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Pete Sams is a seasoned veteran of the gaming capital of the world Las Vegas, Nevada. Moved to Vegas in 1963 served in the Marines doing 2 tours in Nam from 1965-68. Returned to Vegas and worked as a shift boss in the black jack pit and retired from the casino industry as asst gaming manager in 1988. I then began what I loved the most sports betting and money management. Started the web site 10 years ago samswins.com and over the years all of my clients that took my advice and only bet what I advised, are to this day loyal. Go to my web site www.samswins.com and click on the (about us) and (testimonial) links and learn about my colorful past living in Vegas. Mob figures I respected played golf with and a movie extra in a very popular movie that many have enjoyed. Thank you for taking the time to review this and visit my site, register and if you want a Best Friend in this business, sports gambling, all clients get my cell number and many today are best friends and visit Vegas often, come to my home BBQ and have fun. Contact me at samswins@aol.com I do answer all of my email within 1 hour.

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PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 17, 2021 (2 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
1/17/2021
3:05 PM ET
NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS +10.5 (-128)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Taking the points in this game. The Cleveland Clowns blew out the Steelers last week taking a 28-0 lead in the first quarter. Cleveland have won 7 of their last 9 and have not lost by more than 10 pts in any game since Oct.18th. The Browns have one of the best running games in football, being number 3 in rushing yards this year. I think they will be able to run the ball against a weak running KC defense. The Chief's are coming off a bye week and rested their starters in week 17 a trend that has proved to be a big factor over the years as far as covering a number or even winning and getting knocked out of post season play. I do believe starters should play at least one-half and resting in the 3rd and 4th quarters of week 17. The starters will be well rested and this will show, after all it has been 3 weeks since the starters played last. KC could very well be rusty and that could allow the Browns to jump off to a lead. Not as much as 28-0 against Pitt but even a 7 or 10 pt lead will give the Browns all they need to keep pace with the Chief's. Kansas City is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and their last 7 wins have all come by a TD or less. 4 of their last 7 wins have come by just a FG. KC is 0-4 ATS at home and they are just 1-4 ATS as a home favorite. I believe a 10 point spread is too many points, and I will go with the underdog.
PICK MADE ON 1/14/2021 AT 5:30 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/17/2021 AT 7:14 PM ET
+4.30
[report pick]
1/17/2021
6:40 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: UNDER 52 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: These two divisional foes know each other very well, and that tends to give defenses the edge and the scoring down a bit. The last game these two had against each other was back on November 8, and there were only 41 combined points scored in that contest, which was 10 points below the posted total. Most folks look at these two teams and think of Drew Brees and Tom Brady. However, it's actually the defenses that are the strengths of these teams with both ranking in the Top 5 for the season in defensive DVOA. The New Orleans defense comes into this game having allowed less than 14 points in 6 of their last 10 games. They go up against a Tampa Bay offense that has struggled against the better teams in the league this year, averaging just 22 points per game against teams with a winning record and going below the total in 4 of those 6 contests. The Bucs offense has built up big offensive numbers mainly against bad teams as they have averaged 36 points per game or 14 points more per game on average when facing a team with a losing record this year. The Saints like to run the football, throw short passes and eat up the clock on offense, and that's why 7 of their last 10 games have went below the total. This total is simply too high. Play 'under' the total.
PICK MADE ON 1/14/2021 AT 5:31 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/17/2021 AT 10:40 PM ET
+5.29
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, JANUARY 16, 2021 (3 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
1/16/2021
4:35 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: UNDER 45.5 (-102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Rams had the top rated defense in the NFL this season. It continued against Seattle, completely bottling up Seattle and QB Wilson except for a few plays. Green Bay has a weakness on offense, it is their offensive line with physical D-Lines. Rams DL Donald, Brockers and LB Floyd it qualifies as a potential problem for the Packers. Add in CB Jalen Ramsey matched up against WR Devonte Adams, and the Rams should hold the Pack below their season average of 31.8 PPG. The Green Bay defense is not overwhelming, but they are conceding just 17.2 PPG in their past 5 contests and thrown in the Ram issue with QB injury, I am not to opportunistic. I cannot consider taking the dog as listed below. With the temperature expected to be in the upper 20's at the frozen tundra and falling temp's throughout the game, it could freeze the Ram offense whatever that might be in this game. Playing Under totals is mostly successful as long as there are no more than 1 or 2 turnovers with no time off the clock and easy scores. One cannot handicapp turnovers. No turnovers and the easy scores Under is a good play.
PICK MADE ON 1/14/2021 AT 5:27 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/16/2021 AT 8:23 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
1/16/2021
4:35 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -7 (+111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Rams' rookie running Akers hasn't spent a whole lot of time in the type of frigid weather he's about to experience in Green Bay. Akers has plenty of reasons to be confident heading to the frozen tundra, particularly after what's happened during the second half of his increasingly impressive NFL debut season. All-Pro DT Aaron Donald is making progress from the rib injury he sustained in Seattle. In my opinion even if this guy plays at 75% he will be a force in the middle. John Wolford is recovering well from the stinger that sent him to the hospital in Seattle, while Jared Goff's surgically repaired right thumb will be one week healthier. However, Goff's play since they went to the Super Bowl, looks like a deer caught in the headlights and has not performed like a top 10 QB. It's the Ram defense that has got them this far. The Rams held only a walk through workout Tuesday, but they would have held several players out of practice if they had practiced: Donald, Wolford, WR Cooper Kupp (knee), LG David Edwards (ankle) and LB Terrell Lewis (ankle). Whitworth (knee) and kick returner Nsimba Webster (hamstring) also would have been limited. After losing in the NFC Championship last season, the Packers own home-field advantage in the NFC as the top seed. Ram defensive player Donald will be up against the best outside of the pocket passers in the NFL conference. Rodgers always seems to get his team motivated on a come from being situation in the final quarter if needed. Honestly, I cannot back the Rams this week. (sorry Ram fans and I do have some loyal Ram clients). My reasons are because of the Ram offense and certainly not because of their defensive skills. I expect a close game in the first quarter and by half time the Packers with an edge in scoring TD's. This line opened at Green bay -7 and I like less than a TD and the dreadful hook. Pack wins by 13 to 17. Beware of the back door a trend that makes handicappers like( yours truly) look like I do not know what I am doing.!
PICK MADE ON 1/14/2021 AT 5:28 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/16/2021 AT 8:19 PM ET
+6.10
[report pick]
1/16/2021
8:15 PM ET
NFL
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. BUFFALO BILLS

PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS +2.5 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The current line of Buffalo -2.5 is moving on up (as George Jefferson of the Jeffersons might say) Look for the Ravens getting +3 or more by this weekend. I expect to see late money on the Bills here in Vegas shops. The Ravens got the 30-year-old DE Wolfe because he's a run-stopper, can pressure the quarterback and provides leadership in the locker room and on the field. Before that dry spell in Denver, Wolfe was part of a team that reached the playoffs four years in a row. I do believe he can keep the Bill QB in check rather than running for 1st downs.. The question is who can keep Raven QB Jackson in check??? Baltimore has 2 RB's that average more than 5 RYPA. Buffalo does have some defensive issues with better teams scoring on them. If the Ravens limit turnovers and play field position to the max, they can cover or win outright.
PICK MADE ON 1/14/2021 AT 5:26 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/17/2021 AT 12:18 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, JANUARY 11, 2021 (8 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
1/11/2021
8:00 PM ET
NCAAF
OHIO STATE VS. ALABAMA

PICK: OVER 75 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: This over/under for the Championship game is 75 points. Whoever wins this game, I believe gets close to half of the century mark. Ohio State scored 49 against Clemson and the Tide scored quickly and often as they averaged 49.7 this year. If the QB for Bama gets hot, I can see him throwing 4 or more TD's against Ohio State pass defense. I have no doubt this will be a very high scoring game. I do not have a strong lean on the side and in my opinion since we might very well see close to 1000k total offensive yards between these two. Any one of these teams could have more than 2 TD lead going into the final quarter and there will be a bunch of points scored in the final 5 minutes for a back door cover or a blowout, who knows? The total is a safe wager and do not go crazy looking for a side on a parlay. We still have a lot of football left with the NFL, save your cash, for as all of my long time clients that have been with me for 10 + years are aware of the fact I very seldom tout a parlay wager.
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2021 AT 11:38 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/12/2021 AT 12:50 AM ET
+5.05
[report pick]
1/11/2021
8:00 PM ET
NCAAF
OHIO STATE VS. ALABAMA

