors Tuesday night in Oakland 107 to 95 for their third loss in a row. The news just keeps getting worse for the Heat losing second-year player Justise Winslow after suffering a torn muscle in his shoulder which ended his season. The Heat are not only playing the last game in an extended road trip they are coming off that loss versus the Warriors a game in which they actually led at the half 54 to 53. The Heat go into halftime having played very well against a tough Warriors squad to only have the wind knocked out of their sails in the third quarter when the Warriors outscored them 26 to 14 which for the most part ended the Heats chances of winning that game. Miami has posted a record of 0-4 ATS when playing with two days’ rest this season. The Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Bucks although they did defeat a visiting Bucks team 96 to 73 back in mid-November. Miami has lost three of their last four visits to Milwaukee and gone 1-3 against the number over that same span. The Heat have really been struggling losers in nine of their last ten games overall while the Bucks have been winners in six of their last ten outings. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 14.73 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.68 points with a line range of -7.0 to -9.0. The BSIM Matrix has the Milwaukee Bucks with a 74.2 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Milwaukee with an offensive-defensive differential of +7.56 with a transitional average of 42.32 and a conversion rate range of 45.5 to 47.72 percent in tonight’s contest. A check of our powerful NBA database reveals several key tech elements that all point to the same outcome with our play on team bringing home the cash. The Bucks are 11-0 ATS with at most one day of rest after a home loss in which less than 45 percent of their baskets were assisted. The Bucks are 13-1 ATS as a dog with two or more days of rest after a loss in which they shot 60 percent or worse from the free-throw line. The Bucks are 10-0 ATS with two or more days of rest off a loss that broke at least a four-game winning streak. The Bucks are 12-1 ATS when the OU line is at least twenty points higher than it was last game. The Bucks are 13-0 ATS as a dog with rest after a win in which they scored at least fifteen points more in the second half than they did in the first half of the game. The Milwaukee Bucks get the call as our highest rated NBA play for Friday the 13th of January. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Milwaukee Bucks 112 Miami Heat 98
PICK MADE ON 1/13/2017 AT 6:02 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/13/2017 AT 10:36 PM EST
+4.35
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, JANUARY 12, 2017 [refresh]
1/12/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
CHICAGO BULLS VS. NEW YORK KNICKS

PICK: UNDER 207.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Chicago Bulls are in Gotham for a battle against the hometown New York Knicks on Thursday night. The Knicks and Derrick Rose have had an interesting week to this point it appears the dust has settled but we still have no real explanation for his disappearing act on Monday night. Rose returned to score twenty-five in a loss on Wednesday to the 76ers. Rose will face his former team which this should not affect the game either way they have already met once this season back on November 4 with Rose scoring fifteen with eleven assists and seven rebounds as New York pulled off the victory 117 to 104. For the Knicks PF Kristaps Porzingis has hit a slump averaging just eight points on six of twenty-three shooting from the field the last two games. The Bulls will be without F Nikola Mirotic who will sit out his second straight game due to an illness. The news doesn’t get much better although Dwayne Wade will be back in the lineup the Bulls will be without their leading scorer for the second straight game as Jimmy Butler is suffering from an illness that has him on the bench. The Bulls have gone Under at a rate of 26-39 Under as a road underdog. The Bulls are 3-20 Under coming off a pair of straight up losses and if they were an underdog in those two games they have seen the Under cash at a rate of 15-28-1 Under. With the New York Knicks playing in Gotham and coming off a game that went Under and they were installed as a favorite in that game their next outing has gone Under at a rate of 29-48-1 Under. If the Knicks were on the road in that game the Under is a perfect 0-7 Under in their next outing. With the Knicks going Under on the road as a favorite versus a losing team in their last game we know their next game goes Under at a rate of 4-14 Under. If they lost that game SU they are a perfect 0-5 Under their next trip to the hardwood. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 197.2 points. The BMM projects a total point differential of -9.6 points against a total range of 206.0 to 208.5 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Under with a 74.08 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Under with an offensive-defensive differential of -8.5 with a transitional average of 39.3 and a conversion rate range of 42.8 to 44.76 percent in tonight’s contest. Both teams enter tonight’s contest shooting 44.5 percent for the Knicks and 43.3 percent for the Bulls. The Bulls have been horrible from behind the arc converting just 31.8 percent this season. One of the most important factors in tonight’s contest comes from the Pace-Tempo Matrix where we see it is only 1.5 points from being in negative double-digits which should translate into a negative response against the oddsmakers total tonight. There is historical support as well as strong situational support for this one to finish on the low side so we will play the Under in Gotham on Thursday night. 5* Under
PICK MADE ON 1/12/2017 AT 5:51 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/12/2017 AT 10:57 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
1/12/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
WASHINGTON VS. CALIFORNIA

PICK: WASHINGTON +12 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The California Golden Bears welcome the Huskies of Washington to Berkley for a Pac 12 battle on Thursday night. Cal is coming in off an upset of #25 USC Trojans on Sunday defeating them 74 to 73. The game was decided at the buzzer with Ivan Rabb knocking down the go-ahead free throws and then getting back on defense and blocking the driving shot of USC’s Jordan McLaughlin at the buzzer. The Huskies are coming off one of their best performances of the season crushing Oregon State 87 to 61 last Saturday. Washington is 10-2 ATS coming off a home game and now facing a division foe. If they won at home in their last game and now face a division foe they are a perfect 6-0 ATS. If the Huskies went Over the posted total at home in their last game and they are now installed as a conference road underdog their record is almost perfect at 7-1-1 ATS. The Huskies have a super star in the making with freshman Markelle Fultz who had twenty points in their win over the Beavers on Saturday. Fultz entered that game versus Oregon State as the nation’s second-leading freshman scorer with an average of 22.3 points per game trailing only Kentucky’s Malik Monk who is averaging 22.6 points per game on the season. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 4.93 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -8.05 points with a line range of +11.5 to +13.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Washington Huskies with a 74.27 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Washington with an offensive-defensive differential of +6.18 with a transitional average of 41.7 and a conversion rate range of 46.36 to 48.8 percent in tonight’s contest. The shooting percentage discrepancy in this contest actually favors the Huskies who are shooting 48.3 percent from the field while the Bears are shooting just 44.1 percent from the floor this season. The overall conversion rate favors the visitors on Thursday night. The Washington Huskies also qualify in our Reverse Momentum Index as they are trending in positive territory while the Cal Bears are trending into negative territory coming off that upset of USC in their last game. The Reverse Momentum Index is also supported in its play on Washington by the fact the SIM has the Huskies with a better than 74 percent advantage against the spread tonight. On the technical side of this contest we see that the Huskies are 0-5 ATS in this series but a closer look with a little more information we see the Huskies are 4-0-1 ATS versus the Cal Bears when the price range is 10.0 to 13.5 points. Having a very powerful database makes tons of difference when handicapping games and that is a nice example of that type of power. With the Huskies winning straight up at home in their last game and now facing a division foe they have been perfect going 6-0 ATS the last six in this situation. We want to play AGAINST CBB division teams coming off a SU win on the road versus a good team with a win percentage of .667 or better on the season because these teams have posted a record of 49-71-4 against the spread their next time out on the hardwood. With significant support for the double-digit underdog in this division contest we will take the points in Berkley on Thursday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Washington Huskies 76 California Golden Bears 78
PICK MADE ON 1/12/2017 AT 5:52 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/12/2017 AT 11:40 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 11, 2017 [refresh]
1/11/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
PITTSBURGH VS. LOUISVILLE

PICK: PITTSBURGH +11 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Pittsburgh Panthers travel to Louisville for an ACC battle against the hometown Cardinals on Wednesday night. The Panthers are coming off a tough loss to Syracuse losing 77 to 66 on Saturday. In that game the Panthers got off to a very slow start falling behind by a score of 36 to 8 in the first half shooting just thirty-five percent for the game. They could have given up completely but they didn’t they fought back after such a horrendous start speaks to at least their desire to not quit. The game tonight is a tall order facing a very tough Cardinals team in Louisville. The oddsmakers have of course accounted for the Panthers double-digit loss their last time out and the fact that Louisville rolled past Georgia Tech last Saturday 65 to 50. They set the number in this game at double-digits and our numbers tell us it will be inside double-digits. The Panthers are averaging 81.3 points per game this season shooting 46.9 percent from the field. The Panthers defense has been the problem area for this team allowing an average of 75.9 points per game. Pittsburgh senior forward Michael Young averages 22.3 points per game. His teammate, senior guard Jamel Artis, averages 21.5. The Panthers duo ranks first and second in the ACC in scoring this season. Louisville is the top defense in the ACC, holding league foes to just 62.7 points per game. "They have two guys who are probably the best scoring tandem in college basketball," Louisville coach Rick Pitino said. "They not only have great scorers, but great 3-point shooters." Pitt has experience busting great defenses. The Panthers scored 88 points against a Virginia team that had been holding teams to less than 53 points per game this season. "This is an extremely unique basketball team because they have so much size," Pitino said. "They go 6-9, 6-8, 6-8, 6-7, and 6-6 in the starting lineup. That is going to be very, very difficult to prepare for." Young, in particular, is a matchup problem. Pitt doesn't list a center on its starting lineup, choosing instead to call the 6-foot-9, 235-pound Young a forward. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 5.66 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -7.83 points with a line range of +11.5 to +13.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Pittsburgh Panthers with a 73.84 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Louisville Cardinals with an offensive-defensive differential of +5.2 with a transitional average of 41.4 and a conversion rate range of 46.56 to 48.13 percent in tonight’s contest. Louisville had a six-game win streak broken when they lost to Virginia as a three-point home favorite 61 to 53. The Panthers were not riding a winning streak when the Cavaliers paid them a visit last week Pitt defeated the Cavaliers 88 to 76 as an eight-point home underdog. Coming off that monster win over Virginia it is not surprising the Panthers were not fully focused on the road at Syracuse in their last game. That will not be the case tonight when the Panthers take on the Louisville Cardinals. The Cardinals are 0-3 ATS coming off three straight away (and/or neutral site) games. The Panthers are 99-71-5 ATS coming off a road game their last time out. Pittsburgh has posted a record of 17-9-3 ATS when installed as an underdog. This is a perfect situation to take the double-digits the oddsmakers are giving us as the Panthers take the Cardinals down to the final gun. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Pittsburgh Panthers 78 Louisville Cardinals 82
PICK MADE ON 1/11/2017 AT 6:11 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/11/2017 AT 10:01 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
1/11/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
HOUSTON ROCKETS VS. MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

