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An unusual series of events led John Rothschild to be one of the most respected football
handicappers in the country. He went from getting accepted into medical school at age 18
to studying for an MBA to owning a successful race horse syndication business.

He's 
combined simple mathematical probability with principles from human nature to make
winning choices on a consistent basis. 

 

Author of the "Best Selling"

John has appeared or contributed to:
ESPN, SI, Politico, Bloomberg News, Wharton Businnes Radio, & US Racing.com An image posted by the author.

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PICKS FOR SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2020 (IN 4 DAYS) [refresh]
11/1/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
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NCAAF
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NCAAF
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NFL
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PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 11:11 AM ET
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PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2020 (2 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/26/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS

PICK: CHICAGO BEARS +6 (-113)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Chicago Bears(475) at The Los Angeles Rams (Monday Night Football) You could easily argue that when the Bears started the season at 3-0, they could have been 0-3. But they weren't. After losing to the Colts they beat a talented and well coached Bucs team, and then the Panthers who have an evolving defense. The Rams have had to do lots of traveling, but played the easiest strength of schedule in the league. Their four(4) wins are against, the Cowboys, Eagles, Giants and the Washington team. The NFC east is easily the worst in the NFL. Bears quarterback, Nick Foles, is an interesting study. It has taken his teams a little while to transition to his style of play, going all the way back to 2013 when he replaced Mike Vick and Matt Barkley to win 7 of 8 games. After some team traveling, he ended up being the Eagles Super Bowl MVP. No matter who's calling the plays for McVay's Rams, they're offense seems easier to predict than other teams. Los Angeles has some marquee names on defense, but their defense but will be facing another that may be just as capable. I like the Chicago Bears +6
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 1:54 PM ET
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 12:18 AM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 25, 2020 (3 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/25/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS

PICK: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-178)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Seattle Seahawks at The Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, October 25th at 4:05 PM ET) Arizona: 1) This might be tough to say credibly, but the Cardinals didn't look dominant, when leading the Coaboys by 28 points on Monday evening. a) The Cowboys just looked that bad. b) The Cowboys line was missing every starter. 2) Teams that turn the ball over 2 more times than the opposition usually win 81% of the time ATS. That number was +4 for the Cards on Monday. Prior to that game they were -4 on the season. 2a) Your stat of the week: For a sample of 294 NFL games Teams that are +4 in turnovers won 97.3 % SU, and 95.2% ATS. 3) Is traveling after a short week. 4) I'm not a big fan of the Cardinals head coach, but Mike McCarthy of Dallas not only calls a poor game, he doesn't seem to make many adjustments. Seattle: 1) Their offensive line is relatively healthy, with Mike Iupati questionable. 2) Phillip Dorsett returns off IR? 3) The 2nd hardest player to defend in the league is arguably Russell Wilson The public saw Arizona embarass Dallas on Monday night, which should draw a litte money. I'm trying to figure out how the Cowboys won two games this season. I like the Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (Available at 3 books at 10:11 AM ET 10-20-20)
PICK MADE ON 10/20/2020 AT 10:43 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/26/2020 AT 1:04 AM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
10/25/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

PICK: LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +3 (-113)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Tampa Bay Bucs at The Las Vegas Raiders (474) (Sunday Night Football) Most teams that played better than expected, are overbet the next. Well..... both of these surprised in last. Tampa beat Green Bay by 28 on two interceptions that arguably flipped the game. One was a Pick 6. The Bucs played inspired defense in the 2nd half, just sitting on their lead. Lots has been written about their defense since, but I'm not convinced it's that dominant. After giving up 34 points to the Saints, they played the Panthers, Broncos, Chargers and Bears. Two of those offenses are average. The other two ranked in the bottom five(5). Quality is often better than quantity, but it is interesting to note that Tampa lost more starters than they gained in the off season. The obvious counter to that arguement is that some of the players added are the best in the business. Conversely, Oakland has progressed according to the Gruden blueprint. They've gotten better in successive years. Last season they arguably had more top tier draft picks than any other teams. I like their receivers and tight end Walker. The possible injury to DE Nassib is a concern, but they do have some depth. It's tough to minimize the value of a decent home dog against a high profile opponent playing with so many recogizable names. I like the Las Vegas Raiders +3.
PICK MADE ON 10/21/2020 AT 12:07 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 8:16 PM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 24, 2020 (4 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/24/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
NC STATE VS. NORTH CAROLINA

