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Joe Duffy has been handicapping sports literally since childhood. A native of suburban Philadelphia, he became spellbound with picking against the spread winners when the Philadelphia Inquirer ran a contest in which professional touts picked five NFL games a week for the entire season.  

Using the same point spreads the touts did, Duffy also selected five games a week as an armchair participant. The first year he beat every official contestant by several games. It was that moment that he became obsessed. 

He continued his pre-teen hobby of being a “fantasy handicapper” in that challenge and always finishing near the top or at the top annually. In grade school through high chool, Duffy was a loyal listener to Mickey Charles weekend handicapping shows on WCAU-AM.   

Charles program had the professional handicappers of the late 1970s and early 80s. Duffy absorbed all the theories of Mike Lee, Lem Banker, and many others in nerdish fashion even taking notes.  

Perhaps not so coincidently, several years later, he got his first opportunity to monetize his wunderkind talents in the sports handicapping industry with the company Charles owned. Joe got his formal start in sports betting as a scorephone announcer for Dial Sports 976 scorephones, paying his way through college.  He was a play-by-play announcer for California University of PA’s radio and TV stations for four years. 

 Upon graduation, he immediately became of full-time handicapper and scorephone announcer for the free scorephones, further studying the trade under legendary broadcaster turned handicapper Ray Scott, and former NFL head coach turned handicapper Hank Stram. 

Scott received the Pete Rozelle Radio-Television Award from the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2000. Stram was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2003. Both were early mentors and enormous influences on Duffy. 

He later became General Manager of the Freescoreboard toll-free national scorephones. Duffy is among the most published authors in sports betting strategy, podcaster, and video guest and host.  

During the 1980s scorephone days, Duffy’s fellow scorephone announces bestowed to him the nickname, “Mr. March” for his domination of conference tournaments and NCAA Tournament.  He has since been called, “The Lord of the Big Dance” having had a winning March Madness every year since 1998. 

He is now the leading handicapper of advanced analytics, exploiting statistically significant computer systems and betting formulas. He has been featured by ESPN, written for Bleacher Report, and appeared as an expert guest in radio shows, podcasts, TV networks, and videos around the world. 

 

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DOCUMENTED RECORD / DETAILED PICKS HISTORY
Filter Picks History:
WIN LOSS PUSH WIN %
ROI

28 38 1 42% -65.89 -18.03%
DATE / TIME SPORT
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WE REVEAL OUR MEMBER PICKS AFTER EACH GAME STARTS!

You can view all our pending member picks below exactly 15 minutes after the start of each game. 100% transparency.  [refresh]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, OCTOBER 27, 2020 (YESTERDAY) [refresh]
10/27/2020
8:08 PM ET
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

PICK: LOS ANGELES DODGERS (-129)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The Dodgers would need more than 57.45 chance of winning to make this a good bet. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them winning 62 percent. The other top simulator has them winning 68.2 percent of time, so this is a good value.
PICK MADE YESTERDAY AT 3:49 PM ET
PICK GRADED TODAY AT 12:31 AM ET
+4.26
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2020 (2 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/26/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS

PICK: LOS ANGELES RAMS -6 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Fade overrated teams in revenge (not always same season revenge) is 19-1. Fading big dogs with good records under specific circumstances that apply today is 55-22-3.
PICK MADE ON 10/26/2020 AT 9:05 AM ET
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 12:14 AM ET
+5.50
[report pick]
10/26/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS

PICK: OVER 44.5 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 752-532-26.
PICK MADE ON 10/26/2020 AT 9:05 AM ET
PICK GRADED YESTERDAY AT 12:14 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 25, 2020 (3 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/25/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS

PICK: UNDER 51 (-113)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Teams off road games with a defensive touchdown big UNDER at 118-58-2. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. When both apply, it goes under 64-39-2 for 72.1 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:24 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 5:02 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/25/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS

PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS -3.5 (+106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Road teams off road loss under specific circumstances that apply today are 322-221-11.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:25 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 5:05 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/25/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -3 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Road teams off road loss under specific circumstances that apply today are 322-221-11.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:25 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 5:07 PM ET
+5.45
[report pick]
10/25/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
BUFFALO BILLS VS. NEW YORK JETS