PICK: HOUSTON ROCKETS -4 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: We used the Rockets as our play AGAINST team last night as they won the game but failed to cover against the Charlotte Hornets at home. The Rockets had to travel to the Twin Cities after that win over the Hornets so they could take on the Timberwolves tonight. The oddsmakers are giving us decent line value here and our numbers support the Rockets at this price range. No reason to be concerned by the back-to-back the Rockets are in because Houston has done quite well posting a record of 7-2 ATS playing the backend of this situation. The Rockets coming off a home game and are now installed as a road favorite in the current price range have posted a record of 24-10 ATS. If the Rockets are coming off a SU win at home and now play as a favorite in the current price range they are 34-19 ATS. The Rockets coming off a home straight up win and now play as a road favorite in the current price range have posted a record of 17-4 ATS. With the Timberwolves going Under the posted total in their last two games they are 56-89-2 ATS at home. If they are installed as a home underdog in this same situation they are 21-40-1 ATS. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 11.35 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.61 points with a line range of -3.0 to -5.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Houston Rockets with a 74.9 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Houston Rockets with an offensive-defensive differential of +9.83 with a transitional average of 44.8 and a conversion rate range of 46.48 to 48.37 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play AGAINST NBA home underdogs with one or fewer days rest coming off an ATS win versus opponent coming off an ATS loss because these teams are 151-217 ATS. We want to play AGAINST NBA home underdogs after a win in which they scored less than 15 percent of their points from the free throw line because these home underdogs are 72-100 ATS. The Rockets are 15-4-1 ATS on the road. The Houston Rockets will continue their solid play on the road winning straight up and covering this short price the oddsmakers have hung on them in the Twin Cities. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Houston Rockets 118 Minnesota Timberwolves 108
PICK MADE ON 1/11/2017 AT 6:09 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/11/2017 AT 10:58 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/11/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
FRESNO STATE VS. AIR FORCE

PICK: FRESNO STATE -2 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: We head west for a battle in the Mountain West Conference between the Fresno State Bulldogs and the Falcons of Air Force. The Falcons are 8-8 SU and 4-5 ATS this season. When Air Force is at home their record improves to 8-2 SU and 4-1 ATS this season. Fresno State has been solid this season with an overall record of 10-6 SU and 9-2 ATS including a 3-5 SU mark on the road with an impressive 6-1 ATS record on the road over that same span. The Bulldogs are coming off a humiliating loss at San Jose State in their last game. They were installed as -3.5 point road favorites and led at the half by eight points only to be outscored 40 to 25 in the second half eventually losing 69 to 62 in a game they should have won. The Bulldogs will need to respond in this game with a victory and the fact they lost to San Jose State gives us decent line value here. The line on this game even with it being played at Air Force the Bulldogs were -6.5 point road favorites prior to that loss to San Jose State. The oddsmakers have the Bulldogs laying just two points in tonight’s contest which is a rather large drop from what the projected line was prior to the San Jose State game. The Bulldogs will use their offensive balance to control the pace and tempo here. The Bulldogs have five players that average double-digit scoring on the season led by Karachi Edo who averages fourteen points per game and more than seven rebounds each trip to the floor. Not far behind Bulldogs Paul Watson has been outstanding as well averaging just under fourteen points per game with 13.6 points while adding an additional 5.2 rebounds per game to the Dogs offense. The Falcons are coming off a blowout loss on the road their last time out. They traveled to take on the Rams of Colorado State installed as +7.5 point road underdog and played horribly losing 85 to 58. Air Force is 28-43-1 ATS when playing in a game with the current price range. The Falcons are 14-27 ATS at home playing in the current price range. If Air Force is coming off a straight up loss in their last game and now play a game in the current price range they are only 11-23 ATS including 7-20 ATS if they also lost against the spread in their last game. When the Bulldogs are taking on a conference opponent and coming off a straight up loss on the road in their last game they have rebounded against the spread posting a record of 13-3 ATS. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 9.75 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.11 points with a line range of -1.5 to -3.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Fresno State Bulldogs with a 74.02 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Bulldogs with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.79 with a transitional average of 40.97 and a conversion rate range of 46.34 to 48.27 percent in tonight’s contest. The Bulldogs qualify in our Momentum Index which has them trending in positive territory while the Air Force Falcons are mired in the red its negative territory for the Flyboys on Wednesday night. We will lay the short price here as the Bulldogs bounce back from that loss and grab the straight up and against the spread victory tonight. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Fresno State Bulldogs 73 Air Force Falcons 63
PICK MADE ON 1/11/2017 AT 6:11 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/11/2017 AT 11:21 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, JANUARY 10, 2017 [refresh]
1/10/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
XAVIER VS. VILLANOVA

PICK: XAVIER +8 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: We go to the Big East for the matchup between two powerhouse clubs with Xavier traveling to take on Villanova Tuesday night. The Musketeers are perfect in conference play with a 3-0 record and a record of 13-2 overall on the season. Villanova comes in with a 3-1 conference record and a 15-1 record for the season. Both clubs play solid on the defensive end of the floor with Xavier allowing 66.5 points per game while Nova comes in allowing an average of 63.5 points per game. The Musketeers come into this contest with their leading scorer Trevon Bluiett in the midst of a shooting slump converting just four of his last twenty from the field. Even with Bluiett struggling the Musketeers have reeled off six straight victories and enter tonight’s game with a ton of confidence. Musketeers’ sophomore Edmond Sumner has put the team on his back during Bluiett’s slump averaging 24.5 points per game with six and half assists plus six and half rebounds over their last two outings. Villanova has a solid club with their Achilles Heel rebounding they do have room to improve on the boards and need to get that taken care of or the season could turn for them in the wrong direction. For the Wildcats National Player of the Year candidate Josh Hart has led the Wildcats this season averaging 19.8 points per game with 6.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists. Xavier is coming off a 97 to 82 win over St. John’s on Saturday afternoon, and Villanova defeated Marquette 93 to 81 at home their last time out. Each team won on their respective home courts in last year’s season series. In Xavier’s win over St. Johns Bluiett scored fifteen points after going 0 for 10 in their previous outing. The Musketeers are hoping he is coming out of his slump after a solid effort against St. Johns. Xavier shot 58 percent from the field and converted ten of twenty-one from behind the arc in the victory. Once again Sumner led the way scoring twenty points while dishing out seven assists. Xavier is getting Myles Davis back on the floor tonight after the team lifted his suspension. This adds to an already explosive Musketeers offense which is averaging 78 points per game on the season while converting on 46.6 percent from the field. Nova was able to bounce back after losing to Butler last week a game in which our Steam Report called for the outright upset of Villanova in that game. The loss to Butler snapped the Cats twenty-game win streak but they got back to their winning ways with a home win over Marquette 93 to 81 last Saturday. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 1.01 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -7.86 points with a line range of +8.0 to +10.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Xavier Musketeers with a 73.97 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Villanova with an offensive-defensive differential of +4.53 with a transitional average of 40.7 and a conversion rate range of 47.82 to 49.75 percent in tonight’s contest. The Wildcats actually qualify in our Reverse Momentum Index trending towards negative territory while the Musketeers continue to trend in positive territory. Xavier has responded when facing good offensive clubs who average seventy-seven or more points per game posting a record of 30-18 ATS including 14-5 ATS the last nineteen in this situation. When the oddsmakers assign a total between 145 to 149.5 to an Xavier road game the Musketeers have responded with a record of 12-4 against the spread in those contests. We want to play ON the Musketeers when they are coming off a SU/ATS win as a home favorite in their last game because Xavier has posted a record of 63-40 ATS in this situation. We also want to play ON CBB teams coming off a home SU/ATS win as a home favorite in their last game now on the conference road as an underdog of six or more points with a BTPR Index average of at least 0.85. These conference road underdogs are 60-29-4 ATS including a perfect 19-0-1 ATS if their opponent is also off a SU win in their last game. With solid support on the fundamental side as well as strong situational support we will take the points on Tuesday night with Xavier as they take the Champs right down to the wire. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Xavier Musketeers 75 Villanova Wildcats 76
PICK MADE ON 1/10/2017 AT 6:03 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2017 AT 9:41 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/10/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
CHARLOTTE HORNETS VS. HOUSTON ROCKETS

PICK: CHARLOTTE HORNETS +9 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Charlotte Hornets are in Texas on Tuesday night for a game with the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been rolling with eight straight victories and nineteen of their last twenty-one overall. Unfortunately for the Hornets they have been in Texas and had their ass handed to them by the Spurs in San Antonio Saturday. This is a good spot for the Hornets to bounce back maybe not get the straight up victory but play Houston close. Houston is coming off a mini two-game road swing just arriving back home to fact the Hornets and then leave tomorrow for Minnesota. Not the perfect situation for the Rockets. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 2.02 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -8.84 points against the current line range of +9.0 to +11.5 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Charlotte Hornets with a 73.2 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. We want to play ON Charlotte when they are installed as a road underdog after losing against the spread and going Under in their last game because the Hornets are 66-44-3 ATS. If the Hornets are coming off a SU/ATS loss and going Under in their last game and are now installed as a road underdog they are a money-making 62-39-3 ATS. We do not look for the Hornets to get the straight up win but it is possible and we have the numbers to support them getting inside the oddsmakers number in Houston tonight which makes this an easy call on Charlotte plus the points. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Charlotte Hornets 106 Houston Rockets 108
PICK MADE ON 1/10/2017 AT 6:04 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2017 AT 10:36 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
1/10/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
FLORIDA VS. ALABAMA

PICK: FLORIDA -5.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Florida Gators travel to Tuscaloosa to face off against SEC foe Alabama Tuesday night. There should be a real somber mood at the capstone tonight after their football team lost in the National Championship Game to Clemson. For some reason the polls do not like the Gators this season they did jump one spot to 23rd in both of the major polls this week but many and this bureau included believe they should have a much better ranking overall than 23rd. The Gators have three losses on the season but those losses came against highly ranked opponents with the games being played on neutral courts or were road games for Florida. The Gators are 6-0 ATS their last seven installed as road favorites and 4-0 ATS as a road favorite in the current price range. Overall the Gators are 13-3 ATS as chalk including their last five winning and covering in all five games. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 13.62 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.9 points with a line range of -5.0 to -7.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Florida Gators with a 74.05 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Florida with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.37 with a transitional average of 42.18 and a conversion rate range of 43.1 to 45.37 percent in tonight’s contest. The Gators are a perfect 5-0 ATS their last five trips to the capstone and no reason to believe that will change tonight. Lay the chalk with the Gators as they roll past an overmatched Bama team on Tuesday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Florida Gators 78 Alabama Crimson Tide 65
PICK MADE ON 1/10/2017 AT 6:03 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2017 AT 11:38 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, JANUARY 09, 2017 [refresh]
1/9/2017