PICK: OHIO STATE +8.5 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Both Alabama and Ohio State have dynamic offenses that can pile points onto the scoreboard. The Crimson Tide averaged 48.2 points per game this season, the second most in the FBS. Ohio State was not much worse as they averaged 43.4 points per game which was the third best in the FBS. Both teams have dynamic playmakers and have been involved in games where there is a heavy amount of scoring. I believe that the conventional wisdom is wrong as the best Big Ten teams this season have been just as good as the best SEC teams. I see this year’s national championship being a close game. I recommended betting on the OSU spread and the money-line because Clemson was being overbet. This is because Clemson had the best quarterback in college football in Trevor Lawrence. On Monday against Alabama, Ohio State faces a team that has the Heisman award winner in wide out Devonta Smith. In addition to having Smith, the Buckeyes offense has two other Heisman finalists in quarterback Mac Jones and running back Najee Harris. Alabama has been a great team this year, but they are simply overvalued based on their pedigree. The best value bets for the game are on the Ohio State spread and money-line.
PICK MADE ON 1/9/2021 AT 6:00 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/12/2021 AT 12:52 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 10, 2021 (9 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
1/10/2021
1:05 PM ET
NFL
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS -3.5 (+103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Tennessee Titans are bringing their high-scoring ways and flair for last-second dramatics to the postseason. The Titans just had the most yards in franchise history (6,343), the second-most points (491), and became the first team in NFL history with a 2,000-yard rusher and 3,500-yard passer in the same season. The Titans finished the season leading the NFL with a plus-11 turnover margin. They tied for seventh with 23 takeaways and only Green Bay had fewer giveaways than Tennessee's 12. There's nothing really wrong with Baltimore's run defense, even though the Bengals amassed 147 yards on the ground (55 on one play). Count on Baltimore defensive coordinator Don Martindale to work overtime this week in an effort to come up with a game plan for putting the clamps on a player RB Henry who has been unstoppable in his past two starts against the Ravens. This will be Baltimore's first postseason game on the road since 2014, when it lost 35-31 at New England. For now, their scrutiny is on what happens next - with the objective of avoiding the one-and-done pattern that's thus far defined their postseason with quarterback Lamar Jackson. Look for the Ravens to manage a win/cover here. However, the current line of -3 -120 is about to move higher to the dreadful HOOK. I lean towards the Ravens and if by game day and the number is Ravens are -3.5 I suggest buy the line down to -3. This game will not be anywhere near blowout size scoring by either team.
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2021 AT 11:35 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2021 AT 4:51 PM ET
+5.66
[report pick]
1/10/2021
4:40 PM ET
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 (+107)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Chicago Bears aren't worrying about how they made the playoffs. They're in and that's what matters most to them. They are the seventh seed in an expanded field. The Bears' revamped line continues to give quarterback Mitchell Trubisky the protection he needs and open holes for the running backs. The Bears scored just one touchdown on four trips inside the 20 against Green Bay and settled for field goals on the other three. The Bears rank 22nd in red zone efficiency, and the stingy Saints are among the league's best at keeping teams out of the end zone. 1-6 - That's the Bears' record against teams that finished with winning records. The lone victory was against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Soldier Field on Oct. 8. The Saints should score enough to force the Bears out of their Run/Pass game plan. The Saints win by 2 TD's , beware of the dreadful late cover by a bend but do not break defense in the last 2 minutes.
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2021 AT 11:36 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2021 AT 8:52 PM ET
+5.89
[report pick]
1/10/2021
8:15 PM ET
NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS +6 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Defensive stats on total defense. We have the Steelers at total defense of 334.6 per game. Its odd that teams that have better total numbers are the Eagles, Jets, Giants, JX and Bengals (all not in playoffs). Only the Bears and Washington (NFC ) have better numbers than the Steelers. Cleveland falls into the middle of the NFL standings on total defense. The Browns total rushing yards per game nearly double the Steelers 148.4 to 84.3. However, Pittsburgh does have the advantage on passing numbers by 35 YPG . The Steelers long passing game has disappeared that has been proven successful for past Steeler offenses. Its difficult to settle on a side here they split wins on their 2 contests. I am looking for a tight game, like their 2nd contest ended up a 2 pt difference in favor of the Browns. The Steelers looked like the king of the AFC conference during their winning streak. Lets look at who they beat. A easy schedule beating the Giants, Denver, Houston, Eagles and Dallas. They best Tennessee and Baltimore by 4 or less, only winning against the Browns in a blowout. However, the Browns returned the favor later in the season as noted above. The question is can the Steelers find its long passing game again? Can they match the Browns Rushing game? I am pessimistic, but the Steelers will some how find a way to win but not cover the 6. Pittsburgh by a FG.
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2021 AT 11:36 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/11/2021 AT 12:32 AM ET
+5.29
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, JANUARY 9, 2021 (10 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
1/9/2021
1:05 PM ET
NFL
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. BUFFALO BILLS