PICK: UNDER 45.5 (-103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Teams off road games with a defensive touchdown big UNDER at 118-58-2. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. When one of the defenses is disappointing based on delta points allowed it goes under 296-210-7 at 68.5 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:26 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 5:04 PM ET
+5.34
[report pick]
10/25/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
DALLAS COWBOYS VS. WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM

PICK: UNDER 45 (-114)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Teams off road games with a defensive touchdown big UNDER at 118-58-2. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. When one of the defenses is disappointing based on delta points allowed it goes under 296-210-7 at 68.5 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:28 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 4:45 PM ET
+4.82
[report pick]
10/25/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CAROLINA PANTHERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: UNDER 50.5 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Teams off road games with a defensive touchdown big UNDER at 118-58-2. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. When one of the defenses is disappointing based on delta points allowed it goes under 296-210-7 at 68.5 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:28 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 4:49 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/25/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

PICK: UNDER 51 (-103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Teams off road games with a defensive touchdown big UNDER at 118-58-2. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. When one of the defenses is disappointing based on delta points allowed it goes under 296-210-7 at 68.5 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:28 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 5:06 PM ET
- - - - -
[report pick]
10/25/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

PICK: UNDER 51 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Teams off road games with a defensive touchdown big UNDER at 118-58-2. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. When one of the defenses is disappointing based on delta points allowed it goes under 296-210-7 at 68.5 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:27 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 8:17 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/25/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. DENVER BRONCOS

PICK: OVER 44 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 752-532.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:26 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 8:17 PM ET
+5.29
[report pick]
10/25/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

PICK: UNDER 45 (-107)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Teams off road games with a defensive touchdown big UNDER at 118-58-2. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. When one of the defenses is disappointing based on delta points allowed it goes under 296-210-7 at 68.5 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/25/2020 AT 10:27 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/25/2020 AT 7:59 PM ET
+5.14
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 24, 2020 (4 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/24/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
OKLAHOMA VS. TCU

PICK: UNDER 59 (-113)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: College Football Total of the Year Total based on points per game and previous totals of each team produces an under of 518-336-20. Math under and train wreck angle combined goes under 82-33-5. Combining two jaw dropping angles that has to do with total compared both math generated total and total of previous week is 215-100-8 to the under.
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 10:00 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 4:47 PM ET
+4.87
[report pick]
10/24/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
KANSAS VS. KANSAS STATE

PICK: UNDER 45.5 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 816-468-35.
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 10:01 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 4:30 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/24/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
UTEP VS. CHARLOTTE

PICK: UNDER 50 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: A modified version of our math under is 902-607-30 including 756-476-24 in game five or later.
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 10:04 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 4:16 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/24/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
IOWA STATE VS. OKLAHOMA STATE

PICK: OKLAHOMA STATE -2.5 (-116)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Going with teams off a dominant win is 605-430-29.
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 10:00 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 9:06 PM ET
+4.74
[report pick]
10/24/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
NOTRE DAME VS. PITTSBURGH

PICK: UNDER 43.5 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 816-468-35. A modified version of our math under is 902-607-30 including 756-476-24 in game five or later.
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 10:02 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 8:01 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/24/2020
4:00 PM ET
NCAAF
KENTUCKY VS. MISSOURI

PICK: MISSOURI +3.5 (-107)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: SEC Game of the Year Large conference home underdogs based on previous result and rest dynamics are 43-14. When both apply, it is a staggering 33-5 since 1981. Home teams off bye are 172-111-4 under specific circumstances that apply today. This was released to premium clients early in the week at +5.5
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 9:59 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 9:04 PM ET
+5.14
[report pick]
10/24/2020
5:30 PM ET
NCAAF
WEST VIRGINIA VS. TEXAS TECH

PICK: UNDER 54 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 816-468-35. A modified version of our math under is 902-607-30 including 756-476-24 in game five or later.
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 10:03 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 9:52 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/24/2020
7:00 PM ET
NCAAF
SOUTH CAROLINA VS. LSU

PICK: UNDER 55 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 816-468-35.
PICK MADE ON 10/24/2020 AT 10:02 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/24/2020 AT 11:25 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2020 (6 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/22/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

PICK: UNDER 44.5 (-106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1507-1225-58. A huge system based on receiving yards of last game and the season average has gone under 28-2.
PICK MADE ON 10/22/2020 AT 4:52 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/23/2020 AT 12:29 AM ET
+5.19
[report pick]
10/22/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