8:05 PM EST
NCAAF
CLEMSON VS. ALABAMA

PICK: ALABAMA -6 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The day has arrived for the college football championship to be decided and we have the same two teams from a year ago. The Clemson Tigers navigated their way thru the regular season and their semi-final playoff matchup with the Buckeyes while Bama did one better going undefeated through the regular season and also dispatching their semi-final opponent Huskies. There are many similarities from a year ago but not many gave Clemson a chance of making it back after losing so many to the NFL draft last season. Clemson will once again be led on offense by QB Deshaun Watson who finished second in this season’s Heisman Trophy balloting after finishing third in 2015. Watson threw for 4,173 yards with thirty-eight touchdowns but the other side of that is he threw way too many interceptions with seventeen on the season. This is not a good matchup for the Clemson offense who has sent the season facing teams that allowed an average of 26.5 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. They now face an Alabama defense that only gave up 11.4 points per game on 3.9 yards per play. This came against teams that average 30.2 points per game on 6.1 yards per play. When the Tide played on the road their numbers were still solid allowing just 16 points per game on 4.1 yards per play. The talk has been how close Clemson played Alabama last season well they seem to forget that inside of 18 seconds Bama was leading by twelve points before Clemson punched in a touchdown to make it look more respectable than it actually was. The talk has been how well Watson played and how much yardage he amassed against the Bama D well here we are again he racked up some yardage but it was late and the game was pretty much decided. The Tigers will look to run the football with running back Wayne Gallman who was one of the catalysts for the Tigers' successful season, rushing for 1,087 yards on 218 carries while scoring sixteen touchdowns on the ground tied for 15th in the nation. Gallman has five 100-yard games on the year, and comes into the national championship game having scored eleven times over their last seven games. But recent history isn't in his favor, particularly with a brutal Alabama defense waiting for him in Tampa. Gallman was far from his best in the regular-season finale at Virginia Tech, turning 17 carries into a mere 59 yards and one touchdown. He couldn't seem to get anything going against a solid Hokies defense, and was only slightly better against the Buckeyes defense, finishing with 85 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries. He averaged just 4.1 yards in those two games and if you take out his two carries of 20 and 18 yards against Ohio State on the opening two plays of the fourth quarter, his average drops to a pedestrian 3.2 yards per carry. Alabama has the best run defense in the nation they are the only team to allow fewer than 1,000 yards rushing on the year. The Bama defense allowed opposing runners to average just 2.0 yards per carry and score just three touchdowns all year. Here is another quick little tidbit Alabama’s defense has held the opposing teams leading rushers under fifty yards rushing ten times this season. You may want to read those last couple sentences again to make sure you see how remarkable that defense has really been. We have the revenge factor for Clemson we also have who many believe is the best college player in the nation suiting up for the Tigers in this game so you would think that Clemson catching almost a touchdown would be the play here. Not for this bureau because the adjustments Clemson will make based on their game against Alabama last year will be matched by Sabin and his assistant coaches. One small fact that may play a part in this game and not in the way they are reporting with Kiffin gone as offensive coordinator the pundits believe this may cause Bama to struggle on offense. And it may do that but it could also cause the Tigers some problems because all of the tape they watched from this season and last season’s game will really be of no help when it comes to knowing what plays Bama will use in certain situations or on any play for that matter. Alabama’s new offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian has a brilliant offensive mind and even though they spent time together on the same coaching staff Kiffin and Sarkisian call a much different game. News out of Alabama’s camp tells us the offense has been running smoothly at practice and at a much better pace than under Kiffin. Coach Sarkisian has been at Alabama this season and in on all the meetings and game planning each week so it’s not like he is coming in off the streets with no idea of what is going on. Alabama RB Bo Scarbrough’s explosion against Washington’s solid run defense, the Tide is now considered the No. 2 rushing offense in the country according to the S&P+ metric. Clemson’s defense is nowhere near as stingy as Washington’s they are No. 26 in the same metric, versus the Washington Huskies’ No. 10 mark. Not only will Clemson have to deal with Scarbrough they will have to deal with Damien Harris and the running threat of QB Hurts. Last year it was just Derrick Henry they had to prepare for this season it is much different they will be facing a trio of threats unlike anything they have seen this season. Alabama also has one of the nation’s top offensive lines with the defense always getting the ink much of the time the offensive line goes unnoticed for their tremendous play. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 14.57 points. The MM projects a point differential of 9.35 points against the current line range of -6.0 to -8.0 points. The SIM Matrix has the Alabama Crimson Tide with a 74.69 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. We are aware of the technical elements that favor the Clemson Tigers we also have several key tech elements that favor Bama so those would offset each other in this particular situation. The key to this game comes down to coaching and fundamentals with Bama holding the advantage in both categories. We will lay the chalk here as Alabama rolls to another National Championship on Monday night in Cigar City. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Alabama Crimson Tide 34 Clemson Tigers 21
PICK MADE ON 1/9/2017 AT 6:33 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2017 AT 1:00 AM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 08, 2017 [refresh]
1/8/2017

4:40 PM EST
NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -5 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Giants head to Lambeau Field in Green Bay on Sunday to face the host Packers in the Wildcard Round of the NFL Playoffs. The money came in quickly when the oddsmakers posted the line for this game, the Giants plus 6.5-points was a gift to some knowing Manning is 2-0 in the playoffs at Lambeau Field. We have seen the number drop to as low as 4.0 before money started coming in on the Packers buying it back up to 5 and 5.5 points. The number of wagers placed has the Giants holding just over 54 percent but the real story comes when you look at the actual handle, money wagered in other words. The Giants are holding 80 percent of the handle in this one so a very large discrepancy when it comes to money wagered it’s all on the Giants. Here is a major reason why we are seeing so much money on the boys from Gotham. New York is very familiar with this situation (7-1 ATS L8 Road-Neutral Playoff), and no reason to mention the weather in this game the Giants are from New York. The Giants are a perfect 9-0 ATS their last nine road playoff games, 4-0 ATS their last four overall in the postseason and 4-1 ATS their last five in the Wild Card Round. The bad news for the Giants they are 1-8-2 ATS when facing teams with a winning record at home. The Giants cannot rush the football they are ranked 29th in the league with 88.3 yards per game. For the Giants to have success they will need Manning to throw the football and when he does we have seen him throw a few to the people in different colored jerseys. In fact the Giants have a negative two on the season in turnover margin while the Packers come in with a plus eight in that department. The Packers head coach Mike McCarthy has quietly put together a solid against the spread record while at Green Bay with a 110-77-4 against the spread record for almost fifty-nine percent winners no matter who they face. The Packers Wildcard and Playoff Trends for the most part equal those of the Giants with Green Bay 4-0 ATS their last four Wildcard contests, 4-1 ATS on the real stuff and in the Playoffs overall 5-1 ATS the last six playoff appearances. The Packers average 27.7 points per game at home versus teams that average allowing just 21.9 points per game. There is a wide gap between these two clubs in this area. The Giants average just 17.7 points per game on the road and this comes against teams that average allowing 22.5 points per game. New York has been unsuccessful in taking what their opponent’s defense gives them it’s hard to believe they won as many games as they did during the regular season. This is also apparent in the Momentum Factor Index where we have the Giants trending in negative territory while the Packers are solidly in positive territory riding a six-game win streak into the playoffs. The Giants also qualify in our Reverse Momentum Index falling into negative territory even though they are coming off that win against the Redskins. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 13.6 points. The MM projects a point differential of 9.21 points against the current line range of -4.5 to -6.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Green Bay Packers with a 74.77 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. We want to play AGAINST a non-Monday road underdog of 3'-7 points with a TOTAL of less than 48 points off a road SU win in its last game and a road contest in its game before that. When you play against these road underdogs it produces a record of 20-3 ATS. We want to play AGAINST a road team (not a favorite of more than 8 points or underdog of more than 7 points) off a road SU win scoring 14+ points in its last game and a road SU loss in its game before that vs. a non-winless opponent. Playing against these road teams has produced a record of 20-3 ATS. Here are a few more systems that apply to the New York Giants. In Games 15-16, play AGAINST a Sunday road team (not a favorite of more than 2 points or underdog of 8+ points) off a SU win as an underdog of 5+ points in its last game vs. an opponent not off a division home favorite SU loss in its last game, 23-6 ATS. Play AGAINST a non-Monday conference road team (not a favorite of 6+ points or underdog of 19+ points) off a division road contest in its last game and a road contest in its game before that, 20-7 ATS. From Week 4 on, play AGAINST a road underdog of 10 points or less off a SU win as an underdog of 7+ points in its last game vs. an opponent off a favorite SU win of less than 33 points last week, 23-9 ATS. The Packers coming off a road win and facing a non-divisional opponent that has averaged more first downs than offensive point’s season-to-date are a perfect 15-0 ATS in this situation. This team angle also plays into the momentum index rating for the Packers. When the Packers are installed as a favorite coming off a road straight up victory in which they trailed at the half have gone a perfect 12-0 ATS in this situation. There will be no Manning magic run this season as the Packers send the Giants home for the offseason. Lay the chalk with the Packers on Sunday PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Green Bay Packers 26 New York Giants 17
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2017 AT 11:21 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/8/2017 AT 8:22 PM EST
+4.35
[report pick]
1/8/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
STANFORD VS. UCLA

PICK: UNDER 159.0 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Our top play in college basketball for Sunday’s action comes from the Pac 12 Conference with the Tree traveling to take on the Bruins in the City of Angels Sunday night. The Cardinal opened their Pac 12 Conference schedule losing the first three and now faces the Number Four team in the country in the UCLA Bruins. Our interest is not on the side in this contest but on the total. More bad news for the Tree as their leading scorer and rebounder forward Reid Travis is out indefinitely suffering from a shoulder injury suffered in practice last week. With Travis out of the game they lose his 17.5 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game. What it does to their offense is obvious just look at their last game against USC on Thursday they lost 72 to 56 finding it hard to score the ball. In that game the Cardinal were trying to force plays on offense and in the process committed twenty-one turnovers. If they play like that tonight the Bruins will have little trouble handing the Tree their fourth conference loss. In this contest the scoring splits favor the low side of the oddsmakers number. UCLA’s defense has held opponents to 72.6 points per game and this versus teams that average 73.5 points per game. The Tree averages just 63.3 points per game on offense and this comes against teams that allow 68.9 points per game. For the Cardinal they do hold opponents to 69.1 points per game and this against teams that average 74.1 points per game. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 151.04 points. The BMM projects a game total differential of -9.89 points against a game total range of 158.0 to 160.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the two teams with an offensive-defensive differential of +9.32 and a transitional average of 39.7 and a conversion rate range of 43.62 to 46.9 percent in tonight’s contest. The difference in the conversion rate range is larger than normal and this is caused by a large discrepancy between the two teams average shooting percentage. The adjustments have been made to all primary and secondary indexes as well as the Math Model. The Bruins have posted a record of 2-4 Under this season when playing a game with the current total range and 4-12 Under the last three seasons. With the Bruins coming off a straight up victory over a conference rival they have posted a record of 6-13 Under. For the Tree they struggle to bounce back from a poor offensive performance as evidenced by their record of 29-57 Under in this situation. With solid support from all primary and secondary numbers for the low side of the oddsmakers number we will play this one to come up well short of that number on Sunday night in the City of Angels. 5* Under
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2017 AT 3:06 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2017 AT 6:01 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, JANUARY 07, 2017 [refresh]
1/7/2017

4:35 PM EST
NFL
OAKLAND RAIDERS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS

PICK: OAKLAND RAIDERS +4 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Oakland Raiders take the Silver and Black show on the road for the Wildcard Round of the playoffs as they face off against the Houston Texans. Oakland is forced to travel even though they have the better overall record the Texans won the South Division which gives them the home field for this one. The Raiders have really taken a major hit losing star QB Derek Carr and then back-up Matt McGloin started in Week 17 in Denver and he left that game in the second quarter with a shoulder injury that will keep him out of this one probably. Third string QB Connor Cook is supposed to get the start for the Raiders in this one he came in for McGloin in the Denver game. Cook went 14 of 21 for 150 yards with a touchdown, interception and a lost fumble. Those two negatives can be cleaned up and overall he did not look bad in that loss. Oakland defeated the Texans in Mexico City in late November coming from behind to get that victory. The Texans are 7-7 SU their last fourteen games with each of those seven wins average margin of victory just four points. The last six wins by Houston has seen four of those decided by three or less. The Texans have given no reason to think they have found a way to win my more points in fact it wouldn’t surprise this bureau if the Raiders with a back-up quarterback get the straight up victory today. We had to make some adjustments to our TPR Index Ratings Module in fact to all of our power matrix modules because of the QB situation on both teams. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 3.91 points. The MM projects a point differential of -8.04 points against the current line range of +3.5 to +6.0 points. The SIM Matrix has the Oakland Raiders with a 73.26 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. The Raiders are 35-15 against the spread as a road underdog in this price range. Oakland is 11-3 ATS when playing away from home and 8-2 ATS when installed as a road underdog. We want to play ON NFL road underdogs coming in off a straight up loss on the road in their last game. These road underdogs bounce back off that previous road loss posting a record of 234-169 ATS for 58 percent winners against the oddsmakers number. Strong fundamental support for the Raiders in this one as our numbers tell us they are the better overall team and their record reflects that and this is true even with a back-up quarterback in the game. We have never been a fan of Brock Osweiler we felt like Houston was making a mistake and so far he has done nothing to prove us wrong. He has been inconsistent all season and the Raiders will make him pay for that today. Oakland should rise to the occasion here with an all-out effort in support of their quarterback. Take the points with the Silver and Black PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Oakland Raiders 21 Houston Texans 17
PICK MADE ON 1/7/2017 AT 12:45 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/7/2017 AT 8:21 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/7/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
NORTHERN ARIZONA VS. NORTHERN COLORADO

PICK: OVER 147 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Our top play in college basketball is a total in the Northern Arizona versus Northern Colorado matchup on Saturday night. This series has seen six of the last eight played at Northern Colorado sail Over the oddsmakers number. The average overall splits for the total history in this series show a strong average for the Over in Colorado not so in Arizona for whatever reason but here these clubs play to the high side. Northern Arizona coming off an ATS win in their last game and now play on the conference road has seen the Over cash at a rate of 27-14 Over. If Northern Arizona was on the road in their last game and now play on the conference road the Over is 30-16. With Northern Arizona coming off a road loss as an underdog and now playing a conference opponent the Over has gone 14-5 Over the last nineteen contests. If they are on the conference road in that same situation the Over is 10-2 the last twelve contests. When you have Northern Colorado coming in off a straight up loss in their last game they play with a lot of motivation and the Over reflects their ability to score the basketball with a record of 48-29-1 Over in this situation. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 157.89 points. The BMM projects a game total differential of +9.92 points against a game total range of 146.0 to 148.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the two teams with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.45 and a transitional average of 40.57 and a conversion rate range of 42.1 to 44.6 percent in tonight’s contest. The combination of the two teams splits and their history of playing to the high side at this location we are going to play this one to sail Over the posted total on Saturday night. 5* Over
PICK MADE ON 1/7/2017 AT 4:39 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/7/2017 AT 11:37 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
1/7/2017

10:00 PM EST
NBA
DETROIT PISTONS VS. PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS

PICK: PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -3.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Detroit Pistons are in the Pacific Northwest for a game against the Portland Trailblazers Saturday night. The Pistons open an extended road swing with their game in Portland tonight this trip will see them face the Kings, Warriors, Jazz and Lakers before returning home. The BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 10.42 points. The BMM projects a point differential of 7.98 points against the current price range of -3.0 to -5.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Blazers with an offensive-defensive differential of +6.72 with a transitional average of 41.94 and a conversion rate range of 44.7 to 46.81 percent in tonight’s contest. We know when the Pistons are coming off a pair of against the spread losses at home and now play a game in the current price range have only managed a spread record of 4-16 ATS their last twenty in this situation. If they are on the road in the same situation their record drops to 2-9 ATS. If the oddsmakers install them as underdogs in the current price range their record is even worse with a 1-10 ATS mark. Finally if the oddsmakers install Detroit as a road underdog in the current price range they are perfect 0-8 ATS in this situation. Portland has dominated this series against the spread when they enter off a straight up win in their last game going 13-4 ATS. If the Blazers are coming off a straight up win at home as a favorite and now take on the Pistons they have a perfect record of 5-0 ATS the last five in this situation. We want to play ON NBA non-conference favorites who are coming off a SU and ATS victory at home in their last game because these favorites are 161-125-7 ATS. We want to play ON NBA non-conference favorites coming off an ATS win at home as a favorite in their last game because these favorites are 125-94-6 ATS. With significant support on the fundamental side as well as strong situational support for the home team we will lay the chalk with the Trailblazers in Portland Saturday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Portland Trailblazers 114 Detroit Pistons 103
PICK MADE ON 1/7/2017 AT 4:37 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/7/2017 AT 11:38 PM EST
- - - - -
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, JANUARY 06, 2017 [refresh]
1/6/2017

10:30 PM EST
NBA
MIAMI HEAT VS. LOS ANGELES LAKERS

PICK: LOS ANGELES LAKERS -2.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: These two clubs were once a must see when Kobe and LeBron were on the floor for these two teams. Now it’s a do I have to watch this matchup situation and that is terrible for the league in general without the Lakers in contention especially. Our interest in this one is on the side and yes we are laying a small amount of chalk with the boys from the City of Angels tonight. The Lakers are coming off a tough loss at Portland Thursday night leading by double-digits in the first half but getting thumped 13 points to 1 point late ultimately losing 115 to 109. The Lakers youth keeps hurting them at the worst possible times. Instead of pushing the ball and setting screens like they did in the first half of the Blazers game they let the excitement of the lead take over and start trying to drop trey’s which cost them the lead. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 10.26 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 7.77 points with a line range of -2.5 to 4.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Rockets with a 73.89 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has LA with an offensive-defensive differential of +4.42 with a transitional average of 38.53 and a conversion rate range of 43.8 to 45.5 percent in tonight’s contest. The Heat are 0-13 ATS with no rest off a loss as a favorite in which 3 or fewer players scored in double digits. The Heat are 0-13 ATS (-8.96 ppg) at home with two or more days of rest after a win on the road in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least 8.2 percentage points higher than their season-to-date average. The Heat are 0-9 ATS (-8.33 ppg) with two or more days of rest off a win as a favorite in which they trailed at the end of each of the first three quarters. Now a check of the Lakers technical elements and we have a few for this particular situation. The Lakers are 11-0 ATS when they had more turnovers than assists for two straight games. The Lakers are 11-0 ATS (8.59 ppg) as a favorite with no rest after a game on the road in which they blocked at least 10 shots. The Lakers are 10-0 ATS (10.30 ppg) as a home favorite after a game in which they controlled 40% or less of the total rebounds. This game offered decent line value with the Lakers taking on the Heat on Friday night at Staples so lay the short price here. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Los Angeles Lakers 106 Miami Heat 98
PICK MADE ON 1/6/2017 AT 5:59 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/7/2017 AT 1:40 AM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, JANUARY 05, 2017 [refresh]
1/5/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. HOUSTON ROCKETS

PICK: HOUSTON ROCKETS -8 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: These two teams have already split a pair of clashes at The Peake with the Rockets winning the most recent back on December 9 by a mere three points. The Thunder have struggled of late losing three of their last four games overall including the first two on this three-game road swing. The Thunder just played on the East Coast with a loss coming at the hands of Charlotte last night losing 123 to 112 as two-point road underdogs. They then board a plane and travel to Houston for tonight’s contest while the Rockets have been off for two days. The Thunder are 3-7 ATS as road underdogs and Houston has put together a home record of 9-6 ATS when installed as chalk. Oklahoma City has lost seven of their last ten games with Houston dropping their last four visits here also losing those against the spread as well. In fact the Thunder are 0-8 against the spread their last eight meetings anywhere. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 16.08 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.93 points with a line range of -7.5 to 9.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Rockets with a 74.2 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Houston with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.79 with a transitional average of 40.0 and a conversion rate range of 45.14 to 47.78 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play AGAINST NBA teams coming off ATS losses as underdogs in their last two games and now play as a conference underdog because these pups are 50-78-2 ATS. If our play AGAINST team lost those games SU on the road their record drops to 9-22 ATS in this situation. With solid support from the history of the series as well as strong fundamental advantages we will lay the chalk on Thursday night in Houston. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Houston Rockets 119 Oklahoma City Thunder 102
PICK MADE ON 1/5/2017 AT 5:59 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/5/2017 AT 10:58 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/5/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
MINNESOTA VS. NORTHWESTERN

PICK: NORTHWESTERN -3.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Minnesota Golden Gophers travel to Evanston to take on the hometown Wildcats of Northwestern. The Gophers have lost six of their last seven visits to Evanston and the Cats have won the last three meetings by six, twenty-five and twenty-four points. The Cats have been on a nice run of late overall winning nine of their last ten games losing their last by nine at the Spartans of Michigan State. The Cats have been bouncing back from a loss especially when they lost both straight up and against the spread with the oddsmakers hanging the home favorite tag on them in their next game has been money in the bank with a perfect 6-0 record against the spread. If the Cats lost on the road in their last game and are now installed as a conference home favorite the Wildcats are a perfect 8-0 ATS. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 11.63 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 9.22 points with a line range of -3.0 to 5.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Wildcats with a 73.81 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Northwestern with an offensive-defensive differential of +6.9 with a transitional average of 41.04 and a conversion rate range of 43.7 to 45.8 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play AGAINST CBB teams coming off a SU and ATS win on the road in their last game and are now playing on the division road because these teams are 43-67-2 ATS. We want to play AGAINST CBB division road underdogs coming off a game on the road that went Over the posted total because these road underdogs are 39-59-1 ATS in their next outing. We will back the better overall team and lay the short number with the Wildcats at home on Thursday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Northwestern Wildcats 82 Minnesota Gophers 69
PICK MADE ON 1/5/2017 AT 6:00 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/5/2017 AT 11:19 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, JANUARY 03, 2017 [refresh]
1/3/2017

