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Since 1989 Cajun Sports has been the preferred destination for serious sports investors looking for comprehensive statistics and systems tailored for wagering against the point spread combined with effective betting strategies that consistently defeat the Vegas Line. Cajun Sports Best Bets are supported by logical reasoning, solid analysis and exclusive information. Cajun Sports Handicapper is a Certified SDQL Master which gives Cajun Sports clients a huge advantage when investing in the global sports market. Cajun Sports is the 2009 Vegas Wise Guys Contest Champion. The Vegas Wise Guys contest is an invitation ONLY contest for 50 of the nation's top professional sports handicappers. Success is where preparation meets opportunity. 

 

 

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PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 22, 2017  (TODAY) [refresh]
2/22/2017

6:30 PM EST
NCAAB
VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS. TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS

PICK: VANDERBILT COMMODORES +3.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Vanderbilt Commodores make the short trip to Knoxville to face off against SEC and instate rival Tennessee Volunteers on Wednesday night. The Commodores are coming off an upset victory over the Gamecocks of South Carolina on Saturday and they look to make it three in a row in Knoxville with a win tonight over the Volunteers. The Vols bounced back from that beating they took at the hands of the Wildcats by defeating an overmatched Missouri team on Saturday. The Vols have won six of the last ten meetings between these two teams including the first meeting this season at Vandy where the Vols came away with the 87 to 75 victory back in mid-January. The Commodores though have won the last two visits to Rocky Top and we expect that trend to continue tonight. The Volunteers have struggled as a favorite of 3 to 6.5 points posting a record of 17-33-1 ATS. The fact they are at home doesn’t help the situation because their record here as a home favorite in the same price range is 11-21-1 ATS. The Vols coming off a straight up victory have posted a record of only 21-38-1 ATS and if they are off an ATS victory their record is 17-29-1 ATS. Vandy is coming off a pair in Nashville but they are 45-30-2 ATS following a pair of home games. The Commodores playing away from home as an underdog of 3 to 6.5 points have gone 28-17 ATS. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 3.37 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 6.68 points with a line range of +2.5 to +4.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Vanderbilt Commodores with a 74.24 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Vanderbilt with an offensive-defensive differential of +5.83 with a transitional average of 40.2 and a conversion rate range of 43.75 to 45.6 percent in tonights contest. A few final tech notes tell us the Vols as a conference favorite in the current price range have gone 15-31 ATS including 8-19 ATS as a conference home favorite in the same price range. The primary and secondary indicators all point to the underdog in this one so we will take the points in Rocky Top Wednesday night.
PICK MADE TODAY AT 5:54 PM EST
- - - - -
[report pick]
2/22/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
FURMAN VS. E TENNESSEE ST

PICK: E TENNESSEE ST -6.5 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Paladins travel to take on the Buccaneers in a conference battle with top spot ramifications on the line. The Buccaneers are a half game back with only three games left in the season so this game is crucial if they want to try and finish at the top of the Southern Conference. These two have met once this season at Furman where the host shot the lights out and won by thirteen. The Buccaneers played possibly their worst game of the season shooting just thirty-seven percent from the field and going three of twenty-one from behind the arc this from a team that is a Top Ten team in the country in field goal percentage averaging 49.3 percent from the field. We expect them to bounce back here with a much stronger performance and this matchup favors the Buccaneers with their size advantage and shooting prowess. The Buccaneers are currently riding a four-game win streak and winners in eight of their last nine overall. Furman is coming off an embarrassing twenty-one point loss to UNC-Greensboro as a -6.5 point home favorite which ended a ten-game winning streak for the Paladins. Furman coming off a game as a home favorite and now installed as a conference underdog they are 11-23 ATS including 8-19 ATS as a conference road underdog. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 14.52 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.41 points with a line range of -6.5 to -9.5. The BSIM Matrix has the E. Tennessee St with a 73.94 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has E. Tennessee St with an offensive-defensive differential of +11.02 with a transitional average of 42.0 and a conversion rate range of 48.68 to 50.77 percent in tonights contest. We want to play ON conference favorites coming off an ATS win versus a winning team on the road because these conference favorites are 89-61-1 ATS. We want to play ON conference teams in the current price range coming off a SU/ATS win on the road versus a winning team because these conference teams are 67-45-2 ATS. With solid support across the board we will back the Buccaneers on Wednesday night.
PICK MADE TODAY AT 5:54 PM EST
PICK GRADED TODAY AT 9:38 PM EST
+4.35
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 2017  (YESTERDAY) [refresh]
2/21/2017

6:00 PM EST
NCAAB
PURDUE VS. PENN STATE

PICK: PURDUE -7.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Purdue Boilermakers hit the highway for a conference battle against the Penn State Nittany Lions on Tuesday night a game which will be featured on the Big 10 Network. The Boilers are coming off a straight up and against the spread victory over the Spartans of Michigan State and they keep their hopes alive for a Big 10 regular season title. Purdue has a huge advantage in the paint in this one with sophomore Caleb Swanigan who leads the nation with twenty-two double-doubles also leads the team with 18.9 points per game and junior big man center Isaac Haas is averaging over thirteen points per game with more than five rebounds per contest. Purdue will get perimeter support from a pair of guards who can score the ball in Carsen Edwards who averages almost eleven points per game and his partner in crime Dakota Mathias who is just short of averaging double-digit points per game with 9.9 points per game average on the season. The Boilermakers are 27th in the nation averaging 81.3 points per game. Purdue is 41st in rebounding with 38.8 rebounds per game and 2nd in the nation with 18.8 assists each trip to the hardwood. The Boilermakers are 46th in scoring defense allowing just 66 points per game. Purdue is shooting 48.4 percent from the field and knocking down 9.3 treys per game on 41.1 percent from beyond the arc. Purdue coming off a game in which the total finished on the high side of the oddsmakers number and they are now installed as chalk they are 60-37-4 ATS. With Purdue coming off a SU/ATS win and going Over the posted total in their last game and now play as a conference favorite they have cashed tickets at the rate of 21-9-1 ATS. Penn States offense comes in ranked 209th in the country averaging 72.2 points per game. Penn State is tied for 214th in rebounding with 35.2 rebounds and 160th in assists with 13.8 per game. The Nittany Lions have struggled on the defensive end of the floor this season coming in tied for 171st in scoring defense allowing opponents to score 71.8 points per game. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 16.8 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 9.02 points with a line range of -7.5 to -9.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Purdue Boilermakers with a 74.4 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Purdue with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.73 with a transitional average of 40.9. The conversion rate range in this game has a huge differential with Purdue averaging 48.4 percent from the field while Penn State only manages to convert 41.9 percent from the field. The overall splits in this category are all favoring Purdue with a similar differential across the board. Purdue is 13-3 ATS their last sixteen Big 10 contests and we do not expect that to change here as they are the better overall team with a huge advantage in all of the critical categories. Purdue has posted a record of 59-29-3 ATS for sixty-seven percent winners since the 2014 season. Over that same period of time the Boilermakers have been money in the bank when installed as favorites with a record of 40-19-3 ATS for sixty-seven point eight percent including 16-5 ATS this season. With solid support for the Boilermakers we will lay the chalk in State College Tuesday night.
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 3:59 PM EST
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 8:36 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
2/21/2017

10:00 PM EST
NCAAB
COLORADO STATE VS. NEW MEXICO

PICK: COLORADO STATE +2 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Colorado State Rams hit the highway for a battle in the Pit against MWC foe New Mexico Lobos Tuesday night. The Rams have been going through some off the court issues with three of their players suspended due to academic problems. In hind sight it would have been better to get rid of them a long time ago because the Rams with their win at Wyoming Tuesday night moved into the top spot in the Mountain West and they have reeled off seven of eight against the spread. The Lobos went into Fort Collins back in mid-January and upset this Rams team 84 to 71 as four-point road underdogs. That win though came before the Rams head coach Larry Eustachys got rid of his good players and started winning with the current group. Makes you wonder if he can really evaluate talent or his guys are just taking advantage of the opportunity either way we are on the receiving end of the benefits from their ats run. As most know we are very careful using revenge but in this case it is hard to overlook the fact the Rams have covered the spread in all three of their home avenging games this season. If they lost at home to a team this season they are perfect when facing them on the road. This season has not been kind to the Lobos backers when they are playing at the Pit they are a solid 10-3 SU but a miserable 3-7 against the number. The Rams are only 6-5 SU away from Fort Collins this season but a strong 9-2 against the number for their backers. CSU is also 7-3 ats when installed as an underdog this season including a perfect 2-0 ats as a road underdog of three or fewer points. The Rams also find support on the technical side with records of 11-3 ats versus conference opponents and 10-3 ats coming off a game versus a conference rival including a mark of 7-2 ats coming off a straight up victory over a conference rival. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 4.2 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -7.3 points with a line range of +2.0 to +4.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Colorado State Rams with a 73.87 percent advantage against the spread in today’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Colorado State with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.47 with a transitional average of 40.8 and a conversion rate range of 43.6 to 45.9 percent in tonights contest. The BB Momentum Matrix has the Lobos trending in negative territory with an overall negative average at home and on the road while the Rams are solidly in positive territory with a huge edge overall against this Lobos team. We will take whatever points are available in this contest as the visiting Colorado State Rams take down the Lobos on their home floor Tuesday night.
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 4:00 PM EST
PICK GRADED TODAY AT 12:19 AM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, FEBRUARY 20, 2017 [refresh]
2/20/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
TEXAS VS. WEST VIRGINIA