PICK: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -4.5 (-113)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Favorites on a short week are 110-65-5. Another that has to go with fading bad teams in games that are not expected to be high-scoring is 13-1. Another that has to do with fading first-year coaches in a short week is 26-8.
PICK MADE ON 10/22/2020 AT 4:53 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/23/2020 AT 12:33 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 21, 2020 (7 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/21/2020
8:08 PM ET
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

PICK: LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (+146)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Runline momentum postseason bet is +17.45 for +6.9 ROI. This is not pitcher based. In the event of a scratch, the pick would apply.
PICK MADE ON 10/21/2020 AT 10:08 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/22/2020 AT 12:48 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, OCTOBER 20, 2020 (8 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/20/2020
8:09 PM ET
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

PICK: TAMPA BAY RAYS (+158)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Clayton Kershaw has had postseason struggles are well-documented. He is statistically the worst pitcher in playoff history and is laying a heavy number. No need to outsmart ourselves and I have to look past any computer systems. The value is crazy here.
PICK MADE ON 10/20/2020 AT 10:01 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/21/2020 AT 12:50 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/20/2020
8:09 PM ET
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

PICK: UNDER 7.5 (-119)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Yeah, I know struggles of Kershaw make the under seem a bit risky. But total compared to cumulative average of each team produces a 3522-2022-239 angle.
PICK MADE ON 10/20/2020 AT 10:01 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/21/2020 AT 12:47 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 19, 2020 (9 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/19/2020
5:00 PM ET
NFL
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. BUFFALO BILLS

PICK: OVER 57 (-101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 752-530-26.
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 7:02 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/19/2020 AT 8:49 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18, 2020 (10 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/18/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
DETROIT LIONS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

PICK: DETROIT LIONS -3 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: NFL Game of the Year We have an angle that deals with fading struggling home underdogs that is a stunning 33-0 ats since 2012. Go with bad road teams off a loss that was not a blowout is 252-151-5. Road favorites off bye under specific circumstances that apply today are 69-33 for 67.6 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 11:38 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 5:03 PM ET
+5.05
[report pick]
10/18/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

PICK: CINCINNATI BENGALS +7.5 (-113)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Going with road underdogs off a road game is a very good play. There are many systems that apply to that, but the best one is 89-25-5 for 78.1 percent in the history of our database. However, another that has to do with coming off a rout loss is 57-19-1. One of our simulators has the Bengals covering 57.9 percent, which for NFL sides is a high percentage and in fact the strongest side this week.
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 11:39 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 5:05 PM ET
+4.87
[report pick]
10/18/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

PICK: ATLANTA FALCONS +3.5 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Many angles about going with bad teams, especially on the road apply. Historically, the NFL is the top regression to the mean sport. One about going with winless underdogs is 114-65. We also preach how it is tough to manufacture emotion. The firing of Dan Quinn will light a fire under this underachieving team.
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 11:39 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 5:05 PM ET
+4.95
[report pick]
10/18/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

PICK: OVER 46 (-108)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 750-530-26 including 102-53-6 since 2018. It has never had a losing season. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found nearly 60 percent of simulations going over.
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 11:40 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 5:01 PM ET
+5.09
[report pick]
10/18/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
HOUSTON TEXANS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

PICK: OVER 52.5 (+104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 750-530-26 including 102-53-6 since 2018. It has never had a losing season.
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 11:41 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 5:07 PM ET
+5.72
[report pick]
10/18/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

PICK: OVER 51 (+101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 750-530-26 including 102-53-6 since 2018. It has never had a losing season.
PICK MADE ON 10/18/2020 AT 11:41 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/19/2020 AT 12:14 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2020 (11 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/17/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
PITTSBURGH VS. MIAMI FLORIDA

PICK: UNDER 47.5 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 814-466-34. A similar one has a subsystem that goes under 705-461-26.
PICK MADE ON 10/17/2020 AT 9:50 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 4:16 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/17/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
PITTSBURGH VS. MIAMI FLORIDA

PICK: PITTSBURGH +13 (-112)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: ACC Game of the Year Bubble burst angles that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 84-22-1.
PICK MADE ON 10/17/2020 AT 9:52 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 4:15 PM ET
+4.91
[report pick]
10/17/2020
1:30 PM ET
NCAAF
WESTERN KENTUCKY VS. UAB