8:30 PM EST
NBA
TORONTO RAPTORS VS. SAN ANTONIO SPURS

PICK: TORONTO RAPTORS +6.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: This contest features two teams that are on top of their respective divisions from the two difference conferences with one from the east and one from the west. The Spurs fell to the Atlanta Hawks on the road 114 to 112 in overtime Sunday, a loss that ended San Antonio's four-game win streak. On the other end Toronto will bring a full head of steam into the Alamo City after a 123 to 114 win over the Lakers at Staples Center Sunday. Kyle Lowry poured in forty-one points and DeMar DeRozan combined for seventy-two points as the Raptors halted their two-game losing skid. The Momentum Index has the Spurs trending just above the Mendoza line with that loss to the Hawks and the fact it put an end to a four-game winning streak. While the Raptors are trending in positive territory prior to their win in the City of Angels on Sunday even though they were riding a two-game losing skid. Toronto’s momentum numbers projected that short term losing skid was coming to an end their numbers were still holding in positive territory during that mini losing streak. It should come as no surprise that the Raptors are sitting atop their respective division. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 0.72 points. The MM projects a point differential of -7.1 points against the current line range of +6.0 to +8.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Toronto Raptors with a 73.8 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. With solid support across all primary and secondary indexes as well as strong situational support we will take the points in tonight’s contest. The Raptors get the call as the play in San Antonio on Tuesday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Toronto Raptors 114 San Antonio Spurs 115
PICK MADE ON 1/3/2017 AT 5:55 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/3/2017 AT 11:18 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/3/2017

8:30 PM EST
NCAAB
ALABAMA VS. MISSISSIPPI ST

PICK: OVER 131 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Crimson Tide have dominated this series of late winning six of the last seven meetings with Mississippi State. The Tide has been installed as a two-point road underdog and we note they are 7-0 Over their last seven in this situation. They are also trending to the high side when playing away from the Capstone with a record of 10-4 Over their last fourteen road games. The Bulldogs have been trending to the high side when coming off a straight up win in their last game posting a record of 6-2 Over in this situation. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 138.6 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +10.06 points against a total range of 129.0 to 131.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 73.7 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of 8.66 with a transitional average of 41.3 and a conversion rate range of 44.23 to 46.41 percent in tonight’s contest. The combination of these key factors all pointing to this one finishing on the high side makes this an easy call on the Over. The Tide and the Bulldogs have a transitional average that is higher when they face one another then their season-to-date average. This has held true the last couple of seasons and it will once again factor into the total. That combination of numbers has normally produced the same outcome and we will not go against their numbers here. 5* Over
PICK MADE ON 1/3/2017 AT 5:55 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/3/2017 AT 10:59 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, JANUARY 02, 2017 [refresh]
1/2/2017

8:30 PM EST
NCAAF
AUBURN VS. OKLAHOMA

PICK: AUBURN +2 (-110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Sugar Bowl features the Auburn Tigers from the SEC and the Oklahoma Sooners from the Big 12. The Tigers are known this season for their outstanding defense under head coach Gus Malzahn it is usually the Tiger offense that gets all the attention. Towards the end of the regular season the offense was getting a lot of attention but it wasn’t good news they were without their two star offensive players QB Sean White and RB Kamryn Pettway who are both healthy now and will play tonight. We expect both to have huge games against a suspect Sooners defense that allowed 29.7 points and 440 total yards on 5.9 yards per play in the 2016 season. Oklahoma also allowed 38.3 points and 512 yards per game on 6.6 yards per play when playing away from Norman this season. The Sooners gave up 272 rushing yards on 6.8 yards per carry in their last three games to end the regular season and if that type of play continues tonight as we expect it to Pettway will run them out of the Big Easy. This kid missed three games this season but prior to that he rushed for 1123 yards on 6.1 yards per carry in nine games. We are well aware of the Oklahoma’s defensive numbers inside the Red Zone but one must remember these numbers came against suspect teams such as Texas, Iowa State, Baylor, and Kansas these teams were also part of the Sooners recent nine game winning streak so the level of importance in their current streak is low. We know the Sooners have a QB, RB depth at key positions on offense but there again those numbers are inflated because of their strength of schedule. This Sooners team suffered two double-digit losses this season which has not been done since the mid-nineties by any Sooners team. The Tigers defense limited opponents to just 15.6 points per game with 14.3 points per game average when playing away from the plains. Overall the Tigers field the number five defense in the country and their average yards per point differential is significant and will play a huge roll in this game tonight. Auburn’s defense had an average yards per point of 22.4 with 22.7 yards per point on the road this season. Both are outstanding averages for a defensive unit. On the tech front we know Auburn is 5-0 against the spread their last non-conference contests and 4-0 ats following a loss. The Tigers are 4-1 ats their last five bowl games. Oklahoma is 0-5 against the number their last five non-conference games, 3-7 ats their last ten bowl games and 0-6 ats playing on a neutral field. The Sooners are 1-5 ats facing SEC teams in a bowl game. Auburn is a perfect 4-0 ats as a bowl underdog and 3-0 straight up versus Big 12 Conference foes. We want to play AGAINST CFB bowl favorites coming off three or more spread victories facing an opponent that scored twenty-one or fewer points in their season-finale and their defense allows less than twenty-two and half points per game. These CFB Bowl Favorites are a miserable 3-21 ats in this situation. The Auburn Tigers are 9-3-1 ats covering the spread by 6.62 points per game since December 2015. We want to play ON a CFB Bowl underdog of more than 1 point off a shutout SU win in its next to last game vs. an opponent off a SU win & ATS win of more than 2 points. These Bowl Underdogs are 14-2 ats winning 87.5 percent of the time against the spread. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 4.89 points. The MM projects a point differential of -8.42 points against the current line range of +2.0 to +4.5. The SIM Matrix has the Tigers with a 74.4 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. The Oklahoma Sooners are trending in negative territory based on our Reverse Momentum Index while the Auburn Tigers have held positive territory even though they suffered a tough loss to their hated in-state rival Alabama in their last game. When you have a high profile team such as Oklahoma coming into a bowl game riding a monster winning streak the line is normally inflated and that is the case here. The combination of all these factors points to only one outcome so we will take the points with the Auburn Tigers in the Big Easy on Monday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5.5* Auburn Tigers 27 Oklahoma Sooners 22
PICK MADE ON 1/2/2017 AT 5:01 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/3/2017 AT 1:00 AM EST
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 01, 2017 [refresh]
1/1/2017

1:00 PM EST
NFL
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS

PICK: CINCINNATI BENGALS +1 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: We have two teams that are out of the playoffs and headed home for the offseason when the final gun goes off in this one. The Ravens suffered what could possibly be their worst loss in franchise history last week well maybe not that bad but it is certainly close. The Ravens had their playoff hopes dependent on their matchup last week with the Pittsburgh Steelers and carried a 20 to 10 lead into the final quarter of play. The Ravens had the game go nine seconds to long because the Steelers stole the win with nine ticks left on the clock to grab the victory 31 to 27. The Bengals are also coming off a tough loss but it wasn’t playoff related because the Bengals have been out of the hunt for quite some time now. Cincinnati missed a field goal on the final play of the game against the Texans last week to lose by two points. Even though the Bengals have been out of the playoff picture they have continued to play hard for head coach Marvin Lewis who has been rumored to be retiring after the regular season ends tonight. The Bengals are 10-1 against the spread after being held to ten or fewer points in their last game. A check of powerful NFL database reveals a trio of power systems that are active for this game. In Game 16, play ON a non-Saturday home underdog off a road contest (not an underdog of 3+ points) in its last game. This system has a record of 16-1 ATS for 94.1 percent winners against the spread. In Game 16, play ON a home team (not a favorite of 2+ points or an underdog of more than 2 points) with a TOTAL under 43 points. This system has a record of 19-3 ATS for 86.4 percent winners against the number. Play ON a non-winless, non-Saturday home underdog of less than 4 points with a TOTAL under 44 points off a SU loss (not as an underdog of 10+ points) scoring and allowing less than 15 points last week. This system has a record of 23-5 ATS for 82.1 percent winners against the oddsmakers number in this one. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 6.78 points. The MM projects a point differential of 8.07 points against the current line range of +1.0 to +3.0 points. The SIM Matrix has the Cincinnati Bengals with a 73.58 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. Cincinnati is 9-2 straight up and 8-3 against the number their last eleven times hosting in this series versus the Black Birds. With strong situational elements to go with our power systems we will take the point or points here with the hometown Bengals as they go out with a victory. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Cincinnati Bengals 21 Baltimore Ravens 17
PICK MADE ON 1/1/2017 AT 11:34 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/1/2017 AT 4:18 PM EST
+4.76
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2016 [refresh]
12/31/2016

7:00 PM EST
NCAAF
OHIO STATE VS. CLEMSON

PICK: CLEMSON +2.5 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Clemson Tigers continue to close in on the championship game after getting there last year and coming up short they want another shot at it and they just may get it with a repeat of last season’s game if Alabama can get past Washington and the Tigers can send Meyer and his Buckeyes packing. They better not look past Meyer and his troops though they are a solid talented well-coached program. Many question if the Buckeyes even deserve this chance tonight they didn’t win their conference and they lost to the team that won the conference title. Well the committee put them in and they are ready to play this game. The Buckeyes are led by QB Barrett, who has thrown for 2,428 yards this season with a TD/INT ratio of 24 to 5. A huge part of the Buckeyes offense last season is playing in the Dallas Cowboys backfield running back Ezekiel Elliott has made the transition to the pros look easy that goes to show how talented the kid really is and what the Buckeyes are missing with him gone. Clemson is led by QB Deshaun Watson who should have won the Heisman this year because the kid from Louisville was the wrong player to win it, which that is of course just our opinion but we can give a list a mile long why he didn’t deserve the trophy much less the list we could create of why Watson was the correct choice. Watson is 30-3 as a starter for the Tigers and the only quarterback to lead his team to the College Football Playoff in back-to-back seasons. The fact we have a bowl team that lost the national title game last season is important in that those teams are 6-3 straight up and a money-making 7-2 against the spread as long as they are not favored by six or more points. We note bowl favorites coming in off an against the spread loss in their last game are only 1-6 against the spread in this situation. Clemson is 30-12 against the spread when installed as an underdog. We want to play ON pre-New Years Day bowl underdogs in the current price range with a higher win percentage than their opponent coming off a SU win of ten or fewer points. Playing on these underdogs has produced a record of 30-9-2 against the spread. Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney is a perfect 6-0 against the spread in neutral site games when his team is installed as the underdog. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 4.37 points. The MM projects a point differential of -7.7 points against the current line range of +2.0 to +4.0. The SIM Matrix has the Tigers with a 74.11 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. The Clemson Tigers are 1-0 ATS as an underdog this season and a long term record of 58-35 ATS including 5-1 ATS their last six installed as the pup. We note that Big Ten bowl favorites are 2-6 straight up and a money burning 0-8-1 against the spread when facing teams from the ACC. Dabo Swinney and his coaching staff made no effort to hide the fact after last years heartbreaking loss to Alabama in the championship game they had every intention of returning this season. For the Clemson Tigers other than a small blip at home versus Pitt they have taken care of business and we expect them to come into this game tonight focused and singled-minded as a unit with only one purpose, advance. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Clemson Tigers 37 Ohio State Buckeyes 34
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2016 AT 1:49 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/31/2016 AT 10:57 PM EST
+4.35
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2016 [refresh]
12/30/2016