PICK: OVER 142.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Texas Longhorns make the long trip to Morgantown for a battle against conference foe Mountaineers. This is the second game of an ESPN college hoops double-header Monday night. These two clubs play a very different style of basketball with the hosts wanting to push the ball and run the floor while the Horns had rather slow it down with a methodical style of play which is the preferred style of head coach Shaka Smart. The Mountaineers have done a nice job of imposing their will on teams that visit the Coliseum in Morgantown. They are 14-2 SU with a losing record against the spread at 5-6 ATS but they have cashed on the high side of the oddsmakers number in eight of eleven games on this floor. West Virginia is explosive on the offensive end of the floor ranked tenth in the nation in scoring with an average of 85.6 points per game. They fall forty-four places in the nation in scoring defense ranked fifty-fourth allowing an average of 66.8 points per game. West Virginia is coming off a home victory over Texas Tech winning 83 to 74 but failing to cover the spread. We know that the Mountaineers are 77-57-3 Over coming off an ATS loss in their last game. In that game versus Texas Tech they did go over the posted total of 141.5. In fact they went Over at Kansas prior to their game against Tech with a final score of 80 to 84 and a total of 156.Prior to the Jayhawks game WVU hosted Kansas State with a game total of 144 and they went Over with a final score of 85 to 66. The Mountaineers have managed to score very close to their average over their last three games whether they are at home or on the road we really like them in the current situation to send this one Over the posted total. Texas coming off a home game and now playing as an underdog has seen the Over cash at a rate of 44-27 Over. If the Longhorns are coming off a SU loss and now play as a conference road underdog the Over has been money in the bank with a record of 11-2 Over. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 150.21 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +10.15 points against a total range of 142.0 to 144.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 74.04 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of 11.27 with a transitional average of 43.8 and a conversion rate range of 46.91 to 48.7 percent in tonight’s contest. West Virginia is 4-0 Over their last four outings as a favorite of at least thirteen points and 5-1 Over as a home favorite of 12.5 or more. The Mountaineers have gone a perfect 9-0 Over the last three years when the total range was 140 to 149.5. These two clubs met once this year in Texas and that game cashed the Over 144 with a final score of 74 to 72. The teams were able to eclipse a higher total in that game with the Mountaineers coming up 11.6 points short of their season average of 85.6 points per game. This game takes place in Morgantown and the Mountaineers have averaged 90.4 points per game on this floor this season. This total qualifies as a Black Label Outlaw with a double-digit advantage in the MM and a 74 percent plus advantage in the SIM Matrix. We have an all systems go for a high side finish in this one we will play the Over on Monday night. 5* Over
PICK MADE ON 2/20/2017 AT 5:22 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/20/2017 AT 11:38 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2017 [refresh]
2/19/2017

3:00 PM EST
NCAAB
ILLINOIS CHICAGO VS. OAKLAND

PICK: ILLINOIS CHICAGO +10 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Illinois Chicago Flames take on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies in this Horizon League contest. The Grizzlies are the better team but laying double-digits following a very important and emotional win on Friday night will make this a difficult spot for them to cover such a large number. Oakland pulled within a game of first place in the League with their 82 to 71 victory over Valparaiso Friday night. Oakland put up forty-eight points in the second half of that game helped by the fact Martez Walker was hitting fifty-four percent from the field ending with twenty-three points on the night. In that game the Grizzlies shot forty percent from behind the arc which is remarkable in that they are the second lowest three-point shooting team in the Horizon League this season averaging just thirty-one percent from behind the arc. Chances are rather slim they shoot forty percent from three-point range on Sunday afternoon. The Flames are 21-9 ATS as an underdog in this price range and 15-4 ATS as a road underdog in this price range. The Grizzlies on the other hand struggle in their current role as a home favorite in the same price range posting a record of only 5-12 ATS their last seventeen games in this situation. BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 2.5 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -8.32 points with a line range of +10.0 to +12.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Illinois Chicago Flames with a 73.6 percent advantage against the spread in today’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Illinois Chicago with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.66 with a transitional average of 40.7 and a conversion rate range of 43.8 to 45.92 percent in today’s contest. We want to play ON CBB road underdogs coming off a road game versus a team with a losing record and the game went Under the posted total. These road underdogs are 23-9 ATS in this situation and price range. If our play ON team won against the spread in that game the record for the system improves to 12-2 ATS. We want to play ON CBB Conference Underdogs coming off an ATS win as an underdog and going Under versus a losing team because these conference puppies are 80-54-2 ATS and if the play ON team was on the road in their last game the system has a record of 72-44-2 ATS. For the second time this season Oakland gets the Flames after a monster victory over the Crusaders. The Grizzlies won by a single point at Illinois-Chicago back in early January winning 58 to 57 despite holding the Flames to twenty-four percent from the field. Oakland has failed to cover in four of their last five on their home hardwood. What will be their motivation after such a huge win this sets up perfectly as a flat spot for the Golden Grizzlies? Illinois-Chicago has won three of their last four away from home and we note the talent level of the teams they defeated was much different than the level they face today but the situation overrides the team differential. We will take the double-digits on Sunday afternoon.
PICK MADE ON 2/19/2017 AT 1:15 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/19/2017 AT 5:41 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
2/19/2017

3:30 PM EST
NCAAB
IUPUI VS. DENVER U

PICK: DENVER U -7 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: This best bet comes from the Summit League featuring the Denver Pioneers playing host to the Jaguars of Indiana-Purdue. The Denver Pioneers are ranked twenty-sixth in the nation in offensive field goal percentage averaging forty-eight percent from the field attempting over fifty-six shots per game. Denver is also a good three-point shooting team averaging forty percent from behind the arc this season. The Indiana Purdue Jaguars have not been as good when it comes to scoring the ball they are ranked 161 in the nation in offensive field goal percentage averaging just over forty-four percent from the field. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 14.2 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.73 points with a line range of -6.0 to -8.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Denver Pioneers with a 73.61 percent advantage against the spread in today’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Denver with an offensive-defensive differential of +9.9 with a transitional average of 43.09 and a conversion rate range of 45.5 to 47.86 percent in today’s contest. Denver has been solid as a favorite posting a record of 114-88-4 ATS in that role. The Jaguars are not as good when it comes to covering the spread with a record of 56-81 ATS and 25-40 ATS coming off a pair of straight up losses. The Pioneers should have little trouble with a towel tossing Jaguars team on Sunday afternoon Mile High City. Lay the chalk as Denver rolls past an overmatched Jaguars team
PICK MADE ON 2/19/2017 AT 1:15 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/19/2017 AT 6:20 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
2/19/2017

3:30 PM EST
NCAAB
GEORGETOWN VS. CREIGHTON

PICK: CREIGHTON -5.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: These two clubs met the last week of January in DC with the Hoyas rolling to a twenty-point victory over the Blue Jays. The loss of Maurice Watson Jr. was a blow to this Blue Jays team and was in part responsible for why they shot 1 of 18 from behind the arc in that loss in DC. In the loss the Blue Jays shot just thirty-four percent from the field which is well below their season average of 52.1 percent. We expect a much different performance from the Jays on Sunday when they take the floor at home. Creighton has been a solid play on their home court posting a record of 17-8-1 ATS as a home favorite dating to the 2015 season. The Blue Jays are coming off a road loss at Seton Hall on Wednesday as a one-point road underdog losing 87 to 81 in game we believe they may have been looking ahead to this contest and got caught. The Blue Jays do a nice job of bouncing back posting a record of 24-9 ATS coming off a straight up loss in their last game. They are also 48-27-1 ATS after being installed as an underdog in their last game including 14-7 ATS in the current price range. Creighton coming off a pair of road games has posted a record of 12-4-1 ATS following those contests. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 13.17 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.89 points with a line range of -5.5 to -7.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Creighton Blue Jays with a 73.94 percent advantage against the spread in today’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Creighton with an offensive-defensive differential of +10.42 with a transitional average of 41.01 and a conversion rate range of 49.7 to 51.02 percent in today’s contest. With support on both ends of the floor for the home team and strong situational and technical support for the Blue Jays we will lay the chalk on Sunday afternoon.
PICK MADE ON 2/19/2017 AT 1:16 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/19/2017 AT 6:18 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 18, 2017 [refresh]
2/18/2017

3:00 PM EST
NCAAB
COLORADO VS. OREGON

PICK: OREGON -11.5 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: These two clubs met back in late January in Boulder and this after the Ducks just played a tough game in Utah prior to this one in Colorado. The Buffalos won that game 74 to 65 after the Ducks won a huge road game at Utah two nights earlier 73 to 67. The Buffalos have won six of their last seven games overall but a closer look at who those wins came against and the picture is not as impressive with two of those against the Beavers, Stanford, Washington State and Washington. The lone loss in that run of seven games came in Berkeley against the Golden Bears and the Buffalos lost by double-digits in that one. We expect a much worse outcome tonight when they face a group of Ducks that can all score the ball. This Ducks team has depth and they average almost forty-eight percent shooting from the floor. The Buffaloes are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 away from Boulder. The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The home team is 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings between the two clubs. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 20.81 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 10.3 points with a line range of -12.0 to -14.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Oregon Ducks with a 74.4 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Oregon with an offensive-defensive differential of +12.37 with a transitional average of 42.94 and a conversion rate range of 46.65 to 48.83 percent in tonight’s contest. Oregon coming off an ats win and now facing a conference opponent they are 33-18-1 ats. They are 19-5 ats as a conference home favorite in this situation. We will lay the chalk with the Ducks as they roll past an overmatched group of Buffalos on Saturday afternoon.
PICK MADE ON 2/18/2017 AT 12:46 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/18/2017 AT 5:39 PM EST
+4.35
[report pick]
2/18/2017

6:00 PM EST
NCAAB
RUTGERS VS. NORTHWESTERN

PICK: NORTHWESTERN -12 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Big 10 Conference has a battle in the Land of Lincoln on Saturday evening a game which can be seen on ESPNU. This game gets the call as our Big 10 Game of the Week with Northwestern playing host to the Scarlet Knights of Rutgers. Rutgers lost its third straight contest and sixth in the last seven with a 74 to 55 road loss at Purdue on Tuesday night. Northwestern lost for the third time in their last four with a 74 to 64 home loss to Maryland Wednesday night. Both teams entering off SU losses in their last games makes this an interesting situation because you have two teams clearly headed in opposite directions with one we believe will bounce back in a big way while the other has apparently tossed the towel on the 2016 campaign. Northwestern has won three of the four previous clashes between the two clubs with the most recent a 69 to 60 road victory back in mid-January. The Scarlet Knights struggle on the offensive end of the floor they are ranked 320th in the nation averaging a mere 66.1 points per game. From behind the arc the Knights manage just over three treys per game on 29.4 percent shooting from behind the arc. Tough to win games with no offensive production and their conference record certainly reflects their inability to score the basketball with a record of 2-12 in conference play. Rutgers will face a Wildcats defense ranked 35th in the nation allowing just 64.7 points per game. On the offensive end of the floor the Cats are a little better than the Knights averaging 73.1 points per game while also draining an average of 7.6 treys per game on 34.9 percent shooting from behind the arc. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 20.5 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 9.71 points with a line range of -11.5 to -14.0. The BSIM Matrix has the Northwestern Wildcats with a 74.8 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Northwestern with an offensive-defensive differential of +12.4 with a transitional average of 43.05 and a conversion rate range of 44.82 to 46.9 percent in tonight’s contest. Both teams off those straight up losses we mentioned and they respond quite differently in their next contest. The Cats coming off an ATS loss and going Over now playing at home are 22-10-2 ats. If the Cats lost to a winning team straight up and the game went Over with them now installed as a home favorite their record is 7-1 ats. If the Cats lost both SU and ATS and went Over in their last game and now play at home in a conference game they are 18-6-2 ats including a perfect 8-0 ats if they were a favorite in their last game. Rutgers coming off a SU loss in their last game and now installed as an underdog have posted a record of 63-88-1 ats. With solid support across the board for the Cats we will lay the chalk here on Saturday night.
PICK MADE ON 2/18/2017 AT 12:47 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/18/2017 AT 8:20 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
2/18/2017

