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* Return on Investment (ROI) figures above represent potential returns based on a $100 per unit risk amount. Please note that past results do not guarantee or imply future performance.
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I’m going to start off by saying, this isn’t for everyone or anyone. This is definitely incredibly tough industry to be in. There are many different factors that can make you a good or great handicapper, and I will try to explain the best I can A-Z. The biggest reason why so many fail and only few prevail is the plain and simple fact of planning. If you don’t plan, you plan to fail. What I mean by that is… besides knowing the league, rules, players it isn’t enough. The biggest challenge is the temptations. If you are good at a niche, a specific league, stick to that, don’t waste your profits and more on leagues that are not your cup of tea. Keep your profits to yourself and build bankroll. Limit the temptations as much as possible, by keeping good discipline, self control and money management.
The more great qualifications and different factors for deciding a game, the better edge you’ll have. Weather report, injury report, team rosters, location of the game (Home or Away)… are all important factors to have while making decisions, but even those are not the only ones. Some use different methods, some have 3 deciding factors, some 2, some the same, some different.
In my opinion besides those factors mentioned above, I would say being able to read the lines correctly and also making the right prediction of how the line movement will be shifting towards are the key essence of developing important qualification and deciding factor of call these games on point, tough task to do though, easier said then done. This is a skill set that I have learned from the start and keep trying to perfect this skill set.
While looking at lines and movement at the same time it is great to try to figure out where the heavy action is going and most times go opposite, even when it doesn’t make sense. In other works while looking at line movements figuring out ball park who the public is on can be a key… this was something I picked on later, never before I would pay so much attention to a small detail like that before.
Of course there are plenty more factors, every individual can have there own knowledge and methods, but I feel like even this obvious and other small detailed things mentioned is hard to perfect, consistency is the key… I feel like I really went to school all this past times when mistakes have been made and learned from.
Again the hardest of it all is the temptations, sticking to your league which is NFL for me. Another mistake I have learned from is trying to stay away from Parlays and other types of bets. Keep it a simple straight bet. Even straight bets are hard to hit these days let alone parlays or teasers or whatever… I learned the hard way, don’t let it get to you by making a habit of making parlays so much more often then straights. Wishing to hit the jackpot tickets isn’t my gameplay anymore rather relying on solid picks to grind and grind to a bigger bankroll, consistency is King! Keep your emotions in check and if you can’t take a break, cause soon as you lose control, you lose your business meadow and get in straight gambling not making solid picks, not picking with a focused clear head.
PS: Don’t get tricked by handicappers selling you their emotions and un realistic dreams.. we here them all the time, 85%-90 winners, bla bla bla. In reality if even producing 65%-70%, consistently is a winning system.
Doesn’t matter how you start your week, it matters how you finish! In this industry especially, your only as good as your last week, or month!
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