3:30 PM EST
NCAAF
NEBRASKA VS. TENNESSEE

PICK: OVER 60 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Music City Bowl features the Cornhuskers of Nebraska taking on the Volunteers of Tennessee on Friday afternoon in Nashville. This game has seen considerable line and total movement with injuries and then a suspension all causing some volatility in the numbers. The total and side seem to have settled somewhat now that the questions about injuries and suspensions have been answered. Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong is doubtful and WR Jordan Westerkamp we knew was going to miss but you can now add the second leading tackler on the Huskers defense safety Nate Gerry to the list of will not play he has been suspended for this game. Nebraska averages 27.0 points per game on 388 yards per game while allowing 23.0 points per game and 352 yards per game on the season. Their offense has yards per point average of 14.4 with their defense allowing 15.3 yards per point. Tennessee averages 36.0 points per game on 439 yards per game with their defense giving up 460 yards per game which produced an average of 29.0 points per game on the season. The Vols average yards per point for the season was 12.2 with their defensive average yards per point was 15.9 on the year. When you read a score history of the two teams it reads like an offensive explosion occurred almost every time they took the field with scores like 43 to 10, 52 to 17, 49 to 10, 38 to 45, 49 to 36, 40 to 10, 62 to 3, 34 to 45 and 63 to 37. That is a combination of some of the games these two teams were involved in this season and we expect nothing different today. Our TPR Index projects a game total advantage of 67.72 points. The MM projects a game total differential of +9.87 point against the current total range of 59.0 to 61.5. The SIM Matrix has the Over in this contest with a 73.9 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in today’s contest. With strong fundamental indicators as well as strong situational support we will play this one to finish on the high side of the oddsmakers number today. Over PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* OVER 60 Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Tennessee Volunteers
PICK MADE ON 12/30/2016 AT 2:35 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/30/2016 AT 7:39 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
12/30/2016

8:00 PM EST
NCAAF
FLORIDA STATE VS. MICHIGAN

PICK: FLORIDA STATE +7 (-120)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Florida State Seminoles went quiet after an early season blowout loss to Louisville. For the most part that loss was such a shock to the system that they really had no chance at all at the playoffs. The Seminoles had two more losses and both could have easily gone their way with North Carolina hitting a game winning 55-yard field goal on the last play to steal the victory. In the loss to Clemson if not for a late penalty and a dumb penalty at that they could have come away with the win in that one as well. Those losses help us with line value whereas the oddsmakers have not penalized the Wolverines for their questionable play at times and their losses. Michigan was away from home only four times this season with one of those at Rutgers where someone said they have a football team but we find no evidence of that but they did give Michigan a that weekend so there must be a team that took the field. The go on the road to Michigan State and fail to cover the spread and then lose at Iowa as a three-touchdown favorite. In their matchup with the Buckeyes it appeared they were the better overall team that night but they certainly didn’t make the plays they needed to for a win. That is why Ohio State is in the playoffs and hothead Harbaugh’s team is playing in the Orange Bowl on December 30. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 1.42 points. The MM projects a point differential of -8.9 points against the current line range of +7.0 to +9.0. The SIM Matrix has the Seminoles with a 73.7 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. The Seminoles are 20-4 against the spread in bowl games facing an opponent with a win percentage of 910 or less. If the Noles are installed as underdogs in that situation they are a perfect 8-0 against the number. Big Ten bowl favorites have found the going tough when facing teams from the ACC posting a record of 2-6 straight up and 0-7-1 against the number. The FSU Seminoles will not have to look hard for motivation in this one and Michigan is staring back at what could have been whereas the Seminoles got that out of the way when they lost to Louisville earlier in the season. The loss to Ohio State is still very fresh in the minds of this Wolverines team and the fact they were not given a spot in the playoff. FSU is 7-1 ATS in bowl games when their opponent is coming in off a SU loss in their last game. With the edge in talent and team speed to go along with the situation these teams find themselves we have to back the Seminoles on Friday night in the Orange Bowl. Take the points PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* FSU Seminoles +7.0 over Michigan Wolverines
PICK MADE ON 12/30/2016 AT 2:36 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/31/2016 AT 12:20 AM EST
+4.17
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2016 [refresh]
12/29/2016

5:30 PM EST
NCAAF
ARKANSAS VS. VIRGINIA TECH

PICK: ARKANSAS +7 (-110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Belk Bowl in Charlotte North Carolina features ACC representative Virginia Tech Hokies taking on SEC representative Arkansas Razorbacks. The Hokies under 1st year head coach Justin Fuente posted a 9-4 season record. The Hokies played Clemson in the ACC Championship Game and missed an opportunity to tie the game late eventually losing 42 to 35. Although this is a Clemson team that barely defeated Auburn in the first game of the season and then gave up 24 to Troy State eventually winning 30 to 24 and lost at home to Pittsburgh late in the season 43 to 42. Clemson suffered some key losses to their lineups after last year’s run at the championship and they have not been nearly as dominate. The reason we mention that is because you do not want to give the Hokies too much credit for keeping the game close with the Tigers. In fact this group of Hokies has really struggled at times losing by double-digits to a horrible Syracuse team and a not much better Georgia Tech team. The Hokies are still solid on defense but Arkansas is built up front like Pitt and the Hokies admit they have struggled against Pitt (1-4 ATS) and Clemson who both have huge bodies up front just like the Razorbacks. Arkansas’ offensive line averages six foot five inches and 327 pounds and will take on the Hokies defensive line which comes in with 260, 280, 297 and 264 pound linemen. Arkansas has struggled on the defensive side of the ball this season and the one positive the Razorbacks dominated time of possession when their offense is on the field. Arkansas uses their offense to run the clock and they have done a nice job grabbing more than sixty percent of the available time of possession during the first half of all their games. This has a dual effect on your opponent it wears their defense down and allows the Hogs rushing attack to control the game. We mentioned the Tech defense being tough they average allowing just 3.9 yards per carry this season but against Tennessee, Duke and Notre Dame they allowed an average of 222 yards rushing on 5.2 yards per carry. Arkansas RB Rawleigh Williams who has 1326 yards on the season at 5.7 yards per carry should find some running room behind that big offensive line. The Momentum Index also projects the Razorbacks with the advantage in this contest. When you have a team that is playing their fourteenth game of the season and their opponent playing their thirteenth game of the season the team playing fewer games has the edge in most cases. In fact the team playing their fourteenth game in a December bowl game means they must have lost in their conference championship game. That is the case here as the Hokies lost to the Tigers of Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. These teams installed as favorites have posted a record of 17-29 ATS. It is a huge letdown to lose in your conference championship game especially a close game like the one the Hokies played. Arkansas is also coming off a loss in their final regular season matchup against Missouri. This bowl game gives them a chance to take down a team that played in their conference championship game so there is a different level of motivation on the side of the Razorbacks. We know SEC bowl underdogs of four or more points are 16-4 ATS when coming in off a straight up loss in their last game. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 1.78 points. The MM projects a point differential of -8.27 points against the current line range of +7.0 to +8.0. The SIM Matrix has the Razorbacks with a 74.4 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. A check of our database reveals a system that tells us to Play AGAINST a Bowl favorite of more than 4 points with less than 29 days rest coming off a Conference Championship SU loss (not as a favorite of 20+ points). These bowl favorites are 5-16 ATS failing to cover the spread by -8.64 points per game. Virginia Tech covered the spread in just two of its final six games as a favorite including two straight up losses as a double-digit favorite. We want to play ON a Bowl SEC underdog of more than two points with less than thirty-six days rest versus an ACC opponent. These SEC underdogs have posted a record of 14-4 ATS for 77.8 percent winners against the spread covering the spread by 11.47 points per game. The primary and secondary metrics favor the Arkansas Razorbacks in this situation along with strong technical and situational elements all calling for a play on the Hogs on Thursday in the Belk Bowl. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5.5* Arkansas Razorbacks 39 Virginia Tech Hokies 37
PICK MADE ON 12/29/2016 AT 1:24 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/29/2016 AT 9:58 PM EST
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 28, 2016 [refresh]
12/28/2016

2:00 PM EST
NCAAF
NORTHWESTERN VS. PITTSBURGH

PICK: NORTHWESTERN +3.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 12/28/2016 AT 1:45 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/28/2016 AT 5:59 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
12/28/2016

8:00 PM EST
NBA
BROOKLYN NETS VS. CHICAGO BULLS

PICK: UNDER 212.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Chicago Bulls have made a habit recently of routing this Nets team with two last season although they did suffer a lone surprise loss in their other meeting last season as a 10.5-point favorite they picked up this season with the routes again defeating the Nets on Halloween by thirty points at the Barclays Center. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 204.03 points. The BMM projects a game total differential of -9.21 points against a game total range of 212.0 to 214.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the two teams with an offensive-defensive differential of 8.7 and a transitional average of 40.35 and a conversion rate range of 43.72 to 45.48 percent in tonight’s contest. Brooklyn coming off a game in which they were a home underdog and now play on the conference road the Under has gone 32-53 Under. If that game at home went Over the posted total the Under is 16-36 Under in the current situation. If the Bulls are coming in their game with Brooklyn having won SU and ATS in their last game and are now a home favorite the Under has been money with a record of 1-7 Under. When the Bulls current opponent is coming off a game in which they scored at least 100 points the Under has gone 6-20-1 Under. Finally we note the Bulls facing Eastern Conference foes have seen the Under cash at a rate of 8-21 the last twenty-nine contests. With solid support from all primary and secondary indexes as well as strong historical and technical elements all favoring the low side of the oddsmakers number we will play this one to come up well short of that total. Under PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* UNDER 212.5 Brooklyn Nets vs. Chicago Bulls
PICK MADE ON 12/28/2016 AT 5:59 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/28/2016 AT 10:58 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
12/28/2016

8:30 PM EST
NCAAF
INDIANA VS. UTAH

PICK: UNDER 54 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Foster Farms Bowl in Santa Clara California features the Hoosiers of Indiana taking on the Utes of Utah. The Indiana Hoosiers have made it to back-to-back bowl seasons for only the second time over the preceding twenty-three years. The players for Indiana are in a dangerous positon in that they could very easily become complacent and overconfident. The Hoosiers lost their star QB Sudfeld from last year but the kid that took his place Lagow has almost matched his passing numbers with the one huge exception TD to INT ratio. Sudfeld was solid with a 24 to 5 touchdown to interception ratio last season while Lagow has not been nearly as effective with a record of 18 touchdowns to 16 interceptions. The improvement for the Hoosiers this season has been on the defensive side of the ball coming from 112 nationally in total defense to 41st and 117 to 57th in scoring defense which is a remarkable one year turn around for this Hoosiers defense. Utah can run the football they average 44 attempts on the road with an average of 232 yards per game overland. That ability to run the football allows the Utah offense to control the game clock with a huge edge on time of possession. This keeps their defense fresh and the opponent’s offense off the field. The Hoosiers offense only averages 21.6 points per game on the road and those points take a maximum effort with an average of 18.4 yards per point. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 47.2 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -8.36 points against a total range of 54.5 to 56.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Under with a 73.8 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Momentum Index has the Hoosiers trending in negative territory with a game total average of 41.44 points which is well below the posted total of 55.0. The Utes on the other hand have a Momentum Index game total average which is a little closer to the oddsmakers number with a 50.7 game total average for this contest. The combination of these elements point to only one outcome and that is to play this one to finish on the low side of the oddsmakers total in tonights Foster Farms Bowl in Santa Clara California. Under PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* UNDER 55.0 Indiana Hoosiers vs. Utah Utes
PICK MADE ON 12/28/2016 AT 1:45 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/29/2016 AT 12:36 AM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, DECEMBER 27, 2016 [refresh]
12/27/2016