6:00 PM EST
NCAAB
SMU VS. HOUSTON

PICK: SMU -3 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: This game gets the call as our AAC game of the Week with the Mustangs of SMU traveling to Houston to take on the hometown Cougars on Saturday night a game featured on ESPN2. Houston is coming off a 73 to 64 win over Tulsa and covering the 5-point spread the oddsmakers hung on that game. SMU is coming off an 80 to 75 victory over Tulane their last time out coming up well short of the twenty-four point number they put on the Mustangs. Prior to that spread loss to the Green Wave the Mustangs had covered in seven straight games and SMU has won their last nine games overall. SMU has been a money-maker this season for their backers posting a 16-5-1 against the spread mark even covering in most cases when the oddsmakers hang a huge number on them. The Tulane game was an anomaly as far as the Mustangs ability to cover the number we expect them to bounce back with a money making performance on the hardwood tonight. No concern at all about them being on the road SMU has been perfect posting a record of 6-0-1 ats playing away from home this season. Offensively, SMU is putting up 73 points per game on 46.1 percent from the field. On the defensive end of the floor the Mustangs only allow 58.6 points per game, which is good enough for third in the country, allowing teams just 38.6% shooting from the field, which ranks eighth in the nation. We note the Cougars have a record of 8-3 ats their last eleven meetings against these Horses but those numbers are not reflective of the current team situation. SMU is the much better overall team and should have little trouble cashing the ticket on Saturday night. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 10.88 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 9.37 points with a line range of -2.0 to -4.5. The BSIM Matrix has the SMU Mustangs with a 74.43 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has SMU with an offensive-defensive differential of +10.82 with a transitional average of 42.65 and a conversion rate range of 46.3 to 48.17 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play AGAINST CBB home underdogs coming off a SU/ATS win and going Over on the road in their last game because these home underdogs are just 55-79-7 ats in this situation. With the combination of all these key factors pointing to the visitors we will lay the short price on Saturday night in Houston Texas as the Mustangs grab another SU and ATS victory.
PICK MADE ON 2/18/2017 AT 12:48 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/18/2017 AT 8:37 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 17, 2017 [refresh]
2/17/2017

10:00 PM EST
NCAAB
CALIFORNIA VS. STANFORD

PICK: CALIFORNIA -2.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The California Golden Bears make the trip from Berkeley to Palo Alto for a Pac 12 match up against the host Cardinal of Stanford on Friday night. The Tree have dropped five of their last six trips to the hardwood although they have won the last two here against the Bears. The Tree did upset Utah here earlier this month but that was their lone highlight. They have struggled against the spread posting a 2-4 ats record their last six contests overall and 3-5 ats their last eight as Pac 12 underdogs. The Bears are staring at a Big Dance invitation with a record of 18-7 SU on the season and they do not want to let their guard down here a victory here will not be considered a major victory but a loss here could certainly hurt their chances for that invitation. Cal has proven to be a money maker during the month of February dating to last season their record now stands at 14-4 ats. These two faced off last month in Berkley with the Bears having little trouble with the Tree winning 66 to 55 as eight-point home favorites. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 10.27 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.84 points with a line range of -2.0 to -4.5. The BSIM Matrix has the California Bears with a 73.91 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has California with an offensive-defensive differential of +11.02 with a transitional average of 42.4 and a conversion rate range of 43.78 to 45.52 percent in tonight’s contest. The Tree have taken the last two here against the Bears but they are not the same team you have to go back to January 2016 and February 2015 for those two victories in Palo Alto. This Bears team should be able to control the pace and tempo just like they did in Berkeley. As far as the revenge factor goes we do not believe it holds any value here. The Tree are 2-5 ats this season attempting to avenge a road loss and 43-55 ats in this situation the last three years. A check of our powerful database reveals a trio of league-wide systems that are active for this Pac 12 game on Friday night. We want to play AGAINST CBB division home underdogs in this price range coming off a SU loss and going Under because these teams are 46-70-3 ATS. We want to play AGAINST CBB division underdogs coming off a road loss and going Under in their last game because these teams are 64-94-6 ATS. Our final system tells us to play ON CBB conference road teams coming off a SU loss and going Under on the road versus a winning team in their last game. These conference road teams respond by posting a record of 190-135-11 ATS. Finally the Momentum Indicator has the Tree trending in negative territory while the Bears are in positive territory even though they lost their last time out at Arizona although they did cover as a seven-point underdog. The momentum numbers along with the team splits project a double-digit win by the Bears. Lay the short number on the road with the Golden Bears from Berkeley
PICK MADE ON 2/17/2017 AT 4:22 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/18/2017 AT 12:37 AM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 15, 2017 [refresh]
2/15/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
NORTH CAROLINA VS. NC STATE

PICK: NORTH CAROLINA -11.5 (-115)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/15/2017 AT 4:53 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/15/2017 AT 10:19 PM EST
+3.91
[report pick]
2/15/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
OKLAHOMA STATE VS. TCU

PICK: TCU -1.5 (-105)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/15/2017 AT 4:54 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/15/2017 AT 11:20 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
2/15/2017

10:30 PM EST
NBA
ATLANTA HAWKS VS. LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

PICK: OVER 212.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/15/2017 AT 4:53 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/16/2017 AT 1:20 AM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 14, 2017 [refresh]
2/14/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
BUFFALO BULLS VS. CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS

PICK: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +3.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/14/2017 AT 2:35 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/15/2017 AT 4:52 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
2/14/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS. MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

PICK: OVER 218 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/14/2017 AT 2:32 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/14/2017 AT 10:59 PM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
2/14/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
OHIO STATE BUCKEYES VS. MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

PICK: MICHIGAN STATE -6.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/14/2017 AT 2:34 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/15/2017 AT 4:52 PM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, FEBRUARY 13, 2017 [refresh]
2/13/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
RIDER VS. FAIRFIELD

PICK: RIDER +3.5 (-105)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/13/2017 AT 3:39 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/13/2017 AT 9:21 PM EST
+4.29
[report pick]
2/13/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
SOUTH ALABAMA VS. UL LAFAYETTE

PICK: UL LAFAYETTE -7 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/13/2017 AT 3:40 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/13/2017 AT 10:20 PM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
2/13/2017

8:05 PM EST
NBA
DETROIT PISTONS VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS

PICK: OVER 209 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/13/2017 AT 3:39 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/14/2017 AT 2:31 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 12, 2017 [refresh]
2/12/2017

1:00 PM EST
NCAAB
MICHIGAN VS. INDIANA

PICK: MICHIGAN +2.5 (-105)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/12/2017 AT 11:59 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/12/2017 AT 3:41 PM EST
+4.29
[report pick]
2/12/2017

6:30 PM EST
NCAAB
VIRGINIA VS. VIRGINIA TECH

PICK: VIRGINIA TECH +6 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/12/2017 AT 12:00 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/12/2017 AT 9:39 PM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
2/12/2017

8:30 PM EST
NCAAB
WASHINGTON STATE VS. COLORADO

PICK: COLORADO -11.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/12/2017 AT 12:00 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/12/2017 AT 11:18 PM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2017 [refresh]
2/11/2017

2:00 PM EST
NCAAB
MIAMI FLORIDA VS. LOUISVILLE

PICK: LOUISVILLE -9.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Miami Hurricanes travel to Kentucky to take on the other team that calls the Blue Grass State home, the Louisville Cardinals. The Canes are sitting on the bubble with a 16-7 overall record and a 6-5 mark in conference play. The Cardinals have a really tough stretch of games coming up with Virginia, FSU and Duke still on the docket. Not to minimize this affair the word out of the Cardinals camp is they are aware of how important this game is to their tournament invitation. The Cardinals are 19-5 on the season but every game counts especially conference affairs. Louisville comes into this game off an embarrassing blowout loss at Virginia losing 71 to 55. That game was not a true representation of the Cardinals team because Louisville forward Deng Adel (11.1 ppg, 4.3 rpg) and center Mangok Mathiang (7.1 ppg, 6.2 rpg) were both suspended for missing curfew last Saturday night. The two will be back in the Cardinals lineup for Saturday’s game. Louisville will also get starting point guard Quentin Snider back after missing six games due to a hip injury the Cardinals coaches said he looked good in practice this week. The Cardinals were able to win four of the six games he missed but they struggled offensively during that span his absence was obvious especially on that end of the floor. Cardinals point guard Quentin Snider averages more than a dozen points per game to go with his four assists per contest this season. Louisville is a solid 25-12 ats when playing a game in the current price range. The favorite in this series is 4-1 ats the last five meetings played anywhere. The Cardinals are 16-6 ats this season including 13-4 ats as a favorite and 10-2 ats on their home court. Louisville responds when coming off a conference game posting a record of 9-2 ats including a perfect 3-0 ats if they lost to that conference rival. Our BTPR Index projects a 19.11 point advantage. All of the team splits favor the Cardinals in today’s contest along with both the Momentum Factor and Reverse Momentum Factor indicators. The Basketball Math Model projects a point differential of 9.68 points against a line range of -10.0 to -12.5. The SIM has the Louisville Cardinals with a 73.27 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number. The Cardinals should have little trouble with the Canes once this one gets started as they bounce back from that embarrassing performance in Charlottesville last Monday night. Lay the chalk with the Cardinals
PICK MADE ON 2/11/2017 AT 12:13 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/11/2017 AT 4:38 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
2/11/2017