PICK: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +6 (+103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Buffalo's ability to score in bunches has taken the burden off its defense by forcing opponents to become one-dimensional attempting to keep up. It's a formula that has worked effectively since the Bills endured their only rut of the season by losing consecutive games to Tennessee and Kansas City in Weeks 5 and 6. The Colts have both the defense to potentially stifle Allen, and a Jonathan Taylor-led running attack to play keep away. QB Philip Rivers, who has played his most efficient football during the second half of the season. He sees the running game surging at the right time, and a run defense that allows 90.5 yards, the second-stingiest average in the league. The Colt's HC Frank Reich played on all 4 of Buffalo's losing efforts to win a Super Bowl back during the Jim Kelly days. I have to take the points and the Colts, for I think Indy is ready to shake things up in the AFC.
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2021 AT 11:33 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/9/2021 AT 5:22 PM ET
+5.66
[report pick]
1/9/2021
4:40 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

PICK: LOS ANGELES RAMS +3.5 (-119)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Los Angeles Rams' defense is undeniably the best in the NFL. Rookie coordinator Brandon Staley's group allowed the fewest points, total yards, yards passing, touchdown passes and first downs in the league this season while carrying a mediocre offense to 10 wins and a postseason berth. The Seahawks, held Los Angeles to three field goals in a 20-9 win in Seattle on Dec. 27. The Rams outgained Seattle 334-292 in that game, but couldn't score a touchdown on five drives into Seahawks territory. It's easy to discount the Rams' playoff chances because of their offensive ineptitude. However, the Seahawks do have a weakness on the defense. Both inside and outside the training complex, nobody is pining for the Rams' franchise quarterback Goff to return with his ailing thumb to start their playoff game. With back up QB Wolford, he can get the job done with game management, he had 56 yds rushing against Arizona last Sunday, but the Rams ground game was inept for the two RB's managed only 54 yds on 24 attempts. The Rams have no fear of the Seahawks and we can look for a defensive game as noted with the lowest posted total of all Wild Card games this weekend. I have a slight lean on the rams + 4. 50% of a usual wager is suggested.
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2021 AT 11:33 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/9/2021 AT 9:08 PM ET
+4.62
[report pick]
1/9/2021
8:15 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM

PICK: OVER 44.5 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Mike Evans' status for Tampa Bay's first playoff game in 13 years is uncertain, though his left knee injury does not appear to be as serious as the Buccaneers initially feared. MRI showed no structural damage and the star receiver is day to day for Saturday night's NFC wild-card game at Washington. If he starts most likely will not be 100%. QB brady still has Antonio Brown for he will be the lead receiver and Chris Godwin is a good receiver not to mention Scotty Miller. Never forget about TE Gronkowski for this guy excels in post season play. Tampa Bay finished with the league's stingiest run defense; however, the secondary is going to have to reestablish itself to make a deep playoff run. The Chase Young led Defense for Washington won the division against a depleted eagle team. I expect more 3 and out's for the Washington team giving Tom Brady even more reps on offense, and the Washington offense just works better with Alex Smith at quarterback. I believe the line is too much to lay in this wild card contest and I expect to see more fire works here as long as field conditions are half as good as if they were in Tampa. The over the total play is the way I am wagering here.
PICK MADE ON 1/8/2021 AT 11:34 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/10/2021 AT 12:34 AM ET
+5.24
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 3, 2021 (16 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
1/3/2021
1:00 PM ET
NFL
PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS

PICK: UNDER 42 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: I know the Steelers won't have big Ben at QB. I still see some defense being produced in this AFC North game. The Cleveland (Clowns) will play better defense than they did last week against the Jets. The Under is usually the Best Bet when these two hit the field, and in the last 16 meetings between these 11 of them have gone Under. I was looking for a total number 44 but 42 has been consistent from the opening.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 5:15 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/3/2021 AT 5:05 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
1/3/2021
4:25 PM ET
NFL
TENNESSEE TITANS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS

PICK: OVER 56.5 (+105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Prior to Tennessee's offensive stinker against Green Bay, the Titans has scored at least 30 points in 5 straight giving up 24 or more in 4 of those same 5. Neither team is going to play much defense in this contest and points will be a plenty. This total is the highest number this week.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 5:16 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/3/2021 AT 8:35 PM ET
+5.78
[report pick]
1/3/2021
4:25 PM ET
NFL
TENNESSEE TITANS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS

PICK: TENNESSEE TITANS -7.5 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: This game will be a blowout! Tennessee needs to win this to earn the AFC South and a spot in the playoffs. The Titans are coming off a terrible 40-14 loss in Green Bay. They have a strong trend of 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games after a loss and will bounce back this week against 4-11 Houston
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 5:16 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/3/2021 AT 8:32 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
1/3/2021
4:25 PM ET
NFL
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. CHICAGO BEARS

PICK: CHICAGO BEARS +5.5 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When quarterback Mitchell Trubisky and wide receiver Allen Robinson face the Green Bay Packers on Sunday at Soldier Field, it could be the last time they wear a Chicago Bears uniform. The Packers will earn the top seed in the NFC playoffs if they beat the Bears or if San Francisco (6-9) beats or ties Seattle (11-4). The Bears can clinch a playoff berth by beating the Packers. The Bears will play their hearts out and there is some that think they might win out right. I might play a M/L wager but most of my cash will be on the +5.5 to cover.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 5:17 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/3/2021 AT 8:17 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
1/3/2021
8:20 PM ET
NFL
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

PICK: WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM -2.5 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Washington QB Alex Smith will be ready to play after missing the past two games with a strained right calf that has threatened to derail the season. Heinicke is now next in line after the team cut ties with Haskins, who committed three turnovers in a 20-13 loss to Carolina. Washington remains a second-half team, holding Carolina without points and scoring 10 to continue a season-long trend. It didn't add up to a comeback this time, but the offense and defense have improved after halftime for a while now. Make sure QB Smith is starting this match before betting this game. If he cannot start I suggest a no wager.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 5:14 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/4/2021 AT 12:19 AM ET
+5.19
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, JANUARY 1, 2021 (18 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
1/1/2021
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
CINCINNATI VS. GEORGIA

PICK: CINCINNATI +6.5 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Peach Bowl is the rare bowl game where an undefeated team is a seven-point underdog against a team with two losses. It's not a surprise that Cincinnati is an underdog despite their undefeated season because they play in the American Conference and Georgia plays in the SEC. Both Cincinnati and Georgia are mirror images of each other. While UC is not as good as UGA at putting points on the board, they are slightly better on defense. However, despite Georgia’s tougher schedule I believe that Cincinnati has a plausible chance of winning against Georgia.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 2:25 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/1/2021 AT 4:48 PM ET
+5.45
[report pick]
1/1/2021
1:00 PM ET
NCAAF
AUBURN VS. NORTHWESTERN

PICK: NORTHWESTERN -3.5 (-110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: If this matchup was played at the beginning of the season, the Tigers would probably be favored by a touchdown. Northwestern has a great defense that will be hard for Auburn to crack. The Wildcats only allow 15.5 points per game which is the 5th lowest in the FBS, and the lowest of any power five team. NW’s defense will be a problem for an Auburn team which only averages 25.7 points per game, the 45th worst in the FBS.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 2:25 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/1/2021 AT 5:34 PM ET
+5.00
[report pick]
1/1/2021
4:00 PM ET
NCAAF
NOTRE DAME VS. ALABAMA