PICK: NC STATE +16.5 (-108)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: The North Carolina State Wolfpack(321) at The North Carolina Tarheels (Saturday, October 24th at 12:00 PM ET) I'm not confortable giving out one of my most efficient angles, but it should be useful for this game. Nothing is ever a "lock". That's why even the longest shots are 100-1 and not 100 to none. Tarheel coach Mack Brown has resurrected himself after having issues at Texas. He's now more of a GM than game day manager, and it's been working. Unfortunately, his team lost as 13.5 favorites to FSU last week. North Carolina is a nice program, but didn't deserve to be ranked 5th. To put it simply, they just looked like a poorly coached squad. Each team had 1 turnover, while FSU accumulated 31 pts on just eight(8) complete passes. North Carolina made the game close at the end, but as the old movie line goes, "Players have to make Plays". They didn't. The finally ranked Wolfpack have played better than expected, but are not without a major problem. Their starting QB, Devin Leary, may be done for the season. His backup, left handed Baily Hockman, has played OK in limited starts but thrown too many interceptions. He knows the offense, and has two(2) decent running backs. He'll be facing a defense that has average numbers, but against inferior offenses. I like the North Carolina State Wolfpack +16.5
PICK MADE ON 10/19/2020 AT 4:19 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 4:49 PM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
10/24/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
BAYLOR VS. TEXAS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: BAYLOR +8.5 (+101)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: Waiting for some line changes, and possible covid exemptions, so some write-ups may be brief. Trying to get the best lines available. The Baylor Bears(345) at The Texas Longhorns (Saturday, October 24th at 4:30 PM ET) Texas had major bowl aspirations. Sorry Longhorn fans. It's not going to happen this season. The defense has had trouble gettting off the field. Many like Texas because they're coming back from a bye week. Teams do win more after a bye week, but do not cover more after a bye week. Texas has lots of injuries, possibly limiting depth. Baylor arguably has the best defense Texas has faced so far, with no injuries listed. I like the Baylor Bears +9
PICK MADE ON 10/22/2020 AT 4:52 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 7:59 PM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
10/24/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
MICHIGAN VS. MINNESOTA

PICK: MINNESOTA +3 (-104)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Michigan Wolverines at The Minnesota Golden Gophers (Saturday, October 24th at 7:30 PM ET) Minnesota opened up as the favorite, but Michigan took action when it was announced that the Gophers may be missing players due to covid protocol, but probably not symptomatic issues. Coach PJ Fleck deflected when asked at his most recent press conference. It'll be interesting to see who's ready. The Gophers have lost a good part of last year's defense, but are bring almost all of their offense. They were the youngest major program in college in 2018 and improved lots in 2019. They won their first 9 games last year, before losing at Iowa, but arguably outplaying the Hawkeyes. Their only other loss was to Wisconsin, when they just couldn't run the ball against their big defensive line. Michigan is bringing back 5 players on offense and 6 on defense. Quarterback could be an issue. Shea Patterson has graduated. Dylan McCaffrey was expected to take over, but has opted out. I think the starting QB will be Joe Milton, but it could be Cade McNamara. Neither have an extensive resume. Although the first game of the year for both teams, we're getting a home ranked opponent as underdog. That's usually a good thing. I like the Minnesota Golden Gophers +3
PICK MADE ON 10/22/2020 AT 4:35 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 12:13 AM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2020 (5 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/23/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
TULSA VS. SOUTH FLORIDA

PICK: TULSA -10 (-111)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (307) at The South Florida Bulls (Friday, October 23rd at 7:30 PM ET) It's tough take a double digit away favorite, but it may be warranted with The Hurricane. USF had some talent a few years ago, but their program was misdirected when they hired coach Strong. Supposedly a great guy, but he didn't do a great job with his animate chess pieces. Part of their success was due to one player, QB Quinton Flowers. Since his departure, USF has been on a progressive downturn. Last week the bulla scored on Temple, but The Owls are auditioning a whole new defense. Tulsa somehow gets their players to "play". They don't recruit many 4 and 5 star athletes, but seem to get the most out of their abilities. Last week they beat a talented but undisciplined UCF team, who may lack depth, but didn't have many injuries. Their prior was a hard fought loss to Oklahoma State who went on to beat West Virginia by 14 and Kentucky by 40. I like the Tulsa Golden Hurrican -10
PICK MADE ON 10/19/2020 AT 4:02 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/23/2020 AT 11:59 PM ET
+9.91
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 19, 2020 (9 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/19/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. DALLAS COWBOYS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS +2 (-114)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/15/2020 AT 1:28 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/20/2020 AT 12:14 AM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18, 2020 (10 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/18/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 51 (-104)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/14/2020 AT 7:33 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 5:07 PM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
10/18/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