8:15 PM EST
NCAAB
GONZAGA BULLDOGS VS. ST. MARY'S GAELS

PICK: ST. MARY'S +4.0 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Gonzaga Bulldogs take their perfect record on the road to McKeon Pavilion in Moraga California where the Gaels of St. Mary’s are waiting for this contest. The Gaels were completely humiliated by this Gonzaga team a month ago losing by twenty-three on the Bulldogs home court. Other than the loss to the Bulldogs, St. Mary’s has won their last sixteen games. The Gaels might have been caught looking ahead to Saturday’s huge game as they slipped past Portland on Thursday night winning 51 to 41 as a twenty-four point favorite. The 51 points scored and shooting 30.6% from the field were both season-lows for the Gaels. This will be the second time that St. Mary’s will be an underdog this season (both against Gonzaga) and the Gaels are an impressive 13-1 SU at home this season. We want to play AGAINST CBB teams with a record of 20-0 or better on the season when facing other winning teams because these perfect teams are only 29-46-2 ats including 4-11 ats on the road off a home game. The Gaels coming off a game as a favorite and are now playing at home they are 23-11 ats in this situation. If the Gaels won that game their record improves to 19-8 ats in their next contest. Our team splits favor the home team tonight with the BTPR projecting a point advantage of +2.47 points in favor of the host. The Pace-Tempo Matrix also favors the Gaels as they play a very methodical style of offense. At only 61.4 possessions per game, they’re last in the NCAA in that regard (a full possession slower than Virginia), but score 1.2 points per possession which is sixth in the nation. The Gaels are in the top ten nationally in assists and assists-to-turnovers per game, as well as FG percentage. Due to their slow pace, the Gaels sport the nation’s second ranked scoring defense allowing just 55.9 points per game. Holding opponents to totals like twenty-seven and thirty-three points in conference play this season and it isn’t only because of the slow pace alone. The Gaels are legitimately tough to score on (9th in NCAA in 3PT% allowed; 12th in defensive efficiency). Opponents almost never go to the charity stripe against the Gaels with an average of just 12.1 free throws per game which is good enough for 2nd in the nation, as St. Mary’s commits the least amount of fouls per game in the country with an average of 14.3. With the pressure on the Bulldogs and not on the home team we will take the points here as the Gaels shock the world and grab the victory on Saturday night. Take the points
PICK MADE ON 2/11/2017 AT 12:16 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/12/2017 AT 11:58 AM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 10, 2017 [refresh]
2/10/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS

PICK: UNDER 218 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Lakers have traveled to Milwaukee to take on the hometown Bucks with the tip set for 8:05 Eastern Time tonight. LA has lost twenty-four of their thirty road games to this point in the season. Milwaukee can’t say a word about the Lakers poor showing because they are actually worse losers in eleven of their last thirteen games played anywhere. Both teams are coming off blowout losses in their last games with the Lakers losing at Detroit 121 to 102 while the Bucks were getting blown out at home 106 to 88 by the Miami Heat. Our Index splits have this contest falling well below the oddsmakers total tonight with an average game total of only 209.86 points. The Momentum Index has both teams struggling and their averages project a score much lower than the oddsmakers total. In fact the Math Model game total differential is over double-digits -10.04 points against a total range of 219.0 to 221.5. The low side of tonight’s total has a better than 72.5 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in Milwaukee on Friday night. Both teams are trending in negative territory with averages that have them coming up short of the total points each has been projected to score by the oddsmakers tonight. The game in Detroit was the fourth straight road affair for the Lakers and we know they go Under after four away from home with a record of 12-25 Under. The Bucks on the other hand are coming off that loss at home to the Heat and they have posted a 28-42-1 Under record after playing their last game at home. The combination of all these factors makes this an easy call on the low side on Friday night. Play this one to go Under the posted total. Under
PICK MADE ON 2/10/2017 AT 6:01 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/10/2017 AT 11:21 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
2/10/2017

10:30 PM EST
NBA
CHICAGO BULLS VS. PHOENIX SUNS

PICK: UNDER 218 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Chicago Bulls are in the desert to battle the Western Conference Phoenix Suns on Friday night. This is another of our East vs. West Totals that have been so profitable over the last several years and we look for this one to cash for us too. Our BTPR Index projects a game total of 208.2 points. The team splits also project a number falling well below the oddsmakers total in tonights game. The BMM projects a total point differential of -10.89 points against a game total range of 218.0 to 220.5 points. The Basketball SIM Matrix has the Under with a 73.7 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total tonight. The Bulls coming off a game as an underdog now installed as a favorite in the current price range has gone 16-38-1 Under. If the Bulls lost their last game in the same situation they are 9-25 Under including 6-17-1 Under on the road. The Suns coming off two road games has gone 41-60-2 Under in their next outing. If they went Under in those two games they are 6-18 Under and if they are now installed as a home underdog the Under has gone a perfect 0-7 Under. With significant support for the low side we will play this East versus West showdown to fall well below the posted total on Friday night in the desert. Under
PICK MADE ON 2/10/2017 AT 6:02 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/11/2017 AT 1:17 AM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 09, 2017 [refresh]
2/9/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
YOUNGSTOWN STATE VS. ILLINOIS CHICAGO

PICK: ILLINOIS CHICAGO -7 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Tonight the Flames of Illinois Chicago welcome the Penguins from Youngstown State to the Second City and the UIC Pavilion for a Horizon League battle. The Pens are coming off a loss to Detroit they are now 10-15 SU on the year and 4-8 in conference play. The Pens fell apart in the second half of that game trailing by as many as twenty-six points allowing Detroit to score fifty-two second half points. The Flames defeated the Panthers of Milwaukee on the road needing an extra stanza to get it done but eventually coming away with the 105 to 100 overtime victory. Our matrix splits for this game have the Flames winning this game by double-digits with a 13.92 average. The BSIM has the Flames covering the number in this one with a 72.5 percent advantage. The Flames are 8-3 ats off a conference game and 11-2 ats including 3-1 ats the last four off a SU win versus a conference rival. When the Flames allow their opponents to score eighty or more points they bounce back and post a 6-1 ats record their next trip to the hardwood. The Pens are 3-13 ats their last sixteen games overall. The Pens installed as a conference underdog in the current price range coming off a SU loss and going Over are just 1-8-1 ats their next time out. In fact the Pens have really struggled as a conference underdog when they were involved in an Over game their last time out they are just 19-35-2 ats in this situation. Finally we note the Flames are a solid 14-4 ats in the month of February and a perfect 7-0 ats versus teams with a losing record. We will lay the chalk here.
PICK MADE ON 2/9/2017 AT 3:49 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/10/2017 AT 6:00 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
2/9/2017

10:30 PM EST
NBA
BOSTON CELTICS VS. PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS

PICK: BOSTON CELTICS +2 (-105)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Boston Celtics travel to the Pacific Northwest for a battle against the hometown Trailblazers on Thursday night. This is the backend of a TNT double-header on Thursday and the Celtics have been installed as short pup here. Boston playing back-to-back has posted a record of 7-4 ats this season and 32-15 ats over the last three years. Boston has little trouble covering the oddsmakers number in this situation. They are also pretty solid away from the Garden with a 15-8 ats this season and 63-47 ats the last three years on the road. As most know we are careful playing with or into revenge no matter the sport and especially in the pro sports but this contest has the Celtics in a profitable situation based on the revenge factor. Back in late January the Trailblazers went into the Garden as eight-point road underdogs and defeated the Celtics 127 to 123. Boston is set to avenge that loss they are coming in off a SU loss and going Under on the road in their last game and are now installed as a road underdog in their current contest the Celtics respond with a record of 62-41-1 ats. If the Celtics lost their last game both SU and ATS their record is 59-39-2 ats. Our matrix splits for this contest have the Celtics with a 5.23 point advantage over the Blazers. They also hold the edge in the Math Model with a point differential in their favor of almost seven-points. The BSIM has Boston with a 72.86 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number tonight. Finally we want to play ON NBA road underdogs coming off a SU loss as a road favorite in a game that went Under the posted Total because these teams are 23-8 ats. Take the points with the Celtics on Thursday night.
PICK MADE ON 2/9/2017 AT 3:50 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/10/2017 AT 1:37 AM EST
+4.29
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 08, 2017 [refresh]
2/8/2017

7:30 PM EST
NBA
LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS. DETROIT PISTONS

PICK: UNDER 218.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Tonight we have a non-conference battle between the 18-36 SU LA Lakers taking on the 24-28 SU Detroit Pistons. Our top play for Wednesday in the NBA is on the Total in this contest taking place in the Motor City. The Pistons have won the last two matchups between the two clubs with the most recent happening this season in the City of Angels with the Pistons winning 102 to 97. The Lakers are 18th in the league in scoring offense averaging 104.4 points per game. Los Angeles is 11th in rebounding with 44.3 per contest and 26th in assists with 20.6 per game. The Lakers are 21st in the league in field goal percentage with a team average of 44.4 percent. Los Angeles is tied for 14th in the league averaging 9.3 treys per game and ranked 22nd in three point shooting averaging 35.1 percent from behind the arc. The Pistons have been Jekyll and Hyde offensively, ranking 24th in scoring offense with 101.3 points per game. Detroit is 7th in rebounding averaging 44.5 per game and ranked 21st in assists with 21.2 each trip to the hardwood. The Pistons are 5th in scoring defense allowing 101.9 points per game. Detroit is tied for 13th in the league averaging 45.6 percent from the floor. Detroit is tied for 28th in the league in three point field goals per game with 7.8 and ranked 27th averaging 33.9 percent from behind the arc. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 207.2 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -11.47 points against a total range of 217.0 to 219.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Under with a 74.83 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Under with an offensive-defensive differential of 9.09 with a transitional average of 39.1 and a conversion rate range of 44.53 to 46.12 percent in tonight’s contest. When Detroit wins ats and goes Under at home in their last game they are 69-98-1 Under their next time out. If Detroit won both SU and ATS in their last game and now installed as a non-conference favorite the Under is 4-15-1 Under in their next outing. If they are a home favorite in that situation the Under is 3-11-1 their next trip to the hardwood. The Lakers playing on the non-conference road after winning SU on the road have seen the Under cash at a rate of 34-60-1 Under. If they are installed as a road underdog in that same situation the Under is 8-21-1 Under. We want to play UNDER on non-conference home favorites coming off a SU and ATS win while going Under in their last game because these games have gone Under at a rate of 89-123-3 Under. We want to play UNDER on non-conference road underdogs coming off at least three straight road games as underdogs because these teams have seen the Under cash in their next game at a rate of 54-77-2 Under. With a pair of power systems and strong fundamentals all pointing to the low side of this contest we will play the Under in the Motor City on Wednesday night. Under PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* UNDER 218.5 LA Lakers vs. Detroit Pistons
PICK MADE ON 2/8/2017 AT 5:41 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/9/2017 AT 3:47 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 07, 2017 [refresh]
2/7/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
FLORIDA VS. GEORGIA