PICK: UNDER 44.5 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 814-466-34. A similar one has a subsystem that goes under 705-461-26.
PICK MADE ON 10/17/2020 AT 9:52 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 6:08 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/17/2020
8:00 PM ET
NCAAF
GEORGIA VS. ALABAMA

PICK: UNDER 58.5 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: SEC Total of the Year We have an angle that has to do with comparing the current total to both scoring season-to-date numbers and season-to-date totals of each team that goes under at 517-336, including a stunning subsystem of 215-100. Underachieving defenses based on delta points allowed goes under 545-466-19, including 271-191-9 in game 4 or more. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. Overacheiving offenses based on delta points scored goes under 864-796-44. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.
PICK MADE ON 10/17/2020 AT 9:49 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/18/2020 AT 12:32 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2020 (12 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/16/2020
6:00 PM ET
NCAAF
SMU VS. TULANE

PICK: UNDER 64.5 (-102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Surprising offenses based on delta points scored go under 722-548-32. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread including 529-381-25.
PICK MADE ON 10/16/2020 AT 10:12 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/16/2020 AT 10:56 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/16/2020
6:07 PM ET
MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS VS. TAMPA BAY RAYS

PICK: UNDER 8 (-112)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 2962-2346-281.
PICK MADE ON 10/16/2020 AT 10:15 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/16/2020 AT 11:12 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/16/2020
9:30 PM ET
NCAAF
BYU VS. HOUSTON

PICK: UNDER 60 (-111)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Surprising offenses based on delta points scored go under 722-548-32. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread including 529-381-25.
PICK MADE ON 10/16/2020 AT 10:13 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/17/2020 AT 2:21 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2020 (13 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/15/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
GEORGIA STATE VS. ARKANSAS STATE

PICK: GEORGIA STATE +3 (-102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on satellite radio is 924-595-44. Away dogs off covers as home favorites are 233-153-10.
PICK MADE ON 10/15/2020 AT 10:33 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/16/2020 AT 1:02 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/15/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
GEORGIA STATE VS. ARKANSAS STATE

PICK: UNDER 72.5 (-114)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Surprising offenses based on delta points scored go under 722-548-32. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread including 529-381-25.
PICK MADE ON 10/15/2020 AT 10:33 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/16/2020 AT 1:06 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/15/2020
8:08 PM ET
MLB
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS. ATLANTA BRAVES

PICK: LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (-139)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Several systems that say big favorites have been a great bet in recent years and all-time in the postseason on the runline. We have a great playoff runline momentum angle that is +17.6 units with a 17.1 ROI.
PICK MADE ON 10/15/2020 AT 10:34 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/16/2020 AT 1:20 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 14, 2020 (14 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/14/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
COASTAL CAROLINA VS. UL LAFAYETTE

PICK: UNDER 60 (-117)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Surprising offenses based on delta points scored go under 722-548-32 including 529-381-25 week 4 or later. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.
PICK MADE ON 10/14/2020 AT 10:36 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/14/2020 AT 11:57 PM ET
+4.70
[report pick]
10/14/2020
8:40 PM ET
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. HOUSTON ASTROS

PICK: UNDER 8.5 (-112)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Total relative to season-to-date cumulative totals produces an under system of 2520-2021-239. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 2961-2346-281. When both apply, it goes under 1146-825-112.
PICK MADE ON 10/14/2020 AT 10:37 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/15/2020 AT 12:49 AM ET
+4.91
[report pick]
PICKS FOR TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13, 2020 (15 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/13/2020
6:05 PM ET
MLB
ATLANTA BRAVES VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

PICK: UNDER 7.5 (-102)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 2961-2346-1. Total compared to season average under 2520-2020-238, When both apply, it is under 653-455-71.
PICK MADE ON 10/13/2020 AT 10:58 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 10:55 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/13/2020
7:00 PM ET
NFL
BUFFALO BILLS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

