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PICKS
FOR SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2020 (IN 4 DAYS) |
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11/1/2020
8:20 PM ET |
NFL |
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PICKS
FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2020 (IN 3 DAYS) |
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10/31/2020
12:00 PM ET |
NCAAF |
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10/31/2020
3:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
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FOR FRIDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2020 (IN 2 DAYS) |
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10/30/2020
7:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
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PICKS
FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2020 (TOMORROW) |
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10/29/2020
8:20 PM ET |
NFL |
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| PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 11:11 AM ET |
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PICKS
FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2020 (2 DAYS AGO) |
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10/26/2020
8:15 PM ET |
NFL |
CHICAGO BEARS VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS
PICK: CHICAGO BEARS +6 (-113)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK WRITE-UP:
The Chicago Bears(475) at The Los Angeles Rams
(Monday Night Football)
You could easily argue that when the Bears started the season at 3-0,
they could have been 0-3. But they weren't.
After losing to the Colts they beat a talented and well coached Bucs team,
and then the Panthers who have an evolving defense.
The Rams have had to do lots of traveling, but played the easiest
strength of schedule in the league. Their four(4) wins are against,
the Cowboys, Eagles, Giants and the Washington team.
The NFC east is easily the worst in the NFL.
Bears quarterback, Nick Foles, is an interesting study.
It has taken his teams a little while to transition to his style of
play, going all the way back to 2013 when he replaced Mike Vick
and Matt Barkley to win 7 of 8 games.
After some team traveling, he ended up being the
Eagles Super Bowl MVP.
No matter who's calling the plays for McVay's Rams, they're
offense seems easier to predict than other teams.
Los Angeles has some marquee names on defense, but their
defense but will be facing another that may be just as capable.
I like the Chicago Bears +6 |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 1:54 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 12:18 AM ET |
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-11.00 |
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PICKS
FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 25, 2020 (3 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/25/2020
4:05 PM ET |
NFL |
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS
PICK: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-178)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK WRITE-UP:
The Seattle Seahawks at The Arizona Cardinals
(Sunday, October 25th at 4:05 PM ET)
Arizona:
1) This might be tough to say credibly, but the Cardinals didn't look
dominant, when leading the Coaboys by 28 points on Monday evening.
a) The Cowboys just looked that bad.
b) The Cowboys line was missing every starter.
2) Teams that turn the ball over 2 more times than the opposition
usually win 81% of the time ATS.
That number was +4 for the Cards on Monday.
Prior to that game they were -4 on the season.
2a) Your stat of the week:
For a sample of 294 NFL games
Teams that are +4 in turnovers won 97.3 % SU, and 95.2% ATS.
3) Is traveling after a short week.
4) I'm not a big fan of the Cardinals head coach, but Mike McCarthy of Dallas
not only calls a poor game, he doesn't seem to make many adjustments.
Seattle:
1) Their offensive line is relatively healthy, with Mike Iupati questionable.
2) Phillip Dorsett returns off IR?
3) The 2nd hardest player to defend in the league is arguably Russell Wilson
The public saw Arizona embarass Dallas on Monday night, which should
draw a litte money.
I'm trying to figure out how the Cowboys won two games this season.
I like the Seattle Seahawks -2.5
(Available at 3 books at 10:11 AM ET 10-20-20)
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| PICK MADE ON 10/20/2020 AT 10:43 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/26/2020 AT 1:04 AM ET |
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-11.00 |
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10/25/2020
8:20 PM ET |
NFL |
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
PICK: LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +3 (-113)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK WRITE-UP: The Tampa Bay Bucs at The Las Vegas Raiders (474)
(Sunday Night Football)
Most teams that played better than expected, are overbet the next.
Well..... both of these surprised in last.
Tampa beat Green Bay by 28 on two interceptions that arguably flipped the game.
One was a Pick 6. The Bucs played inspired defense in the 2nd half, just sitting
on their lead. Lots has been written about their defense since, but I'm not
convinced it's that dominant.
After giving up 34 points to the Saints, they played the Panthers, Broncos,
Chargers and Bears. Two of those offenses are average. The other two
ranked in the bottom five(5).