PICK: GEORGIA +5 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Florid Gators travel to Athens to take on SEC rival Georgia Bulldogs on Tuesday night as part of a five-game conference card. Florida enters tonight’s game off their blowout victory over the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday as 1.5-point home favorites crushing the Cats 88 to 66. With Florida coming off a game where they were installed as the favorite and they now take on a division foe on the road installed as a favorite of -3.0 to -6.5 points the Gators have found the going tough especially when it comes to covering the spread they are only 1-7 ats in this situation. The Georgia Bulldogs were on the wrong end of a tough outing against the South Carolina Gamecocks which was their fourth loss in their last five trips to the hardwood. They did cash the ticket for their backers in the loss which gives the Bulldogs a solid 6-2 against the spread record their last six times out. We are counting on their ability to stay within the number tonight and our primary and secondary numbers tell us they will do just that. Over the Bulldogs last four trips to the hardwood they have averaged 72.5 points per game while allowing 76 points per game. With that type of split it is easy to see why they have been losers in four of their last five games. We want to play ON Georgia when they are coming off a loss to a winning team because they are 52-30-3 ats in their next outing. If they play that game at home their record improves to 29-11-1 ats in this situation. If Georgia lost to a winning team straight up but covered against the spread they are 16-6-2 ats in their next outing including 12-3 -1 ats if they play at home. If they went Over the total in that loss and are now playing at home they are almost perfect against the spread in their next game going 9-1-1 ats. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 0.05 points. The BMM projects a point differential of -6.02 points with a line range of +5.0 to +7.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Georgia Bulldogs with a 73.22 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Georgia with an offensive-defensive differential of +5.3 with a transitional average of 40.0 and a conversion rate range of 45.8 to 47.52 percent in tonight’s contest. The Bulldogs rise to the occasion at home when facing teams with a winning record when they play away from home Georgia is 6-1 ats their last seven in this situation. With the numbers all favoring the home team we will back the Dawgs on Tuesday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* (#714) Georgia Bulldogs 75 Florida Gators 76
PICK MADE ON 2/7/2017 AT 5:49 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/7/2017 AT 9:21 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
2/7/2017

8:30 PM EST
NCAAB
VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS. ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS

PICK: RAZORBACKS -3.5 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Arkansas Razorbacks have dominated this series since the late nineties for the most part they are a solid 9-2 ats at home versus the Commodores since 1997, 5-1 ats the last six here and a perfect 3-0 ats the last three years in Arkansas. These two met in Nashville back in late January with the Commodores laying -3.5-points as the home favorite but coming up short once again versus the group of Hogs losing by the shortest margin possible 71 to 70 which was a fitting final score reflecting the trouble they have had against the Arkansas team over the years. Our numbers tell us the oddsmakers have left some value in this line making the Hogs just a four-point favorite on their home floor versus the Commodores. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 12.08 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 9.16 points with a line range of -3.5 to -6.0. The BSIM Matrix has the Arkansas Razorbacks with a 73.83 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Arkansas with an offensive-defensive differential of +10.01 with a transitional average of 43.2 and a conversion rate range of 45.4 to 47.6 percent in tonight’s contest. In the Hogs last game they were on the road and the game went Over the posted total and with them playing a conference foe at home in this outing their record is 20-9-2 ats. If the Hogs lost in their last game in the same situation that record improves to 17-5-1 ats. We want to play ON CBB conference home teams with a line range of 3.0 to 6.5 points coming off an ATS loss on the road as a favorite in their last game because these conference home teams respond with a solid outing posting a record of 134-94-3 ats. With all the numbers supporting the Hogs as well as their long term and short term history versus Vandy we will lay the short number here as the Hogs do what they do defeat the Commodores and cover the spread at home. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* (#746) Arkansas Razorbacks 85 Vanderbilt Commodores 73
PICK MADE ON 2/7/2017 AT 5:52 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/8/2017 AT 5:40 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, FEBRUARY 06, 2017 [refresh]
2/6/2017

7:05 PM EST
NBA
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. INDIANA PACERS

PICK: OVER 212.0 TOTAL (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Indiana Pacers play host to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday night. The Pacers are coming off a blowout victory over Detroit on Saturday scoring 105 points while the Piston managed a mere 84. Oklahoma City came from behind against the Blazers on Sunday to grab the victory 105 to 99. During the Pacers current six-game winning streak they have covered the number five times while going Under in five of those six contests. The fact the Pacers finished on the low side in five of those six wins the oddsmakers have given us decent line value here. The Pacers are looking to sweep the series with the Thunder after taking their first meeting this season in Oklahoma defeating the Thunder in OT 115 to 111. The last meeting in Indiana took place in March of last season and we had the same final score without the OT period and Oklahoma City winning the game 115 to 111. The Pacers are averaging 107.6 points per game at home this season while allowing 101.8 points. The Thunder have averaged 102.6 points per game on the road this season while giving up 108.1 points per game on the defensive end of the floor. Our average splits combined with both teams momentum factor points per game average have this one going Over the oddsmakers number on Monday night. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 220.7 points. The BMM projects a total point differential of +9.38 points against a total range of 212.0 to 214.5 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Over with a 74.64 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of 9.71 with a transitional average of 43.3 and a conversion rate range of 45.6 to 47.45 percent in tonight’s contest. Both teams have solid momentum indicators for this contest and both are trending in positive scoring territory which easily translates into a finish on the high side of the oddsmakers number on Monday night. Additional support comes from the BSIM Matrix where the Over qualifies at 74.5 or better which makes this a Super 70 Best Bet. Super 70 Best Bet Ultra Totals have gone 17-5-2 ats the last twenty-four qualifying plays. Indiana coming off a SU win and going Under now facing a non-conference opponent has posted a record of 71-47 OVER. If the Pacers are now installed as a non-conference favorite in the current price range they have gone Over at a rate of 31-17-2. The Pacers taking on Oklahoma City in either location have posted a record of 22-9 Over and if they are playing in Indiana the Over is 12-3. With the Thunder coming off a game as a favorite and now taking on Indiana they have gone Over at a rate of 15-5 in this situation including 7-1 Over if they are now playing in Indiana. Finally we note the Thunder coming off at least two straight home games and now face off against the Pacers the Over has been perfect in this situation going 7-0. The combination of all these factors gives us an all systems go on the high side in Indiana on Monday night. Over PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* OVER 212.0 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
PICK MADE ON 2/6/2017 AT 6:14 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/7/2017 AT 5:48 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 05, 2017 [refresh]
2/5/2017

6:30 PM EST
NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS

PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Super Sunday is here and the big show takes place in Houston Texas on Sunday night. The Number One offensive team is taking on the Number One defensive team once again in the big game. We have had great success playing the better overall defensive team in the Super Bowl but this season our play on team is also the favorite where the high flying offenses of the Super Bowl have normally carried the chalk. Only once in the history of the NFL has the Number One scoring offense defeated the Number One scoring defense, that Super Bowl was one to remember with Joe Montana and his 49ers knocking off Dan Marino and the Miami Dolphins. The Niners had a pretty solid offense that year as well which has not been the case in each of the other Super Bowl situations. The old saying has held true for the most part “defense wins championships” we see teams that have posted huge numbers on the scoreboard over the years do not win championships. As evidenced by the six teams that put up as many or more points than the Falcons did this season all failed to win the championship in fact only two of those six teams even made the big game with the 2013 Denver Broncos and we all remember that high flying Patriots team in 2007. Two of the most powerful offenses ever in the NFL managed to score a combined twenty-two points. The Patriots took on the Greatest Show on Turf in the St. Louis Rams who were an offensive juggernaut for the entire season up until they faced the Patriots in the Super Bowl. The Patriots held that offense to three first half points and seventeen total points in a 20 to 17 victory. There has been a ton of talk the last several weeks even during the early rounds of the playoffs about the Patriots schedule and how their defense got easy stats. New England held their post-season foes to thirteen and seventeen points against the Texans and the Steelers. Also as far as the strength of schedule the Patriots faced the same four NFC West foes the Falcons faced this season. On the defensive side of the ball the Patriots give up yards but do not give up points and what does it take to win the game, points of course. In their games against Houston and Pittsburgh we saw the Patriots use three down linemen and they were not a team that blitzed this season normally using just three men to rush the quarterback. In fact we saw some 5-1-5 defensive lineups in the postseason from the Patriots defense. They also utilized three safeties which also causing confusion much like the 5-1-5 does for the opposing quarterbacks. The difference this will make against the Falcons it takes away their rushing and short passing attack it does not allow them to run those screens to the running backs that have been so successful for the Falcons this season. The Patriots defense has done a really good job of holding opponents rushers in check and that is a huge part of the Falcons offense which is predicated on running the ball and screen passes to set up big plays. New England led the NFL by allowing only six rushing touchdowns in the regular season, while yielding 88.6 yards per game on the ground, which ranked tied for third in the league. Teams coming off any playoff game scoring forty or more points like the Falcons did against the Packers in their last game are only 11-18 SU but a money burning 4-25 against the number in the next playoff or Super Bowl game. The Falcons defense is ranked last in the league in the red zone this season. That is huge and we must remember this Falcons team did not have a remarkable regular season record coming in at 11-5 SU this season and their defense has been their Achilles heel. In Week 10 of the season the Falcons faced off against the Eagles and the Eagles running attack crushed them for 208 yards rushing. Since that game the Falcons defense has allowed more than ninety-nine yards rushing in every game. The rushing damage was done between the tackles which was exploited by the Eagles rushing attack and may very well be the game plan the Patriots use to get the win here tonight. The best defense for a high scoring offense is to keep them on the bench and the Patriots offensive rushing attack with LeGarrette Blount can control the pace and tempo of this game running between the tackles which has been shown as a major weakness of the Falcons defense. One quick note LeGarrette Blount had the second most rushing touchdowns by a Super Bowl participant with 18 behind Seattle’s Shaun Alexander who had 26 back in 2006. Much has been made about the fact that Dan Quinn was the defensive coordinator for a stout Seattle Seahawks defense before landing the head coaching job for Atlanta two years ago. Patriots QB Tom Brady had his best Super Bowl performance in their 28 to 24 victory over the Seattle Seahawks. In that game Brady threw for 328 yards completing 75% of his passes with four touchdowns all against Dan Quinn’s Seahawks defense. Another key fact in this game that has not been mentioned by many is the fact that Brady is fresh he missed the first four games of the season and it makes a difference this time of the year especially for someone his age and at his position. He looks as good as ever and that is bad news for a Falcons defense that struggled with lesser opponents and none of those have that “chip” that Brady has overall in any season but certainly in this one after being suspended for the first four games, he is pissed. On the technical front we see the Patriots installed as chalk are 19-9-2 ATS. The Patriots are 17-0 ATS on turf versus a non-divisional opponent when they are averaging less than 3.80 yards per rush. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 10.89 points. The MM projects a point differential of 8.02 points against the current line range of -3.0 to -5.5. The SIM Matrix has the Patriots with a 73.4 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. The Patriots come into this contest with the edge on both sides of the ball even though the Falcons had a higher scoring offense than the Patriots you must remember Brady missed the first four games of the season and they certainly have the better defense. Coaching, commitment and consistency will be the difference on Sunday night. Lay the short number with the Patriots on Sunday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* New England Patriots over the Atlanta Falcons by 10 points
PICK MADE ON 2/5/2017 AT 2:54 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/5/2017 AT 11:00 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
2/5/2017