PICK: TENNESSEE TITANS +3.5 (-120)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Again, teams tend to rally around adversity, so Covid gives Tits something to rally around. We have several situations saying to go with quality home underdogs, all hitting at 68-70 percent. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found the Titans covering 57 percent of the time. They rate this game dead even, which as 2020 has gone, means we will be fucked by an OT TD. The other top one has Tits covering 54.9 percent.
PICK MADE ON 10/13/2020 AT 10:57 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 10:59 PM ET
+4.58
[report pick]
PICKS FOR MONDAY, OCTOBER 12, 2020 (16 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/12/2020
4:07 PM ET
MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS VS. TAMPA BAY RAYS

PICK: UNDER 8 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Total compared to season-to-date produces an under at 2519-2020-239.
PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 10:08 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/12/2020 AT 8:01 PM ET
+5.24
[report pick]
10/12/2020
8:08 PM ET
MLB
ATLANTA BRAVES VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

PICK: LOS ANGELES DODGERS (-139)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Fade tremendous pitchers on road under specific circumstances that apply today is +149.05. Based on season to date stats, go with the better team against the pitcher who is having a much better season is +117.24. Home playoff teams off win under specific circumstances that apply today are a very good bet.
PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 10:08 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 12:30 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/12/2020
8:08 PM ET
MLB
ATLANTA BRAVES VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

PICK: UNDER 8 (-104)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Total compared to season-to-date produces an under at 2519-2020-239.
PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 10:08 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 12:34 AM ET
+5.29
[report pick]
10/12/2020
8:15 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

PICK: UNDER 50 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1501-1224-58. Enhanced math under is 173-106-5.
PICK MADE ON 10/12/2020 AT 10:06 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/13/2020 AT 12:36 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SUNDAY, OCTOBER 11, 2020 (17 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/11/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM

PICK: LOS ANGELES RAMS -7.5 (+105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Though many of our angles are regression to the mean, we have a fantastic 33-1 system that says to fade teams that have been playing terribly defensively as of late and off a blowout loss. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Rams covering 54 percent. The other elite simulator has us covering 58.6 percent. Power ratings have a modest edge for Rams.
PICK MADE ON 10/10/2020 AT 2:15 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 5:03 PM ET
+5.78
[report pick]
10/11/2020
1:00 PM ET
NFL
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS

PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS -13 (+107)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: One angle says when oddsmakers are expecting a blowout in a game in which SU splits would suggest otherwise is 104-62-2 as Baltimore is 2-0 road, but 1-1 home straight up. Big favorites, much to the chagrin of my personal biases, have been very good plays since 2014 to the tune of 95-61. Another anti-splits angle about big home favorites despite W-L better on the road is 105-70.
PICK MADE ON 10/10/2020 AT 2:19 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 5:01 PM ET
+5.89
[report pick]
10/11/2020
4:05 PM ET
NFL
MIAMI DOLPHINS VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

PICK: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -8 (-105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: It appears Jimmy Garoppolo is good to go. The road team is a combined 7-1 SU in the games of the two teams. But let me repeat, splits not only almost never hold up, but also they are great fades or more accurately betting the outliers will level off. One angle says when oddsmakers are expecting a blowout in a game in which SU splits would suggest otherwise is 104-62-2. A similar one, but not with totally overlapping games is 92-57-4 anti-splits. Going with the much better yards per play offense is 124-84-3. This is also a very strong contrarian bet, which is rare for chalks. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Niners covering 60 percent, with average margin of victory 13.
PICK MADE ON 10/10/2020 AT 2:18 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 7:58 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/11/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS VS. DALLAS COWBOYS

PICK: OVER 54 (+105)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 749-528. One of our simulators have the over at 56.1-40.9, the rest landing on 54.
PICK MADE ON 10/10/2020 AT 2:16 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 8:48 PM ET
+5.78
[report pick]
10/11/2020
4:25 PM ET
NFL
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS

PICK: UNDER 47 (+106)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1499-1233. Super enhanced version is 172-105. Total based on disappointing defense according to delta points allowed is 1230-1048. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. Combining it goes under 166-97.
PICK MADE ON 10/10/2020 AT 2:17 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 8:30 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2020 (18 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/10/2020
12:00 PM ET
NCAAF
FLORIDA VS. TEXAS A&M

PICK: UNDER 58 (-114)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 811-466-34. Overacheiving offenses go under 1053-879-46. This is based on delta points scored. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. When both apply, it raises the winning percentage a bit, going under 171-103-8. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found 56.5 percent of simulations went under.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 5:41 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 4:14 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/10/2020
3:30 PM ET
NCAAF
TEXAS TECH VS. IOWA STATE