3:30 PM EST
NCAAF
WAKE FOREST VS. TEMPLE

PICK: WAKE FOREST +12.5 (-115)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Temple Owls are playing in the second of back-to-back bowl games for the first time in school history. That’s the good news the bad news for the Owls the head coach that led them to the making of school history has left at the conclusion of the regular season to take the head coaching job at Baylor. Several of his assistant coaches are also making the move but are currently pulling double duty until the bowl game is over. The Owls will be led in the bowl game by special teams coach Ed Foley who is acting as interim head coach for the bowl game. Less than a month ago these same Owls played on this field defeating Navy so a return trip to this locale is not the vacation bowl trip these kids had in mind. The Temple Owls had a remarkable season going 10-3 straight up and an 11-1 against the spread mark. All that does for them here is inflate the line for their backers and give us solid line value for an overpriced team in this situation. Wake Forest came into the 2016 season with sixteen returning starters and got out of the gate quick posting a 4-0 record with upset victories at Indiana and Duke. All six of the Deacons losses came against bowl teams and this group went a perfect 3-0 against the number versus the ACC’s top teams Louisville, FSU and Clemson. Bowl teams that lost their final three games of the regular season are 11-3 against the spread when facing an opponent who is coming off back-to-back straight up and against the spread victories. We also note bowl teams who ended the season going 5-0 both straight up and against the spread are just 1-7 straight up and against the spread versus teams coming off a SU and ATS loss in their last game. We want to play ON double-digit bowl teams because they are 22-8 against the spread the last thirty qualifying contests. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 5.58 points. The MM projects a point differential of -7.2 points against the current line range of +12.0 to +14.0. The SIM Matrix has the Demon Deacons with a 73.14 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in todays contest. Both teams strength comes from their respective defenses which should translate into a low scoring affair and one that is much closer than the line the oddsmakers posted on this contest. In a low scoring affair we will back the double-digit underdog with a strong defensive unit. Take the points on Tuesday with the Demon Deacons. PROJECTED FORECAST: 4.5* Wake Forest Demon Deacons 19 Temple Owls 26
PICK MADE ON 12/27/2016 AT 12:49 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2016 AT 7:37 PM EST
+3.91
[report pick]
12/27/2016

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
RUTGERS VS. WISCONSIN

PICK: OVER 128 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights travel to Madison to take on the hometown Badgers on Tuesday night. Our focus in this one is on the total the oddsmakers have assigned a 127.5 point total for tonight’s matchup and our numbers project a higher score in the end. The last three seasons have seen the Over cash in both contests between the two clubs and we expect number three tonight. The Badgers have averaged 81.4 points per game at home this season versus teams that allow an average of just 75.2 points per game. Rutgers has averaged 73.4 points per game overall and 65.4 points per game away from home this season. Over the last five games the Knights have averaged 72.2 points per game while Wisconsin has averaged 84.8 points per game over the same span of five games. Rutgers when playing in conference games have posted a record of 25-12 Over. Rutgers has posted a record of 29-18 Over when installed as a road underdog and 12-2 Over if they are a road underdog in the current price range. When they have taken to the highway Rutgers has seen the high side cash at a rate of 15-8 overall. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 134.8 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +8.89 points against a total range of 127.0 to 129.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 73.6 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of +6.77 with a transitional average of 41.98 and a conversion rate range of 45.5 to 47.9 percent in tonights contest. We note that Rutgers coming off an ATS loss in their last game now playing as an underdog have gone 58-36-2 Over. If they are installed as a road underdog that record is 34-19-1 Over. The Knights coming off a game on the road and now playing away from home again and installed as an underdog they have seen the Over cash at a rate of 20-9 Over the last twenty-nine qualifying contests. The combination of these factors makes this an easy call to play this one to finish on the high side in Madison on Tuesday night. Over PROJECTED FORECAST: 4.5* OVER 128.0 Rutgers Knights vs. Wisconsin Badgers
PICK MADE ON 12/27/2016 AT 4:46 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2016 AT 9:20 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
12/27/2016

7:30 PM EST
NBA
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS. BOSTON CELTICS

PICK: UNDER 199.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Memphis Grizzlies and the Boston Celtics just faced off in Memphis last week with the Celtics and Grizzlies needing an extra period to decide the winner in that one as the Celtics finally put down the Grizzlies in overtime 112 to 109. In that game the Grizzlies controlled the boards with a 52 to 41 advantage but it wasn’t enough because the Celtics held the edge in free throws converting 34 to just 21 by Memphis. Boston point guard Isaiah Thomas had a career high forty-four points in the game converting all seventeen of his free throws as well. We expect the Grizzlies to clean that up for this meeting I do not look for them to be sending Thomas to the charity stripe tonight. Memphis played in Orlando last night losing to the Magic 112 to 102 as three-point road favorites. In the first meeting with Boston back on December 20 the Grizzlies traveled and played the next night on the road in Detroit. They were able to grab the victory over the Pistons 98 to 86 as six-point road underdogs but our interest in that game is the fact they went Under the posted total. We have a similar situation with the one exception both games have been on the road this time whereas they were home versus Boston in the first meeting and then traveled to Detroit. We have said it many times revenge is the most over used theory in sports investing and the Grizzlies have what would be considered legitimate revenge in basketball but we do not buy that theory often especially in the NBA it has to be the right situation. We are not playing the side in this game and if we were it would not be based on that loss by Memphis at home versus the Celtics a week ago. Our focus is on the total and we see a defensive struggle in this one with the Grizzlies making some changes from the first meeting in how they defend. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 193.14 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -9.63 points against a total range of 199.0 to 201.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Under with a 74.08 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Under with an offensive-defensive differential of -8.47 with a transitional average of 40.42 and a conversion rate range of 41.32 to 43.79 percent in tonights contest. Boston coming off an ATS win in their last game and now play in the current price range their games have gone Under 37-64-1 Under in this situation. If they are installed as the favorite in this situation the record is 18-33-1 Under. Boston installed as the favorite and coming off two previous games in which they were the favorite the Under has produced a record of 26-46-1 Under if they were installed as the favorite in their three previous games the Under has a record of 15-36-1 Under. If Memphis is coming off a road game in which they were the favorite and now play in the current price range the Under has gone 3-21 Under including a perfect 0-7 Under if they are now installed as an underdog. We want to play Under on NBA non-conference underdogs coming off an ATS loss on the road in their last game because these games have a record of 47-71-2 Under. We want to play Under on non-conference home favorites who are coming off a SU win on the road as a favorite in their last game because these games have gone 22-42-1 Under. With strong situational support for the low side of the oddsmakers number as well as fundamental advantages that point to a lower scoring game than what is projected we will play the Under in Boston on Tuesday night. Under PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* UNDER 199.5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics
PICK MADE ON 12/27/2016 AT 4:45 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2016 AT 10:19 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, DECEMBER 26, 2016 [refresh]
12/26/2016

2:30 PM EST
NCAAF
MARYLAND VS. BOSTON COLLEGE

PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE +2 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit Michigan will take place on Ford Field Monday afternoon and feature the Boston College Eagles taking on the Terrapins of Maryland. The Eagles started the 2016 campaign with a 3-4 SU record over their first seven games of the season. They used an upset victory over North Carolina State to help propel them to the final two victories of the season which were needed for the Eagles to go bowling. In those last two wins they defeated Connecticut 30 to 0 as eight-point favorites and they won at Wake Forest 17 to 14 as a three and half point road underdog. For Maryland after opening the season with four victories and hanging fifty points on Purdue the Terrapins thought they were well on their way to a monster season. They certainly never dreamed they would be playing Boston College the day after Christmas. This type of disappointment is not the kind you can put in the back of your mind and play through it as if it isn’t there. Whereas the Eagles coming off a horrible season last year and not making a bowl game has plenty of emotion and momentum heading into Monday’s contest. The Terrapins defense let the team down this season allowing an average of 448 yards per game and 510 yards per game when playing away from home. Of that yardage the Terrapins defense allows 230 plus overland which plays right into the hands of a BC offense that wants to control the ball and the timeclock to keep their defense rested. The BC defense ranks ninth in the nation holding their opponent to ninety-six yards below their season average. The Eagles defense allows their opponents 311 yards per game on average this season. The case could be made that the Eagles defense didn’t face the toughest schedule but they did hold the option attack of Georgia Tech to seventeen points in Dublin and held NC State to a mere fourteen points on the road. MD HC Durkin is in his first season and we know 1st year coaches are only 2-13 against the spread in bowl games facing an opponent who is coming in off a straight up win as an underdog. Another key tech element goes against the Terps here as Big Ten bowl favorites are just 2-6 SU and 0-7-1 ATS versus teams from the ACC. Bowl underdogs coming off back-to-back wins who won three or fewer games last season are 19-8 against the number. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 4.82 points in favor of the Eagles. The MM projects a point differential of -7.63 points against the current line range of +2.0 to +4.0 points. The SIM Matrix has the Boston College Eagles with a 73.4 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. A check of our powerful college football database reveals two league-wide systems that are active for today’s game. We want to Play AGAINST a Bowl team (not an underdog of 6+ points) seeking revenge for 3 SU losses in the last 3 matchups within the last 12 seasons versus an opponent not off a SU loss of SU loss of twenty-five or more points. These bowl teams have posted a record of 2-14 ATS in this situation. We want to Play ON a Bowl underdog of more than 1 point off a shutout SU win in its next to last game versus an opponent off a SU & ATS win of more than two points. These bowl underdogs have posted a record of 13-2 ATS for 86.7 percent winners in this situation. The Boston College Eagles qualify in our Reverse Momentum Index with a momentum average of 7.3 out of a possible 10.0. Our Momentum Index has Boston College trending in positive territory while the Terrapins are solidly in negative territory with no signs of changing that now. With the underdog holding most of the key elements which normally translate into a victory for that underdog we will take the points with the Boston College Eagles on Monday. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Boston College Eagles 21 Maryland Terrapins 16
PICK MADE ON 12/26/2016 AT 1:18 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/26/2016 AT 6:57 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
12/26/2016

