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Pete Sams is a seasoned veteran of the gaming capital of the world Las Vegas, Nevada. Moved to Vegas in 1963 served in the Marines doing 2 tours in Nam from 1965-68. Returned to Vegas and worked as a shift boss in the black jack pit and retired from the casino industry as asst gaming manager in 1988. I then began what I loved the most sports betting and money management. Started the web site 10 years ago samswins.com and over the years all of my clients that took my advice and only bet what I advised, are to this day loyal. Go to my web site www.samswins.com and click on the (about us) and (testimonial) links and learn about my colorful past living in Vegas. Mob figures I respected played golf with and a movie extra in a very popular movie that many have enjoyed. Thank you for taking the time to review this and visit my site, register and if you want a Best Friend in this business, sports gambling, all clients get my cell number and many today are best friends and visit Vegas often, come to my home BBQ and have fun. Contact me at samswins@aol.com I do answer all of my email within 1 hour.

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PICKS FOR MONDAY, NOVEMBER 23, 2020 (2 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/23/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -4.5 (-103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Rams have All-Pro defensive tackle Aaron Donald and company causing chaos on each snap, and the numbers Tampa's defense has put up this year because of their front four pressure has been just as noteworthy. It's a quarterback rematch from Super Bowl LIII two years ago, as Jared Goff and the Rams hope for a different result against Tom Brady's new squad, the Buccaneers. The spread is an interesting proposition as it's moved back and forth in the -3.5 to -4.5 range for Tampa as it's a match up and spread that should see plenty of support for both sides. Tampa's defense gives up things to everyone, and L.A. may already know they'll have to play a bit faster when it is Brady and company on the other side. take the high side of this total. I do believe we see the better versions of both teams here as both have to consider it as a bit of a measuring stick game to begin with. The Rams performed well in their last test – vs Seattle – while the Bucs did not – vs New Orleans – so maybe you give a slight lean to the home side.
PICK MADE ON 11/22/2020 AT 6:18 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/23/2020 AT 11:44 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/23/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

PICK: OVER 48.5 (+102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Rams have All-Pro defensive tackle Aaron Donald and company causing chaos on each snap, and the numbers Tampa's defense has put up this year because of their front four pressure has been just as noteworthy. It's a quarterback rematch from Super Bowl LIII two years ago, as Jared Goff and the Rams hope for a different result against Tom Brady's new squad, the Buccaneers. The spread is an interesting proposition as it's moved back and forth in the -3.5 to -4.5 range for Tampa as it's a match up and spread that should see plenty of support for both sides. Tampa's defense gives up things to everyone, and L.A. may already know they'll have to play a bit faster when it is Brady and company on the other side. take the high side of this total. I do believe we see the better versions of both teams here as both have to consider it as a bit of a measuring stick game to begin with. The Rams performed well in their last test – vs Seattle – while the Bucs did not – vs New Orleans – so maybe you give a slight lean to the home side.
PICK MADE ON 11/22/2020 AT 6:18 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/23/2020 AT 11:45 PM ET
+5.61
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 2020 (3 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/22/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS

PICK: UNDER 47.5 (-110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Eagles are not a good FB team and their only saving grace is they play in the NFL East.The Eagles are only averaging just over 20 PPG in their last 3 outings, and that against dreadful division foes. With windy conditions in Cleveland the defense played a large part, the Browns only scored 10 pts or fewer in 3 of last 4 contests. The Eagles are 12-3 Under in November games. Consider this trend and Play the under.. Looks to me like a 24/20 or 24/17 outcomes. Absent any turnovers and quick scores this an under.
PICK MADE ON 11/20/2020 AT 11:13 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/22/2020 AT 5:18 PM ET
+5.00
[report pick]
11/22/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS

PICK: HOUSTON TEXANS +2.5 (-112)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Houston Texans lost their seventh game of the season on Sunday in an all-around bad performance against the Cleveland Browns. Despite his team's struggles, Texan QB Watson remains optimistic and is focused on trying to get the Texans on track. Watson ranks eighth in the NFL with 2,539 yards passing this season and has thrown nine TDs without an interception in the past four games. The Texans will try to shore up their run defense this week before facing a New England team that ranks third in the league by averaging 161.1 yards rushing a game. Houston will not only try and slow Damien Harris, who leads the team with 471 yards rushing, but also attempt to limit Cam Newton's scrambling. He ranks second in the NFL among quarterbacks with nine rushing touchdowns this season. In this contest I am looking at betting on the QB's. In my strongest opinion my money is on the QB for the Texans Watson against a up and down QB like Cam Newton.
PICK MADE ON 11/20/2020 AT 11:14 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/22/2020 AT 5:07 PM ET
+4.91
[report pick]
11/22/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: ATLANTA FALCONS +3.5 (+102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: While the Saints are riding a six-game winning streak and sitting atop the NFC South, their resourcefulness and resilience will be tested in upcoming weeks. While coach Sean Payton declined to comment on any injuries until the first injury report of this week is due out Wednesday afternoon, a person familiar with the situation said Brees has multiple rib fractures and also was diagnosed with a collapsed lung. Brees is expected to miss several games while his lung and ribs heal, meaning the offense will now be primarily in the hands of Jameis Winston, who was selected first overall by Tampa Bay in the 2015 NFL draft. I expect the starting QB for the Saints to throw 2 or more picks against the Falcons. Look for a close cover for the Falcons.
PICK MADE ON 11/20/2020 AT 11:15 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/22/2020 AT 5:21 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/22/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
DALLAS COWBOYS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

PICK: UNDER 47.5 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Cowboys are expected to welcome back QB Dalton (concussion) after 2 weeks which saw QB's DiNucci and Gilbert try to right the Cowboy's ship. Dallas has posted 10,3,9 and 19 points the last 4 weekends since their starting QB Prescott went down with season ending injury. Even with former Bengal QB Dalton, it will not mean much to over the total bettors. This looks like an Under play where we might not even get close to the 40 mark in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 11/20/2020 AT 11:15 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/22/2020 AT 8:17 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/22/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS +2.5 (-107)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Green Bay Packers are on pace to have home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. For some reason this season the Packers are playing better when they're away from Lambeau Field. The numbers add up to a Indy home favorite win and cover. I cannot back Philip Rivers against Rodgers. This does not mean Rivers is not a good QB. In my opinion he is one team leader that everyone looks up to. Rodgers gets respect from his offense for his uncanny ability to move around and make that pass and win games from behind, his defense reacts to all of a sudden starting to hold offenses to 3 and out's. Take the Packers to win here knowing the Saints will be tested with Drew Brees out with injury and both teams tied with a 7-2 record.
PICK MADE ON 11/20/2020 AT 11:18 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/22/2020 AT 8:46 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2020 (4 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/21/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
INDIANA VS. OHIO STATE

(FREE PICK)


PICK: INDIANA +20.5 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK MADE ON 11/18/2020 AT 2:56 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/21/2020 AT 5:04 PM ET
+5.19
[report pick]
11/21/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
WISCONSIN VS. NORTHWESTERN

PICK: NORTHWESTERN +7.5 (-115)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Badgers went on the road in its 2 games this season and beat bad teams Illinois and Michigan. I like Northwestern at home and without a loss this shortened season they have impressed me so far especially going on the road and coming out with a win at Iowa. Always a tough place to play for any Big-Ten team.
PICK MADE ON 11/18/2020 AT 2:53 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/21/2020 AT 8:30 PM ET
+4.78
[report pick]
11/21/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
IOWA VS. PENN STATE

PICK: IOWA -2.5 (-102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK MADE ON 11/18/2020 AT 2:57 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/21/2020 AT 9:36 PM ET
+5.39
[report pick]
11/21/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
MICHIGAN VS. RUTGERS

PICK: RUTGERS +11 (-116)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: I cannot even entertain the notion to back a Michigan team that had the asses kicked last weekend at home playing the Badgers. They go on the road against Rutgers a big home dog of 10.5 pts. The common opponent both of these teams have is Indiana. The up start Indiana team beat both teams by almost identical scores of 21-37 and 21-38. I cannot remember the last time I backed this Rutgers team but this line sticks out like a big mistake on the lines makers part.
PICK MADE ON 11/18/2020 AT 2:55 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/22/2020 AT 1:05 AM ET
+4.74
[report pick]
11/21/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
OKLAHOMA STATE VS. OKLAHOMA