PICK: NOTRE DAME +19.5 (-103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: This season Alabama was undefeated in the SEC with an 11-0 record while ND was 10-1 in the ACC. The Crimson Tide certainly should be favored against the Fighting Irish as they have played better than any team in college football this season. However, it is a mistake to dismiss Notre Dame as an easy opponent and I believe that this game will be close and that is why I am betting on the Fighting Irish to cover as heavy underdogs. Notre Dame is a much better team than most people give them credit for.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 2:26 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/1/2021 AT 8:31 PM ET
+5.34
[report pick]
1/1/2021
8:00 PM ET
NCAAF
OHIO STATE VS. CLEMSON

PICK: OHIO STATE +7.5 (-113)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Ohio State played the 10th toughest schedule in college football and dominated most of their opponents. The only game where they looked vulnerable was against a strong Northwestern team in the Big Ten Championship. I believe that both teams are close to evenly matched and that this game will come down to a touchdown or less.
PICK MADE ON 12/31/2020 AT 2:27 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 1/2/2021 AT 1:05 AM ET
+4.87
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, DECEMBER 27, 2020 (23 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
12/27/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

PICK: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -1 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK MADE ON 12/25/2020 AT 3:22 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2020 AT 5:03 PM ET
-5.50
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12/27/2020
1:01 PM ET
NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

PICK: OVER 54 (+103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: As far as the Chiefs are concerned, they have averaged 32.5 PPG over the past two, hitting the 'over' in each. Surprisingly, Kansas City hasn't hit the over in three in a row this season, and the over/under is 7-7 for the Chiefs. Kansas City has scored 26 or more points in 12 of their 14 games overall, and at least least 22 points this season. The 'over' is 2-1 in the past three against the NFC South, including last week's 32-29 win in New Orleans.
PICK MADE ON 12/25/2020 AT 3:24 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2020 AT 4:50 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
12/27/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

PICK: OVER 47.5 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Rams and Seahawks played a defensive battle in Week 10, with Los Angeles picking up a 23-16 win at SoFi Stadium as the 'under' (55) easily connected. L.A. figures to be an angry bunch after losing to the previously winless New York Jets last week, The offense has scored 20, 24, 38, 20, 27 and 23 across the past six games.
PICK MADE ON 12/25/2020 AT 3:23 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2020 AT 8:32 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
12/27/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
DENVER BRONCOS VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

PICK: UNDER 48.5 (-102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Broncos have hit the 'under' in 15 of their past 21 divisional games, going 15-5-1. The under is 23-10-1 in the past 34 against AFC teams
PICK MADE ON 12/25/2020 AT 3:25 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2020 AT 7:59 PM ET
+5.39
[report pick]
12/27/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
TENNESSEE TITANS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -3.5 (+105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Tennessee finds themselves in the fade role after scoring 40+ last week, and it's hard not to like Green Bay ATS against anyone when you hear it as it's Green Bay by a FG at home. Green Bay probably should win being at home. If you can buy the half and wager the Packers -3
PICK MADE ON 12/25/2020 AT 3:26 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/28/2020 AT 12:00 AM ET
+5.78
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, DECEMBER 26, 2020 (24 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
12/26/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. DETROIT LIONS

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 54.5 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK MADE ON 12/24/2020 AT 2:46 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/26/2020 AT 5:03 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
12/26/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
WESTERN KENTUCKY VS. GEORGIA STATE

PICK: WESTERN KENTUCKY +3.5 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Hilltoppers were one of the most disappointing teams in the country early in the season. They brought back talent and experience but were not competitive early, losing 6 of their first 8 games. They won three straight games to close out the regular season, and I believe they are the better team in this matchup. Georgia State finished strong as well, but I just do not believe that they have the same talent as does WKU
PICK MADE ON 12/24/2020 AT 2:48 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/26/2020 AT 8:01 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
12/26/2020
4:30 PM ET
NFL
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS

PICK: ARIZONA CARDINALS -5 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Nick Mullens will miss the rest of the season with a serious elbow injury, moving third-stringer C.J. Beathard into a starting role for the final two games and sending the San Francisco 49ers on desperate search for a backup. The San Francisco 49ers will finish out the regular season practicing and playing home games in Arizona after a ban on contact sports in their home county was extended into January. The Cardinals are the 7th seed in the wild card and the Bears looking for the Cards to stumble sitting in 8th one game behind Arizona. I hate the line at -5 for many pro games land at a 3 point margin. However, I have to back the Cards and lay this dead number. With the SF 3rd stringer QB starting, laying this number does give me some confidence on the Cards to cover this divisional contests.
PICK MADE ON 12/24/2020 AT 2:34 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/26/2020 AT 8:32 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
12/26/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
MIAMI DOLPHINS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

