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Baylor vs. UCF Betting Odds, Free Picks, and Predictions - 3:30 PM ET (Sat, Sep 30, 2023)

Baylor go up against UCF in NCAA College Football action on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM ET.

Are you looking to bet on this game? You've found the right article! We at CapperTek have all the latest sports betting tools and information to help put you on the correct side of the betting action for this match-up.

Baylor vs. UCF Game Details and Betting Odds

Away Team: Baylor (Underdog)
Home Team: UCF (Favorite)
Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
Time: 3:30 PM ET
League: NCAA College Football (NCAAF)

Baylor Moneyline: +330
UCF Moneyline: -449

Baylor Spread: +11.5 (-109)
UCF Spread: -11.5 (-109)

Game Total Points: 56 (Over -111 / Under -111)

Betting odds provided by BigBetBiz. Make certain to check out if you need a solid modern book to place your sports wagers. Odds and lines are the best available at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

A Closer Look Inside the Betting Numbers

We here at CapperTek provide in-depth betting trends for both Baylor and UCF, but let's take a closer look inside some of the betting numbers for this match-up right now.

First let's break down the away team and +330 betting underdogs, Baylor.

In their last 10 games, Baylor has a Straight Up record of 3 wins, 7 losses and an active Straight Up streak of 1 loss in a row. Also in their last 10 games, Baylor has an Against-the-Spread record of 3 wins, 6 losses, 1 push and an active Against-the-Spread streak of 2 losses in a row. The Game Total Points results for Baylor games has a record of 5 overs, 5 unders in their last 10 games with an active streak of 3 unders in a row.

OK now let's break down the home team and -449 betting favorites, UCF.

In their last 10 games, UCF has a Straight Up record of 6 wins, 4 losses and an active Straight Up streak of 1 loss in a row. Also in their last 10 games, UCF has an Against-the-Spread record of 4 wins, 6 losses and an active Against-the-Spread streak of 1 loss in a row. The Game Total Points results for UCF games has a record of 7 overs, 3 unders in their last 10 games with an active streak of 2 overs in a row.

If you you would like more detailed betting information for this match-up such as the trends or steaks broken down into Home vs. Away splits, or Favorite vs. Underdog splits, make sure to check out the Baylor vs. UCF Trend Finder directly.

Who's Going to Win This Game? Our Prediction

We pride ourselves here at CapperTek on providing our users with the most advanced machine learning artificial intelligence to simulate game outcomes using algorithms we have custom designed over 10+ years of research and development.

According to our simulation of Baylor vs. UCF NCAAF game, we have UCF beating Baylor with a simulated final score of: Baylor [9] - UCF [52]

Sometimes our game simulations change, like if there's a major line movement, drastic shift in the odds, or if there's a key injury, etc. To make sure you have the latest and most accurate simulation, you can run the Baylor vs. UCF Simulation directly. Also after the Baylor vs. UCF game is finished, you can re-run the simulation and check out how the simulated final result did compared to the actual final result.

What Should I Bet On? Our Free Picks

Now let's get down to the real reason you're here, who or what should you bet on in the Baylor vs. UCF NCAAF match-up? According to the simulated prediction and results for this match-up above, we here at CapperTek suggest you place the following bets:

Free Moneyline Pick: UCF -449

Free Spread Pick: UCF -11.5 (-109)

Free Total Pick: Over 56 (-111)

We hope our free picks and predictions help you out if you're wagering on the Baylor vs. UCF NCAA College Football match-up. Our betting tips are based on detailed analytics and wagering intelligence to provide you the best possible plays. Our goal is to provide valuable sports betting information to gamblers and help put them on the right side of the action.

Please remember to always wager responsibly. For problem gambling help, please visit the National Council on Problem Gambling.

This article was generated using CapperTek's Betelligence Publisher API. Learn more.

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Related News (NCAAF News)

Baylor stages remarkable comeback, ruins UCF Big 12 Conference debut, 36-35

Sat, Sep 30, 2023

Baylor stages remarkable comeback, ruins UCF Big 12 Conference debut, 36-35

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Baylor erased a 35-7 third-quarter deficit, scoring 29 unanswered points and taking the lead on a 25-yard field goal from Isaiah Hankins with 1:21 left to play to beat Big 12 newcomer UCF 36-35 in the Knights' first conference home game Saturday afternoon.

The 28-point comeback marked the largest comeback in Baylor history and the largest comeback allowed in UCF history.

UCF drove to the Baylor 41-yard line, including a wild fourth-down scramble from quarterback Timmy McClain that saw him backtrack from the 30-yard line to slip a tackle in the end zone before finding R.J. Harvey at the UCF 46-yard line for a 16-yard gain.