PICK: OVER 59 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: I can believe that the Sooners will come close to the total of 59 themselves. If OK State scores 2 or 3 TD's the total will be had at halftime.
PICK MADE ON 11/18/2020 AT 2:56 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/22/2020 AT 12:16 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 19, 2020 (6 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/19/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

PICK: UNDER 57.5 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Arizona-Seattle rematch, and both teams are coming off some interesting performances a week ago. Arizona walked it off thanks to a wild Hail Mary play, while quarterback Russell Wilson has a game where his best Superman cape is in the wash and all that Seattle love from a month ago is just a distant memory right now. The Seahawks may be the team that “needs” this win more on Thursday night with how they've looked the past two weeks, but nothing has really changed with this team. Because of the combination of having a brutal defense and Russell Wilson as their QB, Seattle games are always going to get a lot of 'over' respect from the outset when a number comes out. But then you get a total of 57.5 (currently) where a lot of things still have to go right for significant stretches of time for NFL teams. Yes, the first game finished with 71 points, but both defenses were able to make significant adjustments coming out of halftime, with only total points scored in the 3rd and 4th quarters; 10 of which came by Arizona in the final 2.5 minutes. If that's the type of game we see from them in this rematch – one where it's going to feel like a bit more is at stake within the division etc – you might not get an explosive 30 minute stretch to make up for the points you'd need if a 24-point half was duplicated. Do have a tough time seeing Arizona being anywhere near their best on a short week with travel, having already proved they could beat this Seahawks team, and being off how that Buffalo win played out. But in case it's another rough outing for Wilson and that Seahawks offense, I'd prefer to take my chances with the total.
PICK MADE ON 11/18/2020 AT 2:59 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/20/2020 AT 12:34 AM ET
+5.09
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, NOVEMBER 16, 2020 (9 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/16/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. CHICAGO BEARS

PICK: CHICAGO BEARS +3 (-112)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The home underdog has cashed in each of the last two weeks on Monday Night Football. I think that the Bears will make it three in a row, and I think that they will get the outright upset in this game. Minnesota is coming off back-to-back division wins over Detroit and Green Bay. I don’t think that they are going to sweep their NFC North rivals. The Bears have dominated this series. They have gone 4-0 SU against the Vikings the last two years, and Chicago is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Bears have a strong defense, and I think that they will be able to shut down the Minnesota running game. If they are able to slow down Dalvin Cook, that will put the ball in Kirk Cousins’ hands, and he has struggled to win primetime games his entire career. Cousins is 0-9 in his career on Monday Night Football. Cousins is 8-32 SU in his career against teams with a winning record and is just 4-9 SU against teams that are above .500 in his time against Minnesota. I think that Chicago is going to bounce back after three straight losses. This is their second MNF appearance in the last month, and I like them to get a win in this one after falling to the Rams in October. Take the points and look for the upset.
PICK MADE ON 11/14/2020 AT 4:46 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/17/2020 AT 12:16 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 15, 2020 (10 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/15/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
HOUSTON TEXANS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS

PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS -3.5 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: I for one cannot even make a bet on the Texans even with my neighbors money. The Clowns are a FG favorite and I expect them to play their best.
PICK MADE ON 11/13/2020 AT 1:51 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/15/2020 AT 5:02 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/15/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
DENVER BRONCOS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

PICK: OVER 51 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: After alternating 'under' and 'over' results in the first six games, the Broncos are starting to show a little more consistency on offense. Denver has hit the 'over' in three in a row, averaging 24.7 PPG while allowing 39.0 PPG, giving up 34, 30 and 43 during the span. For the Raiders, they saw an 'under' in Cleveland during wintry weather, but they bounced back with an 'over' in controlled conditions at SoFi Stadium. In three home games for the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, the 'over' is 2-0-1, with the offense rolling for 25.7 PPG and the defense coughing up 33.0 PPG.
PICK MADE ON 11/13/2020 AT 1:51 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/15/2020 AT 8:48 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/15/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
BUFFALO BILLS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS

PICK: OVER 56.5 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Bills threw up a season-high 44 points in a crazy 44-34 win against the Seahawks at home last week. It's the second straight 'over' result, and they're now 6-2-1 on the over so far this season. The over is 2-0 for Buffalo vs. NFC West this season, too. It's a stark contast to last season when the Bills led the NFL with a 12-4 'under' record. For the Cardinals, they're also coming off an 'over' result, a 34-31 loss at home against the Dolphins, an AFC East side. The Cardinals offense is rocking lately, going for 31, 37, 38 and 30, and they have scored at least 21 points in every game this season. Defensively, Arizona has also allowed 34 in each of the past two, cashing the over in back-to-back games after the 'under' started out 6-0.
PICK MADE ON 11/14/2020 AT 4:44 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/15/2020 AT 8:48 PM ET
+5.24
[report pick]
11/15/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS. MIAMI DOLPHINS

PICK: MIAMI DOLPHINS -1.5 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Tagovailoa is coming off a breakout performance in Sunday's thrilling 34-31 victory at Arizona. He threw for only 93 yards in his first start, but against the Cardinals he passed for 238 yards, ran for 35, and led consecutive scoring drives to help Miami come from behind in the fourth quarter. So when it comes to the Los Angeles Chargers' matchup on Sunday against Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins, Herbert isn't fazed about the attention that comes with the first matchup between the highly regarded rookies. My cash is on the home favorite laying less than a FG.
PICK MADE ON 11/14/2020 AT 4:45 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/15/2020 AT 7:59 PM ET
+5.24
[report pick]
11/15/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

PICK: OVER 43.5 (-102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Baltimore Ravens-New England Patriots meet in Foxboro, and this game has a little different look. The Patriots are not in their typical perch atop the AFC East, and of course they have a new quarterback. The Ravens have scored at least 20 points in each of their eight games, and they've gone for 24, 24, 30, 37 and 31 over the past five outings, hitting the 'over' in two of their past three road contests. The Patriots barely scraped by the winless Jets last week, posting a 30-27 win with the lowest total on the Week 9 board at 42. It was a surprising effort, as the Patriots entered with 49 total points in the previous four games combined. This isn't the Brady-led Patriots any longer. The defense has also been toasted for 27, 24 and 33 over the past three, and that might be the most surprising part of it all. If they allowed 27 to the Jets, how will defending MVP QB Lamar Jackson work against the Pats?
PICK MADE ON 11/14/2020 AT 4:45 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/16/2020 AT 12:15 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2020 (11 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/14/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
PENN STATE VS. NEBRASKA

PICK: NEBRASKA +3 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: We like Nebraska on Saturday to break out of their funk after going 0-2 to start the season. The Cornhuskers are averaging just 15 ppg while giving up 36.5. They opened the season against one of the best Ohio State teams in history, losing, 52-17, so that result is kind of unfair. They had a chance to knock off Northwestern on the road last weekend, but just could not convert. There is talent on both sides of the ball for Nebraska with Adrian Martinez; the junior now needs help from his receivers. This team is relying on Martinez too much, and if they can solve that issue, they could be difficult to stop. Pressure on this Penn State offense has worked and will be what the host needs to do to be successful.
PICK MADE ON 11/13/2020 AT 1:48 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/14/2020 AT 4:17 PM ET
+5.50
[report pick]
11/14/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
ARMY VS. TULANE

(FREE PICK)


PICK: OVER 47 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK MADE ON 11/13/2020 AT 1:49 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/14/2020 AT 4:13 PM ET
+5.29
[report pick]
11/14/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
WISCONSIN VS. MICHIGAN