Quality is often better than quantity, but it is interesting to note that
Tampa lost more starters than they gained in the off season. The obvious
counter to that arguement is that some of the players added are the best
in the business.
Conversely, Oakland has progressed according to the Gruden blueprint.
They've gotten better in successive years. Last season they arguably
had more top tier draft picks than any other teams.
I like their receivers and tight end Walker. The possible injury to DE Nassib is
a concern, but they do have some depth.
It's tough to minimize the value of a decent home dog against a high profile opponent
playing with so many recogizable names.
I like the Las Vegas Raiders +3.
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| PICK MADE ON 10/21/2020 AT 12:07 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 8:16 PM ET |
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-11.00 |
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PICKS
FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 24, 2020 (4 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/24/2020
12:00 PM ET |
NCAAF |
NC STATE VS. NORTH CAROLINA
PICK: NC STATE +16.5 (-108)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK WRITE-UP:
The North Carolina State Wolfpack(321) at The North Carolina Tarheels
(Saturday, October 24th at 12:00 PM ET)
I'm not confortable giving out one of my most efficient angles, but it should be
useful for this game.
Nothing is ever a "lock". That's why even the longest shots
are 100-1 and not 100 to none.
Tarheel coach Mack Brown has resurrected himself after having issues at Texas.
He's now more of a GM than game day manager, and it's been working.
Unfortunately, his team lost as 13.5 favorites to FSU last week.
North Carolina is a nice program, but didn't deserve to be ranked 5th.
To put it simply, they just looked like a poorly coached squad.
Each team had 1 turnover, while FSU accumulated 31 pts on just
eight(8) complete passes.
North Carolina made the game close at the end, but as the old movie line goes,
"Players have to make Plays".
They didn't.
The finally ranked Wolfpack have played better than expected, but are not
without a major problem. Their starting QB, Devin Leary, may be done for the season.
His backup, left handed Baily Hockman, has played OK in limited starts but thrown
too many interceptions. He knows the offense, and has two(2) decent running backs.
He'll be facing a defense that has average numbers, but against inferior offenses.
I like the North Carolina State Wolfpack +16.5
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| PICK MADE ON 10/19/2020 AT 4:19 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 4:49 PM ET |
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-11.00 |
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10/24/2020
3:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
BAYLOR VS. TEXAS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: BAYLOR +8.5 (+101)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK WRITE-UP:
Waiting for some line changes, and possible covid exemptions,
so some write-ups may be brief.
Trying to get the best lines available.
The Baylor Bears(345) at The Texas Longhorns
(Saturday, October 24th at 4:30 PM ET)
Texas had major bowl aspirations.
Sorry Longhorn fans. It's not going to happen this season.
The defense has had trouble gettting off the field.
Many like Texas because they're coming back from a bye week.
Teams do win more after a bye week, but do not cover more after a bye week.
Texas has lots of injuries, possibly limiting depth.
Baylor arguably has the best defense Texas has faced so far, with no injuries listed.
I like the Baylor Bears +9 |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/22/2020 AT 4:52 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 7:59 PM ET |
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-11.00 |
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10/24/2020
7:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
MICHIGAN VS. MINNESOTA
PICK: MINNESOTA +3 (-104)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK WRITE-UP:
The Michigan Wolverines at The Minnesota Golden Gophers
(Saturday, October 24th at 7:30 PM ET)
Minnesota opened up as the favorite, but Michigan took action when
it was announced that the Gophers may be missing players due
to covid protocol, but probably not symptomatic issues.
Coach PJ Fleck deflected when asked at his most recent press conference.
It'll be interesting to see who's ready.
The Gophers have lost a good part of last year's defense, but
are bring almost all of their offense. They were the youngest major
program in college in 2018 and improved lots in 2019.
They won their first 9 games last year, before losing at Iowa, but
arguably outplaying the Hawkeyes.
Their only other loss was to Wisconsin, when they just couldn't
run the ball against their big defensive line.
Michigan is bringing back 5 players on offense and 6 on defense.
Quarterback could be an issue.