PICK: UNDER 51.5 (-115)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK WRITE-UP: The Los Angeles Rams at The San Francisco 49ers (Sunday Night Football) We're keeping this one simple. Lots of big money likes the Over. I'm not so sure it's the right side. 49ers: 1) Maybe their offense resurrects, but right now they're rudderless. In limited action last week Garropolo threw three(3) interceptions and was sacked three(3) times. 2) The offensive line has their share of injuries and is not playing well. 3) Almost everyone does an adequate job incorporating injuries. Few (unless possibly analyzing their hometown team) properly incorpate players coming back from injury. San Frans depleted defense could get a boost from the return of Emmanuel Mosely and Akhello Witherspoon. Rams: 1) Stats are always limited in the NFL, and sometimes almost meaningless because of injuries, anomalies and a lack of constants, but the Los Angeles defense has some nice substantial numbers, and has been visually impressive, except against Buffalo. Both teams: 1) Run more than they pass (relative to other teams) I like the Under at 51.5
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 10:54 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/19/2020 AT 12:13 AM ET
+9.57
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2020 (11 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/17/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
PITTSBURGH VS. MIAMI FLORIDA

(FREE PICK)


PICK: PITTSBURGH +13.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/15/2020 AT 3:17 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 4:16 PM ET
+10.00
[report pick]
10/17/2020
8:00 PM ET
NCAAF
GEORGIA VS. ALABAMA

(FREE PICK)


PICK: GEORGIA +6.5 (-108)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 4:14 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 12:30 AM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2020 (12 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/16/2020
9:30 PM ET
NCAAF
BYU VS. HOUSTON

(FREE PICK)


PICK: BYU -3 (-112)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 5:17 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 2:22 AM ET
+9.82
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13, 2020 (15 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/13/2020
7:00 PM ET
NFL
BUFFALO BILLS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: BUFFALO BILLS (-172)

RISK: 5.8 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/13/2020 AT 4:48 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 10:55 PM ET
-5.80
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 12, 2020 (16 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/12/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 50 (-113)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/10/2020 AT 5:23 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 12:36 AM ET
+9.73
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 11, 2020 (17 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/11/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. NEW YORK JETS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: NEW YORK JETS +7 (-112)

RISK: 10.9 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/6/2020 AT 10:53 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 5:18 PM ET
-10.90
[report pick]
10/11/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS +2.5 (-115)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/6/2020 AT 5:27 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 8:29 PM ET
+9.57
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2020 (18 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/10/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
FLORIDA VS. TEXAS A&M

(FREE PICK)


PICK: TEXAS A&M +6 (-107)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 2:20 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 4:14 PM ET
+10.28
[report pick]
10/10/2020
4:00 PM ET
NCAAF
ARKANSAS VS. AUBURN

(FREE PICK)


PICK: ARKANSAS +13.5 (-101)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 9:48 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 10:22 PM ET
+10.89
[report pick]
10/10/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
ALABAMA VS. MISSISSIPPI

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 69.5 (-103)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 2:24 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 12:17 AM ET
+10.68
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 8, 2020 (20 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/8/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
TULANE VS. HOUSTON

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 60 (-108)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/8/2020 AT 4:34 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/9/2020 AT 12:13 AM ET
+10.19
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 5, 2020 (23 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/5/2020
8:50 PM ET
NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 56 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/5/2020 AT 11:21 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/6/2020 AT 12:49 AM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 4, 2020 (24 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/4/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. CAROLINA PANTHERS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: CAROLINA PANTHERS +3.5 (-120)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/3/2020 AT 12:02 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/4/2020 AT 5:02 PM ET
+9.17
[report pick]
10/4/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 45 (-106)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/4/2020 AT 9:25 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/5/2020 AT 12:34 AM ET
- - - - -
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 3, 2020 (25 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/3/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
SOUTH FLORIDA VS. CINCINNATI

(FREE PICK)


PICK: UNDER 46 (-108)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 9/30/2020 AT 9:35 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/3/2020 AT 7:45 PM ET
+10.19
[report pick]
10/3/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
OKLAHOMA VS. IOWA STATE

(FREE PICK)


PICK: IOWA STATE +7 (-104)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 9/30/2020 AT 9:13 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/4/2020 AT 12:16 AM ET
+10.58
[report pick]
10/3/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
AUBURN VS. GEORGIA

(FREE PICK)


PICK: GEORGIA -7 (-104)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 10/2/2020 AT 2:37 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/4/2020 AT 12:01 AM ET
+10.58
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2020 (27 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/1/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
DENVER BRONCOS VS. NEW YORK JETS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 39 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 9/30/2020 AT 11:51 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/2/2020 AT 12:49 AM ET
+10.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2020 (30 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
9/28/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS (-166)

RISK: 11 UNITS
PICK MADE ON 9/28/2020 AT 11:18 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 9/29/2020 AT 12:14 AM ET
-11.00
[report pick]
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