PICK: UNDER 64.5 (-110)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 811-466-34. Underachieving defenses based on delta points allowed go under 544-461-19. This includes 370-188-9 sub-angle. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found 64.5 percent going under.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 5:42 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 7:57 PM ET
+5.00
[report pick]
10/10/2020
4:00 PM ET
NCAAF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE VS. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PICK: UNDER 56.5 (+100)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 811-466-34. Overacheiving offenses go under 1053-879-46. This is based on delta points scored. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. When both apply, it raises the winning percentage a bit, going under 171-103-8. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found 56.5 percent of simulations went under.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 5:40 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 10:25 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/10/2020
4:00 PM ET
NCAAF
KANSAS STATE VS. TCU

PICK: UNDER 51 (-115)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 811-466-34. Overacheiving offenses go under 1053-879-46. This is based on delta points scored. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. When both apply, it raises the winning percentage a bit, going under 171-103-8.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 5:42 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 8:32 PM ET
+4.78
[report pick]
10/10/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
FLORIDA STATE VS. NOTRE DAME

PICK: NOTRE DAME -20.5 (-115)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Go with teams off dominant win is 604-429-29. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Irish covering 58 percent of time. Another has them covering 57.1. The top power ratings has the line right at about the number. So it does not conflict, just essentially rates it a pass.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 5:42 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/11/2020 AT 12:14 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/10/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
MISSISSIPPI STATE VS. KENTUCKY

PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE +3 (-109)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on satellite radio is 921-693-44. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Miss State covering 50 percent, but with pushes, that gives them a slight edge. Another has them covering 55.4-41.6. Power ratings have them winning and say they should be a half-point favorite.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 5:43 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 11:57 PM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR FRIDAY, OCTOBER 9, 2020 (19 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/9/2020
7:10 PM ET
MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES VS. TAMPA BAY RAYS

PICK: UNDER 7.5 (-120)

RISK: 4 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Comparing current total to season averages of each team goes under 2517-2020-239. It is a strong 66-55-5 in postseason. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 2960-2346-281 including a staggering 24-11 in postseason. When both apply, it goes under 652-455-71 including 11-5-1 in playoffs.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 10:13 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/9/2020 AT 11:41 PM ET
+3.33
[report pick]
10/9/2020
9:05 PM ET
NBA
MIAMI HEAT VS. LOS ANGELES LAKERS

PICK: LOS ANGELES LAKERS -7.5 (+103)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Two very good teams, go against a team off competitive loss to a quality foe is 67-20. This also applies in regular season, but very much holds up in same series playoff meetings. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found the Lake Show covering 59 percent of simulations.
PICK MADE ON 10/9/2020 AT 10:14 AM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/10/2020 AT 12:32 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
PICKS FOR THURSDAY, OCTOBER 8, 2020 (20 DAYS AGO) [refresh]
10/8/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
TULANE VS. HOUSTON

PICK: TULANE +6.5 (-102)

RISK: 4 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Tulane covering 66 percent of the time. Our power ratings have Tulane -1.5 and winning by two.
PICK MADE ON 10/8/2020 AT 3:13 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/9/2020 AT 12:16 AM ET
-4.00
[report pick]
10/8/2020
7:30 PM ET
NCAAF
TULANE VS. HOUSTON

PICK: UNDER 59 (-116)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: Surprising offenses based on delta points scored go under 749-583-33. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. A sub-angle is even better percent wise at 542-410-25 to the under. We have a larger angle with similar theories that goes under 1053-867-46.
PICK MADE ON 10/8/2020 AT 3:14 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/9/2020 AT 12:12 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
10/8/2020
8:20 PM ET
NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. CHICAGO BEARS

PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -3.5 (+101)

RISK: 5.5 UNITS
BET NOW!
PICK WRITE-UP: NFC TNF Game of the Year Favorites in a short week are 113-72-5 including a stunning subsystem that is 26-9. Bubble burst angles that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 67-37-4.
PICK MADE ON 10/8/2020 AT 3:11 PM ET
PICK GRADED ON 10/9/2020 AT 12:29 AM ET
-5.50
[report pick]
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