6:30 PM EST
NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS

PICK: UNDER 57.5 (-115)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Patriots have allowed a total of 250 points this season, as the next best defense gave up 284 points (Giants). The defense has stepped up down the stretch by yielding 17 points or fewer in eight of the last nine games, including 17 to the Steelers in the AFC Championship. Under Belichick, the Patriots have given up 21 points or fewer in four of six Super Bowl appearances, with the most points allowed was in their game against Carolina in Super Bowl XXXVIII in a 32 to 29 win. Our TPR Index projects a game total point average of 50.2 points. The MM projects a game total point differential of -9.33 points against the current total range of 59.0 to 57.5. The SIM Matrix has the UNDER with a 70.26 percent advantage against the oddsmakers TOTAL in tonight’s contest. It’s been difficult to score on this Patriots team in the fourth quarter this season; they are allowing 5.1 points per game (ranked 4th). Meanwhile, Atlanta allowed 9.4 points per game in the fourth quarter this season, which was ranked 31st in the league. Even though the Falcons number is higher we believe this game will stay well below the posted total. This total raced up to 60 points rather quickly after the oddsmakers posted it although it has come back a little it is still the highest total for the big game. We have only seen four games since the 2000 Super Bowl that had a total higher than fifty points and in all of those games three of which featured New England, failed to reach that number and cashed the Under ticket. A perfect 0-4 Under in all four games we will not buck that trend here especially with a team that has participated in three of those Under cashing Super Bowls. Simple call here play the low side. 4.5* Under
PICK MADE ON 2/5/2017 AT 2:55 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/5/2017 AT 10:59 PM EST
-4.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 02, 2017 [refresh]
2/2/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
FLORIDA ATLANTIC VS. CHARLOTTE U

PICK: CHARLOTTE U -6.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/2/2017 AT 6:18 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/2/2017 AT 9:19 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
2/2/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
MARSHALL VS. SOUTHERN MISS

PICK: SOUTHERN MISS +9 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/2/2017 AT 6:18 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/2/2017 AT 10:19 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
2/2/2017

8:30 PM EST
NBA
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS. SAN ANTONIO SPURS

PICK: OVER 214 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 2/2/2017 AT 6:18 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/2/2017 AT 11:19 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 01, 2017 [refresh]
2/1/2017

7:30 PM EST
NBA
ATLANTA HAWKS VS. MIAMI HEAT

PICK: OVER 205 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Miami Heat has managed to garner some attention winners of their last eight in a row with victories over the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors. The Hawks meanwhile have won six of their last nine as both teams have stepped up of late. The Hawks are coming off a four-overtime victory over the Knicks on Sunday afternoon. Tonight our focus is on the game total which we have support for the high side in this contest. We note the Hawks coming off at least their last two games at home and now play a conference opponent have gone Over at a rate of 128-86-4 Over. If we put them on the conference road as an underdog their Over record improves to 73-48-1 Over including 11-2-1 Over in the current price range. Our BTPR Index projects a game total average of 213.2 points. The BMM projects a total point differential of +8.87 points against a total range of 204.5 to 206.5 points. The BSIM Matrix has the Over with a 73.82 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of 9.04 with a transitional average of 42.07 and a conversion rate range of 45.31 to 47.65 percent in tonight’s contest. Both teams have solid momentum indicators for this contest and both are trending in positive scoring territory which means they should have no trouble eclipsing the oddsmakers number and cashing the ticket for us on the high side. A check of our database reveals systems that are active for tonight’s game with both teams as the qualifying team in several of the systems. We want to play Over on any NBA division home favorite in the current price range because their games have gone Over at a rate of 116-78-2 Over. We want to play Over on NBA division underdogs coming off a SU win but an ATS loss as a home favorite in their last game because they have gone Over the posted total 21-6 Over their next time out. Combine all the key indicators and they all point to only one outcome and that is an Over play in South Beach tonight. Over PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* OVER 205.0 Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
PICK MADE ON 2/1/2017 AT 5:25 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/1/2017 AT 10:19 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
2/1/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
BAYLOR VS. KANSAS

PICK: KANSAS -6.5 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Baylor Bears have managed a 7-1 conference record to this point of the season but that is in jeopardy tonight in Lawrence when they take on the hometown Jayhawks of Kansas. The only loss suffered in conference play by the Bears was a blowout loss to West Virginia. We will use football terms to describe the blowout, the Bears lost by three touchdowns turning the ball over twenty-nine times. The Kansas Jayhawks have won the last eight meetings with Baylor and the last nine in Lawrence with Kansas defeating Baylor by ten or more points in their last five meetings overall. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 14.05 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.84 points with a line range of -6.0 to -8.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Kansas Jayhawks with a 74.7 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Kansas with an offensive-defensive differential of +9.61 with a transitional average of 42.03 and a conversion rate range of 46.55 to 48.78 percent in tonight’s contest. We note that Kansas is a perfect 7-0 ats after playing on the road in their last game and now facing Baylor. The Jayhawks are a perfect 6-0 ats in the same situation when they are now installed as the favorite. With Kansas coming off a huge win at Kentucky their last time out we do not look for them to be flat and over confident knowing that this Baylor team has only one conference loss and seven victories will keep them focused on the job at hand. Lay the chalk with the Jayhawks on Wednesday night in Lawrence. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Kansas Jayhawks 84 Baylor Bears 70
PICK MADE ON 2/1/2017 AT 5:25 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 2/1/2017 AT 11:37 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, JANUARY 31, 2017 [refresh]
1/31/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
WAKE FOREST VS. BOSTON COLLEGE

PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE +6.5 (-115)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Wake Forest Demon Deacons travel to Boston to take on the home town Eagles of Boston College a game which will be featured on ESPNU with the tip off set for 7PM Eastern Time. The Deacons are coming off a huge battle against rival Duke over the weekend losing by a bucket 85 to 83 as a six and half point home underdog. They must now get up for a game on the road at Boston College and we expect that to be difficult for this Deacons team after coming so close to snatching a huge victory over the Devils. We expect a much different attitude and presence on the court from the home team with the Eagles a solid 5-1 ats as home underdogs this season. The Eagles have improved their play during January going 7-2 ats. BC is 7-2 ats versus conference opponents this season and 10-5 ats versus teams with a winning record. The Eagles step of their level of play versus good teams having posted a record of 6-1 ats versus teams that average scoring seventy-seven or more points per game including a perfect 4-0 ats after fifteen games of the season have been played. So a late season surge by this group of Eagles should be enough to keep this one well within that six-point number the oddsmakers have hung on Wake Forest. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 1.45 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -7.98 points with a line range of +6.0 to +8.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Boston College Eagles with a 73.9 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has Boston College with an offensive-defensive differential of +5.55 with a transitional average of 40.72 and a conversion rate range of 45.69 to 47.82 percent in tonight’s contest. We mentioned the Deacons giving a huge effort at home in their last game and we know that if they have gone Over the posted total at home in their last game and now play on the conference road they have struggled against the oddsmakers number with a record of just 9-23 ats. Boston College is coming off an ats win on the road at Virginia Tech in their last game and we know the Eagles have performed well when taking on a division opponent after covering on the road in their last game they are a perfect 7-0 ats overall including 6-0 ats if they are at home. With solid support from the situational and technical sides of this contest we will take the points with the Eagles on their home floor as they grab the win on Tuesday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Boston College Eagles 75 Wake Forest Deacons 74
PICK MADE ON 1/31/2017 AT 5:39 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/31/2017 AT 9:39 PM EST
+4.35
[report pick]
1/31/2017

8:00 PM EST
NBA
SACRAMENTO KINGS VS. HOUSTON ROCKETS

PICK: OVER 224.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The NBA’s Western Conference matchup between the Sacramento Kings and the Houston Rockets get the call as our highest rated NBA play for Tuesday’s action. The Rockets are second in the league averaging 114.3 points per game. The Rockets are tied for 5th in the league in field goal percentage, shooting 46.8 percent from the field. Houston is leading the league with 14.5 trey’s a night while the team is 10th shooting 36.6 percent from behind the arc this season. The Rockets have made ten or more trey’s in twenty-five games this season which is bad news for the Kings because they are among the league’s bottom five in three-point defense. Houston has struggled on the other end of the floor ranked 24th in scoring defense allowing their opponents to average more than 108 points per game on the season. The Kings would certainly like to take advantage of that flaw in the Rockets game the Kings are ranked 15th in the league in field goal percentage shooting 45.2 percent from the field. Sacramento improves to 12th in the league in shooting percentage from behind the arc with an average of 36.1 percent on the season. Houston has had little trouble with the Kings this season picking up a pair of double-digit wins and covers including a 132 to 98 beat down of the Kings at the Toyota Center back in mid-December. A note for that game the Kings were without Cousins who did not play that night. The two teams met at the Golden 1 Center back on November 25 and Cousins poured in 32 points although it was in a losing effort as the Rockets won by thirteen points. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 230.6 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +7.88 points against a total range of 224.0 to 226.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 73.7 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of 8.2 with a transitional average of 41.34 and a conversion rate range of 46.07 to 48.52 percent in tonight’s contest. Houston coming off a su loss and going Under on the road and now play as a home favorite in the current price range have gone Over at a rate of 6-0 Over. With the Rockets coming off a su/ats road loss and going Under the total and now installed as a conference favorite they have cashed the Over at a rate of 31-15-1 Over. The Kings going Over in their last two games and now installed as a road underdog have gone Over at a rate of 13-4 Over. If the Kings are coming off an ats win and going Over in their last game and now play in the current price range they have cashed the Over at a rate of 20-6 Over the last twenty-six in this situation. The Kings going Over in their last game and now must face the Houston Rockets the Over has cashed the winning ticket at a rate of 18-7-2 Over. The combination of all these factors makes this an easy call for a play on the high side of the oddsmakers number on Tuesday night in Houston. Over PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* OVER 224.5 Sacramento Kings vs. Houston Rockets
PICK MADE ON 1/31/2017 AT 5:40 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/31/2017 AT 10:40 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, JANUARY 30, 2017 [refresh]
1/30/2017

10:35 PM EST
NBA
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS. PHOENIX SUNS