But Colton Boomer missed a 59-yard field goal as time expired, sealing UCF's defeat.

Other news Bo Nix throws 4 TD passes to lead No. 9 Oregon past Stanford 42-6 AP Top 25 Takeaways: Should Georgia still be No. 1? Leaving Prime behind; Hard to take USC seriously Brady Cook throws for career-high 395 yards, No. 23 Missouri beats Vandy 38-21

"We have a bunch of guys on this team who just don't give up," Baylor quarterback Blake Shapen said. "The amount of work that we've put in, you can't give up. There is no time to be giving up. We put in too much work to get up for big moments like this."

The Bears used two turnovers and four straight scoring drives to complete the improbable comeback, closing to 35-33 with just more than six minutes to play after Caden Jenkins scooped up a fumbled snap and raced 72 yards for a touchdown.

It was an uphill climb for the Bears throughout the game, but they maintained confidence knowing that they moved the ball well despite struggling to score. Baylor went five for seven in the red zone.

That faith kept the Bears in the game.

"All we care about is winning and all we care about is each other," Baylor wide receiver Monoray Baldwin said. "We were staying with each other. If we're staying with each other and staying in the game, all we have to do is focus on the game."

UCF raced to a 21-0 lead thanks to big plays from Johnny Richardson, who took the Knights' opening play of the game 79 yards. They led 28-7 at the half thanks to Demari Richardson forcing a fumble and returning it 87 yards for his own scoop-and-score.

But the Knights offense struggled to get going after a touchdown drive to open the third quarter. UCF tallied only 98 yards before the team's final drive with two turnovers, an interception that set up a Baylor touchdown and the fumble returned for a touchdown.

"Let me make it really simple, we did the things to lose the game," UCF coach Gus Malzahn said. "They did the things to win the game."

Shapen, who returned from a three-game absence following an opening-week MCL injury, finished 21 for 34 and 293 yards with 105 yards in the second half. Baldwin finished the game with seven catches for 150 yards and a touchdown.

UCF's McClain finished with 234 yards passing, two touchdowns and one interception.


Baylor welcomed back quarterback Blake Shapen after he suffered an MCL injury during the Bears' season-opening loss to Texas State.

Meanwhile, UCF starting quarterback John Rhys Plumlee was dressed and warmed up for the Knights after injuring his leg three weeks ago at Boise State. He did not play.

Malzahn said after the game Plumlee was cleared to play Friday. But Malzahn said he did not feel comfortable playing him without Plumlee going through a practice first. Plumlee had only completed 7-on-7 drills.

His status for next week's game at Kansas is still uncertain depending on how he responds to practice this week.


Baylor has been in this situation before, scoring a huge 38-35 road win at Oklahoma last year. But the Bears lost their final four games. Players after the game called the comeback win over UCF fuel for the rest of the season and the kind of game that could turn their season around after a frustrating 1-3 start.

Shapen said the Bears have to stay together and use the game moving forward. He said they expect everyone to keep doubting Baylor.

The Bears were picked to finish sixth in the conference in the preseason and now sit at 1-1 in Big 12 play. The Knights were favored by 11.5 points entering the game. Saturday's win over UCF was their first over an FBS team, falling short on a late score to Utah at home in Week 2.


UCF continued to work a quick strike offense as one of the more explosive in the nation.

The Knights' 79-yard touchdown run from Johnny Richardson on the opening play was the team's longest play from scrimmage this season and the first time the Knights scored on their opening play since a win over Rice in 2009.

UCF scored on its first three possessions with just eight plays and 2:28 off the clock.

The Knights scored 28 first-half points despite holding the ball for only 6:58. Baylor had the ball for a little more than 11 more minutes in the game. The Knights still outgained the Bears 469-446 despite the comeback.

UCF entered the game outscoring its opponents by 18.3 points per game and 218.2 yards per game but have had the ball for 1:02 per game less than its opponents.

THE TAKEAWAY: UCF is learning very quickly how different football is in the Big 12. Even playing at home, no lead is comfortable in conference play.

The Knights hoped to celebrate their first Big 12 victory against the same team they made their mark against 10 years ago in the Fiesta Bowl. But UCF is still learning how to put together a complete game in conference play and dropped to 0-2 in their first foray into the Big 12.

For Baylor, Shapen showed how much he can change the offense, leading Baylor to its largest comeback in program history.

UP NEXT: UCF heads to No. 24 Kansas next week. Baylor will host Texas Tech.


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