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Documented Record for Bodybuilderpicks Sports Picks
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Handicapper Bio
Quant models. Iron discipline. Every pick backed by real math.
Most pick sellers flip coins and call it analysis. We don't.
Bodybuilding Picks runs a 4-model consensus system: CMP-Dixon-Coles, Elo+MOV, Glicko-2, and Market Ensemble Devigging, gated by Bayesian Kelly to only release plays with P(EV>0) >= 60%. 263 NHL games of training data. Every pick has a documented edge percentage. Every loss gets posted. No selective reporting. Ever.
SPORTS COVERED: NHL | NBA
PICK TYPES: Moneylines, Totals, Player Props (Anytime Goalscorer, Blocks, Assists)
THE MODELS:
- CMP-Dixon-Coles (nu=0.85): Hockey-specific bivariate Poisson with low-score correction
- Elo + MOV + Home Ice: Margin-of-victory adjusted ratings with home ice advantage
- Glicko-2: Rating + uncertainty interval, updated after every game
- Market Ensemble Devigging: 3-book consensus with multiplicative/power/shin devig
All picks verified independently on CapperTek from Day 1. We don't control what gets logged.
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