PICK: WISCONSIN -4 (-110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Badgers have just one game under their belts as they hammered Illinois 45-7 in their season opener. Wisconsin cancelled their game early last week, so they have had had nearly two full weeks to prepare for the Michigan Wolverines in this upcoming contest. No official word yet on who will be behind center for the Badgers in this one, but if everything goes well they expect starter Graham Mertz will be able to play and that's huge as Mertz was 20 for 21 with 5 touchdown passes against Illinois. The Badgers faced off against Michigan last year, and they throttled the Wolverines in that game, 35-14. On the other side of things, this doesn't look to be a typical Michigan football team here in 2020. The Wolverines were soundly beat by a bad Michigan State team two weeks ago, and the Spartans are way down this year, having lost to lowly Rutgers along with a 49-7 defeat last week against Iowa. Michigan also was no match for Indiana last weekend as the Hoosiers coasted to an easy 17-point win in a game they jumped out to an early lead and never looked back.
PICK MADE ON 11/13/2020 AT 1:49 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/15/2020 AT 12:02 AM ET
+5.00
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2020 (12 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/13/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
EAST CAROLINA VS. CINCINNATI

PICK: CINCINNATI -27.5 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Cincinnati Bearcats have dominated opponents all season long, and their defense has been outstanding. The Bearcats have covered three straight games, and their defense has allowed only 33 points in those three games. East Carolina is coming off a home loss to Tulane, 38-21, and if the Green Wave can score 38 points against the Pirates defense, I see the Bearcats offense putting up a big number on the scoreboard. Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in conference games, and the Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. Let's also throw in that the home team in this series is a perfect 4-0 ATS. Bearcats win big Friday night, 45-10.
PICK MADE ON 11/13/2020 AT 1:47 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/14/2020 AT 12:13 AM ET
+5.09
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9, 2020 (16 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/9/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. NEW YORK JETS

PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -7.5 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: I do not think that the Patriots are done for this season, and I think that they are going to snap out of this losing streak. The Patriots have lost four in a row. They have played a very, very difficult schedule, and this team was driving for the winning score last week in Buffalo. They will bounce back here against the Jets. New York is by far the worst team in the league at 0-8. They are -144 in point differential and have been outscored by 18 points per game! The Jets are just 1-7 ATS this year and are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. New York is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 divisional games and 1-4 ATS in its last five games on Monday Night Football. New England is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Jets, and Bill Belichick has dominated this Jets franchise for the past 20 years. New England is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 games against a team that is below .500, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five divisional games after covering the spread last week in that close loss to the Bills. I think New England will a win here
PICK MADE ON 11/6/2020 AT 3:49 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/9/2020 AT 11:46 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/9/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. NEW YORK JETS

PICK: UNDER 42.5 (-113)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: If you are looking for a lot of points on Monday night, it might be best to look at other options. The Cam Newton led Patriots are averaging a mere 12.2 points a contest in their last four contests. The New York Jets are even worse in tallying less than 10 PPG in that same period (39 total points). Though both defenses are quite vulnerable, it is hard to make a case for either being taken advantage of by Newton or Sam Darnold. That is why a lower score makes the most sense, and here is another reason why: home teams like the Jets allowing 27 or more points a game, after scoring 17 points or less in four straight games, are 38-11 UNDER
PICK MADE ON 11/6/2020 AT 3:50 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/9/2020 AT 11:45 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2020 (17 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/8/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

PICK: CHICAGO BEARS +5.5 (+110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 5:54 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/8/2020 AT 5:20 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/8/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CAROLINA PANTHERS VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

PICK: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -10.5 (+105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Chief's proved last week they can cover these big numbers against bad teams. Expect them to win this game at home . The Panthers have lost 3 straight and I just do not believe they have the talent this year to compete. Carolina may get RB McCaffrey back for this contest. It will not be enough to match the talent of KC. KC is 9-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games.
PICK MADE ON 11/6/2020 AT 11:28 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/8/2020 AT 5:33 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/8/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