PICK: OVER 207.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: A pair of Western Conference foes go at it in the desert on Monday night as the Grizzlies of Memphis Tennessee travel to take on the Suns of Phoenix Arizona. This game can be seen on TNT it is the second half of the Monday night NBA on TNT double-header with the tip set for 10:35PM Eastern Time. The Grizzlies have taken nine of the last 11 meetings, including a 103-97 road win in the last matchup on March 21, 2016. Our interest is not on the side in this one but the total we have the oddsmakers giving us solid value here because of the defensive numbers Memphis has put up this season. A little too much respect for those numbers by the squares which has driven the price down from 208.5 to 207.5. The Suns have struggled mightily, especially on the defensive end, of late. Phoenix has dropped three straight after losing both games of the home and home with the Nuggets. The loss extended the Suns’ run to eleven straight games where they have allowed at least 102 points. The Suns after going Over the posted total at home in their last game and now facing Memphis the Over has cashed in thirteen of the sixteen meetings in this situation. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 214.72 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +8.78 points against a total range of 207.0 to 209.5 points. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 74.1 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Over with an offensive-defensive differential of 7.39 with a transitional average of 42.86 and a conversion rate range of 43.17 to 45.06 percent in tonight’s contest. We want to play OVER on NBA home underdogs of 2.0 to 4.5 points coming off a straight up loss as a favorite in their last game. These games have gone Over at a rate of 140-99-2 Over. We want to play OVER on NBA home underdogs in the same price range coming off a straight up loss as a home favorite in their last game. These games have seen the Over cash at a rate of 106-75-2 Over. This total best bet has an all systems go on the Over in the desert on Monday night. Over PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* OVER 207.5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns
PICK MADE ON 1/30/2017 AT 6:11 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/31/2017 AT 5:38 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 29, 2017 [refresh]
1/29/2017

6:05 PM EST
NBA
HOUSTON ROCKETS VS. INDIANA PACERS

PICK: UNDER 228 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 1/29/2017 AT 1:21 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/29/2017 AT 8:42 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
1/29/2017

6:30 PM EST
NCAAB
INDIANA VS. NORTHWESTERN

PICK: NORTHWESTERN -7 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK MADE ON 1/29/2017 AT 1:22 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/29/2017 AT 8:58 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, JANUARY 28, 2017 [refresh]
1/28/2017

4:00 PM EST
NCAAB
IOWA STATE VS. VANDERBILT

PICK: VANDERBILT +2 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Vanderbilt Commodores play host to the Cyclones of Iowa State as a featured matchup in the SEC – Big 12 Challenge. The Dores are coming off a one-point loss to the Razorbacks Tuesday night losing 71 to 70 after blowing a 70 to 66 lead in the final twenty-three seconds of the game. Vandy coach Bryce Drew said “all we had to do was finish just one defensive stop was all we needed but didn’t get”. This Dores team will be focused on the Cyclones today while the Cyclones seem to be distracted by their star Monte Morris who is closing in on Jeff Hornacek's 30-year-old school record for assists. Morris wanted to break the record in Ames but states he will not hold anything back here if he breaks the record in Nashville its fine by him. The team says they are not distracted by this attention but there seems to be a lot of talk surrounding it. The Cyclones will face a tough Commodores team in Nashville Saturday evening. The Commodores lead the SEC in 3-point field goal percentage, 3-pointers made per game and free throw percentage. Four players are averaging in double figures, led by jr Matthew Fisher-Davis who has connected on 54-of-139 3-point attempts (38.8 percent). Senior center Luke Kornet is second in scoring and rebounding while jr guard Riley LaChance and jr forward Jeff Roberson average double-digits with Roberson also snatching a team best 7.5 rebounds per game. The BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 5.17 points in favor of the underdog. The BMM projects a point differential of 7.7 points against the current price range of +1.0 to +3.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Commodores with an offensive-defensive differential of +5.83 with a transitional average of 40.37 and a conversion rate range of 42.56 to 44.09 percent in today’s contest. Vanderbilt coming off a home game has posted a record of 123-88-3 ATS. If the Commodores lost against the spread in that game they are 58-32-2 ats. If the Commodores lost ats as a home favorite they are 47-27-1 ats their next time out. If Vanderbilt lost both su and ats at home they are 29-15-1 ats in their next game. We want to play ON non-conference underdogs in this price range coming off a game in which they were favored at home and the game went Under the oddsmakers total. These non-conference underdogs are 139-90-2 ats. If these non-conference underdogs are coming off an ats loss as a favorite in this situation they are 65-43-2 ats. With solid support for the home team we will take the points as the Commodores grab the straight up victory on Saturday evening. Take the points PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Vanderbilt Commodores 78 Iowa State Cyclones 73
PICK MADE ON 1/28/2017 AT 12:40 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/28/2017 AT 6:17 PM EST
+4.76
[report pick]
1/28/2017

6:15 PM EST
NCAAB
KANSAS VS. KENTUCKY

PICK: KENTUCKY -7 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Kentucky Wildcats welcome the Jayhawks of Kansas to Rupp Arena for one of the featured SEC – Big 12 Challenge matchups on Saturday. Both teams enter off upset losses in their last game with Kansas suffering a blowout loss to West Virginia 85 to 69 last Tuesday night. The Wildcats loss was much different in that they dropped a tough one in Tennessee to the Volunteers 82 to 80. We know the Wildcats bounce back coming off a SU loss on the road as a favorite posting a record of 19-7-2 ats including 17-7-2 ats when they are installed as a favorite in this situation. We want to play ON CBB home teams in the current price range coming off a SU loss as a favorite and going Under the posted total because these teams are 60-37-1 ats. If these CBB home teams are installed as a favorite their record improves to 19-8-1 ats. The BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 15.07 points. The BMM projects a point differential of 9.64 points against the current price range of -7.0 to -9.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Wildcats with an offensive-defensive differential of +7.05 with a transitional average of 44.1 and a conversion rate range of 49.8 to 51.92 percent in today’s contest. The Jayhawks are 6-12 ats overall this season including 4-6 ats away from Lawrence. Kentucky is 10-1 SU at Rupp this season including 7-3 against the number. We look for the Kentucky Wildcats to give the Kansas Jayhawks the second SU and ATS loss in their mini two-game road trip. Lay the points with the Wildcats on Saturday night in the Bluegrass State. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Kentucky Wildcats 89 Kansas Jayhawks 76
PICK MADE ON 1/28/2017 AT 12:42 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/28/2017 AT 8:57 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, JANUARY 27, 2017 [refresh]
1/27/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
QUINNIPIAC VS. MONMOUTH

PICK: QUINNIPIAC +13.5 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Quinnipiac Braves make the trip to take on the Hawks of Monmouth Friday night with the tip set for 7:00PM Eastern Time. The better overall team is no doubt the host Hawks based on their records but the Hawks struggle against the number this season posting a record of 7-9-1 ats while the Bobcats are 11-4-1 ats including a solid 6-1 ats away from home. The Bobcats have been perfect during the month of January this season going 6-0 against the number and a perfect 6-0 ats coming off a loss to a conference rival. The Hawks have struggled against the number at home going 3-5 ats and 1-5 ats as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The Hawks have really struggled trying to cover that spread 12.5 an above number as we mentioned they are 1-5 ats this season but they are 3-9 ats the last three years. The Hawks are also 1-7 ats when they are coming off a trio of games that all went Under the posted total. Our team splits and our momentum indicator has the Hawks with only a five-point average advantage over the Bobcats in this contest. The Bobcats also qualify in four fundamental power systems with records of 398-290-11 ats 140-91-5 ats 51-37 ats and 64-36-2 ats. The Bobcats have not pulled off many su victories on the road this season going 3-8 su but they have been money in the bank when it comes to covering the oddsmakers numbers posting a 6-1 ats road record this season. No reason to think that will change as the oddsmakers have been slow to adjust and part of that comes from the fact the public love the Hawks as the favorite in this situation carrying almost sixty-five percent of the handle. We will take the generous points and cash another winning ticket with the Bobcats on Friday night in West Long Branch New Jersey. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Quinnipiac Bobcats 76 Monmouth Hawks 81
PICK MADE ON 1/27/2017 AT 6:11 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/27/2017 AT 9:37 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
1/27/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
NORTHERN KENTUCKY VS. ILLINOIS CHICAGO

PICK: NORTHERN KENTUCKY 0 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Flames of UIC play host to the Norse of Northern Kentucky Friday night with the tip set for 8:00PM Eastern Time. The Flames were riding a three-game winning streak before falling to the Crusaders of Valparaiso last weekend. In that game versus Valparaiso they were installed as 13.5 point road underdogs and lost 96 to 65 in an embarrassing fashion. For the Norse they were riding a three-game losing skid prior to defeating Detroit last Sunday to put a halt to that streak. Each year there will be a few teams that seem to have a magic number where if they score at least that amount they win the game and if they fail to reach that figure they lose the game. Well the Norse happens to be one of this year’s participants with seventy-points as their lucky number. When the Norse score at least seventy points in a game they are 13-3 su and 9-1 su when holding their opponents to seventy or fewer points. Last season the Norse had little trouble getting to seventy in their two games against the Flames scoring 82 on their home floor and following that up with 77 here. Northern Kentucky coming off a home game and now playing on the road have responded well when It comes to covering the spread by posting a record f 12-3 ats. Northern Kentucky coming off a home affair and now installed as a road underdog have posted a record of 11-3 against the spread. A check of our powerful database reveals a league-wide system that tells us to play AGAINST CBB home favorites coming off an ATS loss as a road underdog while the game went Over the posted total. These home favorites are a miserable 41-63 ats in this situation. Our team splits and momentum indicators all have at least a five-point advantage overall for the visitors in this contest. We are going to take whatever the oddsmakers have for us in this one as the Norse grab the outright victory PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Northern Kentucky Norse 72 Illinois-Chicago Flames 69
PICK MADE ON 1/27/2017 AT 6:11 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/27/2017 AT 10:23 PM EST
+4.76
[report pick]
1/27/2017