Shea Patterson has graduated. Dylan McCaffrey was expected to
take over, but has opted out. I think the starting QB will be Joe Milton,
but it could be Cade McNamara.
Neither have an extensive resume.
Although the first game of the year for both teams, we're getting
a home ranked opponent as underdog.
That's usually a good thing.
I like the Minnesota Golden Gophers +3 |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/22/2020 AT 4:35 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 12:13 AM ET |
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-11.00 |
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PICKS
FOR FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2020 (5 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/23/2020
7:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
TULSA VS. SOUTH FLORIDA
PICK: TULSA -10 (-111)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK WRITE-UP: The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (307) at The South Florida Bulls
(Friday, October 23rd at 7:30 PM ET)
It's tough take a double digit away favorite,
but it may be warranted with The Hurricane.
USF had some talent a few years ago, but their program was misdirected when they
hired coach Strong. Supposedly a great guy, but he didn't do a great job
with his animate chess pieces.
Part of their success was due to one player, QB Quinton Flowers.
Since his departure, USF has been on a progressive downturn.
Last week the bulla scored on Temple, but The Owls are auditioning
a whole new defense.
Tulsa somehow gets their players to "play".
They don't recruit many 4 and 5 star athletes, but seem to get the most
out of their abilities.
Last week they beat a talented but undisciplined UCF team, who
may lack depth, but didn't have many injuries.
Their prior was a hard fought loss to Oklahoma State who went on
to beat West Virginia by 14 and Kentucky by 40.
I like the Tulsa Golden Hurrican -10
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| PICK MADE ON 10/19/2020 AT 4:02 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/23/2020 AT 11:59 PM ET |
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+9.91 |
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PICKS
FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 19, 2020 (9 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/19/2020
8:15 PM ET |
NFL |
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. DALLAS COWBOYS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS +2 (-114)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/15/2020 AT 1:28 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/20/2020 AT 12:14 AM ET |
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-11.00 |
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PICKS
FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18, 2020 (10 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/18/2020
1:00 PM ET |
NFL |
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: OVER 51 (-104)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/14/2020 AT 7:33 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 5:07 PM ET |
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-11.00 |
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10/18/2020
8:20 PM ET |
NFL |
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
PICK: UNDER 51.5 (-115)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
|
| PICK WRITE-UP:
The Los Angeles Rams at The San Francisco 49ers
(Sunday Night Football)
We're keeping this one simple.
Lots of big money likes the Over.
I'm not so sure it's the right side.
49ers:
1) Maybe their offense resurrects, but right now they're rudderless.
In limited action last week Garropolo threw
three(3) interceptions and was sacked three(3) times.
2) The offensive line has their share of injuries and is not playing well.
3) Almost everyone does an adequate job incorporating injuries.
Few (unless possibly analyzing their hometown team)
properly incorpate players coming back from injury.
San Frans depleted defense could get a boost from the return
of Emmanuel Mosely and Akhello Witherspoon.
Rams:
1) Stats are always limited in the NFL, and sometimes almost meaningless
because of injuries, anomalies and a lack of constants, but
the Los Angeles defense has some nice substantial numbers, and has been
visually impressive, except against Buffalo.