PICK: LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +1 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Raiders limited the Browns to six drives all game last Sunday, the fewest in any game in the past 30 seasons. The ball control on offense helped. Las Vegas was the third team in the past 25 seasons to have at least three drives that took at least eight minutes off the clock. The Raiders had five drives of at least 10 plays for just the second time in the past 18 seasons. The Los Angeles Chargers are showing they can't hold on to any lead at an unprecedented level. In the first half of games this season, the Chargers are allowing a league-low 137.9 yards and have outscored teams 101-72. After halftime, they are allowing 226.1 yards - third worst in the league - while being outscored 113-78. The Chargers have lost eight straight AFC West games going into Sunday when they host the Las Vegas Raiders. The eight-game skid is tied with the Detroit Lions for the longest current losing streak in division games.
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 5:53 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/8/2020 AT 8:17 PM ET
+5.05
[report pick]
11/8/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -4 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: We all are aware of this game (after a loss to the Saints in week 1) . Looking at how the Pat's are playing this year it shows proof positive that this Tampa QB is the team leader like he certainly was in New England. The run defense for Tampa is number 1 in the NFL. Like in college football and I wager what is in Brady's mind ( the revenge factor) it looms big after the Saints beat Tampa in the first week of the season. Without any pre-season games to adjust to the new offensive members, QB Brady now has adjusted to his offensive play makers. We can wager on Tampa with certainly that he will not hold back and will pad the score board as often as he can.
PICK MADE ON 11/6/2020 AT 11:28 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/9/2020 AT 12:16 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 7, 2020 (18 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/7/2020
11:30 AM ET
NCAAF
AIR FORCE VS. ARMY

PICK: OVER 41 (+101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Both teams will run the ball every chance they get. The total is still to low in my opinion. AF is coming off a loss to Boise State 49-30. If AF cannot stop the run game of Army this total hits and Army wins.
PICK MADE ON 11/6/2020 AT 11:24 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/7/2020 AT 5:54 PM ET
- - - - -
[report pick]
11/7/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
NEBRASKA VS. NORTHWESTERN

PICK: NORTHWESTERN -4 (+101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Nebraska Cornhuskers are averaging 17 points per outing. As a unit they're averaging 210 yards on the ground which is 18th in D-1. The Cornhuskers have earned 370 total yards for the season. In terms of notching touchdowns, Nebraska has compiled 0 touchdowns through the air and 2 rushing touchdowns. The Cornhuskers rank 116th in Division 1 concerning team defense. In their last game, the Northwestern Wildcats played the Iowa Hawkeyes and went home with the win by a score of 21-20. Northwestern Wildcats Ramsey has thrown for 43 touchdowns compared to 24 picks in his career. His TD percentage on pass attempts is 4.3% and his interception percentage is 2.4%. He has scampered for 905 yds on 319 tries. He averages 209.8 yards per contest through the air with a 134.2 QB rating. In the 33 games in his college career, Peyton Ramsey has connected on 667 of his 1,000 attempts for 6,923 yds.
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 5:56 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/7/2020 AT 5:05 PM ET
+5.56
[report pick]
11/7/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
MICHIGAN VS. INDIANA

PICK: MICHIGAN -3 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 6:00 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/7/2020 AT 4:46 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/7/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
MICHIGAN STATE VS. IOWA

PICK: MICHIGAN STATE +7 (-107)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 6:00 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/7/2020 AT 4:33 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/7/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
HOUSTON VS. CINCINNATI

PICK: CINCINNATI -13.5 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: For the season so far, the Bearcats have compiled 1,051 passing yards in addition to an average of 210.2 passing yards per outing, putting them at 68th in Division 1. The Cincinnati Bearcats average 428.0 yards per outing which is good for 35th in D-1. They are averaging 217.8 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,089 yards overall. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Bearcats sit 12th in Division 1 holding an average of 39.6 PPG. Cincinnati has surrendered a total of 485 yards on the ground (97.0 yards per game) and 3 touchdowns on the ground so far this year. The Bearcats are conceding 12.0 points per contest, which has them 20th in the country. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 60 points in total. They have allowed 2 touchdowns through the air in addition to 209.2 yards per game, which has them in 45th in the country.
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 5:55 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/7/2020 AT 7:57 PM ET
+5.05
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2020 (20 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/5/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

PICK: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +6 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: It is tough to make a decision on a side here with the Packers since they are having issues with the top running backs doubtful to suit up as of today (Wednesday). On the other side of the ball the 49'ers will be with-out their QB and the tight end George Kittle . The total looks like a safe wager to me even with the books begging for over money, look for a couple of turn over's for easy scores that over bettors need to have . Rodgers after last weeks embarrassing home loss to conference foe Vikings, will be ready to light up the Niner's passing defense. The back up QB for the Niner's is capable to get his share of scores against the Packers defense. San Fran needs this game before they go on the road to the Saints and then the revenge minded Rams that l expect will want to pound the Niner's.
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 5:52 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/6/2020 AT 12:17 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/5/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