9:00 PM EST
NCAAB
WRIGHT STATE VS. VALPARAISO

PICK: WRIGHT STATE +9.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The featured college basketball game from the Horizon League on Friday night features the Valparaiso Crusaders playing host to the Wright State Raiders. This contest has all the earmarks of a one possession battle that goes to the final gun to be decided. Although the oddsmakers have assigned a rather large number to the host club tonight which makes this an easy call on the visiting Raiders. The Crusaders are coming off a home blowout victory 95 to 65 over UIC. Not to be outdone the Raiders of Wright State took down a strong Oakland team 88 to 67 their last trip to the hardwood. We note Valparaiso coming off a game and now play in a game with a price range of 7.0 to 9.5 they are only 17-32-3 ats. If the Crusaders are playing at home in this situation their record drops to 8-20-2 ats. Finally if they are installed as a conference home favorite in that same price range they are only 3-13-2 ats. Wright State coming off a game and now facing Valparaiso on the road the Raiders are 8-1-1 ats. If the Raiders are installed as a road underdog versus the Crusaders they are 7-0-1 ats. We also know if the Raiders were underdogs in their last game and they are now installed as road underdogs at Valparaiso they are 6-0-1 ats. Our Team Performance splits and momentum indicator all favor the visitors in tonight’s contest with the Crusaders coming off four straight ats victories they are 0-5 ats their next time out. We are going to take the points here with the Raiders. The oddsmakers have given us solid line value even playing into double revenge (Wright State winning both games last season) the Raiders have dominated this series of late posting a record of 6-0-1 ats their last seven played here. Wright State also qualifies in three of our fundamental power systems with records of 398-290-11 ats, 51-37 ats and 140-91-5 ats. Taking almost double-digits with a team that has proven they can play at a high level away from home picking up five road victories already in this campaign. During the 2016 season Valparaiso went into Wright State’s home arena favored by 8.5 points and the Raiders rolled in an upset winning 73 to 62. Less than a month later February 13 2016 to be exact the Raiders traveled to face the Crusaders on their home floor installed as 13.5 point road underdogs and facing a Crusader team wanting to exact some revenge for that earlier loss came up short on their home court losing 61 to 59 to Wright State. For us catching a large amount of points here is a bonus as the Raiders do what they have been doing in this situation, win. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Wright State Raiders 75 Valparaiso Crusaders 73
PICK MADE ON 1/27/2017 AT 6:12 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/27/2017 AT 10:23 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 25, 2017 [refresh]
1/25/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
INDIANA STATE VS. ILLINOIS STATE

PICK: ILLINOIS STATE -13 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Redbirds welcome the Sycamores from Indiana State to Redbird Arena for a MVC battle on Wednesday night. Indiana State is coming off a blowout loss at Wichita State losing 84 to 58. The two issues the Sycamores have struggled with all season were the exact reason they were blown out in their most recent trip to the hardwood they cannot score the ball and cannot stop opposing teams from shooting the lights out. They shot thirty-three percent from the field and converted just five of twenty-three attempts from behind the arc. That will not get the job done when you are able to play well on the defensive end of the floor but the Sycamores were once again horrible on that end giving up 84 points to the Shockers. Indiana State coming off a road game and now facing a conference foe in the current price range they are a miserable 5-15 ats. The Sycamores coming off a SU loss and going Under now installed as a conference road underdog they are 1-7 ats. The Redbirds are a completely different team playing on a different level than the Sycamores. They too are coming off a blowout but in this one they did the damage defeating Drake 72 to 58 last Saturday. Illinois State shot just forty-three percent from the field in that win but their dominating defense held Drake to just thirty percent shooting from the field. Illinois State coming off a SU win in their last game now play in the current price range have posted a record of 20-9-1 against the spread in this situation. These two met back on January 7 in Indiana with Illinois State coming away with the 77 to 58 road win easily covering the four point spread. The Redbirds defense is ranked 12 in the nation in scoring allowing opponents an average of 62 points per game which they held the Sycamores to just fifty-eight points on their home floor in that game on January 7 we look for a similar score tonight. When we have the Redbirds coming off an ATS loss in their last game and now installed as a home favorite they are 27-14 ats. If the Redbirds are playing as a conference home favorite in the same situation their record improves to 15-5 ats. The team splits and ratings averages have the Illinois State Redbirds with a projected point advantage of 20.8 points in tonight’s game. We will lay the chalk here as this group of Redbirds keeps their foot on the pedal and rolls past an overmatched group of Sycamores on Wednesday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* (#552) Illinois State Redbirds 80 Indiana State Sycamores 59
PICK MADE ON 1/25/2017 AT 5:08 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/25/2017 AT 10:39 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, JANUARY 24, 2017 [refresh]
1/24/2017

8:00 PM EST
NCAAB
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS VS. NOTRE DAME IRISH

PICK: VIRGINIA CAVALIERS +2.0 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Virginia Cavaliers travel to South Bend to face ACC foe Notre Dame on Tuesday night. The Fighting Irish exercised some demons last Saturday defeating Syracuse which was big because they had failed the previous five meetings against the Orange. The Irish face a similar demon tonight with the Cavaliers having defeated the Irish in all four of their ACC meetings. Notre Dame head coach Mike Brey said his team has had no answer for the Cavaliers and his upperclassmen will be focused on this contest. Well he may believe that but they are coming off a double-digit victory over Syracuse and it is hard to get up for another emotionally charged contest in back-to-back contests. Virginia has been quiet leading up to this meeting but Notre Dame forward Martinas Geben gave the Cavs a little bulletin board material when he was asked about the upcoming game against the Cavaliers he said “they’re next”. Virginia has been tough on the road taking pride in winning away from home. The only real news out of Cavaliers camp regarding this game came from Cavaliers forward Isaiah Wilkins who said they love playing on the road because of the level of excitement. Not many notice things like this but the Cavaliers since the 2010 season have posted a record of 114-80-3 against the spread. Not only do they consistently win straight up but they also cover the spread. This has been a challenge that Notre Dame has not answered in any of its four previous meetings. The games haven’t been close as Notre Dame's average margin of defeat has been 13.2 points. The Fighting Irish have trailed by a large margin in almost every contest with their average largest deficit versus the Cavaliers was 19.5 points. The Cavaliers led by as many as twenty-four points the first time the teams met in South Bend in 2014, then led by twenty-five points later that season in Charlottesville, Va. The Irish team that went 32-6 and won the conference tournament in 2015 trailed by as many as ten points at home to the Cavaliers, who opened league play last season with an eleven-point win in a game they led by nineteen at one point. Notre Dame has struggled from the field never shooting better than forty-nine percent against the Cavaliers. The Virginia Cavaliers have really responded against the spread when installed as an Underdog posting a record of 30-14 ats. If the Cavaliers are coming off a SU win as a favorite in their last game and now play as an underdog they are 14-5 ats. Virginia is 18-6 ats when installed as a conference road underdog and if they are coming off a SU win in their last game their record improves to 13-4 ats. The Cavaliers splits both offensively and defensively have them with a six-point advantage over Notre Dame in this contest. Even with Notre Dame coming off that blowout victory over Syracuse winning by eighteen their overall splits have them in negative territory in this situation versus Virginia. The Momentum Index also favors the Cavaliers in tonight’s contest with the Irish trending in negative territory while the Cavaliers are solidly in positive territory. We will take whatever points are available in this contest as the Cavaliers continue their dominance over the Irish on Tuesday night in South Bend. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Virginia Cavaliers 71 Notre Dame Irish 65
PICK MADE ON 1/24/2017 AT 5:13 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/25/2017 AT 5:06 PM EST
+4.55
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, JANUARY 23, 2017 [refresh]
1/23/2017

7:00 PM EST
NCAAB
NC STATE VS. DUKE

PICK: NC STATE +16.5 (-110)

RISK: 4.5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: Big Monday and we head to Durham and Cameron Indoor Stadium for an in-state battle between the host Duke Blue Devils and the visiting Wolfpack of North Carolina State. This featured ACC battle can be seen on ESPN with tip set for 7PM Eastern Time. The Wolfpack are coming in off a loss to the Demon Deacons their last time out. Their defense let them down again and they were outscored by double-digits on the charity stripe. In the Pack’s five conference losses they have allowed 88.2 points per game and that will get them in trouble tonight if they do not come to play on that end of the floor. We do have several key technical in our favor tonight. We note that NC State coming off a game as a favorite and playing on the road they are 49-30-4 ats. If the Pack are installed as an underdog coming off a game as a favorite they are 44-27-3 ATS and if they are a road dog their record improves to 34-17-3 ATS. If the Pack are coming in off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite they are 24-11-1 ats in their next game. If the pack are coming off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite and have been installed as an underdog in the current game they are 11-2 ats. If NC State is installed as a road underdog in this situation they are perfect at 7-0-0 ats. Now Duke installed as a conference favorite coming in off a SU/ATS win at home in their last game has only posted a record of 15-32-2 ats as that conference favorite. We want to play AGAINST conference home favorites in the current price range when coming off a SU win and going Under in their last game. These conference home favorites are only 19-34-1 ats in this role. The Wolfpack has recently done a good job of covering the number in this series with three of the last five going their way including the last meeting with a double-digit number. This is a huge rivalry game for the Wolfpack because they always feel like the third wheel in North Carolina so their players will want to get inside this double-digit number on Monday night. We will take the points in this one on Monday night as the Pack keeps it inside the number. PROJECTED FORECAST: 4.5* NC State Wolfpack 77 Duke Blue Devils 88
PICK MADE ON 1/23/2017 AT 6:11 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/23/2017 AT 9:38 PM EST
+4.09
[report pick]
1/23/2017

7:30 PM EST
NBA
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS. ATLANTA HAWKS

PICK: ATLANTA HAWKS -7.5 (-110)

RISK: 5 UNITS
CHAT / COMMENTS
PICK WRITE-UP: The LA Clippers limp into the ATL on Monday night off a pair of losses the first at home to Minnesota and the last most recent coming in Denver against the Nuggets. Once again injuries to Blake Griffin keep him sidelined he has been downgraded to doubtful in Atlanta tonight while Chris Paul is expected to miss as much as six weeks due to a thumb injury. They face a Hawks team on an 11-2 straight up run their last thirteen games including back-to-back SU and ATS wins in their last two games. The Clippers have struggled on the road in the current price range posting a record of 12-23-1 ATS. With the Clippers coming off back-to-back ATS losses and now playing on the non-conference road they have struggled against the oddsmakers number posting a record of 9-21-2 ATS in this situation. If the Clippers lost their last game both straight up and against the spread on the road and now face the Atlanta Hawks they are 0-6 ATS the last six contests. We want to play ON NBA non-conference teams coming off back-to-back SU/ATS wins as a home favorite because these teams are 136-87-5 ATS including 99-65-2 ATS if they are now installed as a non-conference favorite. We are going to lay the chalk with the Hawks in the ATL on Monday night. PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Atlanta Hawks 111 Los Angeles Clippers 98
PICK MADE ON 1/23/2017 AT 6:11 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 1/23/2017 AT 10:21 PM EST
-5.00
[report pick]
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