Both teams:
1) Run more than they pass (relative to other teams)
I like the Under at 51.5
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| PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 10:54 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/19/2020 AT 12:13 AM ET |
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+9.57 |
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PICKS
FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2020 (11 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/17/2020
12:00 PM ET |
NCAAF |
PITTSBURGH VS. MIAMI FLORIDA
(FREE PICK)
PICK: PITTSBURGH +13.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/15/2020 AT 3:17 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 4:16 PM ET |
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+10.00 |
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10/17/2020
8:00 PM ET |
NCAAF |
GEORGIA VS. ALABAMA
(FREE PICK)
PICK: GEORGIA +6.5 (-108)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 4:14 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 12:30 AM ET |
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-11.00 |
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PICKS
FOR FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2020 (12 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/16/2020
9:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
BYU VS. HOUSTON
(FREE PICK)
PICK: BYU -3 (-112)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 5:17 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 2:22 AM ET |
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+9.82 |
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PICKS
FOR TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13, 2020 (15 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/13/2020
7:00 PM ET |
NFL |
BUFFALO BILLS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: BUFFALO BILLS (-172)
RISK: 5.8 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/13/2020 AT 4:48 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 10:55 PM ET |
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-5.80 |
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PICKS
FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 12, 2020 (16 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/12/2020
8:15 PM ET |
NFL |
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: OVER 50 (-113)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/10/2020 AT 5:23 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 12:36 AM ET |
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+9.73 |
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PICKS
FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 11, 2020 (17 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/11/2020
1:00 PM ET |
NFL |
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. NEW YORK JETS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: NEW YORK JETS +7 (-112)
RISK: 10.9 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/6/2020 AT 10:53 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 5:18 PM ET |
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-10.90 |
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10/11/2020
4:25 PM ET |
NFL |
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS +2.5 (-115)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/6/2020 AT 5:27 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 8:29 PM ET |
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+9.57 |
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PICKS
FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2020 (18 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/10/2020
12:00 PM ET |
NCAAF |
FLORIDA VS. TEXAS A&M
(FREE PICK)
PICK: TEXAS A&M +6 (-107)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 2:20 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 4:14 PM ET |
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+10.28 |
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10/10/2020
4:00 PM ET |
NCAAF |
ARKANSAS VS. AUBURN
(FREE PICK)
PICK: ARKANSAS +13.5 (-101)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 9:48 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 10:22 PM ET |
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+10.89 |
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10/10/2020
7:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
ALABAMA VS. MISSISSIPPI
(FREE PICK)
PICK: OVER 69.5 (-103)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 2:24 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 12:17 AM ET |
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+10.68 |
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PICKS
FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 8, 2020 (20 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/8/2020
7:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
TULANE VS. HOUSTON
(FREE PICK)
PICK: OVER 60 (-108)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/8/2020 AT 4:34 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/9/2020 AT 12:13 AM ET |
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+10.19 |
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PICKS
FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 5, 2020 (23 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/5/2020
8:50 PM ET |
NFL |
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: OVER 56 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/5/2020 AT 11:21 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/6/2020 AT 12:49 AM ET |
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-11.00 |
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PICKS
FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 4, 2020 (24 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/4/2020
1:00 PM ET |
NFL |
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. CAROLINA PANTHERS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: CAROLINA PANTHERS +3.5 (-120)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/3/2020 AT 12:02 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/4/2020 AT 5:02 PM ET |
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+9.17 |
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10/4/2020
8:20 PM ET |
NFL |
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: OVER 45 (-106)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/4/2020 AT 9:25 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/5/2020 AT 12:34 AM ET |
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PICKS
FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 3, 2020 (25 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/3/2020
3:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
SOUTH FLORIDA VS. CINCINNATI
(FREE PICK)
PICK: UNDER 46 (-108)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 9/30/2020 AT 9:35 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/3/2020 AT 7:45 PM ET |
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+10.19 |
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10/3/2020
7:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
OKLAHOMA VS. IOWA STATE
(FREE PICK)
PICK: IOWA STATE +7 (-104)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 9/30/2020 AT 9:13 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/4/2020 AT 12:16 AM ET |
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+10.58 |
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10/3/2020
7:30 PM ET |
NCAAF |
AUBURN VS. GEORGIA
(FREE PICK)
PICK: GEORGIA -7 (-104)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 10/2/2020 AT 2:37 PM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/4/2020 AT 12:01 AM ET |
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+10.58 |
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PICKS
FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2020 (27 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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10/1/2020
8:20 PM ET |
NFL |
DENVER BRONCOS VS. NEW YORK JETS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: OVER 39 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 9/30/2020 AT 11:51 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 10/2/2020 AT 12:49 AM ET |
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+10.00 |
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PICKS
FOR MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2020 (30 DAYS AGO) |
[refresh] |
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9/28/2020
8:15 PM ET |
NFL |
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS
(FREE PICK)
PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS (-166)
RISK: 11 UNITS |
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| PICK MADE ON 9/28/2020 AT 11:18 AM ET |
| PICK GRADED ON 9/29/2020 AT 12:14 AM ET |
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-11.00 |
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