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ABOUT
SERVICE
/ BIO |
| Do you own or operate this sports handicapping service? |
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ONLY MMA
My strategy mainly consists of increasing my expected value (EV) for every bet I place at the cost of variance. You will see me post a lot of "long-shots" on here, where win frequencies are lower, but returns are far greater. To be frank, I just make the bets no one wants to make - but should.
Accumulators
I use a lot of accumulators when betting and there are many misconceptions that people claim accumulators have. A big misconception you will hear is the bookmakers edge increases whenever you use an accumulator. While this may be true if you are a consistent loser, this is 100% false if you are the opposite. When you are a loser the bookies "edge" for each leg of the accumulator multiplies by the next leg (increasing their EV); however if you have an edge on all of your legs, your edges will multiply by each other, thus increasing your EV. This does however come at a price, increased variance.
Variance
There are several misunderstandings on variance. Variance is not bad or good, it means that your sample size must be greater to pin point your average expected value for a given population (population being- every bet you've ever placed). Therefore, if I increase the amount of times I bet. this will lower my variance for the strategy I'm using. Furthermore, using a high variance strategy does not mean you are more likely to under-perform,in fact you are equally as likely to over-perform.
for more info on Expected Value, Accumulators (Parlays) and Variance see: Profitability of parlays in sports betting
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| DOCUMENTED RECORD / DETAILED PICKS HISTORY |
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WIN |
LOSS |
PUSH |
WIN % |
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N/A |
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N/A |
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Your
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PLEASE NOTE:
CapperTek is not a gambling or sports betting website and
does not accept or place wagers of any type. CapperTek does
not endorse or encourage illegal gambling or sports betting
of any type. Also note sports betting inherently involves
financial risk. CapperTek assumes no responsibly for the
loss of capital incurred due to the use of information contained
on this website. Past results do not guarantee or imply
future performance. Please bet on sports legally within
your jurisdiction and responsibly within your financial
means. While we do everything we can to ensure the accuracy
of the information, stats, odds, and other data presented,
we cannot be held liable for any typos, omissions, or other
technical mistakes. |
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We fully
support the work and help services carried out by the
National Council on Problem Gambling.
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UNITED STATES
CITIZENS PLEASE NOTE: The content and information contained
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