PICK: OVER 49.5 (+102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: It is tough to make a decision on a side here with the Packers since they are having issues with the top running backs doubtful to suit up as of today (Wednesday). On the other side of the ball the 49'ers will be with-out their QB and the tight end George Kittle . The total looks like a safe wager to me even with the books begging for over money, look for a couple of turn over's for easy scores that over bettors need to have . Rodgers after last weeks embarrassing home loss to conference foe Vikings, will be ready to light up the Niner's passing defense. The back up QB for the Niner's is capable to get his share of scores against the Packers defense. San Fran needs this game before they go on the road to the Saints and then the revenge minded Rams that l expect will want to pound the Niner's.
PICK MADE ON 11/4/2020 AT 5:52 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/6/2020 AT 12:17 AM ET
+5.61
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2, 2020 (23 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/2/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS

PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -13 (+110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Covering inflated numbers was Brady's specialty in New England though as he consistently found a way to reward Patriots backers or never had any issue with paying that “Patriots tax”. Brady's shifted that tax down to the Sunshine State this year, but the will the results stay the same with bettors comfortably stepping up and paying that “Bucs tax” and still getting rewarded? Yet, here we go again with Tampa getting dealt the best of it. Not only are the 1-6 New York Giants sharing the field with them on Monday night, but just like the Raiders last week, New York got hit with COVID issues late in the week and have had to adjust/pause their preparation accordingly.
PICK MADE ON 11/1/2020 AT 1:32 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/3/2020 AT 12:15 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2020 (24 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
11/1/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
TENNESSEE TITANS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS

PICK: TENNESSEE TITANS -7 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: The Titans go on the road and staying in the same time zone travelling north to Cincinnati. When it comes to scoring points, the Titans are sitting at 31.3 PPG. Rushing on an average of 145.2 YYG which is 5th in the NFL. The Bengals rank 21st in the NFL regarding their opponents scoring 27.7 PPG. Most importantly is the fact the Bengals give up 4.9 yards per rush. Playing against a strong rushing team the Titans have. Expect Tennessee to rush for near 175 yards against the Bengals. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 936 rushing yards through 7 contests. I have to back the road favorite laying a TD.
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:54 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/1/2020 AT 5:05 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/1/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -6 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Green Bay's Jamaal Williams understands the opportunities that could await him in the offseason, but he's focusing on the present while teaming up with Aaron Jones to form one of the NFL's top running-back tandems. Jones is the clear No. 1 running back in Green Bay right now. His seven total touchdowns this season put him in a tie for the NFL lead. He had 19 total touchdowns last season to match Tennessee's Derrick Henry for the NFL lead. The Vikings have some virus issues with their CB's. Mike Hughes has been downgraded to doubtful for the Packers and CB Dantzler is out with the virus. Their top RB Dalvin Cook missed last game with a groin issue and is probable for this divisional game. 2 other CB's for the Vikings Hill and Boyd are both questionable which means there is a 75% chance they will suit up. The back side of the defense for Minnesota is why I like Green Bay laying a TD. Usually over many years this game line would favor the home team by a FG or less. QB Rodgers will certainly give the backside defense for the Vikings a true test this Sunday.
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:54 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/1/2020 AT 5:03 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/1/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS

PICK: UNDER 46 (+103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: This game will be contest fought in the trenches, if you like a defensive game then this game if a must watch. Both teams give a total of 37 points combined. Look for a final score with only a FG difference.
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:56 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/1/2020 AT 5:21 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
11/1/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

PICK: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -3 (+102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
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PICK WRITE-UP: Unlike the Green Bay line laying a TD, in this tough conference the line is what it should be the home team laying a FG. I cannot fathom a loss by the Seahawks after last weeks defeat at conference foe Arizona. I am taking the home favorite in this contest and in the last weekend of regular season play when Seattle travels to Northern Cal to play the Niners it might be a different scenario.
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:56 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 11/1/2020 AT 8:30 PM ET
+5.61
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2020 (25 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/31/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
WAKE FOREST VS. SYRACUSE