PICK: OVER 48 (-103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Coach Jon Gruden's third season back on the sideline for the Raiders is looking a lot like his second after they fell for the fourth time in the past five games with a 30-27 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on Thursday night. It's a pattern that's similar to last season when they started 6-4 only to lose five of their final six games to miss out on the postseason. The Raiders haven't officially been eliminated from playoff contention but their chances are on life support. They would need to win the final two games and then have a whole series of other events follow, including multiple losses by multiple other contenders. Now the question will be who will start at quarterback in those games after Derek Carr left in the first quarter with a groin injury. Marcus Mariota had an impressive Raiders debut, throwing for 226 yards and a touchdown and running for 88 yards and another score. Both defenses mirror each other. The stats look alike on RYPG, PY, RYPA with only a few yards separating these two with Miami a bit better defensively. I cannot back a side in this one, however, the Over the total is more attractive. Miami currently the 7th seed with the Ravens (in the hunt) looking to jump over the Dolphins currently sitting at 8th in wild card standings. The pressure is on Miami and will play tight during the 1st quarter before they loosen up offensively under perfect conditions under the dome.. Baltimore on the other hand has a Game at home against the Giants. They will be watching the Saturday's Miami/Vegas game with great interest.
PICK MADE ON 12/24/2020 AT 2:34 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/27/2020 AT 12:18 AM ET
+5.34
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, DECEMBER 25, 2020 (25 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
12/25/2020
4:30 PM ET
NFL
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -7 (+106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: When teams like Minnesota see their season essentially end this late in the year, unless they are bouncing back trying to ruin something for a division rival, I generally want no part of backing that team. Chances are the Vikings level of play falls somewhere in between, as thinking 20+ points is near Minnesota's floor here would suggest Minnesota at least keeps the point spread result in doubt for quite some time. Still not comfortable taking them this week or probably next week either. They had higher hopes for 2020 then what panned out. Teams like that tend to pack it in.
PICK MADE ON 12/24/2020 AT 2:32 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/25/2020 AT 8:46 PM ET
+5.83
[report pick]
12/25/2020
4:30 PM ET
NFL
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: OVER 51.5 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Minnesota Vikings have had a rough go of it on the road this year. On Christmas Day, they visit a New Orleans Saints team that they knocked out of the playoffs a year ago, and are currently struggling with the decision to free fall or not. New Orleans hasn't forgotten about how last year ended though, and getting things turned around in the right direction again against a team that just had their season ended last week is as good a spot as any to do so. Will history repeat itself here? Minnesota has allowed at least 24 in each of their previous five games, and there are teams like Dallas, Jacksonville and Chicago as part of that list. Kirk Cousins is never afraid to chuck the ball around, and can we completely rule out the idea that maybe this Saints defense has a leak in their game that these past two opponents have help expose? Both the Eagles and Chiefs ran all over this Saints defense and Minnesota just so happens to have running back Dalvin Cook in their stable of weapons. So 'no 'under' support from me here, as it can really only be 'over' or pass.
PICK MADE ON 12/24/2020 AT 2:32 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/25/2020 AT 8:47 PM ET
+5.45
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2020 (29 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
12/21/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS

PICK: OVER 40 (-107)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The total is rather low considering it was 46 in the first meeting about a month ago (Nov 15th), and it landed right on the number. Is Pittsburgh's offensive decline combined with no Burrow worth a full six points on the total? Fundamentally, I'm not sure that it is. This is the proverbial “Super Bowl” game for this bad Bengals team, at home on MNF at the end of the year against a rival that could be going places. If you think they hang around even a little bit, the 'over' can get there in a variety of ways. The Bengals have allowed 36, 37, 27, and 35 points against (33.75 avg/game) in four division games played already this year, and the one Bengals TD they get a game already is already good enough if the Steelers hit that average. Pittsburgh's still not assured to get healthy here in the first place, their passing offense sits 25th in the league in yards per attempt, and their rushing offense is T-30 in yards per attempt on the ground. The Steelers being 0-5-1 O/U in their last six, and Cincinnati 0-4-1 O/U in their last five (the “push” was against each other), you can understand a lower number, but it still feels low. Got to be the 'over' or nothing for me.
PICK MADE ON 12/20/2020 AT 3:00 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/22/2020 AT 12:15 AM ET
+5.14
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, DECEMBER 20, 2020 (30 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
12/20/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