8:00 PM EST
NBA
INDIANA PACERS VS. CHICAGO BULLS

PICK: UNDER 207 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Indiana Pacers travel to the Second City for a game against the hometown Chicago Bulls on Monday night. Pacers forward Paul George and his teammates have dropped back-to-back games to drop one game below the Mendoza Line at .500. George spoke recently to the Indianapolis Star where he said their team identity is inconsistency. The team they face tonight is suffering from the same problem inconsistency. The Bulls have lost three straight games and six of their last seven to fall two games below the Mendoza Line. One of if not the biggest reason for the Bulls recent downward spiral has to be their lack of scoring the basketball failing to score one-hundred points in five of their last seven games. In the most simplistic of terms you cannot win unless you score the ball and that has been a huge problem for this Bulls squad. Chicago coming off at least two road games now play a conference game at home have gone Under at a rate of 24-41-2 Under. In the current price range the total record is 3-13-1 Under in the same situation. If the Bulls lost those two road games and face a conference foe at home their total record is 3-14-1 Under. If they are installed as a home favorite in the same situation the total record is 1-9-1 Under. In the two losses on the road for the Bulls in their last two games if they also lost against the spread in both their total record in the current situation is 1-13-1 Under including 0-9-1 if they are installed as a home favorite in the current game. The Pacers coming off three straight against the spread losses and now play a conference game have gone Under at a rate of 20-35-2 Under including 0-5 Under if they are now installed as a conference underdog. Indiana coming off a game that went Over the posted total and now face the Bulls the total has produced a record of 3-15-1 Under including 1-10-1 Under if they are installed as an underdog and 1-7-1 Under if they are playing in Chicago. Our bTPR Index projects a game total average of 199.43 points. The bMM projects a total point differential of -9.19 points against the current total range of 207.0 to 209.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 73.36 percent advantage in tonight’s contest. With both teams having problems with consistency and a major portion of that problem is their inability to score the ball we will play this one to finish on the low side of the oddsmakers total. Under PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* UNDER 207.0 Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls
PICK MADE ON 12/26/2016 AT 4:58 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/26/2016 AT 11:01 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, DECEMBER 25, 2016 [refresh]
12/25/2016

4:30 PM EST
NFL
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

PICK: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -5.5 (-115)

RISK: 6 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: We have a huge battle in the AFC North on Christmas Day as the Baltimore Ravens travel to the Steel City and face off against the hometown Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers looked to be in trouble their last time out they were on the road in the Queen City taking on divisional rival Cincinnati Bengals and trailing 20 to 6 in the second quarter. The yardage was not close with the Steelers holding a huge advantage with 382 yards to the Bengals 222 total yards for the game. In the end the Steelers using six field goals left the Queen City with a victory. The Ravens come into today’s game having had just enough to get past a pesky Eagles team last week at home. The Eagles actually had a chance to come away with the victory with four seconds left on the clock they failed on a game winning two-point conversion. The Steelers went into Baltimore earlier this season with an injured Big Ben who was making his return to the lineup even though he wasn’t 100 percent. The Ravens led by three touchdowns before a late rally by Big Ben and his Steelers coming up just short on the scoreboard. This is not good news for the Black Birds because they are 1-5 ATS in their first of back-to-back road games when playing into revenge. We want to play on the Steelers in the first of back-to-back home games and the second of back-to-back division games because they are 10-2 ATS in this situation. Pittsburgh is 7-0-1 ATS at home coming off a road win in which Big Ben threw for at least two-hundred and fifty yards. We want to back the Steelers and Big Ben as a home favorite of four or more points facing a team coming off a straight up victory because the Steelers are 11-3-1 ATS in this situation and 8-0-1 ATS if the game is past Week Ten of the season. The Steelers are 11-0 ATS as a favorite on grass over a divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they had a negative DPS. The Steelers have won the battle of possession the last three weeks, they are consistently holding teams to twenty points or less and the Steelers rushing attack is averaging 149.6 yards per game since Week Eleven. The Steelers are 9-0-2 ATS off a road game after they converted at least five third down situations. The Steelers are 9-0 ATS after a game in which they had no turnovers and were installed as a favorite. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 12.95 points. The MM projects a point differential of 8.72 points against the current line range of -5.0 to -7.0 points. The SIM Matrix has the Pittsburgh Steelers with a 74.97 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. The Baltimore Ravens qualify in our Reverse Momentum Index trending in negative territory even though they are coming off a SU win in their last game. In fact the Ravens Momentum average has dropped below 5.0 out of a possible 10.0 average with an overall Momentum average of just 4.71 in this situation. The Steelers have a Momentum average of 7.68 having covered five straight games overall and ten of their last thirteen as home chalk. We note that hosts in Baltimore games have posted a record of 8-1 against the spread the last nine qualifying contests. We also note the Black Birds have not covered away from home since September, that trend continues today as Pittsburgh rolls past the Ravens on Sunday afternoon. PROJECTED FORECAST: 6* Pittsburgh Steelers 27 Baltimore Ravens 14
PICK MADE ON 12/25/2016 AT 12:40 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/25/2016 AT 7:57 PM EST
-6.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, DECEMBER 24, 2016 [refresh]
12/24/2016

1:00 PM EST
NFL
TENNESSEE TITANS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

PICK: UNDER 44.5 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Due to time constraints we do not have our normal write-ups for today’s best bets. NFL teams have been stingy with their lineups this week causing delays in our process. We want to play Under on all late season home teams with a record of .250 or worse on the season because they have gone Under the posted total with a record of 5-27-2 Under including a blistering 1-18-1 Under the last two years. We want to play Under on NFL teams in the second of three straight division games when the total is forty-one or more points. These games have gone Under at a rate of 2-22-1 Under. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 36.88 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -8.2 points against the oddsmakers number on this contest. The SIM Matrix has the total in this contest playing to the low side with the Under cashing at a rate of 73.79 percent in today’s matchup. These two clubs have already met once this season and they combined to score fifty-eight points. This is a divisional rivalry game that went Over in their first meeting and numbers favor the low side in the second meeting when in this particular situation. We also note the Jaguars are 0-6 Under falling below the oddsmakers total by an average of -10.42 points per game at home as a dog when their ATS margin increased over their past 3 games. The Jags fired their head coach and they are sitting on a 2-12 record this season with an offense that has been unable to score the football. This is a much improved defense for the Titans than the one they faced earlier in the season. With significant support for the low side coming from both teams as well as strong technical support we will back the Under here in the Sunshine State on Saturday. Under PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* UNDER 44.5 Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
PICK MADE ON 12/24/2016 AT 12:03 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/24/2016 AT 4:42 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
12/24/2016

4:05 PM EST
NFL
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. OAKLAND RAIDERS

PICK: OAKLAND RAIDERS -3 (-130)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Due to time constraints we do not have our normal write-ups for today’s best bets. NFL teams have been stingy with their lineups this week causing delays in our process. The Raiders earned their first playoff spot since the 2012 season when they defeated the San Diego Chargers. The public are all over the Colts with 77 percent of the actual money placed on the Colts after rolling past the Vikings on the road last week and the fact they are a game back of Houston and Tennessee in the AFC South. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 11.4 points. The MM projects a point differential of 8.58 points against the current line range of -3.0 to -5.0 points. The SIM Matrix has the Oakland Raiders with a 74.06 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. The Momentum Index has the Oakland Raiders trending in positive territory while the Colts have been effective negatively even though they are coming off a blowout victory in fact that hurts their momentum rating overall. The Reverse Momentum Index has the Colts qualified as a play against team on the West Coast on Sunday. Their overall momentum average based on their season results has them solidly in negative territory. The Colts have not been able to produce the needed performances the last few years that would push them over the hump and today’s game has them in that same situation. We want to play ON NFL home favorites of seven or fewer points facing a team that was a road underdog of more than three points last week winning by 21 or more points and the play ON team with a TPR average of ten or more points because these home favorites have cashed the winning ticket at a rate of 36-11-2 ATS including a perfect run of 14-0-1 ATS the last fifteen qualifying contests. We will back the better overall team coming off a close win now facing a team off a road blowout victory. The Silver and Black continue their solid play today and cash the winning ticket for us in the process. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Oakland Raiders 29 Indianapolis Colts 17
PICK MADE ON 12/24/2016 AT 12:04 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/24/2016 AT 7:39 PM EST
+3.85
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, DECEMBER 23, 2016 [refresh]
12/23/2016

7:30 PM EST
NBA
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS. DETROIT PISTONS

PICK: UNDER 214.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Golden State Warriors continue their mini road swing with a trip to the Motor City and a date with the hometown Detroit Pistons on Friday night. This will be the Warriors third game in four days with their last road game of this trip at Cleveland on Sunday. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 202.5 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -12.06 points against a total range of 214.0 to 216.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Under with a 73.92 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Under with an offensive-defensive differential of -8.59 with a transitional average of 40.8 and a conversion rate range of 46.7 to 48.85 percent in tonight’s contest. The Warriors have cashed Under tickets in nine straight games and eight straight on the road. We want to play Under when we have Golden State coming off a SU win in their last game and now play in the current price range because the Under has posted a record of 36-58-1 Under. If Golden State won both straight up and against the spread in their last game and play in the current price range the Under has posted a record of 28-46-1 Under. The Detroit Pistons have gone Under at home at a rate of 2-12 Under their last fourteen home contests. This series has seen the Under cash in nine of the last eleven meetings when Detroit was installed as the underdog. We want to play Under on non-conference home underdogs coming off a straight up loss in their last game because these home pups have posted a record of 58-95-1 Under. Finally we want to play Under on non-conference home underdogs who are coming in off an against the spread loss in their last game because these home pups have posted a record of 43-74-1 Under in this situation. With the Warriors going Under in their last nine straight games and the Pistons going Under in eight of their last ten games we will not try to change history here we will play the Under on Friday night in Detroit. Under PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* UNDER 214.5 Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons
PICK MADE ON 12/23/2016 AT 5:02 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/23/2016 AT 10:37 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
12/23/2016

8:00 PM EST
NCAAF
OHIO VS. TROY

PICK: OHIO +6.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Dollar General Bowl takes place in Mobile Alabama on Friday night and this game will feature the Troy Trojans taking on the Bobcats of Ohio University. These two clubs enter tonight’s contest off a loss their last time out. The Trojans lost to Georgia Southern as a touchdown favorite losing straight up 28 to 24. The Bobcats were not given much of a chance in their last outing as the oddsmakers installed them as +16.5 point underdogs against the Western Michigan Broncos and the Bobcats hung tough losing in the end by a score of 29 to 23. This will be Troy’s first bowl appearance since 2010. The Ohio Bobcats are playing in their second straight bowl and their seventh bowl in the last eight years. The key matchup in this contest will be the Ohio defensive line going up against the Trojans offensive line. The Ohio defense had twelve sacks over their last four games of the season while the Trojans offensive line struggled over their last five games where they allowed at least one sack in all five of those final games. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 2.72 points. The MM projects a point differential of -7.44 points against the current line range of +6.0 to +8.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Ohio Bobcats with a 72.95 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. With solid support across all primary and secondary indexes as well as strong situational support we will take the points in tonight’s contest. Take the points in the Dollar General Bowl in Mobile Alabama on Friday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 4.5* Ohio Bobcats 29 Troy Trojans 28
PICK MADE ON 12/23/2016 AT 5:01 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 12/23/2016 AT 11:57 PM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
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