PICK: SYRACUSE +14 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Just do not believe Wake Forest should be favored by this many points to anyone in the conference, especially on the road. Wake Forest has won three straight games, the last two as an underdog, but I still am not sold on their defense and feel Syracuse will be able to move the football and score some points in this game. Wake Forest is 0-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games. Syracuse is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Wake Forest.
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:50 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/31/2020 AT 4:13 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/31/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
TEMPLE VS. TULANE

PICK: TULANE -3.5 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Green Wave get this game at home against the Owls, and I would say hurry up and grab the -3.5 or even -4 because this game will bet up higher. Tulane is 0-2 at home this COVID season, and they lost to SMU by 3 points in overtime and lost to Navy by 3 points. Should be a high-scoring game in New Orleans, and in the second half I see the Green Wave pulling away. It wouldn't shock me to see the Wave win by double-digits. Tulane is 6-1 ATS as a home favorite, and the Green Wave are 16-5 ATS last 21 home games.
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:52 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/31/2020 AT 4:00 PM ET
+5.19
[report pick]
10/31/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
NOTRE DAME VS. GEORGIA TECH

PICK: NOTRE DAME -20 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Last week we heard a lot about Notre Dame being overrated. All the Fighting Irish did was pound Pittsburgh 45-3 to send a message that they are not too bad. Not unexpectedly, once Ohio State came back to play, their win over Nebraska vaulted them ahead of Notre Dame in the polls, which dropped the Irish to No. 4. Georgia Tech is not a good team as they continue to transition away from the option to a more traditional offense. And while they have a few talented defensive players, they are still allowing 41.2 PPG against foes, scoring 32 PPG. Coach Brian Kelly will no doubt play the respect card to hopefully ensure his team’s focus before the massive Clemson battle next week, saying the pollsters don’t want Notre Dame in the playoffs.
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:50 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/31/2020 AT 7:43 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/31/2020
7:00 PM ET
NCAAF
MISSISSIPPI STATE VS. ALABAMA

PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE +31 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: I know it seems nutty to bet against Alabama at the moment. They’ve hammered Georgia and Tennessee in back-to-back weeks and are on a solid 3-1 ATS run in their last four. However, as I have pointed out repeatedly over the last decade, this is Mike Leach’s role. He is one of the best underdog coaches in recent college history. And even though he’s had some issues with his roster and has lost three straight games, I still think that he’s going to have his team at least ready to be competitive with the Crimson Tide in this one. Leach’s offenses always sling it around, and right now the Bulldogs are No. 5 in the country in passing offense. They’ll find some points. And that’s exactly how you cover a line like this. Alabama has allowed over 26 points per game, and they let a pass-wacky Mississippi team hang 48 points on them on Oct. 10. Miss State isn’t going to get close to that. But I think that if the Bulldogs can get 17-20 points, they will cover this number with ease. I can see this game being somewhere around 45-20, and I think that this is around 4-6 too many points on this line
PICK MADE ON 10/30/2020 AT 5:53 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/31/2020 AT 11:42 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2020 (30 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/26/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS

PICK: CHICAGO BEARS +6 (-109)

RISK: 7.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Rams are at home laying chalk, against a Bears team that's got some legitimacy questions of their own about the 5-1 SU record they currently sport. Wins against Tampa Bay and Carolina have been better showings for the Bears, as both came as small underdogs and in Nick Foles' second and third start with the team. So there are things pointed in the right direction for Chicago in some regards, but will it be enough to make it three straight ATS wins (and maybe SU wins) against the Rams this week? And while the Bears may prefer to play in (and win) 23-20 type games, they know that's not realistic to expect on a weekly basis. If teams can neutralize the Rams pass rush, there are numerous ways to move the ball up and down the field on this team, and you only have to reference the 49ers and Bills games vs L.A. to see that. I doubted the Rams were as good as their 4-1 SU record suggested last week, and nothing they did in that San Francisco game changed my view on that. Especially not enough to consider laying six points with them in this game.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 7:53 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/27/2020 AT 12:17 AM ET
-7.50
[report pick]
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