PICK: OVER 46 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: These two teams are barely breathing in the NFC picture and a loss likely means curtains for a 2020 season. The last time these two squared off there was plenty of D, however, at this stage of the season I honestly think we can throw out any defensive game by either of them. Look for an offensive game on both sides and a score to exceed the 19-13 final we saw in week 10.
PICK MADE ON 12/18/2020 AT 4:33 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/20/2020 AT 5:05 PM ET
+4.95
[report pick]
12/20/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS

PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -6 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The opening line of Tampa Bay -1.5 to currently Tampa -6.5 is the largest mover for this weeks card. More is at stake for Tampa for they need to keep pace with the Saints for they have clinched a playoff berth in their conference standings and since Tampa is 2 games behind in conference standings it looks as if they are designated for a wild card game. Tom Brady and his new team might be happy to be in the playoff picture as of this posting but Brady is not used to be in a wild card spot without any home game like he was up in New England. It is a game Tampa needs and cannot afford to end the season with losses because the Vikings, Bears are on their heels looking for a path for post season play.
PICK MADE ON 12/18/2020 AT 4:34 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/20/2020 AT 5:05 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
12/20/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. MIAMI DOLPHINS

PICK: MIAMI DOLPHINS -1.5 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The rookie quarterback for the Dolphins Tagoviloa, is 4-2 as a starter, will face the Patriots for the first time. Miami and New England head into their 111th meeting with both teams trailing AFC East leader Buffalo (10-3). The Patriots will finish with fewer victories than a division rival for the first time since Bill Belichick's first season in New England in 2000, and a loss Sunday would eliminate them from playoff contention. Miami's defense is much improved since Week 1, when it allowed 217 yards rushing in a loss at New England. The Dolphins rank second in the NFL in points allowed, and are tied for the league lead with 25 takeaways. Their streak of at least one takeaway in 19 consecutive games is the longest in the NFL. Bill Belichick's Pats team still scares me even without Brady at QB for this future hall of fame HC manages to come up with a game plan each weekend when playoff season in near. However, I am on the Miami bandwagon and it would be great to have some new blood playing post season games other than the Pats.
PICK MADE ON 12/18/2020 AT 4:35 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/20/2020 AT 5:07 PM ET
+5.09
[report pick]
12/20/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -3 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Saints record-setting quarterback Drew Brees has been designated to return from the club's injured reserve list. He might not be starting against the Chiefs however. QB Taysom Hill is a good back up QB for NFL standards, but his days playing at BYU were much more exciting to watch than his days being a back up for injured star Drew Brees. Saints coach Sean Payton seriously considered drafting Patrick Mahomes in 2017. That is past history anyway but thought I would mention it. The Chiefs have the best record in the AFC. But ensuring that it stays that way another week requires a victory against a contending NFC Saints squad looking to bounce back from a stunning loss in Philadelphia. The Saints can win the NFC South for a fourth straight season with a victory (or a Tampa Bay loss). The Chiefs have been forced to prepare for both QBs. I cannot go against this KC team even if Brees starts for the Saints.
PICK MADE ON 12/18/2020 AT 4:32 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/20/2020 AT 8:48 PM ET
- - - - -
[report pick]
12/20/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS

PICK: OVER 44 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Any Under look can't be excited to watch when Cleveland has the ball with the way they have been moving the ball, and the fact that they have put up at least 40 in two straight weeks and this total is not even close to a TD higher, if the Under happens then I think you've just got to let it happen! I can only look at the Over with that being the case, because any kind of sub-par game from the Browns on either side of the ball still likely gives us a chance to hit a late game over the total wager.
PICK MADE ON 12/18/2020 AT 4:31 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 12/21/2020 AT 12:01 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
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